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Direxion Daily Semiconductor 3x Bear Shares ETF (SOXS)

  • Fri, Nov. 6, 4:47 PM
    • The Philadelphia Semi Index (SOXX +2.6%) rallied after Nvidia (NVDA +13.9%) beat estimates and provided strong guidance (gaming GPUs led the way), Skyworks (SWKS +7.1%) offered good calendar Q4 guidance and RF chip peer Qorvo (QRVO +23.2%) posted better-than-feared results and guidance. The Nasdaq rose just 0.4%.
    • Also: Analog/Ethernet chipmaker Microsemi (MSCC +4.9%) beat calendar Q3 revenue estimates and offered solid Q4 guidance: Revenue of $325M-$329M and EPS of $0.70-$0.74 vs. a consensus of $323.5M and $0.72.
    • Big gainers today included specialty foundry/Skyworks supplier TowerJazz (TSEM +6%), smart TV/home automation chipmaker Sigma Designs (SIGM +16.6%), telecom/networking IC provider InPhi (IPHI +6.7%), touch controller/LCD driver supplier Synaptics (SYNA +6.1%), FPGA maker Lattice Semi (LSCC +6.6%), network processor vendor Cavium (CAVM +5.6%), DSP core IP provider CEVA (CEVA +7.2%), and analog/mixed-signal chipmakers MagnaChip (MX +4.6%) and Semtech (SMTC +5.4%).
    • On its earnings call (transcript), Qorvo mentioned Chinese smartphone demand (a recent headwind) is "seeing a bit of a rebound," and that the launch of 5-mode and 6-mode Chinese 4G phones is boosting RF chip content. Qorvo also thinks Chinese base station activity (an issue for many telecom chip/component firms) bottomed in Q3, but cautions a mobile infrastructure recovery is expected to be gradual.
    • Microsemi stated on its call (transcript) broadband gateway chip sales were a Q3 strong point, that telecom infrastructure began to improve, and that defense/aerospace sales are expected to rebound in 2016. Industrial demand remained soft in Q3.
    • MKM's Ian Ing has upgraded Nvidia to Buy, calling shares "expensive and worth it." Ing: "We see a sustainable growth trajectory, given [Nvidia's] positioning to lead in significant paradigm changes favoring more valuable semiconductor solutions: automotive evolving from driver assist to autonomous driving, gaming transitioning to virtual reality and professional or social E-sports, and cloud computing increasingly using GPU accelerators for machine learning."
    • Last week: Chip stocks sell off after NXP, STMicro, others issue soft guidance
    | Fri, Nov. 6, 4:47 PM | 1 Comment
  • Thu, Oct. 29, 12:29 PM
    • Down on Monday following Dialog Semi's Q3 report and up yesterday in the wake of Apple's results/guidance, chip stocks are selling off again (SOXX -2.5%) after leading microcontroller vendor NXP (NXPI -18.2%) posted mixed Q3 results and (more importantly) guided for Q4 revenue to be down by a "low to upper-teens" % Q/Q. The Nasdaq is down 0.3%.
    • Also: 1) NXP rival and fellow European chipmaker STMicroelectronics (STM -5.8%) slightly missed Q3 revenue estimates and has guided for Q4 revenue to be down 6% (+/- 3.5%) Q/Q. 2) Network processor vendor Cavium (CAVM -5%) issued light Q4 guidance, while blaming a distribution model change at its biggest data center customer. 3) Microcontroller maker Atmel (ATML -2.4%, set to be acquired by Dialog) missed Q3 revenue estimates and guided for Q4 revenue of $266M-$286M, below a $296.1M consensus.
    • On the bright side, Apple-dependent Cirrus Logic (CRUS -5.7%) beat FQ2 EPS estimates (revenue was in-line) and provided solid FQ3 guidance, and fellow Apple/Samsung supplier InvenSense (INVN +14.3%) beat FQ2 estimates and issued in-line FQ3 guidance. Cirrus is nonetheless selling off; the earnings call (transcript) was generally upbeat, with management talking up FY16/FY17 growth opportunities related to smart codec and boosted amplifier sales.
