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Fri, Feb. 5, 11:01 AM
- A long list of enterprise software and security tech names are off sharply after business intelligence/analytics software upstart Tableau (down 45.3%) reported slower-than-expected license revenue growth and issued below-consensus Q1/2016 guidance.
- Also possibly weighing: LinkedIn (down 39.6%), which derives a large % of its revenue from cloud-based recruiting and sales tools for enterprises, issued weak Q1/2016 guidance.
- Given the magnitude of the drops, margin calls and forced selling by funds could be playing a big role. The Nasdaq is down 2.2%.
- Tableau suggested its growth slowdown has to do with softening IT spend and a need to improve sales productivity, but analysts have raised questions about competition from the likes of Microsoft, Amazon, and Qlik. LinkedIn forecast a growth slowdown for its field sales hiring solutions business, while blaming European/Asian macro pressures. The company also noted its display ad business continues declining amid weak industry growth.
- Major enterprise software decliners include Splunk (SPLK -23.7%), Workday (WDAY -15.1%), Adobe (ADBE -7%), Zendesk (ZEN -15.2%), ServiceNow (NOW -13.6%), NetSuite (N -12.4%), Salesforce (CRM -11.2%), Paycom (PAYC -10.6%), Ellie Mae (ELLI -11.5%), Cornerstone OnDemand (CSOD -7.8%), Veeva (VEEV -7.7%), Ultimate Software (ULTI -9%), Luxoft (LXFT -7.5%), Manhattan Associates (MANH -8.5%), Box (BOX -6.6%), Guidewire (GWRE -13.6%), Demandware (DWRE -9.3%), Hortonworks (HDP -9.7%), and Tableau rival Qlik (QLIK -16.6%). The casualty list includes many cloud software firms, as well as several analytics software plays. Previously covered: New Relic, Atlassian.
- Major decliners among security tech firms: Palo Alto Networks (PANW -12%), FireEye (FEYE -8.9%), Rapid7 (RPD -8.6%), CyberArk (CYBR -8.3%), Proofpoint (PFPT -8%), Imperva (IMPV -8.3%), Fortinet (FTNT -6.9%), and Vasco (VDSI -5.1%). The selloff comes in spite of an FQ3 beat and in-line FQ4 guidance from Symantec, which has been losing share to various upstarts.
Fri, Jan. 29, 4:56 PM
- With shares having gone into earnings just $1.54 above a 52-week low of $64.04, NetSuite (NYSE:N) rallied after beating Q4 estimates and guiding on its earnings call (transcript) for 2016 revenue of $950M-$970M (+28-31% Y/Y) and EPS of $0.40-$0.45 vs. a consensus of $959.5M and $0.35.
- Q1 guidance is light: Revenue of $212M-$214M and EPS of $0.02-$0.03 vs. a consensus of $216.6M and $0.08. NetSuite suggested macro uncertainty affected its guidance.
- Q4 details: Calculated billings (revenue + change in deferred revenue) rose 28% Y/Y in Q4 to $256.8M, above revenue of $206.2M (+31% Y/Y) but reflecting a slowdown in growth from Q3's 36%. CFO Ronald Gill indicated forex had a 200 bps impact on billings growth.
Spending remained aggressive: Sales/marketing spend rose 32% Y/Y to $95.2M, and R&D spend 36% to $28.7M. Average deal size rose 10% Y/Y, and a record number of $1M+ deals were signed.
- Canaccord upgraded NetSuite to Buy today, while maintaining a $100 target. The firm cited strong demand, a favorable valuation, and expected op. margin growth.
- NetSuite's Q4 results, earnings release
Tue, Jan. 26, 8:22 AM
- Cloud ERP/e-commerce software firm NetSuite (NYSE:N), cloud marketing automation software firm Marketo (NASDAQ:MKTO), and cloud HR/payroll software firm Paylocity (NASDAQ:PCTY) have each been downgraded to Underperform by BofA/Merrill ahead of their calendar Q4 reports.
