Wed, Aug. 26, 4:21 PM
- The Nasdaq has closed its latest ultra-volatile day up 4.2%. Chip stocks, hit hard in recent weeks amid China/inventory concerns, were among the standouts (SOXX +5%) during the rally: Big gainers included Nvidia (NVDA +7.5%), Skyworks (SWKS +6.9%), Qorvo (QRVO +5.9%), Xilinx (XLNX +6.3%), Analog Devices (ADI +7.1%), Linear (LLTC +6.1%), SanDisk (SNDK +7.4%), ON Semi (ON +6.2%), and Cavium (CAVM +5.6%).
- Cybersecurity plays and various other enterprise tech names also did well. Standouts included HP (HPQ +5.5%), Palo Alto Networks (PANW +6%), Rackspace (RAX +9.8%), Red Hat (RHT +5.9%), KEYW (KEYW +8.1%), Brocade (BRCD +5.6%), ShoreTel (SHOR +5.7%), Violin Memory (VMEM +14.7%), and Rapid7 (RPD +7.2%).
- In addition to HP, tech large-caps turning in big gains included Apple (AAPL +5.7%) Microsoft (MSFT +5.5%), Google (GOOG +7.7%), and Intel (INTC +5.5%). Google benefited from a Goldman upgrade.
- KEYW announced a CEO change yesterday afternoon. HP and Brocade are adding to last week's post-earnings gains. Skyworks/Qorvo peer Avago has posted an FQ3 beat after the close.
Tue, Aug. 18, 2:23 PM
- Having already felt the effects of a string of downbeat earnings reports, chip stocks are underperforming today amid a 0.5% drop for the Nasdaq. The Philadelphia Semi Index (SOXX -1.7%) is near its 2015 lows, and now down 9% YTD. Fresh Chinese macro fears - the Shanghai and Shenzhen exchanges both fell sharply overnight - could be playing a role.
- Micron (MU -4.9%), 4 days removed from hosting its analyst day and 1 day removed from seeing a slew of analysts respond, is among the names down strongly. BofA/Merrill downgraded NAND flash rival SanDisk and NAND controller vendor Silicon Motion to Underperform this morning, which citing Micron and SK Hynix's capex plans - Hynix says it's thinking of spending $39B on fab investments.
- Other major decliners that are tied to the industry include Skyworks (SWKS -5.3%), Qorvo (QRVO -3.6%), IDT (IDTI -6.3%), AppliedMicro (AMCC -4.3%), ChipMOS (IMOS -4.3%), Rambus (RMBS -3.8%), Silicon Labs (SLAB -3.1%), Semtech (SMTC -3.5%), MagnaChip (MX -4.4%), and Amkor (AMKR -3.6%).
- Needless to say, multiples for many hard-hit names have come down considerably over the last two months.
- Chips ETFs: SMH, XSD, PSI, SOXL, USD, SOXS, SSG
Tue, Aug. 4, 2:33 PM
- Apple is down 2.6% on strong volume (adding to recent post-earnings declines), and a slew of iPhone/iPad chip suppliers are also seeing major losses today. The Nasdaq is down just 0.3%, while the Philadelphia Semi Index is down 1.5%.
- RF chipmakers Skyworks (SWKS -5.4%), Qorvo (QRVO -3.8%), and Avago (AVGO -3%) are among the decliners, as are audio codec supplier Cirrus Logic (CRUS -5.5%), motion sensor supplier InvenSense (INVN -5.7%), NFC/motion co-processor supplier NXP (NXPI -3.3%), and LCD driver supplier Synaptics (SYNA -3.8%). The selloff has occurred in the absence of major news
- NXP merger partner Freescale (FSL -2.8%) is also off, as is chip packaging/testing firm Amkor (AMKR -4.2%), which has strong iPhone exposure. Earlier today, the EC announced NXP has offered concessions to win regulatory approval for the Freescale deal, which has a review deadline of Sep. 4. NXP has already agreed to sell its base station power amplifier unit for $1.8B to appease regulators.