    • NXP merger partner Freescale (FSL -15.4%) is naturally seeing big losses. Other decliners include RF chipmakers Skyworks (SWKS -3.1%), Avago (AVGO -6%), and Qorvo (QRVO -2.6%), analog/mixed-signal chipmakers Texas Instruments (TXN -3%), ON Semi (ON -5.9%), MagnaChip (MX -6.8%), Fairchild (FCS -4.3%), Maxim (MXIM -3.1%), and IDT (IDTI -5.2%), and smart TV SoC vendor/STMicro rival Sigma Designs (SIGM -3.2%).
    • Like NXP, Cirrus, and InvenSense, Skyworks, Avago, Qorvo, TI, and Fairchild are Apple suppliers. Fairchild and Maxim have recently benefited from M&A reports (I, II).
    • Both NXP and STMicro reported seeing conditions deteriorate as Q3 progressed. NXP added lower-than-expected chip sell-through led to higher channel inventories, and STMicro stated "lower consumer spending in China is impacting the dynamics of the distribution channel in the region and the industry more globally, particularly in automotive." NXP has added 20M shares to its buyback in an attempt to soften the blow.
    | Thu, Oct. 29, 12:29 PM | 8 Comments
  • Thu, Oct. 22, 12:24 PM
    • The Philadelphia Semi Index (SOXX +3%) has risen above $90 for the first time since July on a day the Nasdaq is up 1.5%. Helping out: Texas Instruments (TXN +10.4%) soundly beat Q3 estimates, reported positive growth for its analog and embedded processing (DSP/microcontroller) units in spite of a customer inventory correction, and (with the help of iPhone content gains) provided mostly above-consensus Q4 guidance.
    • Meanwhile, Cypress Semi (up 4.1%) is rallying in spite of posting mixed Q3 results and issuing light Q4 guidance. A new $450M buyback is helping.
    • TI/Cypress microcontroller peers NXP (NXPI +4.2%), Freescale (FSL +3.5%), STMicroelectronics (STM +2.5%), and Microchip (MCHP +2.9%) are among the gainers. As are TI analog/mixed-signal peers ON Semi (ON +5%), Intersil (ISIL +3.2%), IDT (IDTI +3.6%), Monolithic (MPWR +3.3%), and Silicon Labs (SLAB +2.6%).
    • Other notable gainers include InvenSense (INVN +2.6%), Nvidia (NVDA +3.5%), Cavium (CAVM +4.4%), Knowles (KN +3.6%), and Lattice Semi (LSCC +7%).
    • On its earnings call (transcript), TI mentioned automotive chip demand (boosted by growing chip content in various systems) was strong. Industrial sales were roughly flat (better than expected), and personal electronics benefited from "demand from one customer" (likely Apple). Wireless infrastructure fell 30% Y/Y (Chinese weakness), but rose Q/Q.
    • Chip stocks also outperformed yesterday after Western Digital announced it's buying SanDisk, Lam Research announced it's buying KLA-Tencor, and CPU core giant ARM (ARMH +2.7%) beat Q3 revenue estimates (EPS slightly missed) with the help of a 20% Y/Y increase in ARM chip shipments to 3.6B, and stated it expects 2015 revenue to be in-line with market expectations.
    | Thu, Oct. 22, 12:24 PM | Comment!
  • Tue, Sep. 8, 3:25 PM
    • The Philadelphia Semi Index (SOXX +3.9%) has risen to its highest levels since mid-August on a day the Nasdaq is posting a 2.3% gain.
    • Likely helping out: Microchip (MCHP +8.4%), still often seen as an industry bellwether (though its commentary accompanying last fall's warning sparked criticism), has adjusted its FQ2 (calendar Q3) revenue and EPS guidance to $545M-$563M ($554M midpoint) and $0.60-$0.66 from a prior $$532M-$569M ($550.5M midpoint) and $0.58-$0.66. The outlook comes after many chipmakers (Microchip included) offered below-consensus calendar Q3 guidance amid an inventory correction, weak PC demand, and slowing Chinese smartphone growth.
