Thu, Aug. 25, 12:27 PM
- Transocean (RIG +1.4%) is upgraded to Neutral from Sell with an $11 price target at Citigroup, which says RIG has exceeded expectations for cost reductions while the backlog remains superior to peers.
- Citi says that while RIG's EBITDA should steadily decline, the company does not face an EBITDA cliff unlike some peers, and the company also was able to issue debt which has lowered bond yields.
- Among offshore drillers, Citi rates Ensco (ESV +0.1%), Diamond Offshore Drilling (DO +0.1%), Noble Corp. (NE -0.6%), Atwood Oceanics (ATW -1.4%), Rowan (RDC -0.6%) and RIG at Neutral, while Pacific Drilling (PACD -2.7%) remains rated a Sell.
Fri, Aug. 12, 5:30 PM
- It's still too early to get involved in offshore drillers, RBC analysts say as they expect the group to continue to underperform through 2017 with the supply overhang requiring years to balance out.
- The firm says drillers will need to continue the current pace of rig retirements and retire an additional ~110 rigs by 2020 to balance the market, another 70 retirements are still needed to balance the floater market, and the jackup market will need ~40 additional retirements over the next four years to reach mid-cycle equilibrium by 2020.
- RBC cuts its price targets for Transocean (NYSE:RIG) to $11 from $14, Diamond Offshore (NYSE:DO) to $23 to $29, Atwood Oceanics (NYSE:ATW) to $11 from $14, Rowan (NYSE:RDC) to $16 from $22, and Noble Corp. (NYSE:NE) to $8 from $11.
Tue, Aug. 2, 1:42 PM
- After adjusting for the Relentless termination fee, Rowan (RDC -8.2%) missed revenue estimates, according to Citi's Scott Gruber. While the stock is "cash flow king" among the offshore drillers and has one of the highest quality fleets, its backlog is quickly fading and the Cobalt contract remains a concern. The risk/reward "is still not appealing," he says, keeping the rating at Neutral.
- Adjusted for items, Atwood Oceanics beat wasn't quite as impressive as the headline suggests, according to Credit Suisse's Gregory Lewis. While it was a good quarter, he sees "clouds gathering." Finding work in the oversupplied Gulf of Mexico will be challenging, says Lewis, and the Condor contract is up in Q4.
- Transocean (RIG -3.2%) continues to sell off following its deal to buy Transocean Partners (RIGP -2.8%), but earnings are due tomorrow. RBC's Kurt Hallead sees EPS of $0.04 vs. consensus of $0.00, but revenue of $896M falling short of the Street at $923M.
- Also at work ... the price of oil is down 1.7%, and has again slipped below $40.
- Source: Ben Levisohn in Barron's
Tue, Aug. 2, 7:04 AM
Mon, Aug. 1, 5:30 PM
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Wed, Jul. 27, 5:57 PM
- Offshore drilling stocks were slammed today as crude oil prices fell to three month lows, but Atwood Oceanics (NYSE:ATW) took the worst beating, -8.6% following its latest fleet status update.
- The contract for the Atwood Osprey rig, which had been expected to start working for Woodside Energy until January 2017 at a $450K dayrate, was extended but at a new rate of $190K; also, no contracts were announced for two uncontracted, newbuild drillships despite talk of a potential Brazil agreement in the works.
- Also in today's trade: RIG -4.1%, DO -3.1%, RDC -4.6%, ESV -4.7%, SDRL -0.6%, NE -3%.
Fri, Jul. 22, 2:23 PM
- Transocean (RIG -5.5%) falls more than 5% after its latest fleet status report showed it stacked an additional six rigs, taking its total number of currently stacked rigs to 28, with reduced dayrates for others.
- RIG says it won a two-year contract for one of its semi-submersibles to operate off India for ONGC at a $127K dayrate, and a newbuild ultra-deepwater rig started operations on a 10-year contract in the Gulf of Mexico at a $498K dayrate.