- InvenSense reports after the close. The other aforementioned names have already posted their calendar Q2 results.
Thu, Jul. 30, 9:12 AM
- Gainers: UNXL +33%. UNIS +22%. MEET +18%. GEVO +17%. SHOP +15%. OTEX +15%. WWE +15%. SGYP +13%. SKX +12%. MWW +9%. HBP +8%. HOLX +8%. WDC +8%. APD +6%.
- Losers: PRSN -35%. LNCO -21%. LINE -19%. FMI -18%. SSYS -18%. ITG -14%. FOE -13%. WFM -12%. QRVO -12%. OSK -11%. LOCK -11%. DDD -9%. MNKD -7%. NCR -6%. GNCA -6%. FMS -5%. MPC -5%. CROX -5%.
Wed, Jul. 29, 8:48 PM
- Discussing its light FQ2 guidance on its earnings call, Qorvo (NASDAQ:QRVO) mentioned it has seen "seen a slowing among handset customers in China," and that certain Chinese customers "have a few weeks of excess inventory to work on." The Chinese smartphone market saw a rough start to the year; bulls have been hoping for a 2H15 pickup.
- Qorvo also noted weak Chinese 4G infrastructure demand has affected base station-related sales. Various other chipmakers have reported seeing the same trend.
- CEO Bob Bruggeworth promises new integrated offerings enabled by the RF Micro/TriQuint merger will help drive long-term growth. "These new Qorvo solutions, which include receive diversity modules, Wi-Fi Integrated Front End Modules, and SOI infrastructure switches, are expected to contribute meaningfully to revenue next calendar year."
- Shares fell to $59.89 in AH trading. Qorvo rival Skyworks provided stronger calendar Q3 guidance last Thursday.
- FQ1 results/FQ2 guidance, PR
Wed, Jul. 29, 5:41 PM
Wed, Jul. 29, 4:04 PM
Thu, Jul. 23, 5:00 PM
- In addition to beating FQ3 estimates, Skyworks (NASDAQ:SWKS) is guiding for FQ4 revenue of $875M and EPS of $1.51, above a consensus of $863M and $1.42.
- FQ3 gross margin was 49%, +150 bps Q/Q and +360 bps Y/Y, and above guidance of 48%. FQ4 GM guidance is at 50%. GAAP operating expenses rose 16% Y/Y to $134.3M - $76.8M was spent on R&D and $48.6M on SG&A. Skyworks ended FQ3 with $1.11B in cash, and no debt.
- New design wins during the quarter include SkyOne Mini (RF front-end, aimed at cheaper phones) and diversity module wins for a ZTE 4G platform, antenna switch and connectivity module wins at Xiaomi, Zigbee analog front-end for Home Depot smart lighting products, and connectivity ICs for set-tops deployed by Liberty Global.
- Shares have risen to $107.01 AH. Qorvo (NASDAQ:QRVO), which reports on July 29, is up 1.5% to $76.38.
- Skyworks' FQ3 results, PR
- Earlier: Micron, RF chipmakers gain as Cirrus/SanDisk soar post-earnings
Thu, Jul. 23, 1:40 PM
- Micron (MU +3.7%), Skyworks (SWKS +3.2%), Qorvo (QRVO +1.2%), and Avago (AVGO +1.9%) are recovering some of the Wednesday losses seen in response to Apple's FQ3 iPhone sales print and FQ4 guidance. The Nasdaq is down 0.4%.
- The gains come after Apple-dependent Cirrus Logic (CRUS +19.8%) beat FQ1 estimates and provided strong FQ2 guidance, and beaten-down NAND flash giant SanDisk (SNDK +17.5%) delivered a Q2 beat and offered (better than feared) in-line guidance. Micron received 35% of its May quarter revenue from NAND.
- The numbers are overshadowing Qualcomm's soft FQ4 guidance, blamed to a large extent on iPhone share gains and the lack of a Galaxy S6 app processor design win.
