Commercial Business Segment Makes Staples A Deep Value Investment With A High Income Stream
Non-Correlating Stock Ideas
Non-Correlating Stock Ideas
Staples Clearance Sale Going On Now
Chris DeMuth Jr. • 37 Comments
Chris DeMuth Jr. • 37 Comments
Tue, Nov. 29, 10:06 AM
- Cyber Monday online sales increased 12.1% to $3.45B, according to an updated tally from Adobe.
- Mobile spending was up 34% Y/Y to $1.07B to account for 31% of sales.
- Conversion rates were highest for desktops at 6.3%, while smartphones (2.8%) and tablets (5.1%) were still above holiday averages.
- Holiday shopping season sales through November 28 are up 7.6% to $39.97B.
- The S&P Retail ETF (NYSEARCA:XRT) is up 1.81% over the last week to outpace broad market averages. The list of outperformers over the last week -- which factors in the pre-Thanksgiving buzz, Black Friday reports, and Cyber Monday numbers -- includes Target (NYSE:TGT), Wal-Mart (NYSE:WMT), Hasbro (NASDAQ:HAS), Mattel (NASDAQ:MAT), Staples (NASDAQ:SPLS), DSW (NYSE:DSW), Barnes & Noble (NYSE:BKS), Dollar Tree (NASDAQ:DLTR), Dollar General (NYSE:DG), Burlington Stores (NYSE:BURL), The Children's Place (NASDAQ:PLCE) and Best Buy (NYSE:BBY). An interesting sidenote is that all the retail names listed above topped the return of Amazon for the 5-session period.
Tue, Nov. 22, 10:01 AM
- Dollar Tree (NASDAQ:DLTR) is up 11% after delivering a solid quarter that included an increase in Family Dollar acquisition benefits.
- Burlingon Stores (NYSE:BURL) races 15% higher after its Q3 results topped expectations.
- DSW (DSW +7.5%) and Chico's (CHS +7.3%) also turned in solid reports to round out the good cheer in the sector.
- Other retailers on the move include Dollar General (DG +3.1%), Big Lots (BIG +3.8%), Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings (OLLI +1.9%), American Eagle Outfitters (AEO +3.5%), Five Below (FIVE +2.8%), and Fred's (FRED +1.8%).
- Even the bigger chains are bringing in buyers, with Target (TGT +1.3%), Wal-Mart (WMT +1.5%), Staples (SPLS +1.8%) and Office Depot (ODP +3.2%) all ahead of broad market averages.
- The general theme in the retail sector today is margin improvement as some merchandise and operational costs were shown to have been reeled in to improve profitability.
Thu, Nov. 17, 6:42 AM
- Staples (NASDAQ:SPLS) reports sales decreased 2% in Q3 after excluding the impact of changes in foreign exchange rates, store closures and divestiture.
- North American stores and online sales reduced 4.5% to $2.5B and comp fell 3%.
- North American Commercial sales declined 2.9% to 2.11B.
- International operations sales slipped 7.2% to $749M.
- Gross margin rate down 30 bps to 26.9%.
- Non-GAAP operating margin rate expanded 22 bps to 6.6%.
- Q4 Guidance: Sales: down Y/Y; Non-GAAP EPS: $0.23 to $0.26.
- In FY2016, the company expects to generate ~$700M free cash flow and plans to close down ~50 stores in North America.
Thu, Nov. 17, 6:01 AM
Wed, Nov. 16, 5:30 PM
Thu, Oct. 27, 9:47 AM
- There's some mind-blowing numbers out on e-commerce as part of the 2016 Adobe holiday season forecast.
- E-commerce sales are expected to increase 11% this year to $91.6B. Though the pace is slower than what was seen in some recent years, it still triples the overall growth rate in retail.
- Cyber Monday is set to be the largest online shopping day of all time, with $3.36B in sales anticipated.
- Large retailers are seen outpacing smaller retailers by a wide margin, 17% growth vs. 7% growth. That means more market share for Amazon (NASDAQ:AMZN), Wal-Mart (NYSE:WMT), Target (NYSE:TGT), Best (NYSE:BBY) and Staples (NASDAQ:SPLS) in comparison to chains which already have a harder time leveraging their shipping costs.
