Renren: An Indirect Play In Online Lending
Renren Will Never Be China's Facebook
Pamela de Butler
Pamela de Butler
You Won't Get Renren That Cheap Again
May 13, 2015, 2:38 PM
- Though down 41.1% Y/Y, Renren's (NYSE:RENN) Q1 revenue of $13.7M was above guidance of $11M-$13M (set on March 18). In addition, the hard-luck Chinese social networking/gaming firm is guiding for revenue to rise to $15M-$17M (still down 25.8%-34.5% Y/Y) in Q2.
- Online ad sales (social networking-related) fell 62.9% Y/Y in Q1 to $2.3M, and gaming revenue fell 56.5% to $5.5M. However, value-added service revenue rose 35% to $5.9M thanks to Renren's Woxiu social video platform. Monthly logged-in users were 46M, flat Q/Q and down 5M Y/Y.
- Operating expenses fell 16.6% Y/Y to $29.7M. Renren ended Q1 with $413M in cash/short-term investments, $579M in long-term investments (inc. Renren's investments in online lending firms), and no debt. The company's market cap is currently just $698M.
- Q1 results, PR
May 12, 2015, 11:55 PM
- Renren (NYSE:RENN): Q1 EPS of -$0.03
- Revenue of $13.73M (-41.1% Y/Y)
May 11, 2015, 5:35 PM
May 11, 2015, 2:37 PM
- The Shanghai exchange rose 3% overnight, continuing a torrid 2015 after the PBOC slashed its benchmark rate by 25 bps in a fresh easing move. A slew of Chinese Internet/mobile names are rallying while the Nasdaq barely budges.
- Gainers include Qihoo (QIHU +3.3%), Weibo (WB +3.4%), SouFun (SFUN +7.2%), Renren (RENN +3.1%), Cheetah Mobile (CMCM +10.6%), ChinaCache (CCIH +7.3%), Autohome (ATHM +4.9%), Xunlei (XNET +7.2%), Jumei (JMEI +7.3%), and Changyou (CYOU +6%).
- The massive rallies occurring in the absence of major company-specific news (particularly for thinly-traded names) have triggered comparisons with the Dot.com bubble. However, many U.S.-traded firms remain well below their 2014 highs, and their forward P/E and P/S multiples (though often not cheap) are generally well below those sported by Dot.com-era darlings.
May 5, 2015, 2:51 PM
- The high-flying Shanghai exchange was down 4.1% overnight amid reports local brokerages are tightening margin requirements. Over in NYC, the Nasdaq is down 1.6%, leading a broader market selloff.
- That's proving a bad combo for Chinese Internet stocks, many of which have shot higher in recent weeks. Major decliners include Qihoo (QIHU -8.9%), Sky-mobi (MOBI -10.6%), Leju (LEJU -6%), E-House (EJ -4.7%), Qunar (QUNR -4%), and Renren (RENN -4.6%).
- Baidu is also off sharply, thanks in part to a JPMorgan downgrade. Alibaba, which reports on Thursday, is seeing more modest losses.
- ETFs: KWEB, CQQQ, QQQC
Apr. 27, 2015, 12:17 PM
- Chinese Internet stocks are adding to their big recent gains following a 2.7% overnight rally in Shanghai, as investor sentiment towards Chinese equities continues improving following a string of stimulus moves. Today's gains come with the Nasdaq (took out its 2000 highs on Friday) down 0.2%.
- Baidu (BIDU +3%) is among the winners. Others include Youku (YOKU +10.7%), Vipshop (VIPS +4.1%), Dangdang (DANG +6.7%), 58.com (WUBA +3%), E-House (EJ +3.7%), 500.com (WBAI +4.3%), Sina (SINA +4.1%), Bitauto (BITA +3.1%), Autohome (ATHM +2.4%), Qunar (QUNR +3.5%), Xunlei (XNET +5.7%), and Renren (RENN +2.3%).
