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Wed, Feb. 3, 5:17 AM
- Just ten days after Moody's put over half a trillion dollars in energy debt on review for downgrade, S&P decided it wanted to be the first one out of the gate.
- Companies that saw their ratings cut by one notch: Chevron (NYSE:CVX), Apache (NYSE:APA), Continental Resources (NYSE:CLR), Devon Energy (NYSE:DVN), EOG Resources (NYSE:EOG), Hess (NYSE:HES), Hunt Oil, Marathon Oil (NYSE:MRO), Murphy Oil (NYSE:MUR) and Southwestern Energy (NYSE:SWN).
- Oil futures settled below $30 a barrel again on Tuesday, but prices have taken a positive turn this morning after two days of steep declines.
- Previously: Moody's places 175 oil, gas and mining companies on review for downgrade (Jan. 22 2016)
Thu, Jan. 28, 9:23 AM
- Gainers: NEOS +59%. DNR +17%. BCEI +16%. UA +16%. FB +14%. INO +13%. ATHX +12%. PBR +12%. WLL +11%. MRO +10%. [[PBR-A]] +10%. TRXC +9%. CHK +9%. MLNX +9%. LINE +9%. MT +9%. SDRL +8%. HOG +8%. ETE +8%. STO +8%. CRUS 7%. KMI 7%. BBL 6%. HCA 6%. MJN 6%. CJES 6%. PYPL 6%.
- Losers: NOW -22%. OSIS -22%. EBAY -11%. INVN -10%. URI -10%. INCY -9%. JNPR -10%. OAS -7%.
Wed, Jan. 27, 4:44 PM
Mon, Jan. 25, 6:49 PM
- Investment in Canada’s oil and gas industry is forecast to fall again this year, as the price of the heavy crude produced from Alberta's oil sands has fallen so low that some companies are losing money on every barrel they sell, and are looking at ways to cut production.
- The Canadian Association of Petroleum Producers predicts the industry will invest C$42B in 2016, 13% less than in 2015 and 48% less than in 2014 - a steeper decline than investment in oil and gas production worldwide, which is expected to drop by 40% during 2014-16, according to Wood Mackenzie.
- On top of plummeting prices, Alberta's new left-leaning government plans to cap carbon emissions from the oil sands, a move that threatens to strand billions of barrels of crude; companies including Exxon (NYSE:XOM), BP, Chevron (NYSE:CVX), ConocoPhillips (NYSE:COP), Shell (RDS.A, RDS.B), Marathon Oil (NYSE:MRO), Total (NYSE:TOT), Statoil (NYSE:STO) and Cnooc (NYSE:CEO) have invested in Alberta megaprojects to tap the world's third largest oil reserves, smaller only than Saudi Arabia and Venezuela.
Fri, Jan. 22, 9:21 AM
Thu, Jan. 21, 3:49 PM
- Crude oil futures settled more than 4% higher on the back of perceived oversold conditions, despite a higher than expected inventory build; March WTI jumped 4.2% to settle at $29.53/bbl after trading as high as $30.25, while Brent surged 4.9% to $29.25.
- Crude prices were supported by the inventory increase in this morning's EIA report, which was less than the API’s report released on Wednesday, says Phil Flynn, senior market analyst at Price Futures Group; also, reports of Libyan oil tanks on fire eased speculation that Libya would be exporting more oil soon.
- Also supportive for prices, oil production in the lower 48 states edged lower for the first time in seven weeks, “which is at least ‘less bearish’ for the extremely oversupplied global oil market,” says Tyler Richey of The 7:00’s Report.
- The energy sector is bouncing after hitting a multiyear low yesterday: XOM +1.4%, CVX +2.7%, RDS.A +3.8%, BP +3.7%, TOT +2.3%, STO +4.5%, COP +6.2%, MRO +12.2%, APC +10.3%, OXY +2.1%, EOG +6.4%, PXD +2.7%, APA +8.2%, HES +7%, KMI +15.5%, EPD +3.3%, ETP +6.8%.