- Adobe says hot gifts this year will include virtual reality devices, Pokemon, Barbie, Lego, Hot Wheels and Frozen toys.
- A stretching out of the holiday season from early October until past Christmas could help FedEx (NYSE:FDX) and UPS (NYSE:UPS) manage the logistics more efficiently.
- Related stocks: SNE, HAS, MAT, NILE, EBAY, DIS.
- Related ETFs: IBUY, XRT.
- Full Adobe report
Tue, Oct. 18, 7:49 AM
- Cerberus is in talks to take over the European stores of Staples (NASDAQ:SPLS), according to The Telegraph.
- Staples owns just over 200 stores in Europe. A retreat from Europe by the company has been in the works since the merger with Office Depot was blocked by U.S. regulators.
- SPLS +1.62% premarket to $7.53. Shares have traded in a range of $7.38 to $13.50 over the last 52 weeks.
Sat, Oct. 8, 9:09 AM
- Retailers want the U.S. election over and quick. The negative tone has created a degree of uncertainty with consumers that has impacted spending and traffic patterns, according to a host of top execs.
- "There is just great uncertainty as to what is going to happen in the U.S. in particular as a result of the outcome of the election," noted Yum Brands (NYSE:YUM) CEO Greg Creed recently. "People may be hunkering down a little bit," he added.
- Expect the topic to be raised on a large number of Q3 earnings calls over the next month to explain away revenue misses.
- It's not an excuse that everyone is buying into. Retail Metrics president Ken Perkins doubts that daily shopping needs are cut short by election fascination and notes consumer confidence is measuring high. Then there's Amazon (NASDAQ:AMZN) which seems to be rolling right along without any Clinton-Trump fatigue.
- Beyond the election wildcard, two underestimated factors impacting some retailers in a more concrete way are the lower level of SNAP (food stamps) benefits being paid out by the government and the elevated cost of health care. There is also the massive challenge with a millennial generation that shuns chains. Just ask anyone in the restaurant sector (NASDAQ:BITE).
- Add it all up and it makes for a challenging period for a mix of retailers that includes Dollar General (NYSE:DG), Dollar Tree (NASDAQ:DLTR), Fred's (NASDAQ:FRED), Ross Stores (NASDAQ:ROST), Wal-Mart (NYSE:WMT), Target (NYSE:TGT), Staples (NASDAQ:SPLS), McDonald's (NYSE:MCD), Popeyes Louisiana Kitchen (NASDAQ:PLKI), Wendy's (NYSE:WEN), Supervalu (NYSE:SVU), Kroger (NYSE:KR), SIgnet (NYSE:SIG), TJX Companies (NYSE:TJX), and Casey's General Stores (NASDAQ:CASY).
- Retail ETFs: XLY, XRT, VCR, RTH, RETL, IYK, FXD, IYC, FDIS, SCC, RCD, UCC, PMR, UGE, SZK, CNDF, FTXD, JHMC.
Thu, Oct. 6, 9:40 AM
- Wal-Mart (NYSE:WMT) management is talking quite a bit about e-commerce during its Investment Community presentation.
- While that's not a surprise, there's still an underlying tone that the company's strategy is to ride out the extra costs of tech and e-commerce investments in order to adapt and evolve.
- "We’re moving with speed to position the company to win the future of retail," noted CEO Doug McMillon. He also said point blank that the world's largest retailer is going to look more like an e-commerce company over time. That's a stipulation that may have been inconceivable three or four years ago.
- Keeping with the e-commerce theme, guidance on store openings for the next two years was on the light side.
- Naturally, the $3B acquisition of Jet.com was a talking point
- The retailer also disclosed in a SEC filing yesterday that it has increased its position in JD.com to 10.8% of the shares that don't have voting power.
- Shares of Wal-Mart are down 2.69% in early trading after the company's guidance came in below expectations.
- The all-in bet by Wal-Mart on e-commerce has implications for other online sellers such as Target (NYSE:TGT), Staples (NASDAQ:SPLS), Best Buy (NYSE:BBY) and (of course) Amazon (NASDAQ:AMZN).
