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PowerShares Dynamic Semiconductors Portfolio ETF (PSI)

  • Dec. 17, 2013, 2:57 PM
    • Avago (AVGO +7.6%) is now up 18% (good for a $2.1B increase in market cap) since announcing a $6.6B deal to acquire LSI yesterday morning. Many of its chip industry peers have also rallied; the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index (SOXX +1.2%) is up 2.5% over the last two days.
    • The sharply contrasting nature of Avago and LSI's product lines - Avago depends heavily on RF and optical component sales, while LSI depends on storage controllers/adapters and network processors - could be fueling hopes other chipmakers will use M&A to expand their product lines and achieve greater scale.
    • Today's notable gainers include EZchip (EZCH +6.7%), OmniVision (OVTI +3.6%), Skyworks (SWKS +3%), Cavium (CAVM +3%), Audience (ADNC +5.8%), Cirrus Logic (CRUS +3.4%), and Semtech (SMTC +3%). Cirrus and OmniVision, which both depend heavily on Apple orders, might also be getting a boost from a positive Q4 pre-announcement from Germany's Dialog Semi (gets ~70% of its sales from Apple).
    • Several firms have hiked their Avago PTs in response to the LSI deal, which is set to be financed with $4.6B in debt and a $1B convertible note investment from Silver Lake (conversion price of just $48.04). Nomura expects the deal to lift Avago's 2015 EPS by $1.00-$1.50; Avago is promising $200M/year in synergies by the end of FY15 (ends Nov. '15). RBC thinks FY15 EPS of ~$5 is possible; the consensus is at $3.89.
    | Dec. 17, 2013, 2:57 PM | Comment!
  • Dec. 12, 2013, 2:58 PM
    • TSMC (TSM -1.8%), estimated to have ~50% of the global chip foundry services market, thinks the market's growth will slow to 9% in 2014 from 11% in 2013. At the same time, the company thinks total chip industry growth will increase to 5% from 2013's 4%. Trade association WSTS has forecast 4.4% 2013 growth and 4.1% 2014 growth.
    • Foundries have been steadily growing their share of chip industry output for years, as the exorbitant cost of building new fabs leads more and more chipmakers to outsource manufacturing. But with dozens of major chipmakers already fully relying on foundries, the market could be hard-pressed to significantly outpace broader industry growth going forward.
    • Other foundries: UMC, SMI, TSEM
    | Dec. 12, 2013, 2:58 PM | Comment!
  • Oct. 23, 2013, 10:19 AM
    | Oct. 23, 2013, 10:19 AM | 12 Comments
  • Oct. 18, 2013, 12:35 PM
    • Wells Fargo's David Wong has cut his rating for the semiconductor industry to Market Perform, citing Intel and TSMC's (TSM +1.6%) Q4 guidance, and downbeat commentary from tech companies about electronics demand. That, along with an adverse reaction to AMD's Q3 numbers and Q4 guidance, is leading chip stocks to underperform (SOXX -0.2%) on a day when Internet stocks are flying higher thanks to Google.
    • Intel's guidance for seasonally strong Q4 implies only a 2% Q/Q sales increase at the midpoint. TSMC, which delivered its Q3 results yesterday, is guiding for Q4 revenue to fall to NT$144B-$147B ($4.9B-$5B) from Q3's NT$162.58B ($5.53B).
    • Though Q4 tends to be seasonally weak for foundries, TSMC did partly attribute its guidance to customer inventory adjustments and softening high-end mobile device demand.
    • Wong's downgrade is accompanied by ratings cuts for analog chipmakers International Rectifier and Monolithic Power. It comes two weeks after trade association SIA reported global chip sales rose 6.4% Y/Y in August; that was the fastest growth rate posted since March '11.
    | Oct. 18, 2013, 12:35 PM | 1 Comment
  • Oct. 4, 2013, 6:25 PM
    • Trade association SIA estimates global chip sales rose 1.3% M/M and 6.4% Y/Y in August, the Y/Y figure represents not only an improvement from July's 5.1%, but the highest growth rate seen since March '11.
