Q1 core earnings of $3.5M or $0.24 per share vs. $4.1M and $0.28 in Q4. Dividends of $0.18.
Book value per share of $8.12 drops from $9.58 three months earlier. The current price (after today's 12.5% decline) is $5.39.
Negative economic return for the quarter of 13.4%, or 53% annualized, thanks to losses on the company's portfolio of credit-sensitive assets, and hedge losses exceeding gains on the portfolio of agency MBS.
OAKS took down non-agency MBS exposure to $84.4M by quarter's end from $121.5M at start of quarter.
Annaly Capital (NLY -1.1%) is lower following its agreement to purchase Hatteras Financial (HTS +10.2%) for $1.5B in cash and stock. The other sector giant, American Capital Agency (AGNC -0.1%) is in the red as well - makes sense considering these two players are acquirers (or at least potentially so), not targets.
With the deal, Annaly is adding a portfolio of variable rate mortgages to its books for about 85% of book value.
The rest of the sector has market caps of about $2.5B down to sub-$250M, making them digestible as well.
CYS Investments (CYS +1.3%), American Capital Mortgage (MTGE +1.9%), New York Mortgage (NYMT +2.5%), Anworth Mortgage (ANH +1.2%), Dynex Capital (DX +0.9%), AG Mortgage (MITT +1.2%), Ellington Residential (EARN +1.2%), PennyMac (PMT +1%), Five Oaks (OAKS +1.6%).
It's day two of advances for the mortgage REIT sector (REM +1.6%) after the Fed's dovish turn yesterday. The spread between two-year and ten-year U.S. Treasury yields is up to 102 basis points vs. an eight-year low of 95 bps just over a week ago. That spread, of course, is what mortgage REITs profit from, and bigger is better.
American Capital Agency (AGNC +1.8%), Two Harbors (TWO +2%), CYS Investments (CYS +1.8%), New York Mortgage (NYMT +5.3%), MFA Financial (MFA +1.2%), Dynex (DX +2.4%), Ellington (EARN +1.7%), Five Oaks (OAKS +2.9%)
The mREITs (REM +1.3%) are higher across the board after Apollo Residential Mortgage (AMTG +31.3%) agrees to a sale at a hefty premium to last night's close, but still at a discount to book value.
The entire sector is trading at sizable discounts to book value, with some names at massive discounts. For its part, Apollo Residential yesterday could be purchased for about 60% of its end-of-year book value. And the assets on the books of these companies tend to be highly liquid and easily valued.
Running an mREIT may not be a terribly efficient exercise at the small market caps most of the sector sports. The companies depend on being able to issue stock with which to fund growth, but can't do so (without being wildly dilutive) when the shares are trading at such wide discounts.
Sector giants Annaly Capital (NLY +0.6%) and American Capital Agency (AGNC +1.2%) have market caps above $6B, and Two Harbors (TWO +0.8%), Chimera (CIM +1.1%), CYS Investments (CYS +1%), Invesco (IVR +3.5%), Hatteras (HTS +1.2%), MFA Financial (MFA +1%), and Capstead (CMO +1%) are all near or well over $1B.
Players in Apollo's league (sub-$500M market cap) include New York Mortgage (NYMT +1%), Western Asset (WMC +0.6%), Anworth (ANH +1.3%), Dynex (DX +1.4%), Arlington Asset (AI +4.6%), AG Mortgage (MITT +8.7%), The Ellingtons (EFC +1.9%), (EARN +1.1%), Javelin (JMI +2.8%), Orchid Island (ORC +1.5%), Five Oaks (OAKS +0.7%), ZAIS Financial (ZFC +1.3%)
The discounts to book values across the sector have grown to such high levels that one wonders whether it just makes more sense for many of these players to liquidate the portfolios and return the money to the shareholders.
Sector giants Annaly Capital (NLY -4.9%) and American Capital Agency (AGNC -4.6%) are selling at 30% discounts to their most recent book value.
Armour Residential (ARR -8.3%), Invesco Mortgage (IVR -7%), Hatteras Financial (HTS -5%), New York Mortgage (NYMT -9.5%), Apollo Residential (AMTG -6.4%), AG Mortgage (MITT -7.2%), Anworth (ANH -6.3%), Arlington Asset (AI -8.7%), and Five Oaks (OAKS -8%) are selling at greater than 40% discounts. Two Harbors (TWO -7.5%), CYS Investments (CYS -6.2%), American Capital Mortgage (MTGE -6%), Capstead (CMO -5.9%), Dynex (DX -7.2%), Western Asset (WMC -8%), Ellington Residential (EARN -7.2%), and Orchid Island (ORC -9.6%) are all nearing 40% discounts.
MFA Financial (MFA -6.4%) and Chimera Investment (CIM -8.1%) are both nearing 30% discounts to book.
The best thing that can be said about the market reaction today, is that New Residential (NRZ -0.6%) isn't down as much as the other mortgage-related names (REM -1.8%) which continue to be mercilessly pounded.
PennyMac (PMT -4.5%), Ocwen (OCN -3.7%), Walter Investment (WAC -4.8%), Stonegate (SGM -3.4%), Armour (ARR -3.5%), Invesco (IVR -2.4%), New York Mortgage (NYMT -4.1%), Apollo Residential (AMTG -3.1%), AG Mortgage (MITT -3.4%), Five Oaks (OAKS -6.7%), American Capital (MTGE -2%), Two Harbors (TWO -2.2%), Chimera (CIM -3.4%).
Citi's Michael Kaye - who rates NRZ a Buy - says the repurchase plan makes sense given the stock trades at just 0.84x book and yields 18%. Depending on how the buyback is funded, it could add up to a couple of hundred basis points of accretion. It also sends a signal to the markets about management's belief in the stock's value. Management gave little detail on a timetable.