Commercial Business Segment Makes Staples A Deep Value Investment With A High Income Stream
Non-Correlating Stock Ideas
Non-Correlating Stock Ideas
Staples Clearance Sale Going On Now
Chris DeMuth Jr. • 37 Comments
Chris DeMuth Jr. • 37 Comments
Today, 9:47 AM
- There's some mind-blowing numbers out on e-commerce as part of the 2016 Adobe holiday season forecast.
- E-commerce sales are expected to increase 11% this year to $91.6B. Though the pace is slower than what was seen in some recent years, it still triples the overall growth rate in retail.
- Cyber Monday is set to be the largest online shopping day of all time, with $3.36B in sales anticipated.
- Large retailers are seen outpacing smaller retailers by a wide margin, 17% growth vs. 7% growth. That means more market share for Amazon (NASDAQ:AMZN), Wal-Mart (NYSE:WMT), Target (NYSE:TGT), Best (NYSE:BBY) and Staples (NASDAQ:SPLS) in comparison to chains which already have a harder time leveraging their shipping costs.
- Adobe says hot gifts this year will include virtual reality devices, Pokemon, Barbie, Lego, Hot Wheels and Frozen toys.
- A stretching out of the holiday season from early October until past Christmas could help FedEx (NYSE:FDX) and UPS (NYSE:UPS) manage the logistics more efficiently.
- Related stocks: SNE, HAS, MAT, NILE, EBAY, DIS.
- Related ETFs: IBUY, XRT.
- Full Adobe report
Tue, Oct. 18, 7:49 AM
- Cerberus is in talks to take over the European stores of Staples (NASDAQ:SPLS), according to The Telegraph.
- Staples owns just over 200 stores in Europe. A retreat from Europe by the company has been in the works since the merger with Office Depot was blocked by U.S. regulators.
- SPLS +1.62% premarket to $7.53. Shares have traded in a range of $7.38 to $13.50 over the last 52 weeks.
Sat, Oct. 8, 9:09 AM
- Retailers want the U.S. election over and quick. The negative tone has created a degree of uncertainty with consumers that has impacted spending and traffic patterns, according to a host of top execs.
- "There is just great uncertainty as to what is going to happen in the U.S. in particular as a result of the outcome of the election," noted Yum Brands (NYSE:YUM) CEO Greg Creed recently. "People may be hunkering down a little bit," he added.
- Expect the topic to be raised on a large number of Q3 earnings calls over the next month to explain away revenue misses.
- It's not an excuse that everyone is buying into. Retail Metrics president Ken Perkins doubts that daily shopping needs are cut short by election fascination and notes consumer confidence is measuring high. Then there's Amazon (NASDAQ:AMZN) which seems to be rolling right along without any Clinton-Trump fatigue.
- Beyond the election wildcard, two underestimated factors impacting some retailers in a more concrete way are the lower level of SNAP (food stamps) benefits being paid out by the government and the elevated cost of health care. There is also the massive challenge with a millennial generation that shuns chains. Just ask anyone in the restaurant sector (NASDAQ:BITE).
- Add it all up and it makes for a challenging period for a mix of retailers that includes Dollar General (NYSE:DG), Dollar Tree (NASDAQ:DLTR), Fred's (NASDAQ:FRED), Ross Stores (NASDAQ:ROST), Wal-Mart (NYSE:WMT), Target (NYSE:TGT), Staples (NASDAQ:SPLS), McDonald's (NYSE:MCD), Popeyes Louisiana Kitchen (NASDAQ:PLKI), Wendy's (NYSE:WEN), Supervalu (NYSE:SVU), Kroger (NYSE:KR), SIgnet (NYSE:SIG), TJX Companies (NYSE:TJX), and Casey's General Stores (NASDAQ:CASY).
- Retail ETFs: XLY, XRT, VCR, RTH, RETL, IYK, FXD, IYC, FDIS, SCC, RCD, UCC, PMR, UGE, SZK, CNDF, FTXD, JHMC.