- ETFs: UNG, USO, OIL, XLE, UGAZ, UCO, DGAZ, UWTI, VDE, ERX, OIH, SCO, XOP, BNO, BOIL, GAZ, DBO, DWTI, ERY, FCG, DIG, GASL, DTO, DUG, KOLD, BGR, USL, XES, IYE, IEO, UNL, IEZ, DNO, FENY, PXE, PXI, FIF, PXJ, OLO, SZO, NDP, RYE, DCNG, FXN, OLEM, DDG
Wed, Jan. 20, 6:38 PM
- ConocoPhillips (NYSE:COP), ExxonMobil (NYSE:XOM), Marathon Oil (NYSE:MRO) and Occidental Petroleum (NYSE:OXY) are retained with Outperform ratings at Wells Fargo, which says the average upside potential for the four in its international E&P and integrated oil group is 38% at the top end of its valuation range and 25% at the lower end.
- From both a debt-adjusted cash flow and enterprise value/EBITDA standpoint, MRO and Market Perform-rated Chevron (NYSE:CVX) and Murphy Oil (NYSE:MUR) carry the most discounted valuations, the firm says.
- Among oil services stocks, the firm likes Halliburton (NYSE:HAL), RPC (NYSE:RES), Patterson-UTI Energy (NASDAQ:PTEN), U.S. Silica (NYSE:SLCA) and Nabors Industries (NYSE:NBR) to survive the downturn while maintaining the financial flexibility to thrive and take share in a North American recovery.
- Earlier: Wells Fargo's MLPs most likely to cut distributions: ETE, ETP, WMB, WPZ, AMID, APLP, CCLP, CEQP (Jan. 15)
Sat, Jan. 16, 9:15 AM
- Oppenheimer's Fadel Gheit and Luis Amadeo offer a bleak view of the Q4 2015 earnings season for oil and gas producers, warning of sharply lower earnings with deeper losses and wider cash flow deficits Y/Y and Q/Q.
- Among the integrated oil majors, the analysts see overall Q4 earnings falling by more than 50% Y/Y and more than 30% Q/Q; they expect Chevron (NYSE:CVX) to show the steepest earnings decline of 60%-plus Y/Y and 50%-plus Q/Q, while anticipating Exxon Mobil (NYSE:XOM) to report the lowest declines of 40%-plus Y/Y and 25%-plus Q/Q.
- Of the 15 large E&Ps Oppenheimer covers, 13 likely will report losses in Q4 vs. 10 in Q3 and none in Q4 2014, with only Devon Energy (NYSE:DVN) and Range Resources (NYSE:RRC) reporting a profit; the analysts expect most of the other 13 to report steeper declines, including Anadarko Petroleum (NYSE:APC), Apache (NYSE:APA), Chesapeake Energy (NYSE:CHK), EOG Resources (NYSE:EOG), Hess (NYSE:HES), Marathon Oil (NYSE:MRO), Murphy Oil (NYSE:MUR), Pioneer Natural Resources (NYSE:PXD) and Southwestern Energy (NYSE:SWN).
- Earlier this week, Gheit predicted that half of U.S. shale oil producers could go bankrupt before the crude market reaches equilibrium.
Fri, Jan. 15, 3:20 PM
- Nymex crude oil settled -5.7% at $29.42/bbl, its lowest level since November 2003, with concerns that Iran will soon add to the world's glut of crude supplies added to fears about an economic slowdown in China.
- When a decade of trade and banking sanctions against Iran end, perhaps as soon as Monday, the country could lift exports by 500K bbl/day and gradually raise shipments by the same amount again; Iran reportedly has 22 VLCCs floating off its coast, with 13 fully or almost fully loaded.
- Among major energy companies today: XOM -1.8%, CVX -2.2%, RDS.A -5%, BP -5.2%, COP -4.9%, TOT -3.7%, PBR -8.6%, E -4.5%, TOT -3.7%, STO -2.5%, MRO -10.2%, HES -3.6%, OXY -1.8%, DVN -5.8%, APA -4.9%, EOG -3.8%, APC -7.9%, PXD -2.6%, CXO -4.9%.