- Stifel's Tore Svanberg has upgraded Cirrus to Buy, while asserting the audio codec developer is "entering a significant product cycle over the next 12-24 months." He's upbeat about the launch of 55nm codecs (expected to provide cost savings), and sees evidence of further traction with top Android OEMs.
- Oppenheimer (Perform rating) estimates Cirrus will (thanks to a smart codec design win) get over $3+ per iPhone 6S unit compared with ~$2.15 per iPhone 6, and notes another smart codec win with a top-tier OEM will ramp over the next 2 quarters. Apple was 62% of FQ1 revenue vs. 65% in FQ4; Samsung (lifted by a Galaxy S6 win) was 18%.
- BofA/Merrill has upgraded SanDisk to Buy. Pac Crest's Monica Garg (Outperform) notes Q2 retail and enterprise sales were both better than expected, as was an ASP decline of 6%. She's also pleased a client SSD delayed by qualification issues will begin shipping in Q4, and asserts SanDisk has both the best planar NAND technology and the industry's first 48-layer 3D NAND chips. Bernstein is also upbeat.
- Skyworks reports after the bell. Various analysts have defended Skyworks, Avago, and Qorvo following Apple's numbers, asserting 4G growth/greater RF complexity remains a tailwind. Oppenheimer estimates Skyworks will see a "15%-20% content boost" with the iPhone 6S, and Avago a more modest gain.
- Prior Cirrus coverage. Prior SanDisk coverage.
Tue, Jul. 21, 5:40 PM
Tue, Jul. 21, 5:10 PM
- Apple beat FQ3 estimates, but reported slightly below-consensus iPhone unit sales of 47.5M. In addition, FQ4 revenue guidance of $49B-$51B was below a $51.1B consensus. iPhone revenue was up 59% Y/Y, while iPad revenue fell 23%.
- iPhone/iPad chip suppliers are selling off in response. Cirrus Logic (NASDAQ:CRUS) -5.6% AH. Skyworks (NASDAQ:SWKS) -6.8%. Qorvo (NASDAQ:QRVO) -6.4%. Avago (NASDAQ:AVGO) -3.8%. Broadcom (BRCM - merging with Avago) -1.3%. InvenSense (NYSE:INVN) -4%. NXP (NASDAQ:NXPI) -3.4%.
Wed, Jul. 8, 11:37 AM
- Chip stocks are underperforming as the Nasdaq registers a 1.2% decline. The Philadelphia Semi Index (SOXX -2.6%) is now down 13% from a June 1 peak of $101.80, and 4% YTD; it's still up 87% from a Nov. 2012 low of $47.58.
- Plunging Chinese equity markets could be weighing on the group. With retail Chinese investors having set up brokerage accounts en masse over the last year, there are plenty of concerns about the reverse wealth effect of a crash. The Economist reccently downplayed those worries, noting a relatively modest 15% of Chinese household assets are invested in stocks.
- Major decliners among chip developers include Skyworks (SWKS -4.9%), Qorvo (QRVO -5.6%), InvenSense (INVN -5.6%), NXP (NXPI -4.7%), Freescale (FSL -4%), MoSys (MOSY -9.4%), AppliedMicro (AMCC -5.1%), Cavium (CAVM -3.8%), and Silicon Motion (SIMO -6.4%). SIMO also fell yesterday after favorably adjusting its Q2 sales guidance. Skyworks and Qorvo sold off yesterday morning before rebounding in afternoon trading.
- Other names tied to the industry that are seeing heavy selling pressure include ARM (ARMH -4%), TowerJazz (TSEM -5.1%), UMC (UMC -4.4%), Veeco (VECO -4.3%), and Axcelis (ACLS -4.6%).
- Chip ETFs: SMH, XSD, PSI, SOXL, USD, SOXS, SSG
Tue, Jul. 7, 1:10 PM
- RF chipmakers Skyworks (SWKS -3.8%), Qorvo (QRVO -4.1%), and Avago (AVGO -3.2%) are posting 3%+ declines on what's proving a rough day for many high-beta tech stocks.