- Following the report, RBC's Kurt Hallead says RIG shares have limited upside until the market gains more confidence in the supply and demand outlook for floating rigs in 2017-18. Currently, fundamentals continue to weaken for floating rigs, and it remains unclear where dayrates and utilization may bottom.
- Offshore drillers are broadly lower: RIGP -1%, DO -1.5%, ESV -4.2%, RDC -5%, SDRL -1.6%, NE -4.8%, ATW -3.6%, PACD -3.8%.
Tue, Jul. 12, 11:30 AM
- Six oil services stocks - Flotek Industries (NYSE:FTK), Schlumberger (SLB +4.4%), Halliburton (HAL +4%), Oceaneering (OII +6%), Superior Energy Services (SPN +5.5%) and Rowan (RDC +8.1%) - should do well regardless of the price of oil, Stephens analyst Matthew Marietta says.
- The past 18 months have proven that trying to predict specific commodity prices is a guessing game, Marietta says, but he thinks that a global ratio of reserves to annual production levels at an all-time high, coupled with global equipment overcapacity and cost deflation "has the potential to create a price environment range-bound in line with our sensitivities."
- Stephens also upgrades RDC and Nabors Industries (NBR +9.8%) to Overweight from Equal Weight.
Mon, Jul. 11, 3:19 PM
- Transocean (RIG -2.4%) is sharply lower after Seaport Global downgraded its rating to Sell from Neutral with a $10 price target, as valuation "seems stretched... given that little has changed regarding the protracted oversupply of rigs in offshore markets."
- RIG also will have a higher annual cash interest expense burden due to last week's $1.25B unsecured note issuance, Seaport says.
- Offshore drillers are broadly lower as crude oil futures fell 1.4% to a two-month low $44.76/bbl: RIGP -2.2%, SDRL -1.1%, DO -0.3%, ESV -3%, NE -1.1%, RDC -0.4%, ATW -2.6%.
Tue, Jul. 5, 7:19 PM
- Citigroup reshuffles its rankings a bit among offshore drillers in light of the wide spread in YTD performance that has seen the likes of Ensco (NYSE:ESV) and Noble Corp. (NYSE:NE) suffer sizeable losses while Diamond Offshore (NYSE:DO) and Atwood Oceanics (NYSE:ATW) sport double-digit gains.
- The firm ranks ESV at Neutral but nevertheless atop the group given its YTD underperformance (-37%) and balance sheet improvement through its April debt tender, while DO ranks second given backlog into 2019 and healthy balance sheet, and ATW is a close third as short covering could fuel further upside.
- Citi says Rowan (NYSE:RDC) has slipped to the bottom of its Neutral-rated stocks in the group on YTD outperformance (+4%), risk of contract cancellation and an EBITDA cliff in 2018; the firm continues to rate Transocean (NYSE:RIG) and Pacific Drilling (NYSE:PACD) at Sell.
Fri, Jul. 1, 2:38 PM
- Rowan (RDC +6.4%) is on the rise following its latest fleet status report that include three contract extensions while another unit will go on a standby rate.
- The contract for the Rowan Resolute ultra deepwater vessel in the Gulf of Mexico will be extended until July 2018 at a $580K dayrate, the Rowan Viking jackup offshore Norway will be extended until November 2017 at a $275K dayrate, and Saudi Aramco is extending its deal for the Gilbert Rowe jackup until the end of this year at its current $69K dayrate.
- The company’s Rowan Gorilla VII jackup will be put on a standby rate of 85% next month for Apache.
Wed, Jun. 29, 3:35 PM
- Transocean (RIG +5.1%) is upgraded to Hold from Sell with a $12 price target, raised from $11, at Evercore ISI, which says it is optimistic that the company has the management team to lead it out of the current downturn, and that earnings visibility and the balance sheet should improve shortly.
- The firm notes that RIG has enjoyed some success in securing new contracts, and some potential blend-and-extends are expected to be finalized shortly, but dayrates likely are at or near cash breakeven levels and RIG still needs to take additional steps to right-size its fleet.