    • While strong memory chip sales (aided by mobile demand and favorable pricing) naturally contributed to the growth, SIA says demand for non-memory products also rose. The growth comes in spite of soft demand for PCs, home electronics, and servers.
    • Earlier: Micron, SanDisk, mobile chipmakers rally following Samsung forecast
    | Oct. 4, 2013, 6:25 PM | Comment!
  • Jul. 8, 2013, 1:24 PM
    Chip stocks underperform (SOXX -1.8%) thanks to an Intel downgrade, negative PC commentary, and worries about Samsung's light profit forecast. Citi's Glen Yeung, who just cut his Intel estimates and pulled Qualcomm (QCOM -1.7%) from his firm's Top Picks Live list, notes smartphone penetration in developed markets (where high-end sales are concentrated) has hit 75%, and frets about a "lack of new, innovative features" in high-end phones. SWKS -3.4%. MRVL -2.9%. SMTC -3%. AVGO -3.1%. ADNC -4.3%. SNDK -2.4%. TQNT -2.4%. ATML -2.5%. TSM -3.2%. Chip ETFs: SMH, XSD, PSI, SOXL, USD, SOXS, SSG. (SIA sales data)
    | Jul. 8, 2013, 1:24 PM | 3 Comments
  • Jul. 1, 2013, 6:46 PM
    Global chip sales rose 3.4% M/M in May, per the SIA's latest data. On a 3-month rolling average basis, they rose 4.6% M/M but just 1.3% Y/Y. Analysts are generally pleased. Though Evercore still expects a weak 2H, JPMorgan (6% 2013 growth forecast) notes sales are picking up following a weak Q1; Wedbush thinks both the data and its own checks suggest a chip recovery "continues at a healthy and steady pace;" and Wells Fargo (8%-10% 2013 forecast) likes the fact IC sales rose 6% Y/Y. Wells adds the ratio of chip equipment sales to IC sales remains low at 14%, which suggests equipment orders will eventually pick up. Chip equipment makers: AMAT, KLAC, LRCX, ASML, UTEK, RTEC. (Gartner)
    | Jul. 1, 2013, 6:46 PM | Comment!
  • Jun. 4, 2013, 12:05 PM
    Chip stocks outperform (SOXX +1.4%) after Microchip raises its June quarter guidance, and STMicroelectronics raises its 2013 guidance. Microchip rivals Texas Instruments (TXN +2.6%), Atmel (ATML +3.4%), and Freescale (FSL +2.1%) are among the winners, as is STMicroelectronics rival NXP (NXPI +3.6%). Also, Altera (ALTR +2.5%) is rallying with the help of an upgrade to Buy from Argus, and Intersil (ISIL +2.4%) is benefiting from a bullish coverage launch from Piper. Some chip ETFs: SMH, XSD, PSI, SOXL, USD, SOXS, SSG.
    | Jun. 4, 2013, 12:05 PM | Comment!
  • May 30, 2013, 4:02 PM
    Chip stocks close with solid gains (SOXX +1.5%) after Avago beats April quarter estimates and makes encouraging comments about mobile, industrial, and enterprise networking demand. In addition to Avago's rivals and Cirrus Logic (previous), big winners include Fairchild (FCS +3.8%), SanDisk (SNDK +2.7%), Spreadtrum (SPRD +7.2%), and InvenSense (INVN +4.9%), as well as touchscreen controller suppliers Synaptics (SYNA +4.3%), Atmel (ATML +6.3%), and Cypress (CY +2.8%).
    | May 30, 2013, 4:02 PM | Comment!
  • May 6, 2013, 2:05 PM
    Global chip sales rose 0.9% Y/Y in March, the SIA estimates. That's down slightly from Feb.'s 1.4% Y/Y growth, as PC and (to a lesser extent) IT hardware weakness offset smartphone/tablet strength. Sales were also up 0.9% Y/Y for the whole of Q1.
    | May 6, 2013, 2:05 PM | Comment!