- Separately, Piper's Katherine Egbert has cut her NetSuite target by $6 to $72, while reiterating an Underweight rating. She expects NetSuite to deliver in-line Q4 results when the company reports on Thursday afternoon, with "some potential for upside in 2016 guidance" thanks to the Bronto Software acquisition. "N's premium multiple seems reflective of the unique ownership structure, potential M&A and relatively low float. A multiple closer to the high 20%'s revenue and billings growth rate would make the stock a more compelling buy in our view."
- Paylocity is down 2.3% premarket; NetSuite and Marketo haven't yet moved. Paylocity, which soared post-earnings in November, reports on Feb. 4. Marketo, which briefly dropped post-earnings in October, reports on Feb. 9.
Oct. 23, 2015, 3:07 AM
- In addition to slightly missing Q3 revenue estimates (while slightly beating on EPS), NetSuite (NYSE:N) guided on its earnings call (transcript) for Q4 revenue of $202M-$205M and EPS of $0.04, below a consensus of $208.3M and $0.06.
- CFO Ron Gill suggested that in addition to forex (a year-long headwind), Q4 sales will be affected by the lack of "a big spike" in professional services revenue similar to what was seen a year earlier, and the fact revenue recognition for a major deal won't occur "for some time yet."
- The cloud business app vendor saw calculated billings rose 36% Y/Y in Q3 to $222M, topping revenue of $192.8M (+34%). That led the deferred revenue balance to rise 39% to $377M, and op. cash flow to grow 69% to $27.5M.
- Shares finished after hours trading down 4.1%.
- Q3 results, PR
Sep. 4, 2015, 9:48 AM
- Raymond James has downgraded NetSuite (NYSE:N) to Underperform. Shares have fallen below $85 for the first time since last October.
- BNP Paribas upgraded NetSuite a week ago. Shares go for 7x 2016E revenue, or perhaps ~6x forward billings.
Jul. 23, 2015, 5:43 PM
- NetSuite (NYSE:N) has used its Q2 earnings call to hike its full-year sales guidance to $735M-$745M from $730M-$743M; consensus is at $739.6M. EPS guidance of $0.21 is slightly below a $0.22 consensus.
- Also: NetSuite has announced COO Jim McGeever is the company's new president, replacing CEO Zach Nelson. McGeever, who will continue reporting to Nelson, is also joining the board. He'll now be in charge of "all customer, vertical, product and human resource activities;" as COO, he was already in charge of sales, service, and support teams.
- The cloud ERP/HR/e-commerce software firm's shares have risen to $95.00 AH.
- Q2 results, PR
Jul. 6, 2015, 10:40 AM
May 5, 2015, 3:08 PM
- Bloomberg reports Microsoft (MSFT -1.2%) is "evaluating a bid" for Salesforce (CRM +4.8%) after Salesforce was approached by another potential suitor. Salesforce is reportedly working with two banks to determine a response.
- Bloomberg cautions Microsoft isn't currently in talks with the cloud CRM software giant, whose market cap stands at $49B. There was plenty of speculation Microsoft was the company that (per Bloomberg) recently approached Salesforce. SAP has denied being interested, and Oracle has suggested it isn't. A source says Microsoft has "long expected it might compete for Salesforce if it was for sale."
- Salesforce has jumped on the report. If Microsoft pursues a bid, activist ValueAct Capital (has a board seat) might raise objections.
- The report comes as Microsoft announces a partnership with cloud ERP/HR/e-commerce software vendor NetSuite (N +3%) to integrate NetSuite's apps with Office 365 apps and Azure services, and to make Azure NetSuite's "preferred cloud infrastructure platform." Microsoft struck an Office 365-focused partnership with Salesforce last year. NetSuite has received a lift from Bloomberg's report.
Apr. 29, 2015, 3:02 PM
- After following markets lower most of today, enterprise cloud software vendors have jumped thanks to a Bloomberg report stating cloud CRM software giant Salesforce ($51B market cap) has been approached by a potential buyer, and is working with bankers to field offers.
- Gainers include Workday (WDAY +6%), ServiceNow (NOW +4.3%), NetSuite (N +4.3%), Marketo (MKTO +2.7%), Zendesk (ZEN +1.2%), Cornerstone OnDemand (CSOD +1.6%), Castlight (CSLT +2.4%), and Jive Software (JIVE +1.5%).
