Mattson Looking For Advanced Chips To Drive The Cycle
Stephen Simpson, CFA
Stephen Simpson, CFA
Mattson Technology: A High-Beta Play On 20nm And Below
Stephen Simpson, CFA
Stephen Simpson, CFA
Dec. 2, 2015, 9:15 AM
Dec. 2, 2015, 9:11 AM
- Chinese P-E firm E-Town Dragon (focuses on chip industry investments) is buying Mattson Technology (NASDAQ:MTSN) for $300M, or $3.80/share, in cash. The price represents a 23% premium to the chip equipment maker's Tuesday close, but is below a 52-week high of $5.10.
- The deal, the latest in a string of Chinese purchases of Western semi assets, is expected to close in Q1 2016, provided shareholders and regulators approve. Mattson is up 17.7% premarket to $3.65.
Oct. 21, 2015, 11:33 AM
- Up yesterday in response to Intel's flash manufacturing plans, chip equipment makers are higher today after Lam Research (LRCX +5.6%) announced it's buying KLA-Tencor (KLAC +22.5%) for $10.6B, with the goal of creating an industry giant on par with Applied Materials (AMAT +1%).
- In addition to Lam, KLA, and Applied, gainers include ASML (ASML +2.3%), Kulicke & Soffa (KLIC +2.9%), Teradyne (TER +4.6%), Mattson (MTSN +2.6%), and Xcerra (XCRA +2.3%). Ahead of the deal announcement, Tokyo Electron (OTCPK:TOELF) rose 4% in Tokyo, aided by the Intel news and a rally in Japanese equities.
- Lam/KLA assert the deal combines "Lam's best-in-class capabilities in deposition, etch, and clean [equipment] with KLA-Tencor's leadership in inspection and metrology." Gartner estimates Lam and KLA respectively had 9.4% and 6.4% of the 2013 chip equipment market. Applied (competes with both KLA and Lam) had 16.2%, ASML (dominant in lithography) 15.7%, and Tokyo 9.1%.
- Lam is paying the equivalent of $32/share in cash and 0.5 shares (current value of $37) for each KLA share. It plans to finance the deal with $1.9B in cash on hand from both companies, and $3.9B in debt. KLA shareholders can elect to be paid solely in cash, solely in stock, or through a mixture of cash and stock.
- The deal is expected to close in mid-2016. Lam CEO Martin Anstice will run the combined firm.
Jul. 16, 2015, 12:40 PM
- Applied Materials (AMAT -3.6%), ASML (ASML -4.9%), Lam Research (LRCX -4.2%), KLA-Tencor (KLAC -4.4%), Ultratech (UTEK -4.8%), Rudolph (RTEC -3.1%), Mattson (MTSN -2.4%), Advantest (ATE -2.6%), Teradyne (TER -0.9%), and Kulicke & Soffa (KLIC -1.2%) are lower (in spite of a 1.1% Nasdaq gain) after Intel cut its capex budget for the third time this year, this time by $1B to $7.7B (+/- $500M). The chip giant spent $10.1B on capex in 2014, and $10.7B-$11B in 2011-2013.
- Also: Intel disclosed it now expects to bring its first 10nm CPUs to market in 2H17, breaking with its historical 2-year manufacturing process upgrade pace and leading some to wonder if Moore's Law is proving harder to maintain. Intel's first 14nm CPUs (based on the Broadwell architecture) arrived last September.
- Separately, TSMC (cut its capex budget in April) provided cautious remarks about global chip demand. The world's biggest foundry expects 3% 2015 chip industry growth and 6%-10% foundry market growth.
- The selloff comes shortly after Applied and Lam provided aggressive 3-year EPS growth targets (I, II) at investor meetings held during the chip industry's Semicon West conference. ASML rallied yesterday following a Q2 beat and positive 2H15 outlook.
Mar. 25, 2015, 12:03 PM
- Chip stocks are particularly hard-hit (SOXX -3.6%) on a rough day for tech. The Nasdaq is down 1.3%, and the S&P 0.7%. Going into today, good earnings reports and ongoing M&A activity had led the Philadelphia Semi Index to rise 10% from its Jan. 30 close; the index remains up nearly 2x from its fall 2012 lows.
- AMD (AMD -7.2%) is a major decliner following a UBS downgrade. AMD rival/GPU giant Nvidia (NVDA -5.2%) and memory giant Micron (MU -3.7%) are also selling off, as are merger partners NXP (NXPI -3.8%) and Freescale (FSL -3.4%), RF chipmakers Avago (AVGO -5.2%), Skyworks (SWKS -5.3%), and Qorvo (QRVO -7.1%), LED/RF chipmaker Cree (CREE -4.1%), and high-flying video processor developer Ambarella (AMBA -4.3%).
- Other decliners include telecom chipmakers/ARM server CPU vendors Cavium (CAVM -4.8%) and AppliedMicro (AMCC -4.4%), microcontroller vendors Atmel (ATML -3.5%), Cypress (CY -5.5%), and STMicroelectronics (STM -3.5%), voice processor developer Audience (ADNC -3.7%), analog/mixed-signal chipmakers Linear (LLTC -3.7%), Maxim (MXIM -3%), and Intersil (ISIL -3.5%), FPGA maker Lattice (LSCC -3.9%), and mixed-signal/wireless charging IC developer IDT (IDTI -5.4%).
- Chip equipment, IP, and foundry providers are also underperforming. Big decliners include ARM (ARMH -4.4%), KLA-Tencor (KLAC -4.2%), Lam Research (LRCX -5.4%), ASML (ASML -4.1%), TowerJazz (TSEM -4.3%), Mattson (MTSN -4.5%), Ultratech (UTEK -4.7%), and Tessera (TSRA -6.1%). ASML has been downgraded to Hold by Banco Santander.