  • Apr. 25, 2013, 8:28 PM
    Samsung Electronics (SSNLF.PK) says its Q1 profit rose 42% to a record high on strong smartphone sales. Net profit rose to a record KRW7.15T ($6.4B), up from KRW5.05T a year earlier. Operating profit rose 54% to KRW8.8T from KRW5.7T. Sales rose 16.8% to KRW52.9T from KRW45.3T, coming in in line with the company's guidance of KRW51T to KRW53T. The results stand in stark contrast those of Apple (AAPL), which earlier this week reported its first profit drop in a decade and forecast margins to decline in the current quarter ending in June.
    | Apr. 25, 2013, 8:28 PM | 95 Comments
  • Apr. 24, 2013, 12:28 PM
    Are wireless chip stocks decoupling from Apple? Even with Apple off slightly as bleak June quarter guidance outweighs fresh capital returns, iPhone/iPad combo chip supplier Broadcom (BRCM +6.6%) is surging thanks to a Q1 beat and strong Q2 guidance, and is helping out some peers - QCOM +1.4%, SWKS +2.6%, INVN +1.8%, SNDK +1%. During its earnings call, Broadcom, which also provides combo chips for many Samsung phones, stated mobile chip sales only fell 1.6% Q/Q in seasonally weak Q1, and forecast sequential growth for the business (Apple-dependent Cirrus Logic sure isn't doing the same). Qualcomm reports after the close.
    | Apr. 24, 2013, 12:28 PM | 4 Comments
  • Apr. 17, 2013, 12:26 PM
    Chip stocks have a rough day (SOXX -2.8%) following Cirrus Logic's warning, light guidance from Linear Technology (LLTC -4.6%) to go with a Q1 beat - Linear sees 1%-4% Q/Q revenue growth for calendar Q2, below a 4.7% consensus - and ho-hum Q1 results/Q2 guidance from Intel. Apple suppliers Broadcom (BRCM -4%), Avago (AVGO -5.5%), STMicroelectronics (STM -6.7%), NXP (NXPI -7%), RF Micro (RFMD -2.8%), and OmniVision (OVTI -3.3%) are among the casualties, but they're far from alone. ANAD -6.2%. STM -5.7%. FSL -5%. ADI -4.5%. TXN -4.4%.
    | Apr. 17, 2013, 12:26 PM | Comment!
  • Apr. 11, 2013, 5:48 PM
    "The move to digital audio/video and the rise of powerful smartphones/tablets is shrinking the overall [semiconductor addressable market]," writes Barclays' Blayne Curtis in a gloomy note about chip stocks influenced by ugly Q1 PC data. "The growth profile in semis is much slower than many expect (low single digits vs. the 7-8% 20yr trend line)." Curtis has cut Broadcom (BRCM) by two notches to Underweight on a belief its combo chip business could be hurt by integrated platforms (ed: Broadcom seems to have a tech edge for now), but has left his other ratings intact.
    | Apr. 11, 2013, 5:48 PM | Comment!
  • Apr. 3, 2013, 8:00 AM
    Something for the technicians to have a look at is this chart from ukarlewitz noting small-caps (IWM) have joined the industrials (XLI) and semiconductors (SMH) in slipping below their long-term uptrend line. Oversold in an uptrend tends to get bought, he says. It's a key time.
    | Apr. 3, 2013, 8:00 AM | 3 Comments
  • Apr. 1, 2013, 11:42 AM
    Chip stocks underperform (SOXX -1.5%) after the SIA reports industry sales fell 8.9% M/M and 3.8% Y/Y in February. Bernstein points out the M/M drop is much worse than a 3.4% historical average. Microprocessor sales are estimated to have fallen 14% M/M, but the fact Intel (INTC -2%) and AMD (AMD -1.2%) no longer provide data to the SIA affects the reliability of that number. Memory sales (inc. DRAM and NAND) grew thanks to both higher bit shipments and prices.
    | Apr. 1, 2013, 11:42 AM | 1 Comment
PSI Description
The PowerShares Dynamic Semiconductors Portfolio (Fund) is based on the Dynamic Semiconductors Intellidex Index (Index). The Fund will normally invest at least 90% of its total assets in common stocks that comprise the Index. The Index is designed to provide capital appreciation by thoroughly evaluating companies based on a variety of investment merit criteria, including fundamental growth, stock valuation, investment timeliness and risk factors.
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Sector: Technology
Country: United States
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