NovaGold: The Facts, Please
SomaBull • 26 Comments
SomaBull • 26 Comments
Sell NovaGold: Market Vastly Overvaluing Donlin
Ian Bezek • 27 Comments
Ian Bezek • 27 Comments
Wed, Aug. 24, 2:30 PM
- Shares of gold miners are sharply lower as gold futures fall 1.2% to settle at a one-month low $1,329.70/oz., closing below its 50-day moving average for the first time since June 7.
- The top gold miners ETF (GDX -6.3%) trades well below its 50-day moving average of $29.09 and is on pace for its first four-day losing streak since early November.
- Investors are dialing down bullish bets on gold ahead of Friday's scheduled remarks from Janet Yellen, says Peter Hug, global trading director at Kitco Metals.
- Among top mining stocks: ABX -8.4%, NEM -6.7%, GG -8.7%, KGC -9%, AEM -6.3%, SLW -7.3%, RGLD -7.3%, EGO -7.2%, GFI -5.1%, AUY -8.8%, GOLD -5%, HMY -5.7%, SBGL -4.9%, IAG -8.7%, BTG -6.9%, NG -7.3%, FNV -6%.
- ETFs: GDX, NUGT, GGN, DUST, SIL, GLDX, UGL, DGP, UGLD, GLL, DZZ, SGDM, ASA, SLVP, DGL, RING, DGZ, DGLD, PSAU, TGLDX, UBG, GDXX, GDXS
Tue, Jun. 28, 2:02 PM
Fri, Jun. 24, 9:11 AM
- Gainers: AAU +20%. VGZ +18%. MUX +13%. AKG +12%. GPL +13%. GORO +12%. GFI +12%. EMES +12%. GOLD +12%. AU +12%. SBGL +11%. EXK +11%. KGC +10%. HMY +11%. SAND +10%. ABX +10%. EGO +9%. SA +7%. IAG +9%. AUY +9%. CDE 9%. NGD 9%. AEM 8%. NEM 8%. GG 8%. NG 8%. FSM 7%.
- Losers: LYG -27%. BCS -26%. SAN -24%. RBS -23%. AV -23%. BBVA -22%. DB -18%. ING -18%. BT -18%. VNR -11%. TEF -17%. CS -16%. PUK -15%. MT -15%. AEG -14%. RYAAY -13%. UBS -12%. FCAU -12%. GNCA -12%. NOK -12%. BBL -11%. IPI -11%. TOT -11%. ANFI -11%. MNKD -10%. BCEI -8%. VMEM -10%.
Fri, Jun. 24, 8:48 AM
- While stock futures remain under tremendous pressure following the Brexit vote, gold miner shares are soaring in premarket action, as the added uncertainty in the global economy sparks a surge in gold prices.
- The Gold Miners ETF (NYSEARCA:GDX) +9.5% premarket, putting it on course to open at the highest level since July 2014; among GDX's components, Newmont Mining +7.7% toward a three-year high even though NEM derived 64.1% of its revenue over the last 12 months from the U.K., according to FactSet.
- Among other GDX members, Goldcorp (NYSE:GG) +7.5%, Barrick Gold (NYSE:ABX) +9.6% and Yamana Gold (NYSE:AUY) +7.2%.
- Also premarket: KGC +8.9%, GOLD +11.6%, GFI +11.8%, RGLD +10.6%, HMY +11%, SBGL +12.4%, AEM +8.4%, SLW +5.6%, PAAS +6.1%, EGO +8.3%, NG +8.9%, IAG +8.4%, FNV +5%.
- ETFs: GDX, NUGT, GGN, DUST, SIL, GLDX, SGDM, ASA, SLVP, RING, PSAU, TGLDX, GDXX, GDXS
Mon, Jun. 20, 10:22 AM
- Gold futures -0.8% at ~$1,284/oz. after weekend polls showed a higher likelihood that the U.K. would vote to stay in the European Union.
- “This is a market that’s going to be very emotional this week” ahead of the June 23 referendum, says Peter Hug, global trading director at Kitco Metals, who believes that broader economic concerns and low interest rates will continue to support gold prices regardless of the Brexit outcome.
- Gold has risen 21% YTD amid worries over global growth and as the Fed has pushed back plans to raise short-term interest rates.
