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Thu, Jan. 7, 2:32 PM
- Solar stocks are among the biggest casualties as the Nasdaq drops 2.8% and markets generally go into risk-off mode. After soaring last month in response to U.S. renewable tax credit extensions, the Guggenheim Solar ETF (NYSEARCA:TAN) is now just slightly over $2 above a 52-week low of $25.25.
- SunEdison (down 33%) is the biggest decliner in the group, after having announced a set of dilutive debt offerings and exchange transactions. Canadian Solar (CSIQ -14.4%), JinkoSolar (JKS -14.6%), Solar3D (SLTD -11.2%), Sky Solar (SKYS -16.6%), and RGS Energy (RGSE -10.4%) are also seeing double-digit losses.
- Other major decliners: SolarCity (SCTY -6.8%), First Solar (FSLR -5.5%), SunPower (SPWR -9.9%), Enphase (ENPH -6%), SolarEdge (SEDG -5.3%), TerraForm Power (TERP -8.2%), TerraForm Global (GLBL -5.7%), and JA Solar (JASO -5.3%).
Dec. 22, 2015, 2:31 PM
- Up big last week thanks to the ITC extension, SolarCity (SCTY -5.4%), Sunrun (RUN -12.3%), Solar3D (SLTD -3.3%), and RGS Energy (RGSE -6.5%) have sold off as Nevada's Public Utilities Commission (PUC) weighs a proposal to increase connection charges and lower net metering payments (i.e. payments for electricity delivered to the grid) to the state's residential and commercial solar users.
- SolarCity has threatened to pull out of Nevada, and other installers have also blasted the proposal, which would grant a victory to Berkshire Hathaway-owned utility NV Energy. Nevada has less than 1% of the U.S. population, but (for obvious reasons) accounts for a larger % of solar generation. Moreover, the PUC proposal is stoking fears of similar actions in other net metering states.
- SunEdison (down 19.4%) and acquisition target Vivint Solar (down 7.4%) are also off sharply, but that appears to have more to do with David Tepper's actions than the Nevada PUC's.
- Update (2:42PM ET): The PUC has passed the proposal. Sunrun: "We believe the Commission’s decision flies in the face of Nevada law, which requires the state to 'encourage private investment in renewable energy resources, stimulate the economic growth of this State; and enhance the continued diversification of the energy resources used in this State' through net metering. We believe the Commission, appointed by Governor Sandoval, has done the exact opposite today."
Dec. 21, 2015, 11:11 AM
- The Guggenheim Solar ETF (TAN +2.1%) is now up 11% since Congress agreed six days ago to a budget compromise (officially passed on Friday) that involved extending the solar investment tax credit (ITC) and wind production tax credit (PTC). Today's gains come with the Nasdaq up 0.6%.
- U.S. solar stocks naturally continue headlining the list of gainers. The list includes SunPower (SPWR +3.4%), First Solar (FSLR +3.3%), Sunrun (RUN +6.9%), Enphase (ENPH +8%), 8point3 Energy (CAFD +4.1%), RGS Energy (RGSE +19.6%), and Solar3D (SLTD +4.5%).
- Other winners include JinkoSolar (JKS +4.7%), ReneSola (SOL +8%), Yingli (YGE +3.5%), China Sunergy (CSUN +4.2%), TerraForm Global (GLBL +3.2%), and SolarEdge (SEDG +3.2%), the last of which depends heavily on the U.S. residential market.
- Citing (what else?) the tax credit extensions, Morgan Stanley's Stephen Byrd has respectively hiked his SolarCity (SCTY -0.3%), First Solar, SunPower, and Sunrun targets by $18, $2, $2, and $5 to $104, $70, $43, and $28. Bernstein and KeyBanc respectively upgraded SolarCity and Sunrun last Thursday.
Dec. 18, 2015, 2:43 PM
- The Nasdaq is down 1.1% and the S&P 1.2%, but solar stocks are once more higher (TAN +1.6%) after the House and Senate officially passed multi-year extensions for the solar investment tax credit (ITC) and wind production tax credit (PTC). The group skyrocketed on Wednesday after Congressional Republicans gave their support to a budget compromise that featured the extensions.
- Notable gainers include SunEdison (SUNE +4.3%), Vivint (VSLR +3.7%), Trina (TSL +4.2%), Sunrun (RUN +7.2%), TerraForm Power (TERP +1.6%), TerraForm Global (GLBL +7.4%), Solar3D (SLTD +6%), ReneSola (SOL +5.6%), and RGS Energy (RGSE +7.3%). RGS, a microcap, could be benefiting from news it has signed a letter of intent for a $5M loan facility.
- SolarCity (SCTY +1.6%) is up moderately after starting the day lower thanks to fresh bearish remarks from Jim Chanos. Canadian Solar (CSIQ +3.1%) is higher after announcing it's partnering with Southern Co. on a new 200MW project. Daqo (DQ +5.5%) is rallying following bullish coverage from Northland Securities.
Dec. 16, 2015, 9:52 AM
- Solar stocks are flying higher (TAN +6.4%) after House Republicans unveiled (as part of a compromise with Democrats that involved lifting a U.S. oil export ban) that would keep the solar investment tax credit (ITC, has been set to expire at the end of 2016) at 30% through 2019, before being phased down through 2022.
- In addition, the wind production tax credit (PTC) would be extended through 2020, albeit with a phase-down from a current level of 2.3 cents per kWh that would start in 2017.