    • Microchip's core ops are said to be tracking in-line with prior expectations, and recently-acquired Micrel's above expectations. The 8.6M shares issued in the Micrel deal have been repurchased.
    • Also: Various Taiwanese chipmakers and supply chain firms have reported August sales. Chip packaging/testing firms ASE (ASX +5.9%) and Siliconware (SPIL +4.1%) respectively reported sales were up 5.8% and 5.7% M/M, and up 9.5% and down 4.2% Y/Y.
    • Big gainers include Microchip peers NXP (NXPI +6.8%), Freescale (FSL +5.8%), Silicon Labs (SLAB +4.4%), and Cypress (CY +4.4%). Others include Avago (AVGO +5.8%), Xilinx (XLNX +5.7%), Cavium (CAVM +5.5%), Analog Devices (ADI +6.3%), Synaptics (SYNA +5.4%), Linear (LLTC +4.6%), Cirrus Logic (CRUS +4.7%), IDT (IDTI +4.6%), Sigma Designs (SIGM +4.9%), and chip equipment maker Axcelis (ACLS +8%).
    • SanDisk, ON Semi, and Silicon Motion are benefiting from upgrades/bullish coverage. Apple holds its iPhone event at 1PM ET tomorrow.
    | Tue, Sep. 8, 3:25 PM | 1 Comment
  • Thu, Jul. 16, 2:45 PM
    • Chip stocks are missing out on a market rally (SOXX -0.2%) after Intel, TSMC, and Fairchild posted Q2 results. The Nasdaq is up 1.1%, and the S&P 0.7%.
    • Intel (down 0.2%) beat estimates - EPS benefited from a low tax rate - offered above-consensus guidance, cut its 2015 capex budget by $1B, and pushed out the ETA for its first 10nm CPUs to 2H17.
    • TSMC (up 0.8%) beat estimates and offered solid Q3 guidance, but also provided cautious industry commentary, and forecast global chip sales will rise only 3% in 2015. A strong dollar, weak PC sales, and slowing emerging markets smartphone growth have been weighing on industry growth.
    • Fairchild (FCS -10.4%) missed estimates and guided for Q3 revenue of $355M-$375M, below a $383.7M consensus. The analog chipmaker blames the Q2 miss on "some mobile and appliance customers, the wireless telecom sector as well as general market distribution."
    • Chip equipment stocks are especially hard-hit thanks to Intel's capex cut/10nm push-out, but various chip developers are also down. Notable decliners include Fairchild peers ON Semi (ON -2.3%), MagnaChip (MX -2.3%), Pericom (PSEM -3.4%), Silicon Labs (SLAB -2.1%), and Intersil (ISIL -2.4%).
    | Thu, Jul. 16, 2:45 PM | 3 Comments
  • Fri, Apr. 24, 2:03 PM
    • Though the Nasdaq is up 0.7% thanks to market-pleasing earnings from Google, Microsoft, and Amazon, chip stocks (SOXX -2.1%) are adding to their Thursday losses after Freescale, Altera, Microsemi, and Maxim joined the ranks of chipmakers offering soft Q2 guidance; Texas Instruments, Xilinx, and Qualcomm did so on Wednesday afternoon.
    • NXP (NXPI -4.3%), set to merge with Freescale in a cash/stock deal, is selling off ahead of its April 29 Q1 report. RF chipmakers Skyworks (SWKS -3.8%), Qorvo (QRVO -4.4%), and Avago (AVGO -5.2%) are also seeing steep declines.
