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Wed, Feb. 3, 10:25 AM
- This just in: The financial sector is having a worse go it this year than energy, with the XLF lower by 13.6% YTD vs. the XLE's 9% decline.
- Leading a big reversal from this morning higher open is the XLF's 2% decline. The S&P 500 is now off 1%, and the XLE "just" 0.85%.
- Among the issues for the financials are two items: 1) Hopes for a sustained rate hike cycle have been dashed, with the 10-year yield tumbling all the way to 1.82% currently from about 2.30% when the Fed hiked in mid-December. Fed speakers are all-of-a-sudden sounding very dovish (Dudley is the latest), and short-term rate futures are now pricing in just a 50% chance of even one Fed rate increase this year; 2) For lenders specifically, there's worry over their exposure to the crashing energy sector. No doubt better capitalized today than 10 years ago, losses are still losses even if they don't threaten the viability of the bank.
- JPMorgan (JPM -2.6%), Wells Fargo (WFC -3.6%), Morgan Stanley (MS -3.5%), KeyCorp (KEY -3.1%), PNC Financial (PNC -2%), Comerica (CMA -2.7%), Schwab (SCHW -3.8%), MetLife (MET -2.5%)
- ETFs: XLF, FAS, FAZ, UYG, KRE, VFH, KBE, IYF, BTO, IAT, SEF, IYG, FXO, FNCL, KBWB, FINU, QABA, KRU, KBWR, RWW, RYF, PSCF, FINZ, KRS, XLFS
Dec. 16, 2015, 3:04 PM
- Wells Fargo's quick post-FOMC boost in its prime rate while leaving the deposit rate unchanged makes clear why bank bulls have been banking on a higher Fed Funds rate - higher net interest margins.
- U.S. Bancorp (USB +1.3%) has quickly followed suit.
- Owing to the glut of deposits, it could be several quarters before lenders begin raising rates for savers, reminds CNBC's Kayla Tausche.
- The XLF is higher by 1.5%.
- Individual names: Bank of America (BAC +1.6%), JPMorgan (JPM +2%), PNC Financial (PNC +2.1%), First Niagara (FNFG +2.1%), Regions Financial (RF +1.2%), Schwab (SCHW +1.5%), MetLife (MET +2.1%), Prudential (PRU +1%).
- ETFs: XLF, FAS, FAZ, UYG, KRE, VFH, KBE, IYF, BTO, IAT, SEF, IYG, FXO, FNCL, KBWB, FINU, QABA, KRU, KBWR, RWW, RYF, FINZ, KRS, XLFS
- Previously: Fed officially puts an end to ZIRP (Dec. 16)
- Previously: Yellen: Factors holding down inflation to fade (Dec. 16)
Nov. 6, 2015, 10:04 AM
- The major averages are lower following the blowout jobs number, but the financial sector (XLF +1%) is charging ahead, enthused at what appears to finally be the near-certain prospect of higher interest rates.
- Short-term interest rate futures are pricing in about a 75% chance of a rate hike next month, and the 10-year Treasury yield is up nine basis points to 2.32%. The two-year yield has soared all the way to 0.90% - its highest level in more than five years.
- The green in this yield-starved sector is everywhere: Bank of America (BAC +3.5%), Citigroup (C +3.4%), U.S. Bancorp (USB +2.8%), Regions Financial (RF +3.7%), PNC Financial (PNC +2.4%), Capital One (COF +1.4%), Bank of New York Mellon (BK +1.9%), E*Trade (ETFC +3.5%), Schwab (SCHW +5.1%), Interactive Brokers (IBKR +3.4%), MetLife (MET +3.2%), Prudential (PRU +3.6%).
- Previously: Big beat on jobs number (Nov. 6)
- Previously: December rate hike back on after big jobs number (Nov. 6)
- ETFs: XLF, FAS, FAZ, UYG, KRE, VFH, KBE, IYF, BTO, KIE, IAT, SEF, IYG, IAK, FXO, FNCL, KBWB, QABA, FINU, KRU, KBWR, RWW, RYF, KBWP, KBWI, FINZ, KRS, XLFS
Sep. 2, 2015, 9:45 AM
- PNC Financial (NYSE:PNC) is lower by about 12% since early August - more than surrendering its gain for the year. The move is enough for KBW, which upgrades to Market Perform from Underperform. The $101 price target remains the same.
- PNC's 1.6% gain today is inline with that of the regional bank sector.