- Though the cloud software market has seen plenty of M&A activity, a Salesforce deal would easily be its largest. Workday ($17.5B market cap) is the second-largest enterprise cloud pure-play. ServiceNow ($11.6B) is #3.
Apr. 24, 2015, 6:47 PM
- Though NetSuite (NYSE:N) beat Q1 estimates, it guided on its Q1 CC (transcript) for Q2 revenue of $170M-$172M and EPS of $0.03-$0.04, below a consensus of $172.1M and $0.06. A strong dollar is blamed (26% of Q1 revenue was international).
- Not counting the impact of the Bronto Software acquisition (announced yesterday morning, expected to close in early June), full-year revenue and EPS guidance of $715M-$725M and $0.32 is maintained. Counting Bronto, guidance is now at $730M-$743M and $0.23. Bronto is expected to contribute $40M-$45M to 2016 revenue.
- Calculated billings rose 28% Y/Y in Q1 to $174M, topping revenue of $164.8M. However, growth slowed from Q4's 34%, and was below revenue growth of 34%. NetSuite thinks forex had a 5% impact on billings growth, up from Q4's 2%.
- The deferred revenue balance rose 3% Q/Q and 36% Y/Y to $323.4M. GAAP operating expenses rose 29% Y/Y to $131.4M. A record number of $250K+ deals were struck.
- NetSuite also guided light in January.
- Q1 results, PR
Apr. 17, 2015, 1:46 PM
- Cloud IT service management software leader ServiceNow is down 14.5% after providing soft guidance (thanks in part to forex) to go with a Q1 beat. Many high-beta enterprise tech names are off sharply amid a 1.5% drop for the Nasdaq.
- In addition to Salesforce and Workday (previous), cloud software firms posting big losses include NetSuite (N -4.8%), Constant Contact (CTCT -3.3%), InContact (SAAS -3.9%), Paycom (PAYC -3.6%), Ultimate Software (ULTI -3.6%), and Textura (TXTR -3.7%). NetSuite reports on April 23, Ultimate Software on April 28, Constant Contact on April 30, and Paycom on May 6.
- Big data/analytics software plays have also been hit hard. Tableau (DATA -6.3%), Splunk (SPLK -5.2%), Hortonworks (HDP -6%), and Varonis (VRNS -4.3%) are all off sharply. Though its growth rates and multiples are similar to those of many analytics software firms, ServiceNow generally isn't seen as an analytics play. This morning, D.A. Davidson launched coverage on Tableau and Splunk at Buy, and Hortonworks at Neutral.
- Tableau, which surged yesterday following bullish Stifel and William Blair coverage launches, reports on May 7. Stifel praised Tableau's "superior product performance and simplified user experience," data discovery market lead, international growth potential (less than 25% of license revenue is from outside of North America), and ability to capitalize on "free demo downloads by front-line information workers evangelizing [Tableau's] product." William Blair stated its survey work "indicates that the perceived value of Tableau exceeds that of other self-service [business intelligence] vendors."
- Pac Crest hiked its Splunk target to $82 yesterday after attending a user conference. "[T]he economic value derived from expanding Splunk implementations ... into new areas like security intelligence, compliance and real-time capacity planning results in cost avoidance that can far overshadow the historical pricing objections to Splunk. This is a significant change in customer behavior and pricing perception ... It was clear that the appetite of existing Splunk users to find new use cases remains fierce..."
Mar. 12, 2015, 3:13 PM
- Major tech gainers are about even with major decliners on a day the Nasdaq is up 0.8% (thanks to a broader market rally) in spite of Intel's Q1 warning.
- Notable gainers include 3D printer maker Voxeljet (VJET +5.9%), cloud ERP/HR software provider NetSuite (N +3.7%), flash sales site Zulily (ZU +7.5%), stock photo marketplace Shutterstock (SSTK +6.5%), cloud telecom expense software vendor Tangoe (TNGO +5.6%), It services provider Virtusa (VRTU +4.7%), online video ad platform TubeMogul (TUBE +4%), and online ad campaign software provider Marin (MRIN +4.2%).