Thu, Oct. 6, 9:40 AM
- Wal-Mart (NYSE:WMT) management is talking quite a bit about e-commerce during its Investment Community presentation.
- While that's not a surprise, there's still an underlying tone that the company's strategy is to ride out the extra costs of tech and e-commerce investments in order to adapt and evolve.
- "We’re moving with speed to position the company to win the future of retail," noted CEO Doug McMillon. He also said point blank that the world's largest retailer is going to look more like an e-commerce company over time. That's a stipulation that may have been inconceivable three or four years ago.
- Keeping with the e-commerce theme, guidance on store openings for the next two years was on the light side.
- Naturally, the $3B acquisition of Jet.com was a talking point
- The retailer also disclosed in a SEC filing yesterday that it has increased its position in JD.com to 10.8% of the shares that don't have voting power.
- Shares of Wal-Mart are down 2.69% in early trading after the company's guidance came in below expectations.
- The all-in bet by Wal-Mart on e-commerce has implications for other online sellers such as Target (NYSE:TGT), Staples (NASDAQ:SPLS), Best Buy (NYSE:BBY) and (of course) Amazon (NASDAQ:AMZN).
- Previously: Wal-Mart execs in the spotlight at investment meeting (Oct. 6)
Mon, Sep. 26, 8:08 AM
Thu, Sep. 15, 1:59 PM
- A new report from Moody's makes the argument that brick-and-mortar retailers such as Wal-Mart (WMT +1.2%) and Best Buy (BBY +0.1%) are thriving due to their sheer physical size. The ratings agency doesn't believe mass store closing are in the future, but sees a continuing trend toward "repurposing" of the store fleets to evolve to the multi-channel world.
- The pitch runs counter to the calls from some analysts for a mass reduction in square footage by major chains.
- Moody's on WMT: "Walmart's recent acquisition of Jet.com, while not a threat to Amazon's position, provides Walmart a speed advantage in boosting online growth by leveraging Jet's ready-made platform."
- Moody's on BBY:" Best Buy is an example of a retailer that continues to successfully transition online, with penetration approaching 20% of total sales."
- The interesting take from Moody's is probably relevant to other larger retail chains such as Staples (SPLS +1.8%), Target (TGT +0.8%), Walgreen Boots Alliance (WBA +0.3%), L Brands (LB +0.6%), Macy's (M +1%), and TJX Companies (TJX +0.8%) as well.
- Moody's press release
Thu, Sep. 15, 9:02 AM
- Retail sales fell in August on a month-over-month comparison. The drop wasn't a large surprise considering the onslaught of warnings from the retail sector on store traffic.
- 8 out of the 13 retail categories showed negative growth during the month, with the largest drops recorded in the building material/garden equipment/supplies dealers and miscellaneous store retailers categories. The broad weakness turned on its head the argument that money freed up from a lower level of auto sales would be funneled into other consumer purchases.
- Food services and drinking places showed a +0.9% M/M and +5.8% Y/Y increase in a somewhat surprising result considering the harsh read from Black Box Intelligence on August same-store sales in the restaurant sector BITE. Is the discrepancy an indication that independent restaurants are taking market share?
- On a year-over-year basis, retail sales were up 1.9%. As expected the Amazon-influenced nonstore retailers category did the heavy lifting with an 11% gain. Larger U.S. retail chains (WMT, SPLS, TGT, BBY, DG, COST, KR, WBA, CVS, LOW, HD, SWY) have been raising the issue of pricing pressure in recent conference presentations and guidance updates which could be a nagging sales deflator for the balance of the year.
- Previously: Retail sales disappoint in August (Sept. 15)
- Retail ETFs: XLP, XLY, VDC, XRT, VCR, RTH, RETL, FXG, PBJ, IYK, FXD, IYC, RHS, FDIS, PEJ, FSTA, PSL, SCC, RCD, UCC, PEZ, PMR, PSCC, UGE, PSCD, SZK, BITE, CNDF, CNSF, IBUY, JHMC, JHMS.
