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May 29, 2015, 6:29 PM
- After tumbling on Wednesday in the wake of its FQ1 beat and in-line guidance, Workday (NYSE:WDAY) has continued trending lower. Shares fell 1.5% in regular trading today, hitting their lowest levels since Feb. 2.
- Though no downgrades have arrived, several sell-side firms have suggested tougher competition is hurting growth, with Oracle's (NYSE:ORCL) cloud HR/HCM software the biggest culprit. Jefferies' John DiFucci: "We believe Oracle (and to a lesser degree, SAP) has been behaving irrationally in the market for almost a year ... while it was likely aggressive prior to this, we believe it became even more aggressive doing almost anything to win deals from Workday."
- DiFucci sees a method to Oracle's madness. "This irrational behavior may not be so irrational since a loss to Workday is not only a loss of an HCM opportunity, but also a loss of Oracle infrastructure given Workday’s proprietary infrastructure architecture." However, he admits Oracle/SAP's HCM offerings (though improving) "still trail Workday by a meaningful margin."
- Likewise, Brean's Sarah Hindlian asserts HCM is "becoming incrementally more competitive, with material new pricing pressure from incumbents, while SaaS penetration of the market is maturing." She also thinks Workday's cloud financials software growth is slower than investors were expecting.
- Cowen's Jesse Hulsing is more positive, even if FQ1 billings were lighter than he forecast. "We are ... encouraged by the trend toward larger, blue chip HCM custs (Coca Cola, etc.) and a more bullish tone regarding the financials pipeline. PT to $101 and view the low $80s as attractive entry point, as we expect growth to improve moving forward."
- During Oracle's March FQ3 CC (transcript), Mark Hurd didn't pass up the chance to trash-talk Workday. "In the context of HCM, I think ... we have simply engineered now a better product than Workday ... we now win more than half the deals in the United States. Outside the United States, our win rate goes up actually exponentially because of the breadth of our distribution in those markets." Workday might beg to differ with those claims.
May 1, 2015, 3:44 AM
- Although declining to comment on whether Oracle (NYSE:ORCL) made an approach for Salesforce.com (NYSE:CRM), Oracle Chief Executive Safra Catz stated her company could benefit if Microsoft or another rival bought the customer relationship management firm.
- "It would cause a lot of disruption in that market and so I would view that as something that would be helpful to us especially in the short or medium term, dependent on who it was," Catz said.
- Oracle has spent more than $60B on more than 100 acquisitions in its 38-year history but is "not known to throw around money," she added.
- Previously: Report: Oracle didn't make a bid for Salesforce (Apr. 29 2015)
- Previously: Salesforce reportedly approached by potential buyer; shares +15.4% (Apr. 29 2015)
Apr. 29, 2015, 10:39 PM
- Following an afternoon Bloomberg report stating Salesforce (NYSE:CRM) has been approached by a potential acquirer, many have speculated archrival Oracle is the suitor. However, BuzzFeed's John Paczkowski (formerly with Re/code) reports Oracle (NYSE:ORCL) hasn't made such a move.
- Outside of Oracle, Microsoft (NASDAQ:MSFT) is the name that has popped up most often. The software giant (closed today with a $399B market cap) is large enough to swallow Salesforce, has relatively limited product overlap - its Dynamics CRM apps compete against Salesforce's apps, but generally with SMBs than enterprises - and has been hungry to grow its cloud exposure. It just set a target of nearly tripling its business cloud service revenue run rate by mid-2018.
- Also: Microsoft and Salesforce struck an Office 365-centered partnership last year. Salesforce CEO Marc Benioff showed up today at Microsoft's BUILD developer conference to trumpet the integration of additional Microsoft and Salesforce apps/services, and made a few tweets about the partnership along the way.
- Salesforce closed up 11.6% today thanks to Bloomberg's report, and then rose 1% in AH trading to $75.41. Many cloud software peers also got a lift.
Apr. 29, 2015, 2:50 PM
- Bloomberg reports Salesforce (CRM) has been approached by a potential acquirer, and is working with bankers to field offers. Shares have soared in response.
- With a current $51B market cap, only a handful of enterprise tech companies could afford to digest Salesforce. The short list includes Oracle ($197B market cap), Microsoft ($400B), IBM ($173B), and just maybe SAP ($94B). Oracle (NYSE:ORCL), which has made plenty of cloud software acquisitions, just launched a $10B debt offering.
- Update: BuzzFeed reports Oracle wasn't the company that approached Salesforce.
Apr. 29, 2015, 9:15 AM
- Looking to take advantage of a still-favorable climate for investment-grade corporate debt, Oracle (NYSE:ORCL) is selling $10B worth of notes broken into tranches respectively due 2022, 2025, 2030, 2035, 2045, and 2055. Their interest rates range from 2.5% for the 2022 notes to 4.375% for the 2055 notes.