- Previously: Wal-Mart execs in the spotlight at investment meeting (Oct. 6)
Mon, Sep. 26, 8:08 AM
Thu, Sep. 15, 1:59 PM
- A new report from Moody's makes the argument that brick-and-mortar retailers such as Wal-Mart (WMT +1.2%) and Best Buy (BBY +0.1%) are thriving due to their sheer physical size. The ratings agency doesn't believe mass store closing are in the future, but sees a continuing trend toward "repurposing" of the store fleets to evolve to the multi-channel world.
- The pitch runs counter to the calls from some analysts for a mass reduction in square footage by major chains.
- Moody's on WMT: "Walmart's recent acquisition of Jet.com, while not a threat to Amazon's position, provides Walmart a speed advantage in boosting online growth by leveraging Jet's ready-made platform."
- Moody's on BBY:" Best Buy is an example of a retailer that continues to successfully transition online, with penetration approaching 20% of total sales."
- The interesting take from Moody's is probably relevant to other larger retail chains such as Staples (SPLS +1.8%), Target (TGT +0.8%), Walgreen Boots Alliance (WBA +0.3%), L Brands (LB +0.6%), Macy's (M +1%), and TJX Companies (TJX +0.8%) as well.
- Moody's press release
Thu, Sep. 15, 9:02 AM
- Retail sales fell in August on a month-over-month comparison. The drop wasn't a large surprise considering the onslaught of warnings from the retail sector on store traffic.
- 8 out of the 13 retail categories showed negative growth during the month, with the largest drops recorded in the building material/garden equipment/supplies dealers and miscellaneous store retailers categories. The broad weakness turned on its head the argument that money freed up from a lower level of auto sales would be funneled into other consumer purchases.
- Food services and drinking places showed a +0.9% M/M and +5.8% Y/Y increase in a somewhat surprising result considering the harsh read from Black Box Intelligence on August same-store sales in the restaurant sector BITE. Is the discrepancy an indication that independent restaurants are taking market share?
- On a year-over-year basis, retail sales were up 1.9%. As expected the Amazon-influenced nonstore retailers category did the heavy lifting with an 11% gain. Larger U.S. retail chains (WMT, SPLS, TGT, BBY, DG, COST, KR, WBA, CVS, LOW, HD, SWY) have been raising the issue of pricing pressure in recent conference presentations and guidance updates which could be a nagging sales deflator for the balance of the year.
- Previously: Retail sales disappoint in August (Sept. 15)
- Retail ETFs: XLP, XLY, VDC, XRT, VCR, RTH, RETL, FXG, PBJ, IYK, FXD, IYC, RHS, FDIS, PEJ, FSTA, PSL, SCC, RCD, UCC, PEZ, PMR, PSCC, UGE, PSCD, SZK, BITE, CNDF, CNSF, IBUY, JHMC, JHMS.
Tue, Sep. 13, 4:35 PM
Sat, Aug. 27, 11:34 AM
- Many retailers are tightening up this year by reducing their store count or converting more locations to e-commerce fulfillment centers. Analysts note that although the strategy will lower revenue, over time the group should see improved bottom lines as underperforming stores are cut back and online efficiency improves. Amid the skittish trading with chain store stocks there could be some value deals.
- Store chains that currently trade with a PE ratio below 15 and offer a dividend yield of at least 2% include: TLRD, BKE, SMRT, GPS, AEO, CHS, CATO, TGT, KSS, M, HVT, WSM, PIR, BKS, OUTR, ODP, SPLS.
- ETFs: XLY, XRT, VCR, RTH, RETL, FXD, IYC, FDIS, SCC, RCD, UCC, PMR, JHMC, CNDF.
Wed, Aug. 17, 6:59 AM
- Staples (NASDAQ:SPLS) reports sales fell 2% in Q2 after excluding the impact of changes in foreign exchange rates, store closures and divestiture.
- North American stores and online sales decreased 5.7% to $1.99B and comp down 4%.
- North American Commercial sales dropped 0.2% to 2.04B.
- International operations sales squeezed 7.5% to $721M.
- Gross margin rate slipped 50 bps to 25.1%.
- Non-GAAP operating margin rate up 14 bps to 2.7%.
- Q3 Guidance: Sales: down Y/Y; Non-GAAP EPS: $0.32 to $0.35.
- In FY2016, the company expects to generate ~$600M free cash flow and plans to close down ~50 stores in North America.
Wed, Aug. 17, 6:02 AM