Societe Generale Not Getting Its Due
Stephen Simpson, CFA
Stephen Simpson, CFA
Societe Generale Improving, But Still Unsettled On Several Fronts
Stephen Simpson, CFA
Stephen Simpson, CFA
Wed, Aug. 3, 2:03 AM
- HSBC cast doubt over reaching its profitability targets after first half earnings tumbled 29% on year - just shy of expectations - due to a slowdown in its key markets of Britain and Hong Kong.
- Societe Generale (OTCPK:SCGLY) and Credit Agricole (OTCPK:CRARY) beat estimates, however, reporting a jump in Q2 net profit helped by a gain from their stake sales in Visa Europe.
Mon, May 23, 3:10 PM
- The ruling from the Court of Appeals for the Second Circuit reinstates previously thrown out private antirust lawsuits against 16 banks for allegedly rigging Libor.
- There are a number of groups of plaintiffs, including Baltimore, Houston, and San Diego.
- For now, the case goes back to lower court for further proceedings. If the suits are successful, the bill to banks could be several billion dollars.
- Roughly a dozen financial companies have already settled official charges of rate manipulation, with some pleading guilty to criminal charges.
- The defendants in line from today's ruling include: Bank of America (NYSE:BAC), Barclays (NYSE:BCS), Credit Suisse (NYSE:CS), Deutsche Bank (NYSE:DB), HSBC, JPMorgan (NYSE:JPM), Lloyds (NYSE:LYG), Royal Bank of Canada (NYSE:RY), SocGen (OTCPK:SCGLY), UBS, and Royal Bank of Scotland (NYSE:RBS).
Sun, Apr. 10, 8:49 AM
- French tax police searched Societe Generale's headquarters this week as part of an investigation into offshore accounts revealed by the Panama Papers, the bank said on Sunday.
- The searches on April 5 were a "normal development in the context of such an investigation," a spokesman for the bank said, declining to comment further.
- It added: "As of today, the number of active structures created via the firm Mossack Fonseca for clients amounts to a few dozen."
- Now read U.S. Banks vs European Banks: Which Have The Most Upside »
Fri, Mar. 11, 5:44 AM
- Societe Generale will receive a reduction in its 446M euro ($500M) penalty levied by EU regulators for rigging benchmark interest rates after it withdrew its court challenge.
- The EU will retract its 2013 decision and issue a new one reducing the previous penalty; the size of the reduction is unknown.
- “The commission welcomes the fact that Societe Generale has withdrawn its appeal against the commission’s decision in the euro interest rate derivatives case,” an EU spokesman said.
- March 7: U.S. Banks vs. European Banks: Which Have The Most Upside In 2016 And 2017?
Thu, Feb. 11, 4:32 AM
- Nokia (NYSE:NOK) posted better-than-expected profits, but warned of an impending slowdown in the telecom-equipment sector.
- Total's (NYSE:TOT) net loss narrowed in the fourth quarter after it booked fewer write-downs than a year earlier, while announcing plans to accelerate spending cuts.
- Citing a worsening global economy and sharp downturn in commodity prices, Rio Tinto (NYSE:RIO) swung to an annual loss and scrapped its progressive dividend policy.
- Societe Generale (OTCPK:SCGLY) reported fourth-quarter profit that missed analyst forecasts on investment bank woes and provisions for potential legal costs.
- Adidas (OTCQX:ADDYY) raised its outlook for the second time in four months after exceeding its revenue and profit targets for 2015.
- Although it plans to turn around its unprofitable general insurance unit, Zurich Insurance (OTCQX:ZURVY) disclosed a worse-than-expected loss in Q4.
Nov. 9, 2015, 4:24 AM
- The Financial Stability Board has published new rules that aim to stop banks from becoming "too big to fail," confirming its final proposals for Total Loss Absorbing Capacity, or TLAC.
- Under the plan, large lenders will have by January 2019 to hold a financial cushion of at least 16% of their risk-weighted assets in equity and debt that can be written off. That requirement will gradually increase, reaching 18% of assets weighted by risk by January 2022.
- The FSB will put the rules, which will apply to the world's top 30 banks, to the G20 later this month.
