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NFLX
Netflix, Inc. - NASDAQ

7/10/2014, 3:58 AM ET
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  • Netflix: The Climax Has Been Written And The Denouement Is Inevitable
    Jeffrey Himelson Tue, Jul. 8 32 Comments

    Summary

    • The domestic streaming market is saturating, with q/q subscriber growth decelerating.
    • Goldman Sachs' expectation of NFLX penetrating 30% of a clearly overstated addressable market is not achievable.
    • Fragmented markets and increased competition will prevent it from meeting growth objectives internationally.
  • Netflix: Bullish On The Product, But Valuation Seems Expensive
    Price Point Tue, Jul. 8 27 Comments

    Summary

    • Netflix is expected to grow its subscribers significantly both in the U.S. and internationally.
    • International markets present a significant growth opportunity, which I think the market is under appreciating.
    • Netflix has developed an impressive consumer product over the years and is setting the standards for media delivery.
  • Netflix - No Great Risk-Reward Opportunity After Goldman Fuels Momentum
    The Value Investor Wed, Jul. 2 33 Comments

    Summary

    • Goldman's big upgrade adds to momentum in shares of Netflix.
    • Its assumptions for the medium-to-long term are optimistic but attainable.
    • Still, I believe analysts might be too bullish, as current levels don't offer a great risk-reward entry point, in my opinion.
  • Caveat Emptor On Goldman Sach's Call On Netflix
    Paulo Santos Wed, Jul. 2 48 Comments

    Summary

    • Goldman Sachs has a past with Netflix stock.
    • This part includes upgrades at tops and downgrades at bottoms.
    • Today's call on Netflix needs to be seen in that context.
  • Netflix Has Fundamental Risks
    Stock Traders Daily Tue, Jul. 1 7 Comments

    Summary

    • Investors should recognize the fundamental risks.
    • Traders should embrace the breakout.
    • And neither should be blind to a reversal if it starts.
  • Roller Coaster Ride For Netflix
    Wealth Concepts Mon, Jun. 30 6 Comments

    Summary

    • Netflix has recently seen booming growth in subscribers.
    • Maintaining a 20% growth rate may be necessary to break even.
    • Earnings over the past quarters show an encouraging trend upward.
  • Netflix's Net Margins - A Cause For Concern
    Amit Ghate Mon, Jun. 30 17 Comments

    Summary

    • Netflix puts its non-GAAP metric of "contribution profit" front and center, but investors should key on its actual net profit margins.
    • The declining DVD segment, due to its high margins, has accounted for a significant fraction of NFLX's historic profits.
    • Future margins are unlikely to support today's lofty valuation multiples.
  • Netflix's Stock Valuation - Symptomatic Of Today's Market
    Amit Ghate Thu, Jun. 26 16 Comments

    Summary

    • Extremely optimistic analyst projections are signs of a frothy bull market.
    • A bullish analyst exemplifies this with audacious projections for NFLX's growth rates.
    • A historically-based analysis finds the projections to be overblown by factors of 3+.
  • Netflix Has A Future: Here Are 4 Reasons Why
    Alex Cho Tue, Jun. 24 65 Comments

    Summary

    • Netflix's business model has further room to grow, as market saturation is unlikely based on the number of internet users globally.
    • Netflix’s subscription model is vastly superior to the ad plus free content model.
    • The business already scales very effectively, but I expect profitability to improve once Netflix is able to generate revenues in the range of $20-$40 billion.
    • Netflix’s current content collection already has mass-appeal in foreign markets. Creating comparable content requires massive film budgets, which don’t often occur in foreign markets.
    • Netflix will grow along with other video-on-demand services, and it’s likely that consumers will eventually purchase a bundle of video applications over standard TV channels.
  • What Would Justify Netflix's Current Market Price?
    Trefis Mon, Jun. 23 15 Comments

    Summary

    • Netflix's stock is currently trading at around $440, which is significantly ahead of our price estimate.
    • Netflix needs to grow its global streaming subscriber base to 110 million and increase average monthly revenue per subscriber to $10 over the next six years to justify its market valuation.
    • Netflix also will need to grow margins to around 40% over the course of the next five to six years.
  • Investors Switch To Netflix In Q2 2014
    Don Dion Mon, Jun. 23 11 Comments

    Summary

    • June has been a strong month for many well-known tech stocks, including NFLX, which posted a 30% gain since the start of May.
    • An apparent shift in investors’ risk tolerance after a tough winter has been a boon for the tech investing environment.
    • With new programming scheduled and a strong fundamental foundation, we are positive on NFLX going into Q3 and the rest of 2014.
  • Netflix: 6 Different Insiders Have Sold Shares During The Last 30 Days
    Markus Aarnio Sun, Jun. 22 6 Comments

    Summary

    • 6 insiders sold Netflix stock within one month.
    • The stock was not purchased by any insiders in the month of intensive selling.
    • 4 of these 6 insiders decreased their holdings by more than 10%.
  • Netflix: $35 Billion In Revenue Is Attainable By 2024
    Alex Cho Thu, Jun. 19 62 Comments

    Summary

    • The stock is priced to perfection, and is susceptible to short-term earnings misses and news.
    • Assuming Netflix grows subscribers, and increases pricing, revenue growth will accelerate.
    • Netflix may reach a $140 - $175 billion market capitalization over the next five to ten years.
  • It's Time To Sell The Trading Vehicle That Is Netflix
    Alex Pitti Wed, Jun. 18 14 Comments

    Summary

    • Netflix's long term fundamentals are strong.
    • The company's stock price is very volatile.
    • It is currently overbought and is will correct in the coming weeks.
  • Netflix Has Significant Upside Based On Internet TV And Global Expansion
    BB Research Wed, Jun. 18 26 Comments

    Summary

    • 49% of Netflix's subscribers watch videos on the internet through a connected device, compared to only 8% people who are non-Netflix subscribers.
    • The company has initiated a global expansion strategy with tremendous opportunities to grow in Europe, Asia and Africa.
    • Based on the growth factors mentioned above, we estimate that the stock has more than 50% upside.
  • Game Of Groans: The Netflix Valuation Math
    YCharts Fri, Jun. 13 7 Comments

    Summary

    • One of the cool things about Netflix CEO Reed Hastings’ regular letters to shareholders is his casual discussion of other big players in the television business.
    • Hastings opposes Comcast’s proposed $70 billion acquisition of Time Warner Cable, he explains, because the combination would be too powerful, with dominion over 60% of U.S. households getting broadband.
    • With its 130 million subscribers, HBO, a unit of Time Warner, brought in about $4.9 billion in revenue last year ($38 or so per subscriber based on end-of-year subscriber count).
    • Hastings should want investors making the comparison, so let’s.
  • Netflix: The Low-Hanging Fruit Has Been Picked
    Jason Russ Thu, Jun. 12 26 Comments

    Summary

    • Netflix is spending more cash.
    • The company's gross margins have fallen.
    • Revenue growth is slowing.
  • Netflix: A Temporarily Overvalued Company With Real Potential
    I Know First Research Tue, Jun. 10 20 Comments

    Summary

    • Netflix may be an innovative company with strong growth prospects, but its recent rally has sent its stock price into overvalued territory.
    • Netflix’s international growth prospects have been overweighted, while the potential risks of expansion and various domestic hurdles have been overlooked or marginalized.
    • I Know First’s algorithm forecasts a decrease in Netflix’s stock price in the 14-day and 1-month time horizons.
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Company Description

Netflix, Inc., provides internet television network. The Company has three operating segments: Domestic streaming, International streaming and Domestic DVD.

Sector: Services
Country: United States