- Precious metals miners are among the biggest losers in early trading: ABX -3.8%, GG -2.4%, NEM -2.5%, AEM -1.6%, KGC -4.4%, SLW -1.7%, PAAS -2.7%, RGLD -0.8%, EGO -1.4%, NG -1.6%, GFI -4.8%, AUY -1.4%, IAG -1.8%, FNV -1%, HMY -2.3%, SBGL -2.6%, OTCPK:NCMGY -5%.
- ETFs: GLD, SLV, GDX, NUGT, IAU, AGQ, GGN, DUST, PSLV, SIL, PHYS, USLV, SIVR, SGOL, ZSL, GLDX, UGL, DGP, GTU, UGLD, GLL, DZZ, SLVO, SGDM, GLDI, ASA, DSLV, OUNZ, SLVP, DGL, RING, DBS, DGZ, DGLD, PSAU, TGLDX, GYEN, USV, GEUR, UBG
Fri, Jun. 3, 3:58 PM
- Gold miner stocks are skyrocketing, with the sector enjoying its best day in nearly seven years, as the disappointing May jobs report helped spark a strong rally in the yellow metal.
- The VanEck Vectors Gold Miners ETF (GDX +11.1%) surged more than 10% on heavy volume, and all 24 of the ETF’s U.S. equity components traded higher, with 10 of them enjoying double-digit percentage gains.
- In today's trade: ABX +12.9%, NEM +9.5%, GG +7.7%, AEM +11.1%, OTCPK:NCMGY +10.7%, KGC +15.4%, SLW +9%, FNV +9.1%, RGLD +9.4%, EGO +9.8%, GFI +13.7%, SBGL +8.2%, HMY +13%, IAG +16.4%, AU +14.4%, GOLD +8.6%, AUY +13.9%, NGD +9.6%, HL +12.1%, CDE +11.6%, TAHO +10.8%, NG +12.2%, AG +12.3%, PAAS +8.9%.
- ETFs: GDX, NUGT, GDXJ, GGN, DUST, SIL, JNUG, GLDX, JDST, SGDM, ASA, SLVP, RING, PSAU, SGDJ, TGLDX, GDXX, GDJJ, GDXS, GDJS
Mon, Apr. 11, 12:39 PM
- Gold miners are surging amid higher gold prices and a positive research note from RBC Capital, as the Market Vectors Gold Miners ETF (GDX +4.9%) powers higher with all 39 of its equity components rising.
- Kinross Gold (KGC +6.9%) and AngloGold Ashanti (AU +4.9%) are upgraded to Outperform at RBC, citing valuation amid an increase in the firm's 2016 gold price outlook to $1,250/oz. from $1,150; the firm says KGC's production profile has improved with the 2015 acquisition of mines from Barrick Gold (ABX +5.6%) and the planned Tasiast expansion, while AU represents the most robust opportunity in its South African coverage, supported by a diverse, low cost asset portfolio.
- Goldcorp (GG +3.8%) is sharply higher despite RBC's downgrade to Underperform, as the firm believes shares trade at a significant premium to Tier 1 peers and management needs to re-establish investor confidence in operations and strategy.
- Also: NEM +5.7%, AEM +4.9%, FNV +2.9%, HMY +3.8%, EGO +7.9%, NG +7.6%, HL +4.4%, GFI +3.1%, GOLD +1.7%, SBGL +6%, SLW +4.2%.
- Other ETFs: NUGT, GGN, DUST, SIL, GLDX, SGDM, ASA, SLVP, RING, PSAU, TGLDX, GDXX, GDXS
- Now read Kinross Gold: Analyst estimates following the news on Tasiast mine expansion
Tue, Feb. 16, 3:49 PM
- Gold prices tumbled to their sharpest single-session loss since March 2015, based on most-active contracts, as investors turned more optimistic on the global economy after stock markets rallied and the European Central Bank said it stood ready to boost stimulus measures if needed.
- Adding to gold's decline was a report from Goldman Sachs commodities chief Jeffrey Currie, who said it is time to bet against the traditional safe haven as investor fears are overdone and do not justify the recent rally.
- "On net, fears around China, oil and negative interest rates have likely been overstated in the gold price and other financial markets," Currie says, doubling down on an earlier prediction that gold will slump to $1,100/oz. in three months and $1,000/oz. in 12 months.