- ETFs: UNG, USO, OIL, XLE, UGAZ, UCO, DGAZ, UWTI, VDE, ERX, OIH, SCO, XOP, BNO, BOIL, GAZ, DBO, DWTI, ERY, FCG, DIG, GASL, DTO, DUG, KOLD, BGR, USL, XES, IYE, IEO, UNL, IEZ, DNO, FENY, PXE, PXI, PXJ, FIF, DBE, OLO, SZO, NDP, RYE, DCNG, RJN, FXN, OLEM, DDG
Fri, Jan. 15, 9:29 AM
Thu, Jan. 14, 3:26 PM
- Energy stocks are broadly higher as U.S. crude oil bounces off $30/bbl to end pit trading at $31.22, +2.6%; the SPDR Energy ETF (XLE +5.1%) soars 5%, with 36 of its 40 equity components trading higher, after closing yesterday at its lowest level since September 2010.
- Exxon Mobil (XOM +5.5%) and Chevron (CVX +5.9%) are the Dow's top two gainers; and pipeline companies sport strong showings with Kinder Morgan (KMI +8.2%), Plains All American Pipeline (PAA +11.7%) and Williams Cos. (WMB +27.4%) among the biggest winners.
- Among other major energy movers: ETE +22.6%, BP +7.6%, MRO +7.5%, OXY +7.1%, PBR +7%, COP +7%, RDS.A +6.7%, SE +6.1%, PSX +6.1%, ETP +6.1%, EPD +5.3%, APA +5%, E +4.6%, HES +4.1%, MPC +4.1%.
- Amid overwhelmingly negative sentiment, a few analysts are venturing out to say the worst may be over or nearly so: Deutsche Bank’s Torsten Slok thinks "we now have the worst behind us in terms of the negative impact of falling oil prices on the economy," and Gluskin Sheff’s David Rosenberg argues that the oil selloff is getting “long in the tooth.”
- ETFs: USO, OIL, XLE, UCO, UWTI, VDE, ERX, OIH, SCO, XOP, BNO, DBO, DWTI, ERY, FCG, DIG, GASL, DTO, DUG, BGR, USL, XES, IYE, IEO, IEZ, DNO, FENY, PXE, PXI, PXJ, FIF, OLO, SZO, NDP, RYE, FXN, OLEM, DDG
Tue, Jan. 12, 2:51 PM
- Morgan Stanley lowers its E&P sector outlook to In-Line to reflect a “more protracted recovery that drives lower production and increases leverage," adding that a nearly 50% downside can be expected before the group becomes cheap.
- Resilient U.S. production even under lower oil prices coupled with international production growth are expected to extend oil’s trough through 2016, the firm says.
- Stanley downgrades Marathon Oil (MRO -7.8%), Encana (ECA -6.7%) and Canadian Natural Resources to Equal Weight (CNQ -4.7%), and cuts Whiting Petroleum (WLL -13.7%) to Underweight from Equal Weight; the firm cuts its price target for MRO to $10 from $29, ECA to C$5.50 from C$10, CNQ to C$30 from C$45, and WLL to $4 from $23.
- Earlier: Morgan Stanley: Oil to sink further thanks to strong dollar (Jan. 11)
Dec. 30, 2015, 12:46 PM
- Hit hard two days ago as oil fell below $37/barrel, oil/gas industry names are seeing more pain today after the EIA reported U.S. crude inventories rose by 2.6M barrels last week - expectations were for a decline. The report comes shortly after the API estimated U.S. crude inventories rose by 2.9M barrels during the most recent weekly period.
- After rising yesterday, WTI crude is down 3.1% to $36.71/barrel. Brent crude is down 2.9% to $36.69/barrel. Nymex natural gas is down 7.3% to $2.20/MMBtu.
- The biggest decliners include Chesapeake Energy (CHK -4.1%), Petrobras (PBR -4.1%), Linn Energy (LINE -7.5%), Gulfport Energy (GPOR -5.2%), SeaDrill (SDRL -5.5%), MV Oil Trust (MVO -4.5%), EV Energy Partners (EVEP -6.7%), and Southwestern Energy (SWN -5.7%).