- With Chinese equities plunging, Skyworks, Qorvo, and Avago's Chinese exposure could be contributing to their selloff. The Nasdaq is down 0.7%, and the Philadelphia Semi Index 1.7%.
- Avago's decline comes as Oppenheimer's Rick Schafer downgrades merger partner Broadcom (BRCM -2%) to Market Perform. Curiously, he also declares Avago (along with Skyworks) to be a top wireless chip pick.
- Schafer: "Rising RF complexity (and content) remains one of our favorite thematic plays heading into 2H15 ... We see incremental RF content opportunities for both Avago and Skyworks on the forthcoming iPhone 6S ... Skyworks further benefits from 50 percent plus 4G reference design share with China's major baseband suppliers."
- Broadcom shareholders are set to receive either $54.50/share in cash, 0.4378 Avago shares for each Broadcom share, or some combination thereof, with the cash portion of the deal totaling $17B. Broadcom currently trades 7% below the cash payout price, and (based on Avago's current trading levels) 11% below an equity payout price of $56.87.
Fri, Jun. 26, 2:48 PM
- Chip stocks are seeing outsized losses (SOXX -2.6%) amid a 0.8% drop for the Nasdaq following DRAM/NAND flash giant Micron's FQ3 miss and weak FQ4 guidance - the numbers were blamed on a mixture of soft PC demand, associated DRAM price pressure, and a manufacturing process transition. Some analysts have argued Micron's issues are at least partly company-specific and/or that PC and DRAM demand will improve in 2H15.
- The Philadelphia Semi Index is now down 7% from a June 1 peak of $101.80. It's still up 2% YTD, and (thanks partly to an industry M&A wave) roughly 2x from its fall 2012 lows.
- In addition to PC-exposed Intel and AMD, chip stocks sporting large declines include Qorvo (QRVO -4.9%), Sigma Designs (SIGM -5.7%), MoSys (MOSY -7.9%), Anadigics (ANAD -10.8%), Silicon Motion (SIMO -6.5%), Inphi (IPHI -5.3%), PMC-Sierra (PMCS -3.8%), ON Semi (ON -4.2%), AppliedMicro (AMCC -3.7%), and Vimicro (VIMC -5.3%).
- Chip ETFs: SMH, XSD, PSI, SOXL, USD, SOXS, SSG
Tue, Jun. 9, 6:27 PM
Wed, May 27, 3:00 PM
- Chip stocks are posting outsized gains (SOXX +4%) amid a 1.3% increase for the Nasdaq after the WSJ reported Avago and Broadcom are in advanced merger talks, sparking hopes for further M&A.
- A Broadcom/Avago deal would be worth ~$67B at current valuations, easily making it the largest in the chip industry's breathless consolidation wave. It would also touch markets ranging from smartphones to set-tops to servers to switches/routers.
- Notable gainers include Avago RF chip peers Skyworks (SWKS +4.3%), Qorvo (QRVO +3.2%), and Anadigics (ANAD +4.9%). Others include Micron (MU +3.8%), SanDisk (SNDK +4.3%), NXP (NXPI +3.5%), Silicon Motion (SIMO +8.3%), Cirrus Logic (CRUS +4.8%), STMicroelectronics, (STM +3.4%), Synaptics (SYNA +3.4%), Atmel (ATML +2.8%), Cavium (CAVM +4.5%), Intersil (ISIL +4.6%), Semtech (SMTC +3.9%), ON Semi (ON +3.8%), Microsemi (MSCC +4.4%), and IDT (IDTI +4.2%).
- Non-chipmakers tied to the industry are also doing well. Standouts include ARM (ARMH +4.4%), Amkor (AMKR +4.6%), ASML (ASML +3.1%), and Rambus (RMBS +3.3%).
- Chip ETFs: SMH, XSD, PSI, SOXL, USD, SOXS, SSG
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