Cautious overall on small caps (NYSEARCA:IWM) due to valuation concerns, Goldman's David Kostin nevertheless has a list of 25 names with market caps less than $4B which could offer at least 25% upside to his firm's price target over the next year.
Ultimate Software (ULTI +7.4%) beat Q2 estimates on the back of a 26% Y/Y increase in recurring revenue (84% of total revenue). The cloud HR software vendor also disclosed on its CC (transcript) it added three new enterprise clients with 10K or more employees; the largest has 40K.
Full-year guidance for 23% revenue growth (25% recurring growth) has been reiterated. Q3 guidance for revenue of $127M is roughly in-line with a $127.3M consensus.
A number of cloud software peers have also rallied. Cloud HR/talent management peers Workday (WDAY +6.5%) and Cornerstone OnDemand (CSOD +5.1%) are among the biggest gainers, but others are also doing quite well. CRM +2.7%. NOW +4.7%. LPSN +5.3%. MKTO +4.1%. CNQR +4.8%. JIVE +3.6%. N +4.2%.
Tibco, which has been dealing with competitive and execution issues for several quarters, posted FQ2 numbers that were slightly better than the outlook provided in a June 3 warning, but also issued weak FQ3 guidance.
Many enterprise software names are trading lower, including several cloud software firms and a few companies viewed as big data/analytics plays: VMW -1.3%. SPLK -1.9%. DATA -2.3%. INFA -1.6%. MKTO -3.8%. JIVE -2.5%. CSLT -4.1%. BSFT -3.3%.
Workday (WDAY -2.2%) is also among the decliners. Larry Ellison again went out of his way to take shots at the cloud HR leader during Oracle's earnings CC (transcript). "We already have a huge lead over Workday in cloud ERP ... In HCM, we are dominating Workday in Europe, and beating them in dozens of core HCM deals here in North America." Workday will probably beg to differ on the specifics.
Analytics/data visualization software vendors Tableau (DATA -6.5%) and Qlik (QLIK -4.1%), often hyped (like Splunk) as big data plays, are among the decliners. As is flash storage vendor Fusion-io (FIO -5.4%), which competes with Violin and (to a lesser extent) Nimble. But they're far from the only ones.
Marketo (MKTO) expects Q2 revenue of $33M-$34M and EPS of -$0.30 to -$0.32 vs. a consensus of $32.3M and -$0.29. Full-year guidance is for revenue of $138M-$141M and EPS of -$1.00 to -$1.06, above a consensus of $134.6M and -$1.12. The company's deferred revenue balance rose 10% Q/Q and 86% Y/Y in Q1 to $45.6M. Shares +9.5% AH. (Q1 results, PR)
HomeAway (AWAY) expects Q2 revenue of $109M-$111M (above a $108.2M consensus) and adjusted EBITDA of $28M-$29M. 2014 guidance is for revenue of $435M-$442.5M (above a $433.7M consensus) and adjusted EBITDA of $117M-$122.5M. Shares -1.9% AH. (Q1 results, PR)
KLA-Tencor (KLAC) guides on its CC for FQ4 revenue of $700M-$760M and EPS of $0.75-$0.95, below a consensus of $832.5M and $1.16. The company blames delays among clients in ramping production of chips featuring 3D transistors, and (like Lam Research) notes 3D NAND production is being pushed out. Shares -5.1% AH. (FQ3 results, PR)
Microsoft (MSFT -1.4%), whose enterprise software ops compete against both IBM (middleware, databases, developer tools) and SAP (ERP/CRM apps, databases), is trading lower. As is IBM archrival H-P (HPQ -2.6%).
A few enterprise cloud software vendors, some of whom compete against SAP, are also off: JIVE -3.5%. N -2%. VEEV -1.9%. MKTO -2.2%.
Big Blue praises Silverpop's ability to enable personalized interactions with potential clients, and to provide "sophisticated automation capabilities more commonly applied in lower volume B2B scenarios to complex B2C environments."
Its software will be leveraged by IBM's 140 Ready for Smarter Commerce marketing partners, and integrated within a new IBM cloud marketing suite - details for the latter are due in May.
Silverpop competes to varying degrees against Oracle-acquired Eloqua and Responsys, Salesforce-acquired ExactTarget, and Adobe's Marketing Cloud platform. It also competes against Marketo (MKTO -7.5%) and Constant Contact (CTCT -4.5%), which are selling off hard today amid a tech rout. Both companies have been lifted by M&A speculation in the past.
The companies are all looking to profit from a shift in IT spend towards CMOs. IDC has observed IBM's efforts in this area could lead it to face off more against ad agencies such as WPP and Omnicom.
Salesforce (CRM -4.1%) is following the group lower after announcing plans to offer industry-specific cloud software solutions. Pac Crest thinks Salesforce's top-line will benefit, but is cutting its EPS estimates on margin concerns.
SAP (SAP +0.5%) is buying Fieldglass, a top provider of cloud software for obtaining/managing contingent labor and services. The company plans to combine Fieldglass' software with Ariba's cloud procurement offerings and its SuccessFactors' cloud HR products to "deliver a platform for businesses to manage their entire workforce both temporary and permanent staff."
Terms are undisclosed. However, Bloomberg reported shortly before SAP issued a PR that the company would be announcing a $1B+ acquisition.
The acquisition comes as SAP strikes a reseller deal with Adobe (ADBE -0.9%) related to the latter's Marketing Cloud online ad tech platform. Marketing Cloud (sales +24% Y/Y in the Feb. quarter to $267M, was just refreshed) will be packaged with SAP's Hana in-memory database and hybris e-commerce infrastructure software to marketers.
Given Adobe bought marketing automation software vendor Neolane last year and folded its products into Marketing Cloud, the partnership might lower the odds SAP will make a bid for Marketo (MKTO -1.3%) or another marketing automation firm, as many have expected.
Marketo Inc provides cloud-based marketing software platform that enables organizations to engage in modern relationship marketing. Its applications include Marketing Automation, Social Marketing, Sales Insight, and Revenue Analytics.