- Evercore rates offshore drilling peers Ensco (ESV +3.3%), Noble Corp. (NE +2.4%) and Rowan (RDC +0.8%) at Buy, while Seadrill (SDRL +0.9%) and North Atlantic Drilling (NADL +0.7%) are rated Sell.
Tue, Jun. 28, 3:28 PM
- Ensco (ESV +5.9%) surges after Susquehanna upgrades shares to Neutral from Negative, citing recovering crude oil prices and the stock's valuation and relative underperformance; of course, rising crude prices today also are helping.
- The firm says higher crude prices has not sparked improved demand for offshore rigs, and it could take through 2018 before any material demand potentially arises, but ESV has underperformed other offshore drillers by a wide margin and now trades below the average for offshore drillers.
- But Evercore ISI remains cautious on offshore drillers, arguing that "not a single stock screens 'cheap,'" although it prefers ESV, Noble Corp. (NE +1.2%) and Rowan (RDC +3.5%) as relative Buys for their superior fleet quality, low operating cost basis, low capex and solid backlog, while Hold-rated Ocean Rig UDW (ORIG +3.6%) and Diamond Offshore (DO +1.8%) deserve "a degree of valuation differentiation due to its highly contracted fleet in the near term."
- Also higher today: RIG +3.9%, ATW +7.1%, SDRL +2.2%, SDLP +12.3%, PACD +2.7%.
Wed, Jun. 22, 7:52 AM
- Workers on Norwegian offshore oil drilling rigs sign a new wage agreement, beating today's deadline and avoiding a strike.
- Nearly 300 rig workers had threatened to strike if the talks failed, including staff on Rowan's (NYSE:RDC) Viking and Gorilla rigs, and on the Statoil-operated (NYSE:STO) Heidrun, Statfjord, Aasgard, Volve and Oseberg fields.
- Workers will get only a small pay raise but those being laid off will have the right for a two-year period to be rehired if an employer increases staffing.
Thu, Jun. 16, 10:02 AM
- Nearly 300 employees on oil and gas drilling rigs off Norway could go on strike unless a labor deal is agreed by June 22, the country's state-appointed mediator says.
- Rowan's (RDC -2.9%) Viking and Gorilla rigs would be affected, according to one of the unions involved in the wage talks; it is not clear if other rigs would be affected.
- The Gorilla rig works for ConocoPhillips (COP -2.8%), which says the rig is engaged in the plugging of abandoned wells on its Ekofisk field in the North Sea and that oil output would be unaffected by a strike; the Viking does work for Swedish oil firm Lundin (OTCPK:LNDNF).
Wed, Jun. 8, 7:12 PM
- The recent sharp rally in offshore drillers may be due to short covering, potentially in the midst of a “2 sigma short interest unwind" if oil prices continue to strengthen, according to Evercore ISI analyst James West.
- A portfolio of lower-risk offshore drillers - Atwood Oceanics (NYSE:ATW), Diamond Offshore (NYSE:DO), Ensco (NYSE:ESV), Noble Corp. (NYSE:NE), Rowan (NYSE:RDC) and Transocean (NYSE:RIG) - has been shorted 4.4x their historical average, and a total of 200M shares were short as of May 31 vs. a 50M monthly average during 2005-13, West calculates.
- Short interest as a percentage of the float as of yesterday, according to Markit: ATW 34.5%, DO 20%, RDC 17%, RIG 17%, NE 14%, ESV 3.5%.
- While the firm rates ESV, NE and RDC as relative Buys and believes Hold-rated Ocean Rig UDW (NASDAQ:ORIG) and DO deserve a degree of valuation differentiation, West urges caution on the overall group, seeing the industry as fundamentally oversupplied.
Rowan Cos. Plc engages in the business of providing international and domestic offshore oil and gas contract drilling services. The company focuses on high specification and premium jack-up rigs, which are used for exploratory and development drilling operations. It conducts offshore drilling... More
Sector: Basic Materials
Industry: Oil & Gas Drilling & Exploration
Country: United States