Can Mosaic Get The Sustainable Price Leverage It Needs?
Stephen Simpson, CFA
Stephen Simpson, CFA
Aug. 28, 2014, 11:35 AM
- Uralkali (OTC:URALL) sees North American demand for potash rising to ~10M metric tons in 2014, matching the record level of 2010, as farmers boost production of crops.
- Consumption will be sustained at least through this fall as farmers replenish declining nutrient levels in the soil after crop production that reached an all-time high this year, Uralkali says; the region’s H1 demand was ~6M tons, up 30% Y/Y.
- Uralkali, competing with Potash Corp. (NYSE:POT), Agrium (NYSE:AGU) and Mosaic (NYSE:MOS), sells ~5% of its output in the U.S.
Aug. 14, 2014, 4:58 PM
- The Mosaic (NYSE:MOS) declares $0.25/share quarterly dividend, in line with previous.
- Forward yield 2.18%
- Payable Sept. 18; for shareholders of record Sept. 4; ex-div Sept. 2 .
Jul. 31, 2014, 7:03 AM
- Mosaic (NYSE:MOS): Q2 EPS of $0.70 misses by $0.04.
- Revenue of $2.44B (-6.9% Y/Y) misses by $100M.
Jul. 23, 2014, 9:42 AM
- Mosaic (MOS -0.2%) discloses it will permanently halt production of muriate of potash produced at its Carlsbad, N.M., facility, citing ore quality and the age of its facilities which hurt its ability to compete in challenging market conditions.
- MOS says it plans to restructure its Carlsbad operations to exclusively produce another fertilizer, K-Mag, which is already the facility's main output, accounting for 70% of production.
- MOS expects the move to result in $135M-$160M in related pre-tax charges, with $55M-$75M reflected in Q3 and the rest in Q4.
Jul. 9, 2014, 10:52 AM
- Potash (POT -0.7%) is downgraded to Neutral from Overweight at J.P. Morgan, citing valuation with shares near the firm's unchanged price target of $38.
- JPM believes falling crop prices in anticipation of high domestic corn and soybean supplies could weigh on POT shares.
- The firm prefers Mosaic (MOS -0.9%), as it has a lower valuation than POT and it is more exposed to increases in potash prices as it produces similar tonnage to POT with less than half the number of outstanding shares.
Jul. 1, 2014, 8:20 AM
- Saudi Arabia's Ma'aden says it signed a $5B financing deal with commercial banks and a state-owned investment fund to back its $7.5B phosphate production project in the country.
- The project is a joint venture between Ma'aden, Saudi Basic Industries Corp. and Mosaic (MOS), and is part of Saudi state efforts to create a stronger industrial base beyond oil refining and export.
- The project will have a production capacity of 16M metric tons/year of phosphate concentrate, sulphuric acid, phosphoric acid, as well as plants to produce calcium monophosphate and calcium diphosphate; phosphate production expected to start in late 2016.
May 29, 2014, 4:28 PM
- Mosaic (MOS) says President and CEO James Prokopanko is taking a medical leave of absence for surgery to treat his previously disclosed cancer.
- Lawrence Stranghoener is appointed interim CEO; he has served as Executive VP and CFO since the company's formation in 2004.
- Richard Mack is named CFO, as Stranghoener intends to retire at the end of 2014.
May 15, 2014, 6:45 PM
- The Mosaic Company (MOS) declares $0.25/share quarterly dividend, in line with previous.
- Forward yield 2.03%
- Payable June 19; for shareholders of record June 5; ex-div June 3.
May 6, 2014, 11:20 AM
- Mosaic (MOS -2.2%) will eliminate 500 jobs in the next 12 months, part of a plan to cut $500M in costs over five years, CEO Jim Prokopanko said in this morning's earnings conference call.
- The cuts are aimed at strengthening MOS' status as a low-cost phosphate producer and improving its relatively high cost position in potash.
- Prokopanko also says the dividend is secure and there are no plans to scale back the share repurchase program.
- Also heard during the call: Q2 outlook remains challenging but the company's future remains bright, MOS faces short-term containment issues in Canada, growing the Brazilian business is a key focus, and shipments are off to another fast start this year.
May 6, 2014, 7:59 AM
- Mosaic (MOS) -1.9% premarket after reporting a larger than expected 43% Y/Y drop in Q1 earnings on declining sales, hurt by lower prices for phosphate and potash.
- Q1 phosphate sales totaled 2.7M metric tons, above forecast 2.3M-2.6M tons; average realized price was $414/ton, above the prior quarter's $381 but well below the year-ago price of $491.
- Q1 potash sales totaled 2.4M metric tons, near the low end of expectations; average selling price $267/ton, vs. $303 per ton in Q4 and $376 a year ago.
- MOS forecasts Q2 phosphate sales volumes of 3.1M-3.4M metric tons, up from 2.9M tons last year, at realized prices of $430-$460/ton; expects potash sales of 2.2M-2.5M metric tons, compared with 2.4M tons a year ago, at realized prices of $250-$275/ton.
- Sees FY 2014 capex of $1.2B-$1.4B.
May 6, 2014, 7:07 AM
- Mosaic (MOS): Q1 EPS of $0.54 misses by $0.05.
- Revenue of $1.98B (-14.3% Y/Y) misses by $520M.
May 5, 2014, 5:30 PM
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Apr. 15, 2014, 12:41 PM
- Mosaic (MOS +0.9%) agrees to acquire Archer Daniels Midland's (ADM -1.5%) fertilizer distribution business in Brazil and Paraguay for $350M.
- MOS says the acquisition would increase its annual distribution in the region to ~6M metric tons of crop nutrients from ~4M.
- The parties also negotiate terms of five-year fertilizer supply agreements providing for MOS to supply ADM's fertilizer needs in Brazil and Paraguay.
Mar. 21, 2014, 12:49 PM
- Mosaic (MOS -0.7%) slips a small amount after yesterday evening announcing CEO James Prokopanko has been diagnosed with cancer and is undergoing chemotherapy. "I'm feeling well and my doctors have informed me that I was diagnosed at an early stage," says Prokopanko. "I'm planning to work a regular schedule and perform my duties as CEO, but will be limiting travel over the coming months."
Mar. 5, 2014, 3:59 PM
- Potash Corp. (POT +3.9%) and other fertilizer makers rally as FT reports the two largest shareholders in Uralkali have endorsed the logic of restarting a partnership with the Belarus potash export cartel, opening the door to a deal that would end the potash war that has roiled the industry.
- No formal negotiations have occurred between the two companies about restarting their partnership, but the subject is said to have been mentioned informally.
- AGU +1.5%, MOS +1.8%, IPI +4.3%.
Mar. 3, 2014, 2:35 PM
- Potash producers are bucking the broader stock market weakness, as they stand to benefit if the Ukrainian crisis leads to economic sanctions against Russia.
- Potash is one of Russia’s important export products, Newedge's Robbert van Batenburg notes: “The erstwhile cartel between Russia and Belarus supplied 43% of total global potash demand... Non-Russian potash supplier[s] may benefit from a potential trade sanctions that could impact Russian potash exports.”
- POT +0.6%, AGU +1%, MOS +0.2%, IPI +0.5%, CF +1.7%.
The Mosaic Co. engages in the production and marketing of concentrated phosphate and potash crop nutrients for the global agriculture industry. It offers phosphate & potash based crop nutrients and animal feed ingredients. The company engages in every phase of crop nutrition development, from... More
Sector: Basic Materials
Industry: Agricultural Chemicals
Country: United States
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