Oct. 5, 2015, 3:31 PM
- The Street has priced in earnings declines for pretty much every sector, but Q3 and Q4 estimates for the financials have barely budged, and consensus sees Q3 results 10% above that of a year ago.
- Morgan Stanley's Huw van Steenis, however, sees FICC revenue declines of 10-25% - far more than the 5% or so that's been talked about by bank managements at recent investor conferences - as the commodity price crash combines with collapsing fixed-income trading, and the lack of volatility in forex action.
- With just $20B in FICC revenues, says van Steenis, Q3 is shaping up to be the second worst quarter for banks in the last two years. Leaving his own bank (NYSE:MS) out of the analysis, he sees FICC revenue declines of 17% at JPMorgan (NYSE:JPM), 9% at Goldman (NYSE:GS), and 6% at BofA (NYSE:BAC) and Citi (NYSE:C).
- Bottom line: "On EPS, we are 4% below consensus on average across our coverage for 2015, and 5% below for 2016. The biggest delta is for Barclays (NYSE:BCS), BNP Paribas (OTCQX:BNPQY), and Goldman in 2015, and SocGen (OTCPK:SCGLY), HSBC, and BNP in 2016."
- Source: ZeroHedge
Sep. 9, 2015, 6:07 PM
- New York regulators have sent letters seeking information to big banks that are primary Treasury dealers as part of a probe on potential manipulation of bond auctions, Reuters reports.
- The banks -- including Barclays (NYSE:BCS), Deutsche Bank (NYSE:DB), Goldman Sachs (NYSE:GS), Societe Generale (OTCPK:SCGLY) and Credit Suisse (NYSE:CS) -- aren't charged with specific wrongdoing at the moment, as the investigation is still in early stages.
- Boston's public employee pension fund, State-Boston Retirement System, had sued 22 primary dealers in July alleging conspiracy to manipulate Treasury auctions; meanwhile, little-known hedge fund Element Capital has been buying tens of billions of dollars worth of bonds at the auctions, well over its $6B assets under management, the WSJ reports, drawing attention from the Treasury Dept.
- Element Capital has been the largest purchaser in dozens of auctions over the past 10 months.
May 22, 2015, 12:10 PM
- Welcome back my friends to the show that never ends ...The New York Department of Financial Services is probing more abuse of forex markets by the banks - this time by the use of automated trades driven by computer algorithms, reports the FT.
- Findings could indicate more widespread abuse than what U.S. and U.K. authorities disclosed on Wednesday (along with nearly $6B in fines and a number of guilty pleas). Sources remind that this week's charges related to manipulation performed by bank employees, but this probe covers electronic trading, which accounts for the majority of forex transactions.
- Trading platforms under the scope include those from Barclays (NYSE:BCS) and Deutsche Bank (NYSE:DB), and information has been subpoenaed from BNP Paribas (OTCPK:BNPQF), Credit Suisse (NYSE:CS), Goldman Sachs (NYSE:GS), and SocGen (OTCPK:SCGLY).
- The investigation into Barclays is the most advanced, but DFS has initially reached similar nefarious conclusions about the goings-on at Deutsche too. The probes of the other lenders are at even earlier stages.
- Previously: Lawsky stepping down as New York's top bank regulator (May 20)
May 19, 2015, 11:17 AM
- April was about as expected, but revenue from fixed income, currencies, and commodities isn't looking good at the investment banks in May, according to the team at JPMorgan.
- Equity business, however, is outperforming, which should be to the benefit of shops like SocGen (OTCPK:SCGLY), UBS, and Morgan Stanley (NYSE:MS).
- At Morgan Stanley, CEO James Gorman - speaking to reporters following the annual meeting - says market conditions have remained "solid" in spite of geopolitical news which would have spooked investors in the past. Gorman declined to give a more specific update on how Q2 was faring at his bank.
- ETFs: XLF, FAS, FAZ, UYG, VFH, IYF, BTO, IAI, SEF, IYG, FXO, FNCL, FINU, KCE, RWW, RYF, KBWC, FINZ
Feb. 24, 2015, 1:56 AM
- U.S. officials are probing at least 10 major banks for the possible rigging of precious-metals markets, even though European regulators shelved a similar investigation after finding no evidence of wrongdoing, WSJ reports.