- ABX -5.2%, NEM -5.1%, GG -5.5%, AEM -4.1%, SLW -2.9%, KGC -9.5%, NG -5.8%, AU -10.1%, FNV -3.8%, GFI -10.7%, HMY -5.3%, SBGL -11.6%, IAG -10.7%, GOLD -6.5%, EGO -10.5%, AUY -7.1%, HL -7.7%.
- ETFs: GLD, SLV, GDX, NUGT, IAU, AGQ, GGN, CEF, PSLV, DUST, SIL, PHYS, USLV, SIVR, SGOL, ZSL, UGL, GLDX, DGP, GTU, SPPP, GLL, UGLD, DZZ, SLVO, GLDI, SGDM, DSLV, ASA, OUNZ, SLVP, DGL, DBS, GLTR, RING, DGZ, DGLD, DBP, WITE, PSAU, TGLDX, USV, GEUR, GYEN, JJP, UBG, GDXS, GDXX
Thu, Feb. 11, 3:27 PM
- Gold stocks (GDX +7.8%) power higher as April gold futures jumped by $53.20/oz., or +4.5%, to settle at $1,247.80, the highest level since February 2015 and the biggest one-day dollar and percentage gain since September 2013, as investors sought safe-haven assets amid the global equity market rout.
- A growing universe of government bonds with negative yields has helped gold, while a lower U.S. dollar has made it cheaper for buyers in other currencies to purchase gold.
- Investor sentiment “seems to be thawing at the start of 2016, with a focus on gold’s wealth preservation and risk diversification properties,” the World Gold Council says.
- ABX +4.8%, GG +4.4%, AEM +8.7%, SLW +6.3%, KGC +14.2%, NG +6.2%, AU +7.4%, FNV +6.8%, GFI +10.8%, HMY +15.1%, SBGL +16%, IAG +12.3%, GOLD +4%, EGO +14%, AUY +9%, BTG +15.2%, HL +8.8%.
- ETFs: GLD, SLV, NUGT, IAU, AGQ, GGN, PSLV, DUST, SIL, PHYS, USLV, SIVR, SGOL, ZSL, UGL, GLDX, DGP, GTU, GLL, UGLD, DZZ, SLVO, GLDI, SGDM, DSLV, ASA, OUNZ, SLVP, DGL, DBS, RING, DGZ, DGLD, PSAU, TGLDX, USV, GEUR, GYEN, UBG, GDXS, GDXX, QGLDX
Thu, Feb. 11, 9:13 AM
- Gainers: DDD +15%. AG +14%. FSM +13%. TRIP +12%. MUX +11%. AUY +11%. SBGL +11%. GFI +10%. AGI +10%. LC +10%. GG +10%. CDE +9%. EGO +9%. KGC +9%. HMY +9%. IAG +9%. EXPE +8%. ABX +8%. NEM +8%. SLW +8%. SSRI 8%. AU 7%. AEM 7%. HL 7%. NG 7%. CSCO 6%. SKX 5%.
- Losers: FLO -18%. INCY -15%. SFL -13%. MYL -13%. BTU -13%. ZNGA -13%. SNOW -11%. IFF -10%. ELMD -9%. AVP -8%. CS -7%. BCS -7%. SUNE -6%. CIG -5%. TWTR -6%.
Jul. 20, 2015, 10:39 AM
- Several gold miner stocks strike new 52-week lows in early trading, as gold prices plunge below $1,100/oz. overnight and adding pressure to a sector that already faces razor-thin margins.
- Investors have turned sharply negative on gold as the U.S. dollar rises ahead of a likely rise in interest rates, and a report out of China shows lower than expected holdings of the metal.
- While most senior gold miners can generate decent margins at $1,100 gold, many small and mid-tier producers are underwater at the price, and some of the seniors are struggling with heavy debt.
- Hitting new 52-week lows today: ABX -9.3%, GG -7.7%, GFI -10.7%, KGC -9.4%, AGI -6.6%, AU -9.7%, SBGL -7.8%, BTG -9.3%, EGO -2.9%, NGD -8%, AUY -8.8%, RGLD -8.2%, FNV -6.8%, SLW -5%.