- Baidu's gains come ahead of its Wednesday Q1 report. Vipshop and 58.com have made fresh highs; the latter is up 61% since the first report emerged of a deal (later confirmed) with rival Ganji.com. Youku is up 53% from an April 2 post-earnings low of $12.31, and 500.com is up 47% since the company suspended all online lottery sales in early April, while stating it will work with regulators to restart sales. Renren is up 31% from its March 30 close, possibly aided by enthusiasm for its large and growing portfolio of online lending investments.
- JD.com and Sky-mobi are rallying today with the help of bullish analyst notes. Perfect World has received a lift from an improved buyout offer.
- ETFs: KWEB, CQQQ, QQQC
Apr. 23, 2015, 3:27 PM
- Only a handful of tech companies are seeing major declines amid a 0.6% gain for the Nasdaq. A somewhat larger number are seeing big gains.
- Today's notable tech gainers include wireless IP licensing firm WiLAN (WILN +5.3%), Chinese social networking/gaming services firm Renren (RENN +4.8%), authentication hardware/software vendor Vasco (VDSI +4.1%), mobile banking tech provider Mitek (MITK +5.6%), and e-commerce listing/monetization services firm ChannelAdvisor (ECOM +5.7%).
- Renren is up 10% over the last two days. Beaten-down ChannelAdvisor has rallied ahead of its May 4 Q1 report. WiLAN's gains come ahead of its April 29 Q1 report.
- Previously covered: Chinese online real estate, Nuance, Solar3D, Medidata, F5, Citrix, Logitech, Rocket Fuel
- Notable decliners: Chip stocks, MobileIron, Avnet, Cognex, Ericsson
Apr. 2, 2015, 11:20 AM
- Renren (NYSE:RENN) has offered to buy back up to $50M worth of shares at prices between $2.40-$2.75 (minus a $0.05 cancellation fee), through a Dutch tender offer.
- The offer is good for repurchasing ~1/12 of Renren's outstanding shares. The purchases will count towards Renren's $100M buyback program, of which $48.6M had been used as of March 13.
- Renren had $183M in cash as of the end of 2014. The offer comes with shares close to a 52-week low of $2.35.
- Update: Also of interest: In a Tuesday article (now out of embargo), SA Pro author Michael Fu notes Renren bought a 27.1% stake in major online P2P lending platform SoFi for $49M in 2012. Fu notes that stake would be worth $950M, before factoring dilution, if SoFi does an IPO at the $3.5B valuation it's reportedly seeking.
Mar. 24, 2015, 3:18 PM
- Today's notable tech gainers include chip packaging/testing firm ChipMOS (IMOS +3.7%), and headphone maker Skullcandy (SKUL +3.9%), mobile banking tech provider Mitek (MITK +6.5%), search toolbar/mobile ad platform provider Perion (PERI +8.8%), Chinese social network/game provider Renren (RENN +4.8%), peripherals giant Logitech (LOGI +4%), security IP licensing firm Finjan (FNJN +13.7%).
- Notable decliners include e-commerce services firm ChannelAdvisor (ECOM -5.6%), program guide/content protection IP firm Rovi (ROVI -4.3%), telecom equipment vendor Calix (CALX -3.5%), and Fibre Channel/Ehternet switch vendor Brocade (BRCD -3.4%).
- Likely helping Finjan: An H.C. Wainwright note stating the company has committed $5M to a Jerusalem Venture Partners (JVP) cybersecurity fund; Alibaba announced yesterday it's investing in JVP. Logitech announced a $100 wireless mouse today. Skullcandy is once more within striking distance of a 52-week high of $11.83.
- Previously covered: Twitter, solar stocks, Sonus/AudioCodes/BroadSoft, Neonode, Arista, Taser, Ciena, Zagg, Gogo, Digital Ally
Mar. 18, 2015, 11:55 PM
- Though Renren (NYSE:RENN) beat Q4 estimates, it's guiding for Q1 revenue of $11M-$13M, down from Q4's $17.2M and Q1 2014's $24.9M, and far below a sole (outdated?) analyst estimate of $29.7M.