    • Other decliners include a slew of telecom/networking, microcontroller, and analog/mixed-signal chipmakers. The group includes Marvell (MRVL -3%), ON Semi (ON -6.9%), Atmel (ATML -3.3%), Cypress (CY -4%), Lattice (LSCC -3.9%), Semtech (SMTC -6.9%), Cavium (CAVM -6%), PMC-Sierra (PMCS -2.9%), InPhi (IPHI -3.8%), and Silicon Labs (SLAB -2.9%). Chip packaging/testing firm Amkor (AMKR -5.7%) is also off; its Q1 report arrives on Monday.
    • As was the case with TI and Xilinx, soft telecom equipment chip demand was often blamed by those guiding light yesterday afternoon. Freescale (FSL -3.5%) stated it expects network processor division sales to be down Q/Q and RF (base station power amplifier) division sales to be flat. Microcontroller, automotive, and analog and sensor division sales are expected to rise.
    • Altera (ALTR -3.3%) stated its "telecom and wireless business, and particularly our wireless business globally looks to be quite weak in [Q2], while the rest for our business will in aggregate be flat to slightly up." Regarding its Q1 miss, the company notes "Industrial, test, compute and storage, and to a lesser extent military, fell short of our forecast" (share loss to Xilinx?).
    • Maxim reports seeing "broad-based softness in communications infrastructure demand" and soft industrial bookings to go with healthier mobile/auto demand. The Galaxy S6 appears to be giving a lift to Maxim's mobile sales.
    | Fri, Apr. 24, 2:03 PM | 1 Comment
  • Nov. 26, 2014, 2:52 PM
    • Chip stocks are outperforming after Analog Devices (ADI +5.2%) beat FQ4 estimates and offered in-line FQ1 guidance. The Philadelphia Semi Index (SOXX +1.9%) has made new highs.
    • Notable gainers include many analog/mixed-signal and telecom IC firms: TXN +3%. LLTC +2.7%. SMTC +3.1%. ISIL +3.3%. SWKS +3.7%. AVGO +2.9%. OVTI +3.2%. FSL +3.1%. EZCH +2.5%. XLNX +2.3%. ALTR +2.1%. MX +4.3%. PMCS +2.7%. BRCM +2%.
    • On its CC (transcript), ADI noted its telecom equipment chip sales are holding up well in spite of weak capex, aided by the fact its dollar content for 4G base stations is "at least 20% to 30% better" than for 3G base stations. The company also mentioned its lead times were stable in FQ4.
    | Nov. 26, 2014, 2:52 PM | 3 Comments
  • Oct. 31, 2014, 11:31 AM
    • Three weeks after providing a calendar Q3 warning that triggered a massive chip stock rout, Microchip (MCHP +7.3%) has provided Q4 guidance that's in-line with lowered estimates. The microcontroller vendor, which has often seen trends emerge ahead of peers, also said it saw most of its inventory correction in Q3, and expects Q4 sales to be just "slightly below typical seasonal levels."
    • Chip stocks are up strongly (SOXX +4%) on a day the Nasdaq is up 1.4%. Since Microchip's warning, a slew of analog chipmakers and microcontroller firms (e.g. Atmel, Freescale, STMicro, Intersil, Linear) have offered light Q4 guidance, and other firms have reported seeing high-end Android weakness (e.g. Synaptics, Cirrus Logic, Amkor).
    • On the other hand, several mobile chipmakers (Skyworks, RF Micro, TriQuint, Silicon Motion), some of which have decent iPhone exposure, have provided strong results and/or guidance. Other chipmakers, such as Broadcom, Texas Instruments, and Xilinx, have rallied after delivering in-line guidance.
    • Susquehanna's Chris Caso: "By now, we think it’s clear that the weakness MCHP saw in September is not company specific ... The question now is if the full extent of the weakness has been dialed into estimates. If it has, then this would be among the shortest and mildest downturns in many years."
    • Notable gainers: SNDK +3.9%. MU +4.1%. AMAT +3.9%. TXN +4.7%. NXPI +3.9%. NVDA +3.5%. MXIM +4.7%. LLTC +5.1%. FCS +9.6%. FSL +8.8%ADI +6.5%. TQNT +6.8%. RFMD +6.5%. ATML +5.9%. AVGO +5.1%. MRVL +4.7%. AMCC +8.9%. BRCM +3.6%. TSM +4.4%. ARMH +3.3%.