- The DOJ is scrutinizing the price-setting process for gold, silver, platinum and palladium in London, while the Commodity Futures Trading Commission has opened a civil investigation.
- Banks under scrutiny: HSBC, BNS, BCS, CS, DB, GS, JPM, OTCPK:SCGLY, OTCPK:SGBLY, UBS
Feb. 10, 2015, 1:54 AM
- The NY Department of Financial Services has sent subpoenas to Goldman Sachs (NYSE:GS), Credit Suisse (NYSE:CS), BNP Paribas (BNZPY) and Societe General (OTCPK:SCGLY), Reuters reports, expanding its probe of whether banks' electronic trading platforms allow them to front-run clients in the forex market.
- At issue is a latency period between the time an offer is floated and accepted.
- The department is already probing Barclays (NYSE:BCS) and Deutsche Bank (NYSE:DB) over similar concerns and installed monitors at those banks in recent months.
Jan. 9, 2015, 7:54 AM
- More than half of the €7.5B in newly issued Santander (NYSE:SAN) stock was purchased by U.S. investors, reports the FT, with about 25% bought by U.K. owners.
- The bank issued 1.214B shares at £6.18 each as new executive chairman Ana Botin quickly broke ranks with her late father's strategy just four months after replacing him atop the company.
- The ADRs are lower by 4.5% premarket after yesterday's 7% decline.
- Now that Santander has joined Deutsche Bank in raising capital, analysts turn their attention to the next dominoes. High on the list: BNP Paribas (OTCQX:BNPQY), Societe General (OTCPK:SCGLY), Credit Suisse (NYSE:CS), Commerzbank (OTCPK:CRZBY), and Credit Agricole (OTCPK:CRARY).
Jul. 6, 2014, 9:46 AM
- France's finance minister Michel Sapin states that he is not worried about additional U.S. probes on other French banks, following last week's guilty plea by BNP Paribas for violating U.S. sanctions.
- "I think the risk is rather being perceived by other very big European banks," says Sapin.
- According to U.S. sources, French banks Societe Generale (SCGLF) and Credit Agricole (CRARY) and Germany's Deutsche Bank (DB) are also being investigated for having potentially violated U.S. sanctions.
May 6, 2014, 12:27 PM
- Germany's growth premium in comparison to Europe is shrinking, impacting 25% of Germany’s equity market revenues, says global equity strategist Andrew Garthwaite, moving to a benchmark weighting in German stocks from overweight.
- He also notes the country's competitiveness and funding-cost advantages are on decline, and it has three times more export exposure to China than Europe as a whole.
- German's DAX 30 Index closed -0.7% today.
- German ETFs: EWG, BUND, EWGS, DBGR, GERJ, DXGE, BUNL, FGM, BUNT, GGOV, HEWG
- France, on the other hand, is moved to overweight as a play on ECB launching QE. "Bond spreads are consistent with outperformance, and France stands to benefit more than Germany from any ECB easing," says Garthwaite.
- P/E valuations are 5% below average, and 75% of the companies in CAC 40 have restructuring potential, he says.
- Particularly cheap are the French banks: CRARY, SCGLY, BNPZY. Also looking good: Renault (RNSDF), AXA (AXAHY -1.6%), and Total (TOT -0.4%).
- The CAC 40 closed -0.8% today.
- French ETFs: FXE, EUO, ERO, DRR, EUFX, ULE, URR
Apr. 29, 2014, 9:39 AM
- Capital shortfalls will need to be covered within six months for those lenders failing under the EBA's baseline stress test scenario, while banks failing under the adverse scenario will have nine months to fix things.
- ECB Vice-President Constancio: "Banks should start to consider what private sources of capital could be raised as a result of this exercise and plan accordingly."
- Earlier: The EBA unveils stress test criteria. 124 banks from 28 EU states are subject to the exams. Among the larger ones: DB, BNPQF, BNPQY, SCGLY, SAN, BBVA, UNCFF, UNCFY, IRE, NBG, CRZBY, CRARY.
- European financial sector ETF: EUFN
Societe Generale and its subsidiaries are engaged in banking and finance activities, which are divided into three divisions: Retail Banking & Specialized Financial Services, Corporate & Investment Banking, and Asset Management, Private Banking & Securities Services: Co.'s activities are managed... More
Industry: Money Center Banks