Jun. 9, 2015, 2:45 PM
- Yield-starved financial sector names were mercilessly punished to start 2015 as sharply falling interest rates in January again disappointed investors waiting for the return of some spread income.
- The rout in bond prices since, alongside what now seems the near-certainty of the beginning of Fed rate hikes in as soon as three months has helped turn things around, and the sector - as measured by the Financial Select SPDR (NYSEARCA:XLF) - is now in the green for the year, and trails the S&P 500 by just about 150 basis points.
- Among the notable movers today as the 10-year yield rises to another 2015 high: Bank of America (BAC +1.4%), Wells Fargo (WFC +1.2%), U.S. Bancorp (USB +1.4%), Regions Financial (RF +1.3%), Huntington Bancshares (HBAN +1.6%), KeyCorp (KEY +1.6%), PNC Financial (PNC +1.3%), M&T (MTB +1.1%), Bank of Hawaii (BOH +1.6%), First Horizon (FHN +1.2%), Lincoln National (LNC +1.1%), E*Trade (ETFC +0.9%)
- ETFs: XLF, FAS, FAZ, UYG, KRE, VFH, KBE, IYF, BTO, IAT, SEF, IYG, FXO, FNCL, KBWB, FINU, QABA, KRU, KBWR, RWW, RYF, PSCF, FINZ, KRS
Jun. 5, 2015, 10:27 AM
- This morning's strong nonfarm payroll report may put to rest the idea of a continuing economic slowdown and puts on the table a rate hike maybe as soon as September.
- The 10-year Treasury yield is up nine basis points to 2.40%.
- The KRE +1.5%, KBE +1.6%, and the XLF +1.1% amid a flat S&P 500.
- Regional banks: Regions Financial (RF +3.3%), KeyCorp (KEY +2.5%), PNC Financial (PNC +1.9%), SunTrust (STI +2.3%), U.S. Bancorp (USB +2.2%), Zions (ZION +3.7%), First Niagara (FNFG +1.4%)
- Too Big Too Fails: Citigroup (C +2.2%), Bank of America (BAC +3.4%), JPMorgan (JPM +2.2%), Wells Fargo (WFC +1.9%)
- Life insurers: MetLife (MET +2.7%), Prudential (PRU +2.8%), Sun Life (SLF +1.9%), Lincoln Financial (LNC +2.5%)
- Online brokerage: Schwab (SCHW +3.8%), TD Ameritrade (AMTD +2.8%), E*Trade (ETFC +2.3%), Interactive Brokers (IBKR +2.5%)
- Previously: Jobs up 280K in May; UE rate ticks higher (June 5)
- Previously: Treasury yields surge amid strong job gains, boosted wage growth (June 5)
- ETFs: XLF, FAS, FAZ, UYG, KRE, VFH, KBE, IYF, BTO, IAT, SEF, IYG, FXO, FNCL, KBWB, QABA, FINU, KBWR, KRU, RWW, RYF, FINZ, KRS
Mar. 18, 2015, 2:41 PM
- The Dow and S&P 500 have each turned more than 1% higher following after the Fed cuts its projections for GDP growth, inflation, and the pace of rate hikes, but the country's yield-starved lenders don't join the party.
- The KBE is down 0.5% and the KRE by 0.9%.
- Bank of America (BAC -0.2%), Citigroup (C +0.1%), Regions Financial (RF -1.1%), KeyCorp (KEY -0.9%), First Niagara (FNFG -1.6%), U.S. Bancorp (USB +0.1%), PNC Financial (PNC +0.3%).
- Others gasping for a yield above zero: Schwab (SCHW -1.5%), E*Trade (ETFC +0.1%), Ameritrade (AMTD -0.5%).
- Previously: FOMC drops "patient," but sends dovish signal (March 18)
- Previously: Stocks stage sharp turnaround, yields dive following dovish Fed news (March 18)
- ETFs: XLF, FAS, FAZ, UYG, KRE, VFH, KBE, IYF, IAT, SEF, IYG, FXO, FNCL, KBWB, QABA, FINU, KRU, RWW, KBWR, RYF, FINZ, KRS
Feb. 18, 2015, 2:49 PM
- The financial sector had begun to turn around a dismal start to the year as February brought forth a string of hawkish Fed heads suggesting a June rate hike, but the XLF is lower by 0.8% after just-released FOMC minutes suggest markets and the hawks are getting ahead of themselves. KBE -1.7%, KRE -2%
- The TBTFs: BofA (BAC -2.2%), JPMorgan (JPM -1.4%), Wells Fargo (WFC -1.6%), Ciitgroup (C -0.8%)
- The regionals: Regions Financial (RF -1.6%), KeyCorp (KEY -1.6%), PNC Financial (PNC -1.3%), BB&T (BBT -1.5%), Fifth Third (FITB -1.6%), SunTrust (STI -1.7%), First Niagara (FNFG -2.1%), M&T (MTB -1.9%), U.S. Bancorp (USB -1.3%), First Horizon (FHN -2.7%).
