Thu, Nov. 12, 3:00 PM
- There was a 20% jump in the number of requests for new municipal bond security identifiers, according to the CUSIP Issuance Trends Report - the first increase in five months.
- While the start of Q4 and the beginning of a new fiscal year for many towns explains some of the jump, says CUSIP's Gerald Faulkner, the near-certain closing of ZIRP also plays a role.
- It's a "dash for debt" says S&P Capital IQ's Richard Peterson.
- ETFs: MUB, IIM, NUV, PML, NIO, PZA, LEO, VMO, PMF, NEA, PMX, BFK, EVN, BLE, DSM, KTF, NQU, NXP, VGM, PMM
Wed, Sep. 9, 2:12 PM
- General obligation bonds have been viewed as essentially default-proof forever, but part of Puerto Rico's five-year plan to restructure its $72B in debt includes the Commonwealth's GO paper.
- These bonds were issued with a constitutional promise that the government would pay the debt service ahead of any other bills it has. "Unheard-of" is how the plan is described in a NYT article pondering the spillover effect to other GO debt should Puerto Rico successfully restructure.
- Bond investors will no doubt put up a major fight, and Van Eck strategist Jim Colby expects a constitutional battle. Moody's Ted Hampton agrees, and sees a high probability of a long legal war.
- Source: Barron's
- ETFs: MUB, IIM, NUV, PML, NIO, PZA, LEO, VMO, NEA, PMF, PMX, BFK, EVN, BLE, DSM, KTF, NQU, NXP, VGM, PMM, AFB, MVF, VKI, EIM, NQM, NPM, TFI, OIA, BKN
Thu, Jul. 16, 3:39 PM
- "That's stunningly high," says Van Eck chief municipal strategist Jim Colby, after Chicago priced $1.1B in both taxable and tax-free bonds. The taxable issue maturing in 2042 priced to yield 7.98%, and the tax-free paper maturing in 2039 priced to yield 5.69% - a taxable equivalent yield of 9% (for the highest bracket).
- The debt has been rated BBB+ by Fitch.
- "Chicago is not Detroit," says Colby, who calls this new debt "far and away" the best value of similar credit quality in municipals. He notes the 30-day yield of his Market Vectors High Yield Municipal Index ETF (NYSEARCA:HYD) is just 4.61%.
- ETFs: MUB, IIM, HYD, NUV, PML, NIO, MAV, PZA, LEO, MHI, VMO, NEA, PMF, NMZ, PMX, BFK, EVN, BLE, DSM, KTF, NQU, NXP, VGM, PMM, AFB, VKI, MVF, HYMB, EIM, NQM, NPM, TFI, OIA, BKN, MUA, MEN, PMO, MVT, IQI, MYD, VKQ, NMO, MYI, XMPT, NPI, CMU, MMU, MUE, CXE, EXD, NAD, NMA, BBK, BYM, NPP, NQS, NEV, DMF, MFL, NZF, NVG, NQI, KSM, NPT, MHD, MFM, MUH, NXZ, MQY, SHYD, MFT, MZF, PRB, EIV, BBF, MHF, BAF, EOT, MUS, NUW, NXR, DTF, NPF, MNP, BSD, NXQ, MQT, MYF, DMB, NIM, NMI, CXH, BIE, FMN, PVI, VFL, RVNU, FMB
Jan. 11, 2014, 9:00 AM
- Ranking about dead last a year ago in Barron's handicapping of where to go for yield, municipal bonds climb nearly to the top for 2014. Long-term issues yield 4.5-5%, towering over the 30-year Treasury at 3.8% ... and don't forget the tax exemption. Credit worries are high, but the "real news is that the credit profile of local governments throughout the U.S. will improve as property valuations rise, local sales and income-taxes increase, and major reform of public employee pension plans accelerates," says John Loffredo, co-manager of the MacKay Shields Municipal High Yield Fund.
- A few closed-end funds trading at discounts to NAV: NIO, NVG, BTT, NPM, NRK, MUC, VCV, NEA, NMA, NAD, ETX, BKN
- Muni ETFs: MUB, HYD, BAB, PZA, MUNI, TFI, ITM, MLN, HYMB, CMF, BABZ, BABS, XMPT, SHM, SUB, PRB, SMB, PZT, NYF, CXA, PWZ, PVI, SMMU, MUAF, INY, MUAD, MUAG, MUAE, VRD, MUAC, GMMB, RVNU
- Topping the list are the best performers from last year: dividend stocks. Even after a big rally, plenty of blue chips yield more than the 10-year Treasury and payouts are still low, says S&P's Howard Silverblatt, who sees a double-digit rise in cash payouts this year.
- Dividend ETFs: DVY, IDV, VIG, SDY, VYM, SDIV, HDV, SCHD, DWX, KBWD, PID, DES, DTN, PEY, SPHD, DIV, DHS, DLN, LVL, DTD, DGRW, DON, FDL, FVD, PFM, FGD, NOBL, DOO, DOL, SDYL, DVYL, DEW, IDOG, HGI, DGRS, DNL, DGRE, DVYA, RDIV, QDF, RDVY, QDEF, QDYN, IQDF, EMDG, IQDY, WDIV, IQDE, FIEG
- Near the bottom of the list this year after a big move in 2013 are MLPs, which trade for nearly twice the valuation of utilities and telecom, based on Enterprise Value/EBITDA. Yields are tasty at 5.5%, but many MLPs barely cover their payouts - a contrast to the vast majority of dividend-paying corporations. Stick with MLPs comfortably covering their distributions like EPD and PAA.
- MLP ETFs: AMLP, AMJ, MLPL, YMLP, MLPI, MLPA, MLPN, EMLP, MLPS, MLPG, MLPY, MLPJ, MLPX, AMU, YMLI, ATMP, MLPW, IMLP, ENFR, MLPC
Jun. 27, 2013, 4:51 PMGundlach: Tell us how you really feel, Jeff. "TIPS (TIP) are probably the worst asset class in the U.S. ... I have talked myself blue in the face (previous) trying to get investors not to buy (them)." Given their recent big declines, he doesn't hate them as much as a few weeks ago, but he's still not a buyer. On municipals (MUB), he's a buyer, particularly in closed-end funds who've been doubly whacked thanks to growing discounts to NAV. A sampling of muni CEFs: NIO, NVG, BTT, NPM, NRK, MUC, VCV, NEA. | Jun. 27, 2013, 4:51 PM | 3 Comments
Jun. 26, 2013, 3:34 PMWith today's gain, the iShares AMT-Free Muni Bond ETF (MUB +2.1%) has its biggest two-day rally since the financial crisis. but is still off more than 5% YTD. "We are taking advantage of this very opportunistic time," says Cumberland's David Kotok, reiterating a bullish stance he's had for a couple of weeks. "We see no more attractive alternatives." | Jun. 26, 2013, 3:34 PM | 3 Comments
Jun. 13, 2013, 9:20 AMMunicipals (MUB) are a buy, writes David Kotok, noting an above-4% yield for very high-grade tax-free muni paper - a taxable equivalent yield above 7%. He suggests fixed-income markets (AGG, BND) have overreacted to the poor communication policies of central banks. "We are now lengthening duration ... If the market wants to give us bargains, our job is to take them." Some closed end muni funds at discounts to NAV: NIO, NVG, BTT, NPM, NRK, MUC, VCV, NEA. | Jun. 13, 2013, 9:20 AM | Comment!
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