- The enterprise software giant says it will use the proceeds for "general corporate purposes, which may include stock repurchases, payment of cash dividends on its common stock and future acquisitions." It has already been spending heavily on buybacks - $2B was spent in the February quarter - and hasn't been shy about making big acquisitions.
- Oracle had $43.8B in cash/short-term investments as of Feb. 28, and $32.3B in debt. Shares are down 0.3% premarket amid lower equity futures.
Apr. 25, 2015, 1:54 PM
- 95% of all Oracle (NYSE:ORCL) products will be available as cloud-based services by the time the company holds this year's Oracle OpenWorld conference in October, says co-CEO Mark Hurd. He asserts 65% of Oracle products are offered via the cloud today.
- Hurd: "We are still investing, very much in our traditional products. But that said, we are moving those products to now be available in the cloud at a really incredible pace ... We are not protecting, so to speak, anything."
- Oracle has rapidly fleshed out its cloud app (SaaS), app platform (PaaS), and infrastructure (IaaS) lineup over the last 3 years through a mixture of acquisitions and internal product launches, with the goal of keeping clients from abandoning Oracle for either the offerings of cloud-focused rivals (e.g. Salesforce, Workday) or those of fellow IT giants making their own large cloud investments (e.g. SAP, Microsoft, IBM).
- Though Oracle faces a tough sell with Internet firms and startups that have eschewed its offerings (often for some mixture of Amazon Web Services, open-source software, and apps from cloud-only upstarts), it's gaining traction within its core enterprise base: The company's SaaS/PaaS revenue rose 30% Y/Y in the February quarter to $372M, and its IaaS revenue rose 28% to $155M. At the same time, traditional software license revenue fell 7% to $1.98B (forex was a headwind).
- In a recent note, D.A. Davidson (Buy, $51 target) reported its research indicates Oracle's SaaS/PaaS offerings "continue to gain customer traction and mindshare, particularly in Europe," where the company faces less competition from upstarts. "Most ... pure play SaaS vendors are in earlier stages of building the distribution and channel partnerships needed to succeed longer term in this geography."
Mar. 30, 2015, 9:35 AM
- Citing optimism about the company's cloud growth and a belief Oracle 12c demand will spark a pickup in database sales, RBC has upgraded Oracle (ORCL +1.3%) to Outperform, and hiked its target by $2 to $50.
- Oracle is coming off a February quarter (FQ3) where its cloud SaaS/PaaS revenue rose 30% Y/Y to $372M and its cloud IaaS revenue 28% to $155M, while its traditional software license revenue (including databases) fell 7% to $1.98B due to the impact of cloud software adoption (Oracle's or otherwise).
- On the FQ3 CC (transcript), Larry Ellison was his usual optimistic self when talking about 12c, its support for multiple database tenants and an in-memory option (meant to counter SAP's Hana) "driving 12c adoption to higher rates than anything we've seen in about – for a very, very long time."
- Previouly: FBR praises Oracle's "one-stop shop" database approach
- Previously: Amazon goes after Oracle with Aurora database
Mar. 17, 2015, 5:31 PM
- With a strong dollar having a big impact on near-term sales (as it is for peers), Oracle (NYSE:ORCL) has once provided all of its guidance (CC webcast) in constant currency.
- In constant currency, the enterprise software giant expects 1%-6% Y/Y FQ4 revenue growth and EPS of $0.90-$0.96; consensus (in actual dollars) is for 0.9% revenue growth and EPS of $0.94.
- Software/cloud revenue is expected to grow 1%-6% in CC; hardware systems guidance is once more at -2% to +8%. SaaS/PaaS growth is expected to be at 26%-30%, and IaaS growth at 29%-33%.
- Co-CEO Safra Catz asserts near-term sales are being impacted by a faster-than-expected transition to cloud subscriptions from up-front licenses. Though hardware system product revenue fell 3% Y/Y thanks to ongoing declines in SPARC/UNIX server sales, engineered systems revenue rose by double digit; Oracle claims it's taking high-end server share from IBM and HP.
- Shares have risen to $44.00 AH. The 52-week high is $46.71.
- FQ3 results, details, PR
Mar. 17, 2015, 4:21 PM
- Oracle (NYSE:ORCL) uses its FQ3 report to state it's hiking its quarterly dividend by $0.03 to $0.15/share; that's good for a 1.4% yield at current levels. The next dividend will be paid on April 28 to shareholders on record as of April 7.