    • Intel (INTC +3.5%) has recovered most of the losses it saw yesterday due to Intesil's (ISIL +3.3%) results and guidance, and related comments about a PC chip inventory correction.
    | Oct. 31, 2014, 11:31 AM | 17 Comments
  • Oct. 9, 2014, 4:37 PM
    • Microchip (NASDAQ:MCHP) expects FQ2 revenue of $546.2M, below prior guidance of $560M-$575.9M and a $567.9M consensus.
    • CEO Steve Sanghi: "The month of September is usually a strong month for our revenue after the summer holiday period. This time, the September sales did not materialize to our expectations. The revenue miss was led by China where the September quarter is traditionally the strongest."
    • Sanghi also highlights Microchip's status as a bellwether for the chip industry, due to its 80K+ customers and recognition of distributor revenue based on sell-through to customers rather than distributor sell-in. "We believe that another industry correction has begun and that this correction will be seen more broadly across the industry in the near future."
    • MCHP -8.1% AH.
    | Oct. 9, 2014, 4:37 PM | 8 Comments
  • Jul. 23, 2014, 12:25 PM
    • Among the year's best tech performers, chip stocks are selling off (SOXX -1.8%) on an up day for the Nasdaq following weak numbers from FPGA giant Xilinx (XLNX -14.5%).
    • Xilinx missed FQ1 revenue estimates by over $18M, and also guided for FQ2 revenue to be well below consensus. The company blamed the FQ1 shortfall on soft defense and wireless sales. BMO and BofA/Merrill have downgraded Xilinx; the former thinks Xilinx's 28nm share might be peaking.
    • Xilinx stated on its CC (transcript) the wireless weakness was mostly due to soft 28nm chip sales to Chinese 4G base station vendors; Chinese 4G rollouts have long been viewed as a catalyst for both Xilinx and Altera (ALTR -4.7%). Aerospace/defense sales were hurt by program timing issues.
    • Meanwhile, switch/router vendor Juniper offered light Q3 guidance to go with a Q2 beat. The company noted on its CC (transcript) "market dynamics" for U.S. carriers, including M&A activity, are affecting project rollouts.
    • Also: Analog/mixed-signal IC vendor Linear (LLTC -4.1%) is selling off in spite of beating FQ4 estimates and guiding in-line (8%-11% Y/Y FQ1 rev. growth vs. 9.1% consensus).
    • Notable decliners: FSL -5.3%. IDTI -6.4%. EZCH -3.3%. PMCS -4.3%. LSCC -6.8%. CAVM -4.7%. SMTC -4.1%. ATML -3.2%. TQNT -3.1%. RFMD -2.9%. IRF -2.9%.
    • Qualcomm, NXP, TriQuint, and Cirrus Logic report after the bell.
    | Jul. 23, 2014, 12:25 PM | 2 Comments
  • Feb. 26, 2014, 11:24 AM
    • Chip stocks are outperforming (SOXX +1.1%) after Avago (AVGO +5.1%) posted an FQ1 beat and strong margin numbers (albeit while guiding light, as many expected), and STMicroelectronics (STM +3.9%) exec Paul Grimme states his company's European sales are stabilizing, with Germany leading the way.
    • Notable winners: AMBA +5.4%. AMCC +5.2%. CRUS +3.3%. SWKS +3%. QUIK +4.1%. INVN +2.7%. RFMD +3.5%. TQNT +3%. SIMO +2.7%. CAVM +3.6%. Nearly all of the aforementioned names have strong mobile and/or telecom equipment exposure.
    • RBC has hiked its Avago PT to $66 from $64, and says the chipmaker remains its "top play on China and global LTE deployments." With LSI in tow, the firm thinks FY15 (ends Oct. '15) EPS will top $5.