- Online brokerage: Schwab (SCHW -2.3%), E*Trade (ETFC -1.7%), Ameritrade (AMTD -1.1%), Interactive Brokers (IBKR -0.9%).
- Previously: FOMC minutes: June rate hike not a slam dunk yet (Feb. 18)
- ETFs: XLF, FAS, FAZ, UYG, KRE, VFH, KBE, IYF, IAT, IAI, SEF, IYG, FXO, FNCL, KBWB, QABA, FINU, KCE, KRU, RWW, KBWR, RYF, KBWC, FINZ, KRS
Feb. 6, 2015, 9:50 AM
- Financials have been mercilessly pounded in 2015 as hopes for higher interest rates looked like they might be dashed yet again, but today's blowout jobs number - firmly putting a June rate hike on the table - has brought in the dip-buyers.
- The major averages are flat, but the XLF is up 1.4%. The Regional Bank ETF (KRE +2%) and the Bank ETF (KBE +2.1%) are doing even better.
- Among the yield-starved banking names: Bank of America (BAC +3.1%), JPMorgan (JPM +2.6%), Citigroup (C +2%), Regions Financial (RF +4%), KeyCorp (KEY +3%), PNC Financial (PNC +2.9%), SunTrust (STI +2.3%), Zions (ZION +3.6%), Synovus (SNV +2.3%).
- Insurers: MetLife (MET +2%), Prudential (PRU +3.2%), Lincoln National (LNC +4.6%). AIG (AIG +1.5%).
- Trust banks: BNY Mellon (BK +2.7%) State Street (STT +1.9%), Northern Trust (NTRS +2.3%).
- Online brokers (currently getting killed on money-market fee rebates): Schwab (SCHW +4.5%), TD Ameritrade (AMTD +3.5%), E*Trade (ETFC +2.1%).
- ETFs: XLF, FAS, FAZ, UYG, KRE, VFH, KBE, IYF, KIE, IAT, IAI, SEF, IYG, IAK, FXO, FNCL, KBWB, QABA, FINU, KRU, RWW, KBWR, RYF, KBWP, KBWI, PSCF, FINZ, KRS
Jan. 22, 2015, 12:35 PM
- Mercilessly sold since the year turned, banks are putting in a rare session of outperformance, helped along by some earnings beats from regional lenders and the return of animal spirits in M&A with RBC's purchase of City National (CYN +18.6%) for $5.4B.
- The XLF +1.4% vs. the S&P's 0.6% gain today, and the regional bank ETF (NYSEARCA:KRE) is higher by 3.1%.
- Among today's reporters putting in big gains are KeyCorp (KEY +5.5%), BB&T (BBT +2.4%), and Huntington Bancshares (HBAN +2.6%), though Flagstar Bancorp (FBC -4.8%) missed estimates.
- Others: Regions Financial (RF +3.9%), PNC Financial (PNC +1.6%), Synovus (SNV +3.2%), M&T Bank (MTB +3%), Hudson City (HCBK +3.1%), First Horizon (FHN +2.7%), and First Republic (FRC +4.9%).
- ETFs: XLF, FAS, FAZ, UYG, KRE, VFH, KBE, IYF, IAT, IAI, SEF, IYG, FXO, FNCL, KBWB, QABA, FINU, KRU, RWW, KBWR, RYF, PSCF, FINZ, KRS
- Among the TBTFs, Citigroup (C +2.7%) and Bank of America (BAC +2.5%) are leading the way.
Oct. 2, 2014, 10:35 AM
- An outlier to the downside among Canadian lenders is Scotiabank (BNS -1.6%) as TD Securities pulls its Buy rating, the stock in the last two months giving up all and more of its gains this year.
- Another sizable bank downgraded today is PNC Financial (PNC -0.8%), with Jefferies citing valuation as it cuts to a Hold.