- Software/cloud revenue rose 1% Y/Y in FQ3 to $7.1B, and 7% in constant currency; guidance was for 5%-8% constant currency growth. Hardware system revenue fell 2% to $1.3B, and rose 5% in constant currency; guidance at CC was -2% to +8%.
- Traditional software license revenue (hurt by cloud software adoption) fell 7% to $1.98B, a bigger decline than FQ2's 4%. Cloud app and app platform (SaaS/PaaS) revenue rose 30% to $372M, and cloud infrastructure (IaaS) revenue 28% to $155M. Software license/product support revenue (fairly stable) rose 2% to $4.66B, and other services revenue fell 3% to $858M.
- Cost controls helped EPS meet estimates in spite of the revenue miss: GAAP operating expenses rose 4% to $5.94B. R&D rose 6% to $1.37B, and sales/marketing just 1% to $1.84B; G&A was flat at $252M. Also boosting EPS: $2B was spent on buybacks.
- With forex acting as a headwind, Asia-Pac revenue fell 19% to $1.38B, and EMEA revenue 4% to $2.81B. Americas revenue rose 4% to $5.13B.
- ORCL +0.9% AH to $43.25. CC at 5PM, guidance will be provided.
- FQ3 results, PR
Mar. 17, 2015, 4:02 PM
- Oracle (NYSE:ORCL): FQ3 EPS of $0.68 in-line.
- Revenue of $9.32B (flat Y/Y) misses by $140M.
- Shares -1.9%.
Mar. 16, 2015, 5:35 PM
Mar. 7, 2015, 3:26 PM
- With Intel's (NASDAQ:INTC) Grantley Xeon CPU launch and Web data center investments offsetting weak high-end server demand, IDC estimates global server revenue rose 1.9% Y/Y in Q4 to $14.5B, and Gartner estimates it rose 2.2% to $14B; those figures compares with Q3 growth estimates of 4.8% and 1.7%, respectively.
- Likewise, IDC estimates global enterprise storage revenue rose 7.2% Y/Y in Q4, aided by Web investments and healthy demand for mid-range systems featuring integrated flash. Q3 growth was pegged at 5.1%.
- IBM had a rough time its both the server and storage markets: IDC believes its storage share fell to 9% (tied for #3) from 12.7% a year earlier, and Gartner estimates its server revenue fell 14% if one excludes Big Blue's x86 server unit, which was just sold to Lenovo. After accounting for the x86 sale, IDC estimates IBM's server share was at 13.7% (#3) vs. 26.8% a year ago.
- HP (NYSE:HPQ) fared a little better: IDC has its server share falling fractionally to 26.8% (still #1 overall), and its storage share falling to 13.8% (#2) from 14.1%. The company's x86 server unit has been gaining ground against IBM's former business, but its high-end server sales remain weak.
- Cisco's (NASDAQ:CSCO) UCS server line (recently refreshed) continues to gain ground: Its share rose to 5.3% (#5) from 4.5%, with full-year revenue pegged at $2.9B. With the help of aggressive pricing and x86 growth, Dell's server share rose to 16.7% (#2) from 15.2%, while its storage share slipped to 9% (tied for #3) from 9.2%. Lenovo (OTCPK:LNVGY) claimed a 7.6% server share (#4) thanks to the IBM deal, kicking Oracle (NYSE:ORCL) out of the top-5 along the way.
- EMC, whose high-end storage sales have been pressured (mid-range/flash demand has been better), saw its storage share drop to 22.2% (still #1) from 23.1%. NetApp (NASDAQ:NTAP), which posted an FQ3 miss and light guidance last month amid tough mid-range competition from EMC and others, saw its share drop to 7.2% (#5) from 8%.
- Not surprisingly, the white-label hardware beloved by Google, Facebook, Amazon, etc. continued to take share. IDC estimates such hardware, referred to as ODM Direct, claimed server and storage shares of 8.2% and 12.8% vs. 6.4% and 9.9% a year ago.
- Sales of x86 servers, the lion's share of which run on Intel CPUs, rose 7.1% to $11.5B. Sales of non-x86 servers fell 14% to $3B, thanks to declining demand for both mainframes and UNIX servers running proprietary RISC CPUs. "Early-stage revenue" was seen for ARM (NASDAQ:ARMH) servers, largely via HP's Moonshot line.
- Other companies with strong server and/or storage exposure: STX, WDC, SMCI, MLNX, AVGO, QLGC, RHT
Feb. 11, 2015, 2:43 PM
- "While it is still early days in the cloud, our discussions in the field point to Oracle's (ORCL -1.7%) ability to provide a comprehensive cloud foundation as a key determinant for customers signing on the dotted line, and we believe this ‘one-stop shop' approach will continue to support healthy cloud revenue growth," writes FBR's Daniel Ives in a recent note, reiterating an Outperform and $48 target.