- TSMC (TSM -4.6%) is among the decliners in spite of a Digitimes report stating the foundry giant's sales are expected to rise 0%-5% Q/Q in Q2 - consensus is for a 2% drop - with strong Apple A8 CPU orders offsetting soft Qualcomm Snapdragon 810 orders.
- Chip ETFs: SMH, XSD, PSI, SOXL, USD, SOXS, SSG
Mar. 18, 2015, 12:45 PM
Mar. 18, 2015, 11:16 AM
- JPMorgan reports Samsung is slowing down the pace of its DRAM capacity ramp. The firm reiterates an Overweight rating and $40 target on Micron (MU +0.8%), whose shares have been hit more than once by Samsung spending fears.
- While Micron edges higher, chip equipment maker Lam Research (LRCX -4.3%), which has considerable DRAM exposure, is selling off. Mattson (MTSN -11.8%), Aixtron (AIXG -1.9%), and Axcelis (ACLS -1.1%), other equipment makers that have DRAM exposure, are also lower. Mattson dived around 11AM after initially posting moderate losses.
- Lam, a David Einhorn favorite, offered upbeat commentary about 2015 DRAM capex on its FQ2 CC (transcript), and noted 30% industry bit growth is expected this year.
- Also: 1) Drexel Hamilton has made upbeat comments about DRAM demand after talking with an unnamed Asian memory maker; the firm expects mobile DRAM demand to restore a supply/demand balance later this year. 2) Jefferies (Buy) has cut its Micron target by $5 to $40, predicting Q1 DRAM pricing weakness will continue into Q2 due soft PC demand, before smartphone demand and "corrective actions on the supply side" lead prices to stabilize.
- Yesterday: Micron drops on RBC target cut
Feb. 13, 2015, 9:15 AM| Feb. 13, 2015, 9:15 AM | 3 Comments
Feb. 12, 2015, 5:36 PM
Feb. 12, 2015, 4:26 PM
- Mattson Technology (NASDAQ:MTSN): Q4 EPS of $0.07 beats by $0.03.
- Revenue of $54.7M (+34.1% Y/Y) beats by $5.37M.
- Shares +5.2%.
Jul. 25, 2014, 4:58 PM
- KLA-Tencor (KLAC -1.9%) guided on its FQ4 CC (transcript) for FQ1 revenue of $590M-$650M (-6% Y/Y at the midpoint) and EPS of $0.34-$0.54, well below a consensus of $740M and $0.88. Bookings are expected to drop to $600M-$800M from an FQ4 level of $898M (topped guidance of $625M-$825M).
- Several chip equipment peers underperformed following the numbers on a weak day for stocks. AMAT -2.4%. ASML -2%. RTEC -3.5%. UCTT -3.2%. MTSN -2.3%. The group has had a good run this year on optimism about industry consolidation and a strong up-cycle.
- Discussing its guidance, KLA observed delivery for major FQ4 orders for 14nm equipment from a foundry client (likely Samsung or Globalfoundries) isn't expected to start until FQ2. The company added it's generally cautious about 2014 foundry revenue.
- But KLA expects revenue growth to resume in FQ2, and is optimistic about 2015 demand, as foundry clients (responsible for 68% of FQ4 orders) invest heavily to ramp 16nm and 14nm production. Samsung and Globalfoundries have big 14nm plans for 2015; TSMC is attempting to counter with its 16nm FinFET+ process.
- FQ4 gross margin was 56%, missing KLA's guidance midpoint by 150 bps and contributing to an EPS miss. KLA blames product mix and higher-than-expected services costs. GM is expected to fall to 54%-55% in FQ1 due to lower revenue.
May 6, 2014, 5:40 PM
May 5, 2014, 12:47 PM
Feb. 21, 2014, 9:14 AM
Feb. 10, 2014, 12:45 PM
Jan. 24, 2014, 2:08 PM
- Chip equipment stocks aren't getting spared from a general market selloff after Samsung (SSNLF - the world's #2 chipmaker) guided for its 2014 chip capex to be flat Y/Y. AMAT -1.6%. LRCX -3.7%. ASML -0.7%. UTEK -2.2%. RTEC -3.2%. MTSN -5.1%.
- Industry analyst Robert Marie observes this is the first time since 2009 that Samsung hasn't upped its chip capex budget. With Intel and TSMC (the industry's two other big clients) also guiding for capex to be flat (if not down) this year, Marie is cautious about 2014 growth, even though others have forecast sales will rebound sharply this year following a rough 2013.
- KLA-Tencor (KLAC -2.2%) is joining the selloff even though the company posted an FQ2 EPS beat yesterday afternoon, and provided healthy FQ3 guidance - revenue of $790M-$850M and EPS of $1-$1.20 vs. a consensus of $814.5M and $1.11 - on its CC (transcript). KLA also forecast FQ3 bookings will be in a range of $700M-$800M (implies 10% Q/Q growth at the midpoint), and struck an upbeat tone about 2014 investments in 20nm and 3D NAND flash capacity.
- KLA still expects 10%+ industry growth this year, but admits its outlook is "slightly weaker" than it was three months ago. The company also believes industry adoption of EUV lithography (important for ASML) has generally been pushed out to the 7nm process node from the 10nm node.
Mattson Technology, Inc. designs, manufactures, and markets semiconductor wafer processing equipment used in the fabrication of integrated circuits. It is a supplier plasma and rapid thermal processing equipment to the global semiconductor industry, and operates in three primary product sectors:... More
Industry: Semiconductor Equipment & Materials
Country: United States
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