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Fri, Feb. 5, 11:01 AM
- A long list of enterprise software and security tech names are off sharply after business intelligence/analytics software upstart Tableau (down 45.3%) reported slower-than-expected license revenue growth and issued below-consensus Q1/2016 guidance.
- Also possibly weighing: LinkedIn (down 39.6%), which derives a large % of its revenue from cloud-based recruiting and sales tools for enterprises, issued weak Q1/2016 guidance.
- Given the magnitude of the drops, margin calls and forced selling by funds could be playing a big role. The Nasdaq is down 2.2%.
- Tableau suggested its growth slowdown has to do with softening IT spend and a need to improve sales productivity, but analysts have raised questions about competition from the likes of Microsoft, Amazon, and Qlik. LinkedIn forecast a growth slowdown for its field sales hiring solutions business, while blaming European/Asian macro pressures. The company also noted its display ad business continues declining amid weak industry growth.
- Major enterprise software decliners include Splunk (SPLK -23.7%), Workday (WDAY -15.1%), Adobe (ADBE -7%), Zendesk (ZEN -15.2%), ServiceNow (NOW -13.6%), NetSuite (N -12.4%), Salesforce (CRM -11.2%), Paycom (PAYC -10.6%), Ellie Mae (ELLI -11.5%), Cornerstone OnDemand (CSOD -7.8%), Veeva (VEEV -7.7%), Ultimate Software (ULTI -9%), Luxoft (LXFT -7.5%), Manhattan Associates (MANH -8.5%), Box (BOX -6.6%), Guidewire (GWRE -13.6%), Demandware (DWRE -9.3%), Hortonworks (HDP -9.7%), and Tableau rival Qlik (QLIK -16.6%). The casualty list includes many cloud software firms, as well as several analytics software plays. Previously covered: New Relic, Atlassian.
- Major decliners among security tech firms: Palo Alto Networks (PANW -12%), FireEye (FEYE -8.9%), Rapid7 (RPD -8.6%), CyberArk (CYBR -8.3%), Proofpoint (PFPT -8%), Imperva (IMPV -8.3%), Fortinet (FTNT -6.9%), and Vasco (VDSI -5.1%). The selloff comes in spite of an FQ3 beat and in-line FQ4 guidance from Symantec, which has been losing share to various upstarts.
Fri, Jan. 29, 4:56 PM
- With shares having gone into earnings just $1.54 above a 52-week low of $64.04, NetSuite (NYSE:N) rallied after beating Q4 estimates and guiding on its earnings call (transcript) for 2016 revenue of $950M-$970M (+28-31% Y/Y) and EPS of $0.40-$0.45 vs. a consensus of $959.5M and $0.35.
- Q1 guidance is light: Revenue of $212M-$214M and EPS of $0.02-$0.03 vs. a consensus of $216.6M and $0.08. NetSuite suggested macro uncertainty affected its guidance.
- Q4 details: Calculated billings (revenue + change in deferred revenue) rose 28% Y/Y in Q4 to $256.8M, above revenue of $206.2M (+31% Y/Y) but reflecting a slowdown in growth from Q3's 36%. CFO Ronald Gill indicated forex had a 200 bps impact on billings growth.
Spending remained aggressive: Sales/marketing spend rose 32% Y/Y to $95.2M, and R&D spend 36% to $28.7M. Average deal size rose 10% Y/Y, and a record number of $1M+ deals were signed.
- Canaccord upgraded NetSuite to Buy today, while maintaining a $100 target. The firm cited strong demand, a favorable valuation, and expected op. margin growth.
- NetSuite's Q4 results, earnings release
Thu, Jan. 28, 4:12 PM
Wed, Jan. 27, 5:35 PM| Wed, Jan. 27, 5:35 PM | 9 Comments
Tue, Jan. 26, 8:22 AM
- Cloud ERP/e-commerce software firm NetSuite (NYSE:N), cloud marketing automation software firm Marketo (NASDAQ:MKTO), and cloud HR/payroll software firm Paylocity (NASDAQ:PCTY) have each been downgraded to Underperform by BofA/Merrill ahead of their calendar Q4 reports.
- Separately, Piper's Katherine Egbert has cut her NetSuite target by $6 to $72, while reiterating an Underweight rating. She expects NetSuite to deliver in-line Q4 results when the company reports on Thursday afternoon, with "some potential for upside in 2016 guidance" thanks to the Bronto Software acquisition. "N's premium multiple seems reflective of the unique ownership structure, potential M&A and relatively low float. A multiple closer to the high 20%'s revenue and billings growth rate would make the stock a more compelling buy in our view."
- Paylocity is down 2.3% premarket; NetSuite and Marketo haven't yet moved. Paylocity, which soared post-earnings in November, reports on Feb. 4. Marketo, which briefly dropped post-earnings in October, reports on Feb. 9.
Dec. 31, 2015, 7:03 PM
- Cisco (NASDAQ:CSCO) could make a bid for storage array vendor NetApp (NASDAQ:NTAP) and threat-prevention hardware/software provider FireEye (NASDAQ:FEYE) in 2016, thinks FBR's Dan Ives. Cisco/NetApp speculation has been around for a while. Meanwhile, Cisco has made several security acquisitions in recent years, and appears to be up for more, but has also launched products that compete with FireEye.
- Ives also thinks IBM could bid for machine/log data analytics software leader Splunk (NASDAQ:SPLK) and business intelligence/data visualization software firm QLIK. With a $7.6B market cap and high multiples, Splunk would be a costlier acquisition than IBM's traditional fare.
