ProShares Inflation Expectations ETF(RINF)- NYSEARCA
  • Thu, Mar. 24, 8:20 AM
    • Via Bloomberg:
    • "It’s time for the Federal Reserve to end its dollar fixation. That’s the takeaway from a Goldman Sachs Group Inc. report Wednesday that suggests the U.S. currency poses little threat to the Fed’s inflation goals, challenging policy makers’ comments to the contrary. That’s good news for dollar bulls who are betting on expanded monetary-policy divergence between the U.S., Europe and Japan.
    • "Inflation is at the heart of the Fed’s debate about the timing of interest-rate increases as officials look to normalize monetary policy after seven years of near-zero borrowing costs. With a stronger dollar not translating into significantly cheaper import prices, Goldman Sachs suggests the central bank faces fewer headwinds to hiking rates than markets are currently pricing in."
    • ETFs: UUP, UDN, USDU, RINF
    | Thu, Mar. 24, 8:20 AM | 13 Comments
  • Wed, Mar. 16, 7:17 AM
    • Goldman is out with a note saying Janet Yellen will use today's press conference to narrow the gap between Fed and market expectations.
    • “Ahead of this week’s meeting, the market is again putting more weight on the Fed dots’ downward revision than on the Fed’s communication around the timing of the next hike and the pace of the tightening cycle. We disagree with this market view,” Goldman says.
    • “Preparing the market for another ‘hike it and like it’ might be a better option at the current juncture. Not only have data moved in the right direction, but financial conditions, a metric that has occupied an important place for many Fed speakers, have eased back to their level in December.”
    • Goldman expects the Fed will lower its median projected pathway for rate hikes this year down to three from four, but still well above the one hike currently expected by markets.
    • Goldman thinks the Fed will lift the fed funds rate target by 25 BP in June, but add that, “a hike in April is not inconceivable.”
    • ETFs: TBT, TLT, TIP, TMV, IEF, SHY, TBF, EDV, TMF, PST, TTT, ZROZ, VTIP, MBB, TLH, SBND, BKT, VGLT, IEI, SCHP, BIL, TYO, IPE, UBT, DLBS, DTYS, UST, TLO, LTPZ, PLW, VGSH, STPZ, RINF, VMBS, SHV, GNMA, TIPZ, STIP, VGIT, STPP
    | Wed, Mar. 16, 7:17 AM | 7 Comments
  • May 12, 2015, 4:09 AM
    | May 12, 2015, 4:09 AM | 2 Comments
  • May 11, 2015, 5:12 AM
    | May 11, 2015, 5:12 AM
  • Apr. 27, 2015, 5:04 AM
    | Apr. 27, 2015, 5:04 AM
  • Apr. 15, 2015, 4:23 AM
    | Apr. 15, 2015, 4:23 AM | 6 Comments
  • Jun. 25, 2014, 4:41 AM
    • Expectations of U.S. and euro zone break-even rates seem to be heading in opposite directions, as investors wager on opposing consumer price outlooks. The break-even rates, as measured by the difference between yields on 10-year nominal Treasury notes and TIPs, are at about 2.3% in the U.S. This greatly differs in the euro zone, where Germany reports a rate of 1.3%.
    • TIPs are expected to gain in popularity over the next year, as break-evens expect to rise in par with U.S. inflation. However, the euro zone is currently dealing with a falling inflation rate. Despite the European Central Bank instituting a 2% inflation mandate, annual inflation in the euro zone was only 0.5% in May.
    • ETFs: TIP, WIP, VTIP, SCHP, IPE, LTPZ, STPZ, TIPZ, STIP, ILB, ITIP, GTIP, TPS, TDTT, TIPX, TDTF, SIPE, RINF, INFL, UINF, FINF, DEFL, SINF
    | Jun. 25, 2014, 4:41 AM
  • Dec. 18, 2013, 2:22 PM
    • "The Committee sees the improvement in economic activity and labor market conditions ... as consistent with growing underlying strength in the broader economy," the FOMC says, adding that the decision to scale back QE by $10B per month is based on "the cumulative progress toward maximum employment and the improvement in the outlook for labor market conditions."
    • Although the Committee says it will "likely reduce the pace of asset purchases in further measured steps [should] incoming information support [the] ongoing improvement in labor market conditions and inflation moving back toward [the] longer-run objective," the Fed notes that asset purchases are "not on a set course."
    • FOMC also says it "anticipates .. that it likely will be appropriate to maintain the current target range for the federal funds rate well past the time that the unemployment rate declines below 6.5%."
    • Updated FOMC projections: 2014 PCE inflation now seen at 1.4-1.6% (from 1.3-1.8% in September); 2014 GDP now seen at 2.8-3.2% (from 2.9-3.1% in September); 2014 unemployment rate now seen at 6.3-6.6% (from 6.4-6.8% in September). Full release
    • 10-year yield is at 2.91% versus 2.87% just prior to the announcement.
    • Dow (DIA +0.9%), S&P (SPY +0.6%), and Nasdaq (QQQ) all staged brief rallies on the news but have since retraced a bit. Gold (GLD +0.3%) fell sharply initially but recovered.
    • ETFs: TBT, TLT, TIP, TMV, SHY, IEF, TBF, PST, EDV, TTT, TMF, VTIP, TLH, IPE, ZROZ, SBND, IEI, SCHP, DLBS, TYO, LTPZ, DTYS, STPZ, STPP, VGLT, TIPZ, UST, BIL, SHV, STIP, PLW, GOVT, FLAT, UBT, TBX, TLO, VGSH, VGIT, RINF, GSY, DTYL, LBND, SCHR, SCHO, TYD, ITE, TYBS, TPS, TRSY, TENZ, DTUL, TDTT, TUZ, SST, INFL, DTUS, FIVZ, TBZ, DFVL, FINF, UINF, DLBL, DEFL, DFVS, TIPX, TDTF, TYNS, SINF
    | Dec. 18, 2013, 2:22 PM | 7 Comments
  • Dec. 12, 2013, 6:53 PM
    | Dec. 12, 2013, 6:53 PM | 26 Comments
  • Jul. 31, 2013, 3:31 PM
    • TIPS (TIP +0.6%) turn from lower on the session to a sizable gain following the FOMC statement where the committee brought previous dissenter Jim Bullard on board by noting inflation below the 2% objective could pose a risk to the economy.
    • The 10-year TIPS yield is down to 0.42% from 0.48% earlier, the 30-year down to 1.34% from 1.4%.
    • TIPS, of course, become more valuable as inflation rises as their principal moves alongside.
    | Jul. 31, 2013, 3:31 PM
  • Jun. 22, 2013, 9:30 AM
    It's "total capitulation" in fixed income (AGG, BND), says BAML's Michael Hartnett. The "blood bath" includes the largest-ever three-week rush of bond-fund redemptions, $2.6B leaving (2nd largest outflow ever) the Emerging Markets Bond ETF (EMB), and mortgage-backed securities (MBB), municipal bonds (MUB), and TIPS (TIP) funds each now showing net outflows for 2013.
    | Jun. 22, 2013, 9:30 AM | 47 Comments
  • Jun. 12, 2013, 4:26 PM