- Ives adds recent checks leave him "incrementally positive as data points indicate deal momentum so far in F3Q15 (February) has slightly picked up" for cloud sales, in spite of forex headwinds.
- Oracle's various cloud software, app platform, and infrastructure offerings collectively saw 45% Y/Y revenue growth in the November quarter, helping offset a 4% drop in traditional software license sales (still a much larger business, especially after related license update/product support revenue is factored).
- The software giant is counting on its soup-to-nuts cloud approach to fend off established/still-rapidly-growing cloud software giants such as Salesforce and Workday, as well as a slew of startups and the cloud efforts of SAP, Microsoft, and IBM. Oracle recently struck a deal to buy ad data provider Datalogix (for a reported $1.2B+) to further its cloud marketing/analytics efforts.
Jan. 6, 2015, 9:50 AM
- Stating its latest CIO survey indicated Oracle's (ORCL +0.8%) cloud businesses are likely to benefit from higher IT spending, Piper has upgraded the enterprise software giant to Overweight, and hiked its target by $5 to $49.
- Oracle's SaaS/PaaS/IaaS revenue rose 45% Y/Y in the November quarter to $516M. However, traditional license revenue fell 4% to $2.05B, thanks to the adoption of cloud services (both Oracle's and those of third parties) and the reliance of many Web/cloud service providers on non-Oracle databases.
- Not counting forex pressures, Oracle has guided for 30%-35% Feb. quarter SaaS/Paas growth, 29%-33% IaaS growth, and 5%-8% total software/cloud growth.
Dec. 22, 2014, 9:27 AM
- Oracle (NYSE:ORCL) is buying Datalogix, a top provider of data used to link online ad campaigns with offline purchases. Terms are undisclosed, but the price is likely substantial - Datalogix has raised over $85M over its lifetime, and was reportedly weighing an IPO earlier this year.
- Datalogix's audience analysis solutions provide anonymized demographic data about the consumers targeted through an online ad campaign, and its campaign analysis solutions provide data about the offline purchases yielded by online ads (still more an art than a science).
- Google, Facebook, and Twitter are among the online ad giants to have hired Datalogix. Its 650+ customers also include 82 of the top 100 U.S. advertisers, such as Ford and Kraft.
- The acquisition follows Oracle's purchases of cloud marketing data management platform BlueKai, cloud marketing automation software vendors Eloqua and Responsys, and cloud social media marketing tool providers Vitrue and Collective Intellect.
- Like Salesforce, Adobe, and IBM, Oracle is trying to provide a broad set of online/mobile ad tools for marketers, as more and more ad spend shifts to digital channels and CMOs direct a larger portion of corporate IT spend.
- Datalogix rival Acxiom (NASDAQ:ACXM) is up 0.7% premarket.
Dec. 18, 2014, 2:04 PM
- With the help of stronger-than-expected hardware sales, Oracle (ORCL +9.2%) beat FQ2 estimates in spite of a 400 bps forex headwind (twice what was originally expected). FQ3 guidance was conservative after taking forex pressures into account.
- The numbers have been good enough for Oracle to surge to new highs and receive a slew of target hikes, and to lead many enterprise tech names to outperform amid a big market rally. The Nasdaq is up 1.9%.
- Microsoft (MSFT +3.2%), Cisco (CSCO +2.3%), EMC (EMC +3.7%), VMware (VMW +5.1%), and beaten-down IBM (IBM +2.8%) are among the enterprise tech names outperforming today. Others: SPLK +4.6%. CA +3.5%. RHT +3.4%. VRNS +6.3%. PCTY +5.8%. JIVE +4.6%. VMEM +5.2%. SAAS +4.7%. BRCD +3.8%.
- Oracle's healthy cloud software numbers are drawing attention: While traditional software license revenue fell 4% Y/Y, its SaaS/PaaS revenue rose 41%. SaaS/PaaS bookings totaled $170M, and are expected to be "well over" $1B in FY16 (ends May '16). Fusion cloud app bookings rose over 100%.
- On the CC (transcript), Oracle performed its customary trash-talking of cloud app rivals. "We are clearly growing faster than Salesforce (CRM +4%) and were more than three times the size of Workday (WDAY +3.2%)." Both firms are posting solid gains.
- Oracle's numbers come as Bloomberg reports the Chinese government is looking to "purge most foreign technology from banks, the military, state-owned enterprises and key government agencies by 2020." IBM, Cisco, and other U.S. firms have already seen their Chinese sales fall sharply following last year's NSA spying uproar.
Oracle Corporation develops, manufactures, markets, hosts and supports database and middleware software, application software, cloud infrastructure, hardware system including computer server, storage and networking products and related services.
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