- Other notable decliners include Hercules Offshore (HERO -5.2%), Marathon Oil (MRO -4%), Devon Energy (DVN -4.4%), Encana (ECA -4.1%), Range Resources (RRC -4.7%), Sandridge Mississippian Trust (SDR -4%), Newfield Exploration (NFX -3.8%), BP Prudhoe Bay Royalty Trust (BPT -3.1%), Enerplus (ERF -3.9%), and ONEOK Partners (OKS -2.5%).
- ETFs: XLE, VDE, ERX, OIH, XOP, ERY, DIG, DUG, BGR, IYE, IEO, FENY, PXE, FIF, PXJ, NDP, RYE, FXN, DDG, DRIP, GUSH
Dec. 28, 2015, 11:45 AM
- WTI crude is down 3.2% to $36.90/barrel, and Brent crude down 2.5% to $36.95/barrel, leaving prices close to 11-year lows. Energy industry firms are among the biggest decliners on a day the S&P is down 0.6%.
- Fears about excess supply appear to be weighing once more. OPEC figures point to a global oil supply glut of more than 2M barrels (over 2% of global demand); a smaller glut is expected next year. Meanwhile, Japanese government data indicates the country's oil product sales fell to a 46-year low in November, and European data suggests the continent's oil product demand growth turned negative in October.
- The biggest casualties include Whiting Petroleum (WLL -9.9%), Oasis Petroleum (OAS -8.2%), Vanguard Natural Resources (VNR -12.5%), Denbury Resources (DNR -8%), SandRidge Energy (SD -8.1%), SandRidge Permian Trust (PER -10.9%), SandRidge Mississippian Trust (SDT -7.5%), U.S. Silica (SLCA -6.2%), Marathon Oil (MRO -6.7%), C&J Energy Services (CJES -8.1%), MV Oil Trust (MVO -9.2%), Bonanza Creek (BCEI -6.4%), Parker Drilling (PKD -7.9%), and Continental Resources (CLR -5.9%).
- Other notable decliners include Kinder Morgan (KMI -5%), Williams Partners (WPZ -4.4%), EOG Resources (EOG -3.4%), Cheniere Energy (CQP -3.6%), SeaDrill (SDRL -3.5%), Encana (ECA -2.8%), Devon Energy (DVN -2.7%), Ensco (ESV -3.8%), Hercules Offshore (HERO -4.7%), Atwood Oceanics (ATW -4.9%), Helmerich & Payne (HP -3.8%), and Pioneer Natural (PXD -2.6%).
- ETFs: XLE, VDE, ERX, OIH, XOP, ERY, DIG, DUG, BGR, IYE, IEO, FENY, PXE, FIF, PXJ, NDP, RYE, FXN, DDG, DRIP, GUSH
Dec. 16, 2015, 2:31 PM
- Moody's says it is reviewing 29 E&P companies from the U.S. and seven from Canada for a potential downgrade, saying the companies "will be stressed for a longer period with much lower cash flows, difficulty selling assets and limited capital markets access."
- Based on the severity and potential duration of the industry challenges, Moody's expects many companies will be downgraded one notch and others could be lowered by more than one notch.
- Yesterday, the ratings agency cut its oil and gas price assumptions in light of continuing oversupply in the global oil markets and the U.S. natural gas market.
- Among the U.S. companies: APC, AR, APA, XEC, CXO, COP, CLR, DNR, EGN, EOG, EPE, EQT, HES, MRO, MUR, NFG, NFX, NBL, OXY, PXD, QEP, RRC, SM, SWN, UNT, WLL, WPX
- From Canada: BTE, CNQ, OTCQX:COSWF, CVE, ECA, OTCPK:HUSKF, SU
Dec. 15, 2015, 5:41 PM
Marathon Oil Corp is an energy company engaged in the exploration, production and marketing of liquid hydrocarbons and natural gas, production and marketing of products manufactured from natural gas and oil sands mining.
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