Sep. 18, 2014, 12:53 PM
- Banks, insurers, brokerages and anything else starved for yield continue to gain following yesterday's FOMC news. Among the gainers are Bank of America (BAC +1.9%) - which breaks above $17 for the first time since April - Citigroup (C +2.7%), Wells Fargo (WFC +1.1%), PNC (PNC +1.1%), Fifth Third (FITB +1.7%), SunTrust (STI +1.2%), Schwab (SCHW +2.3%), Prudential (PRU +2.5%), and Lincoln National (LNC +2.4%).
- The XLF +1.2%, KBE +1.5%, and KRE +2%.
- Financial sector ETFs: XLF, FAS, FAZ, UYG, KRE, VFH, KBE, IYF, IAT, SEF, IYG, FXO, KBWB, FNCL, RKH, QABA, FINU, KRU, KBWR, RWW, RYF, KRS, FINZ
- Lit up bright red is the utility sector (XLU -1%), led by Southern Company (SO -1.1%), Dominion Resources (D -1.2%), Duke Energy (DUK -1.4%), and Pinnacle West (PNW -1.9%).
- Utility ETFs: XLU, IDU, VPU, UPW, RYU, FUTY, PUI, FXU, SDP, PSCU
Jul. 16, 2014, 9:46 AM
- Net interest income of $2.129B falls 6% Y/Y, with NIM slipping a whopping 46 basis points from a year ago and 14 bps from Q1.
- Noninterest income of $1.681B falls 7% Y/Y, with increases in about all categories offset by a lower gain on sale from Visa shares.
- Noninterest expense of $2.328B falls 3% Y/Y
- 2.6M shares repurchased during quarter.
- Common equity Tier 1 capital ratio of 11%, up from 10.8% at end of Q1.
- PNC -4%
- Previously: PNC Financial beats by $0.07, revenues in line
May 21, 2014, 2:33 PM
- The latest issue for the crusader from the NY Dept. of Financial Services is a Reuters report on Ocwen Financial (OCN -2.5%) - along with banks like PNC Financial, and Bank of America (BAC) - routinely demand homeowners promise to say bad things about them publicly in exchange for mortgage modifications.
- "Deeply troubling and offensive," Lawsky tells Reuters, promising an investigation.
- A PNC spokesperson: "These clauses are part of the consideration we receive for agreeing to settle the case. This helps to ensure that the discussion is not re-opened in public after the case has been settled."
- "When [we] take a closer look at some of these non-bank servicers, we find corners being cut, to the disadvantage of homeowners," said Lawsky in a speech yesterday, in which he makes clear his serious issues with the business models of companies like Ocwen (and affiliates like ASPS), Nationstar Mortgage (NSM -0.7%), and Walter Investment (WAC -2.4%).
Apr. 23, 2014, 2:45 PM
- BNY Mellon (BK +2.1%) has hired Goldman Sachs to find a buyer for the unit, reports Bloomberg, and is expected to begin receiving offers in about a month. The corporate trust arm assists companies with making payments on debt they issue as well as helping customers recover funds in event of default.
- The business services about $12T in outstanding debt, with 3.5K employees at 61 global offices, but has become less lucrative since the financial crisis made the packaging and selling of loans a more difficult business. Possible buyers could be large commercial banks looking to build out their own trust business such as Bank of America (BAC), U.S. Bancorp (USB), Wells Fargo (WFC), or PNC Financial, says Guggenheim's Marty Mosby.
- On a recent earnings call, BNY management said run-off in the unit would cut annual revenue by $50M-$75M annually, roughly 0.5% of total bank revenue.
Apr. 16, 2014, 7:38 AM
- Net income of $1.1B of $1.82 per share compares to $995M or $1.74 per share one year ago.
- Net interest income of $2.2B fell 8% Y/Y with NIM of 3.26% falling 55 bps thanks to lower interest-earnings asset yields and the decline in purchase accounting accretion. Noninterest income of $1.6B gained 1% Y/Y, with residential mortgage income of $161M falling 31%, but asset management income of $364M up 18%.
- Noninterest expense of $2.2B fell 4% Y/Y thanks to personnel cuts.
- Tier 1 capital ratio of 9.7% compares to 9.4% at the end of 2013 and 8% one year ago. Tangible book value per share of $56.33 is up from $54.57 at the end of 2013 and $50.30 one year ago.
- CC at 10 ET
- PNC +2% premarket
PNC Financial Services Group Inc is a financial services company. It operates in six segments: Retail Banking; Corporate & Institutional Banking; Asset Management Group; Residential Mortgage Banking; BlackRock; and Non-Strategic Assets Portfolio.
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