- U.S. solar firms are naturally among the biggest gainers: The group includes SolarCity (SCTY +24.6%), SunEdison (SUNE +17%), First Solar (FSLR +8.5%), SunPower (SPWR +14.3%), Sunrun (RUN +23.1%), TerraForm Power (TERP +8.3%), 8point3 Energy (CAFD +5.6%), Solar3D (SLTD +4.6%), and RGS Energy (RGSE +6.9%). SunEdison/TerraForm also have healthy wind exposure. Enphase (ENPH +29.1%) is soaring on the news and a Roth upgrade to Buy.
- Israel's SolarEdge (SEDG +14.4%), which has strong exposure to U.S. installers, is also surging. Other winners include Canadian Solar (CSIQ +8.4%), Trina (TSL +4.9%), JinkoSolar (JKS +7.3%), JA Solar (JASO +3.1%), China Sunergy (CSUN +3.8%), and TerraForm Global (GLBL +5.6%). JA Solar has also been upgraded to Buy by Roth.
Dec. 14, 2015, 1:41 PM
- Solar stocks are posting big gains (TAN +4.8%) on a quiet day for equities after representatives of 195 countries (including the U.S. and major developing nations such as China and India) reached a deal in Paris to curb greenhouse gas emissions. Coal stocks are going in the opposite direction.
- Also: 1) Oil prices are bouncing after trading near multi-year lows earlier today. WTI crude is up 2.2% to $36.40/barrel. 2) Trina Solar (up 11.4%) has received a preliminary going-private offer at a 21.5% premium to Friday's close.
- U.S. firms SolarCity (SCTY +8.4%), Sunrun (RUN +13.4%), TerraForm Power (TERP +8%), and RGS Energy (RGSE +25%) are among the standouts. Other U.S. gainers include First Solar (FSLR +4.6%), SunPower (SPWR +6.5%) and Vivint (VSLR +2.8%). First Solar tumbled last week in response to its 2016 guidance; SunPower was hit by a $400M convertible offering.
- Among non-U.S. names, gainers include Canadian Solar (CSIQ +4.4%), Yingli (YGE +2.9%), ReneSola (SOL +3.8%), and China Sunergy (CSUN +3.9%). SolarEdge (SEDG +4.6%), based in Israel but with strong U.S. exposure, is also doing well.
- Update: Also possibly helping the group: Congressional Democrats are reportedly open to a deal to lift an oil-export ban in exchange for extending solar and wind tax credits.
Nov. 10, 2015, 2:32 PM
- "To continue to execute our turnaround strategy, which includes expanding our sales and installation capabilities, and to comply with the liquidity covenant of our amended loan agreement, we have engaged an investment-banking firm to assist us with raising additional capital through debt or equity financing," says RGS Energy (RGSE -43.6%) in its Q3 report. A deal (likely to feature significant dilution) is expected by month's end.
- RGS had just $886K in cash + availability under its current borrowing base as of Oct. 30. Cash + availability under the maximum allowed borrowing base totaled $3.74M. As of Sep. 30, debt via lines of credit totaled $2.7M.
- Backlog fell by 25.6% Q/Q and 61.6% Y/Y in Q3 to $22.5M. Residential solar backlog totaled $11.5M, and the Hawaiian Sunetric unit's backlog totaled $11M. RGS notes it didn't emphasize originating new sales in Q3, and instead focused on converting its backlog. The company insists it's now "refocused on new sales order generation."
- Gross margin fell to 14.9% from 16.9% a year ago. Residential GM was 12.5%, and Sunetric GM 19.6%. SG&A spend fell to $4.7M from $9.2M.
- Q3 results, PR
Nov. 10, 2015, 12:48 PM
Nov. 9, 2015, 4:59 PM
- Real Goods Solar (NASDAQ:RGSE): Q3 EPS of -$0.34
- Revenue of $10.4M (-45.0% Y/Y)
- Shares -15.4%.
Oct. 16, 2015, 2:30 PM
- After bouncing strongly from their late-September lows over the last two weeks (a rally in crude prices/energy stocks helped), solar stocks are among the laggards (TAN -2.4%) on a day the Nasdaq and S&P are nearly flat.
- U.S. firms SolarCity (SCTY -5.3%), SunEdison (SUNE -3.6%), Enphase (ENPH -6%), Sunrun (RUN -2.5%), and RGS Energy (RGSE -6.5%) are among the decliners. Others include SolarEdge (SEDG -4.6%), Trina (TSL -2.3%), JinkoSolar (JKS -2.3%), and SunEdison's TerraForm Global (GLBL -2%) YieldCo.
- SolarCity reports earnings on Oct. 29, and rival Sunrun on Nov. 12.
Aug. 28, 2015, 12:46 PM
Aug. 11, 2015, 12:45 PM
Aug. 10, 2015, 4:55 PM
- Real Goods Solar (NASDAQ:RGSE): Q2 EPS of $0.28
- Revenue of $14.73M (-25.0% Y/Y)
Jul. 31, 2015, 9:19 AM
Jul. 8, 2015, 12:45 PM
Jul. 6, 2015, 12:49 PM
Real Goods Solar Inc is a residential and commercial solar energy engineering, procurement, & construction firm. It offers services, including design, procurement, permitting, build-out, grid connection and warranty & customer satisfaction activities.
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