- Also lower: NEM -9.4%, AEM -7.9%, NG -7%, GOLD -4.8%, IAG -5.1%, HL -5.4%.
- ETFs: GDX, NUGT, GDXJ, GGN, DUST, SIL, JNUG, GLDX, JDST, SGDM, ASA, SLVP, SILJ, RING, JUNR, PSAU, TGLDX, GDJJ, GDXS, GDXX, GDJS
Jul. 17, 2015, 2:58 PM
- Barrick Gold (ABX -4.9%) sinks to 24-year lows in Toronto trading, leading a rout among bullion miners as the yellow metal extends its selloff to five-year lows.
- ABX is under particular pressure, as the fall in gold casts doubt on the company’s strategy of shedding assets to pay down its $12.9B debt, as it "becomes harder and harder to sell those assets at any kind of reasonable value if metal prices are unwinding," Macquarie analyst Ron Stewart says.
- ABX reportedly is nearing a deal to sell its Zaldivar copper mine in Chile, and is looking for buyers for its 50% stake in its Kalgoorlie mine, among other properties.
- NEM -2.6%, GG -5.7%, GFI -1.1%, KGC -5.2%, AEM -5.1%, NG -2.2%, AGI -6.6%, AU -5.7%, GOLD -2.5%, SBGL -4.2%, BTG -6.4%, IAG -7.6%, EGO -7.6%, HL -3.5%, NGD -8.4%, AUY -2.9%, RGLD -2.9%, FNV -3.6%, SLW -3.3%.
- ETFs: GDX, NUGT, GGN, DUST, SIL, GLDX, SGDM, ASA, SLVP, RING, PSAU, TGLDX, GDXS, GDXX
Jul. 7, 2015, 8:03 PM
- NovaGold (NYSEMKT:NG) slid 8.2% today ahead of a Q2 report where it posted a loss flat from the year-ago quarter, as it pursues permitting for its Donlin Gold project and technical studies on its Galore Creek project (each 50%-owned).
- The company reported cash and term deposits of $134.7M, down from $165.3M on Nov. 30, mainly due to repayment of $15.8M in convertible notes.
- NovaGold says that's sufficient capital to cover its share of funding for its Donlin Gold (Alaska) and Galore Creek (Northern Alberta) projects. It expects to spend $44.8M in 2015, including the $15.8M repayment. Some $30.6M of the planned $44.8M amount was spent by May 31.
- Shares are up 35% from a November's 52-week low, but are down 21.5% over the past month.
- Conference call tomorrow at 11 a.m. ET.
- 10-Q filing
Apr. 6, 2015, 9:18 AM
Mar. 6, 2015, 5:42 PM
Mar. 6, 2015, 2:42 PM
- Precious metals miners are bludgeoned as April Comex gold tumbles 2.7% to $1,164.30/oz. for its lowest settlement of the year so far.
- The culprit was the upbeat February jobs report, which sparked fears that the improving economy will prompt the Fed to hike interest rates sooner rather than later.
- ABX -6%, GG -6.6%, NEM -7.9%, AU -6.1%, AUY -6.6%, KGC -7.8%, SLW -3.4%, GOLD -5.4%, EGO -5%, GFI -7.9%, HL -10.4%, RGLD -8.6%, FNV -3.2%, NG -4.3%, SBGL -6.4%, PAAS -4.3%,BTG -6.5%, IAG -6.2%, AUQ -5.6%, AGI -2.8%.
- Precious metals ETFs: GLD, SLV, AGQ, IAU, USLV, SIVR, SGOL, ZSL, UGL, DGP, GLL, UGLD, DZZ, SLVO, GLDI, DSLV, OUNZ, DGL, DBS, GLTR, DGZ, DGLD, AGOL, DBP, WITE, TBAR, USV, UBG, JJP, BAR, GYEN, GEUR, BARS, RGRP, BLNG
- Precious metals mining ETFs: GDX, NUGT, DUST, SIL, GLDX, SLVP, RING, SGDM, PSAU, GDXX
NovaGold Resources, Inc. engages in the acquisition, exploration and development of metal properties primarily located in Alaska and British Columbia. The company holds interest in Donlin Gold and Galore Creek projects. NovaGold Resources was founded by Gregory S. Johnson, John W. Chisholm,... More
Sector: Basic Materials