- $28.9M was spent in Q4 to buy back 9.3M shares (2.6% of outstanding shares), giving a lift to EPS. Cost cuts also helped: GAAP sales/marketing spend fell 53% Y/Y to $8.5M; R&D fell 38% to $10.6M; G&A rose less than 1% to $14M.
- Gaming revenue fell 58.4% Y/Y to $6.5M; other revenue (social networking-related) fell 13.4% to $10.7M, with a 44.1% drop in ad revenue offsetting a 33.6% increase in Internet value-added service revenue (largely due to the growth of Renren's Woxiu social video platform). Monthly logged in users rose by 1M to 46M.
- CEO Joseph Chen insists better days are ahead. "With a better cost structure in place, we believe the most challenging part of the transition is past us. Our recent initiatives in Internet financial services have made an exciting start and we believe this can become a future growth engine. Meanwhile, we will continue to innovate and develop new services for our core [social networking service], which is the foundation of all our services including internet finance."
- Q4 results, PR
Mar. 18, 2015, 7:05 PM
- Renren (NYSE:RENN): Q4 EPS of $0.03 may not be comparable to consensus of -$0.06.
- Revenue of $17.18M (-38.5% Y/Y) beats by $0.88M.
Mar. 17, 2015, 5:35 PM
Jan. 2, 2015, 12:32 PM
- After falling 18% in 2014 amid ongoing revenue and traffic losses, Renren (NYSE:RENN) is starting 2015 off on a strong note. 392K shares have been traded vs. a 3-month average of 762K.
- The Chinese social network owner/game developer is two days removed from announcing CFO Hui Huang and director Stephen Murphy are resigning. Huang is being replaced by finance VP Ashlew Law Kwok Wai.
Dec. 1, 2014, 10:38 AM
- Chinese Internet and telecom names are among the biggest tech decliners as the Nasdaq registers a 0.9% drop. A soft November PMI print isn't helping.
- Giants Alibaba (BABA -4.3%) and Baidu (BIDU -2.8%) are among the casualties. As is Qunar (QUNR -5.8%), which reports after the bell.
- Other Internet decliners: BITA -12%. QIHU -4.4%. CTRP -4.3%. SFUN -7.2%. LEJU -7.5%. RENN -6.3%. SINA -3.8%. WB -3%. YY -3.9%. VIPS -3.8%. SOHU -3.5%. MOBI -4.3%. CMGE -8.6%.
- Telecom decliners: CHL -3.6%. CHU -3.9%. CHA -4%.
- ETFs: KWEB, CQQQ, QQQC
Nov. 20, 2014, 7:07 PM
- Renren (NYSE:RENN) expects Q4 revenue of $15M-$17M, down 44.6%-51.1% Y/Y and well below a $21.3M consensus.
- Q3 online ad revenue -40.3% Y/Y to $8.8M; value-added services -19.6% to $4.7M; games -60.5% to $8.1M.
- Sales/marketing spend -22.5% to $12M; R&D -36.3% to $12.7M; G&A +3.5% to $13.8M.
- Renren ended Q3 with $740M in cash and term deposits, and no debt. Due to the company's recent performance, its market cap is currently $743M.
- Q3 results, PR
Nov. 20, 2014, 6:03 PM
- Renren (NYSE:RENN): Q3 EPS of -$0.04 in-line.
- Revenue of $21.63M (-47.4% Y/Y) misses by $1.13M.
Renren Inc. engages in the operation of Internet portal sites and social networking sites, online advertising services, online gaming operations, and the provision of Internet value-added services. Its platforms includes Renren.com, Game.renren.com, Nuomi.com, and 56.com. The company was founded... More
Industry: Internet Information Providers
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