- Notable decliners include several Chinese firms. Specifically, search/portal/game provider Sohu (SOHU -5.3%), entertainment/IM/gaming platform YY (YY -4.2%), mobile game publisher Sky-mobi (MOBI -5.8%), and sports lottery site 500.com (WBAI -5.6%).
- Other big decliners include printer maker Lexmark (LXK -2.6%), chip packaging/testing provider ChipMOS (IMOS -4.7%), and smart grid/wind turbine component maker AMSC (AMSC -6.3%).
- Zulily is just a day removed from making fresh lows the wake of last month's Q4 miss and soft guidance. BMO provided an upbeat note on TubeMogul yesterday.
- YY has now more than given back the gains it saw last week following its Q4 beat. ChipMOS posts Q4 results after the close, and is two days removed from reporting its February sales rose 10.5% Y/Y, a slower pace than in recent months (thanks in part to the timing of the Chinese New Year). 500.com recently crashed due to license suspensions, but had bounced from its lows. Lexmark drop comes shortly after HP refreshed its printer lineup.
- Previously covered: Box, Rosetta Stone, CyberArk, Integrated Silicon, Universal Display, Spherix, Synchronoss, Ingram Micro
Feb. 17, 2015, 11:54 AM
Feb. 12, 2015, 2:22 PM
- A slew of enterprise IT names are outperforming after Cisco beat estimates and respectively reported 10%, 8%, and 7% Y/Y growth in enterprise, SMB, and public sector orders. The Nasdaq overall is up 1%.
- Cisco reported particularly strong figures for enterprise-focused business lines: Switching revenue rose 11%, wireless (Wi-Fi-dominated) 18%, collaboration 10%, and data center (UCS servers) 40%. Service provider demand (orders -1%) remained soft.
- Enterprise standouts include EMC (EMC +2.5%), VMware (VMW +2.3%), SAP (SAP +3.1%), Salesforce.com (CRM +3.8%), NetSuite (N +2.6%), Teradata (TDC +4.6%), Splunk (SPLK +2.5%), Varonis (VRNS +3.9%), Gigamon (GIMO +2.8%), and NetScout (NTCT +2.7%).
- EMC's gains comes in spite of rival NetApp's FQ3 miss and soft FQ4 guidance; share loss to EMC, which has been seeing healthy mid-range and scale-out NAS storage growth, could be partly to blame. VMware is adding to the Wednesday gains seen following a Bernstein upgrade.
- Earlier: Telecom/networking stocks rally thanks to Cisco
Jan. 30, 2015, 5:35 PM
Jan. 30, 2015, 11:54 AM
- Salesforce (CRM -2.2%), ServiceNow (NOW -2.2%), Paylocity (PCTY -5.8%), Castlight (CSLT -4.1%), Cornerstone OnDemand (CSOD -3.6%), InContact (SAAS -2.2%), and Zendesk (ZEN -2.1%) are selling off after cloud ERP/HR/e-commerce software vendor NetSuite (N -11.7%) offered light Q1 and 2015 sales guidance to go with a Q4 beat. The Nasdaq is down 0.4%.
- As one would expect, NetSuite states forex has much to do with its guidance. On the CC (transcript), CFO Ronald Gill noted "the weighted average value of the foreign currencies in which we recognize international revenue has fallen more than 8% against the dollar." However, it's worth noting only 27% of NetSuite's Q4 revenue was international.
- NetSuite's Q4 numbers were solid: Subscription/support revenue grew 34%, and billings rose 34% to $201M (well above revenue of $157.9M). 54 customers were added for NetSuite's SuiteCommerce e-commerce software platform - CEO Zach Nelson humbly observes that was more than 3x the 17 customer adds rival Demandware (DWRE -1.6%) reported for Q3 (a seasonally weaker quarter).
- ServiceNow, the top player in the cloud IT service desk software market, provided above-consensus guidance on Wednesday.
NetSuite Inc is engaged in providing cloud-based financials / Enterprise Resource Planning and omnichannel commerce software suites. It also offers financial management, CRM, Ecommerce, and HCM that enable companies to manage its business operations.
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