- HP Enterprise (NYSE:HPE), meanwhile, is seen as a potential suitor for both Qlik and enterprise cloud storage/file-sharing leader BOX. And Oracle (NYSE:ORCL) a potential buyer of cloud ERP, HR, and e-commerce software firm NetSuite (NYSE:N). Larry Ellison owns a large stake in NetSuite (more SMB-focused than Oracle), and the company both competes and partners with Oracle.
- Microsoft (NASDAQ:MSFT), which has made plenty of acquisitions in the Satya Nadella era, is seen as a potential buyer of database security software and Web app firewall vendor Imperva (NYSE:IMPV), as well as of cloud vulnerability management and compliance software firm Qualys (NASDAQ:QLYS). Symantec (NASDAQ:SYMC), which has signaled it will make security acquisitions after the sale of its Veritas unit closes, is considered a possible acquirer of e-mail/compliance security software provider Proofpoint (NASDAQ:PFPT).
- Yesterday: FBR sees improving cybersecurity spend, likes several stocks
Oct. 23, 2015, 3:07 AM
- In addition to slightly missing Q3 revenue estimates (while slightly beating on EPS), NetSuite (NYSE:N) guided on its earnings call (transcript) for Q4 revenue of $202M-$205M and EPS of $0.04, below a consensus of $208.3M and $0.06.
- CFO Ron Gill suggested that in addition to forex (a year-long headwind), Q4 sales will be affected by the lack of "a big spike" in professional services revenue similar to what was seen a year earlier, and the fact revenue recognition for a major deal won't occur "for some time yet."
- The cloud business app vendor saw calculated billings rose 36% Y/Y in Q3 to $222M, topping revenue of $192.8M (+34%). That led the deferred revenue balance to rise 39% to $377M, and op. cash flow to grow 69% to $27.5M.
- Shares finished after hours trading down 4.1%.
- Q3 results, PR
Oct. 22, 2015, 4:13 PM
- NetSuite (NYSE:N): Q3 EPS of $0.03 beats by $0.01.
- Revenue of $192.82M (+34.2% Y/Y) misses by $0.57M.
Oct. 21, 2015, 5:35 PM
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Oct. 19, 2015, 11:27 AM
- Arguing the transition to cloud subscriptions will have a larger impact on near-term license/maintenance revenue than previously forecast, Pac Crest's Brendan Barnicle has downgraded Oracle (ORCL -1.9%) to Sector Weight.
- Barnicle's FY16 (ends May '16) revenue and EPS estimates have respectively been cut by $800M and $0.14 to $37.2B and $2.56. Consensus is at $37.8B and $2.62. In September, Oracle guided for 3%-4% FY16 constant currency software/cloud revenue growth, with SaaS/PaaS cloud revenue rising 50% and on-premise software revenue rising 0%-1%.
- JMP downgraded last week on concerns about growing competition from Amazon. Shares are less than $2 away from a 52-week low of $35.14.
- In other news, Oracle says it now has over 1,300 customers (only 300+ in production for now) for its cloud ERP apps. Clients include Athenahealth, Evite, and Irving Materials.
- NetSuite (N +0.7%) is a major player in the SMB cloud ERP software space. Meanwhile, on-premise ERP giant SAP made its core apps available via cloud subscriptions last year. Large enterprises have generally been more cautious about adopting cloud ERP apps than they have been about adopting cloud CRM and HR apps.
Sep. 4, 2015, 9:48 AM
- Raymond James has downgraded NetSuite (NYSE:N) to Underperform. Shares have fallen below $85 for the first time since last October.
- BNP Paribas upgraded NetSuite a week ago. Shares go for 7x 2016E revenue, or perhaps ~6x forward billings.
Jul. 23, 2015, 5:43 PM
- NetSuite (NYSE:N) has used its Q2 earnings call to hike its full-year sales guidance to $735M-$745M from $730M-$743M; consensus is at $739.6M. EPS guidance of $0.21 is slightly below a $0.22 consensus.
- Also: NetSuite has announced COO Jim McGeever is the company's new president, replacing CEO Zach Nelson. McGeever, who will continue reporting to Nelson, is also joining the board. He'll now be in charge of "all customer, vertical, product and human resource activities;" as COO, he was already in charge of sales, service, and support teams.
- The cloud ERP/HR/e-commerce software firm's shares have risen to $95.00 AH.
- Q2 results, PR
Jul. 23, 2015, 4:13 PM
- NetSuite (NYSE:N): Q2 EPS of $0.02 in-line.
- Revenue of $177.28M (+34.5% Y/Y) beats by $5.13M.
Jul. 22, 2015, 5:35 PM
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Jul. 16, 2015, 3:39 PM
- "That's stunningly high," says Van Eck chief municipal strategist Jim Colby, after Chicago priced $1.1B in both taxable and tax-free bonds. The taxable issue maturing in 2042 priced to yield 7.98%, and the tax-free paper maturing in 2039 priced to yield 5.69% - a taxable equivalent yield of 9% (for the highest bracket).
- The debt has been rated BBB+ by Fitch.
- "Chicago is not Detroit," says Colby, who calls this new debt "far and away" the best value of similar credit quality in municipals. He notes the 30-day yield of his Market Vectors High Yield Municipal Index ETF (NYSEARCA:HYD) is just 4.61%.
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Jul. 6, 2015, 10:40 AM
NetSuite Inc is engaged in providing cloud-based financials / Enterprise Resource Planning and omnichannel commerce software suites. It also offers financial management, CRM, Ecommerce, and HCM that enable companies to manage its business operations.
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