    Add TIPS (TIP) to the list of safe-havens proving to be anything but as this sort of inflation-protection doesn't work when rates rise but inflation doesn't. The rout has sent the yield on 10-year TIPS into positive territory for the first time since Dec. 2011, reports Carolyn Cui. Investors have pulled $7.2B out of TIPS ETFs this year, already more than the $5.2B inflow for all 2012.

    | Jun. 12, 2013, 4:26 PM | 3 Comments
  • Jun. 4, 2013, 4:42 PM

    More Gundlach (previous): "I really dislike TIPS (TIP) and have really disliked them recently." There's no inflation, which makes them a lousy investment, he says, but even if you think there's going to be inflation, why not wait and buy them at a far lower price.

    | Jun. 4, 2013, 4:42 PM
  • May 30, 2013, 3:39 PM
    State Street launches the SPDR 1-10 Year TIPS ETF (TIPX), set to track the Barclays 1-10 Year Government Inflation-linked Bond Index. It appears similar in structure to another State Street TIPS fund (IPE), but with an expense ratio 3.5 bps lower at 0.15%. Also launched is the SPDR S&P Global Dividend ETF (WDIV), set to track the S&P Global Dividend Aristocrats Index. It has a cost of 0.40% and joins competitors DEW and LVL, each of those with coming with slightly higher costs.
    | May 30, 2013, 3:39 PM | 1 Comment
  • May 15, 2013, 3:40 PM

    More from Gundlach: Not concerned about inflation, he calls TIPS (TIP) "pretty bad" investments and says he'll be a buyer if the 10-year (TLT) yield bounces back to 2% (off 3 bps today to 1.94%). As for the inevitable Apple (AAPL -3.3%) question - he prefers the common stock to the just-issued bonds. Warren Buffett says he prays for stocks he owns to go down in price - it allows him and company repurchase programs to buy at better prices. Is Apple putting money to work the last couple of days?

    | May 15, 2013, 3:40 PM | 15 Comments
  • Apr. 26, 2013, 3:26 PM

    TIPS have mostly rebounded from a recent selloff, but Barclays spots an opportunity at the short-end of the curve. Some 1-year notes are expected to fall in price next week when they fall out of the Barclays U.S. TIPS Index (which must drop them when less than a year to maturity). The ensuing forced selling by funds such as the TIP could create a bargain price for buyers.

    | Apr. 26, 2013, 3:26 PM
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