    • Morgan Stanley ($68 PT) is confident Avago can raise LSI's op. margin to 30% from 17% over the next few years, much as the company has doubled its own op. margin to 30% post-LBO.
    | Feb. 26, 2014, 11:24 AM | Comment!
  • Apr. 25, 2013, 8:28 PM
    Samsung Electronics (SSNLF.PK) says its Q1 profit rose 42% to a record high on strong smartphone sales. Net profit rose to a record KRW7.15T ($6.4B), up from KRW5.05T a year earlier. Operating profit rose 54% to KRW8.8T from KRW5.7T. Sales rose 16.8% to KRW52.9T from KRW45.3T, coming in in line with the company's guidance of KRW51T to KRW53T. The results stand in stark contrast those of Apple (AAPL), which earlier this week reported its first profit drop in a decade and forecast margins to decline in the current quarter ending in June.
    | Apr. 25, 2013, 8:28 PM | 95 Comments
  • Apr. 24, 2013, 12:28 PM
    Are wireless chip stocks decoupling from Apple? Even with Apple off slightly as bleak June quarter guidance outweighs fresh capital returns, iPhone/iPad combo chip supplier Broadcom (BRCM +6.6%) is surging thanks to a Q1 beat and strong Q2 guidance, and is helping out some peers - QCOM +1.4%, SWKS +2.6%, INVN +1.8%, SNDK +1%. During its earnings call, Broadcom, which also provides combo chips for many Samsung phones, stated mobile chip sales only fell 1.6% Q/Q in seasonally weak Q1, and forecast sequential growth for the business (Apple-dependent Cirrus Logic sure isn't doing the same). Qualcomm reports after the close.
    | Apr. 24, 2013, 12:28 PM | 4 Comments
  • Feb. 1, 2013, 1:34 PM
    Telecom chipmakers Cavium (CAVM +7.5%) and PMC-Sierra (PMCS +13.7%) soar after delivering Q4 beats (I, II), and contribute to a decent rally in chip stocks (SOXX +1.9%). Cavium guided on its Q4 call for Q1 revenue of $68.5M-$70.5M and EPS of $0.17-$0.19 vs. a consensus of $69.1M and $0.17. PMC guided on its call for Q1 revenue of $123M-$132M, largely above a $124.7M consensus. The numbers come amidst growing optimism (I, II) about 2013 telecom capex. Peers Broadcom (BRCM +2%), Marvell  (MRVL +3.1%), and LSI (LSI +4.7%) are all doing well.
    | Feb. 1, 2013, 1:34 PM | Comment!
  • Jan. 17, 2013, 1:19 PM
    TSMC (TSM +2.5%) has hit levels last seen during the bubble after delivering an in-line Q4 report (revenue was already known thanks to monthly reports) and guiding for a smaller Q/Q sales drop for seasonally weak Q1 than was expected. The world's top chip foundry claims 22% of Q4 wafer sales involved its cutting-edge 28nm process - TSMC struggled with 28nm yield issues earlier in 2012. Chip stocks are getting a lift from the report (SOXX +1.4%), and from ASML's guidance.
    | Jan. 17, 2013, 1:19 PM | Comment!
  • Dec. 21, 2012, 4:15 PM
    O2Micro (OIIM) warns it expects Q4 revenue of $16M-$17M, below prior guidance of $17M-$20M and a consensus of $18.6M. The company, no stranger to warnings, blames "broad-based weakness in demand in our end markets, coupled with lower than normal inventories being held in the supply chain." At least a few other chipmakers have similar problems. Shares are likely to fall after rising 8% in regular trading. (PR)
    | Dec. 21, 2012, 4:15 PM | Comment!
SOXS Description
The Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bear 3x Shares seeks daily investment results, before fees and expenses, of 300% of the inverse (or opposite) of the price performance of the PHLX Semiconductor Sector Index ("Semiconductor Index"). There is no guarantee the fund will meet its stated investment objective.
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Sector: Technology
Country: United States
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