Tue, Sep. 13, 4:35 PM
Sat, Aug. 27, 11:34 AM
- Many retailers are tightening up this year by reducing their store count or converting more locations to e-commerce fulfillment centers. Analysts note that although the strategy will lower revenue, over time the group should see improved bottom lines as underperforming stores are cut back and online efficiency improves. Amid the skittish trading with chain store stocks there could be some value deals.
- Store chains that currently trade with a PE ratio below 15 and offer a dividend yield of at least 2% include: TLRD, BKE, SMRT, GPS, AEO, CHS, CATO, TGT, KSS, M, HVT, WSM, PIR, BKS, OUTR, ODP, SPLS.
- ETFs: XLY, XRT, VCR, RTH, RETL, FXD, IYC, FDIS, SCC, RCD, UCC, PMR, JHMC, CNDF.
Wed, Aug. 17, 6:59 AM
- Staples (NASDAQ:SPLS) reports sales fell 2% in Q2 after excluding the impact of changes in foreign exchange rates, store closures and divestiture.
- North American stores and online sales decreased 5.7% to $1.99B and comp down 4%.
- North American Commercial sales dropped 0.2% to 2.04B.
- International operations sales squeezed 7.5% to $721M.
- Gross margin rate slipped 50 bps to 25.1%.
- Non-GAAP operating margin rate up 14 bps to 2.7%.
- Q3 Guidance: Sales: down Y/Y; Non-GAAP EPS: $0.32 to $0.35.
- In FY2016, the company expects to generate ~$600M free cash flow and plans to close down ~50 stores in North America.
Wed, Aug. 17, 6:02 AM
Tue, Aug. 16, 5:30 PM
Fri, Aug. 12, 8:49 AM
- Retail sales came in flat for July with weakness in grocery stores, restaurants, and department stores standing out. The U.S. economy had produced three straight months of positive retail sales growth before the disappointment in July.
- Once again, the nonstore retailers category (primarily e-commerce) led growth with a 1.3% M/M and 14.1% Y/Y gain in July. Sales at health and personal care stores were also solid with a 7.8% Y/Y rise.
- Retail sales in June were revised to +0.9% from +0.7% in a positive development for the sector.
- Retail Sales report (.pdf)
- The S&P Retail ETF (NYSEARCA:XRT) is up 0.64% premarket to $45.55 as it looks to extend on yesterday's gain.
- Retail ETFs: XLP, XLY, VDC, XRT, VCR, RTH, RETL, FXG, PBJ, IYK, FXD, IYC, RHS, FDIS, PEJ, FSTA, PSL, SCC, RCD, UCC, PEZ, PMR, PSCC, UGE, PSCD, SZK, BITE, JHMS, IBUY, CNSF, CNDF, JHMC.
- Related stocks: WMT, TGT, COST, SPLS, HD, LOW, AMZN.
Wed, Jul. 13, 9:58 AM
- The new president of Staples' (SPLS -0.8%) North American business is giving himself until October before he fires off changes. The exec plans to use the time to gather information.
- Steve Matyas has a pretty serious challenge on his hands with some of the Christmas season strategy already set.
- Matyas seems to know that Staples need to narrow its focus. "A couple of years ago, if someone told me we’d be selling Chef Boyardee in our stores, I wouldn’t have believed it," he observed to New York Post.
Mon, Jul. 11, 8:38 AM
- Staples (NASDAQ:SPLS) announced that it has named Steve Matyas, President, North American Retail. Matyas previously served as a President of Staples Canada/Bureau en Gros since July, 2000, and will continue to serve as a member of the company’s executive committee.
- “Steve has over 25 years of deep experience leading Staples Canada, and a proven track record of delivering profitable growth and innovation,” said Shira Goodman, Interim Chief Executive Officer, Staples, Inc. “Realigning our retail leadership will strengthen our position as we continue to right size our store network and evolve to meet the changing needs of business customers.”
- Press Release
Tue, Jul. 5, 11:35 AM
- Staples (SPLS -3.6%) is considering pulling out of the U.K. as it looks at options for cutting costs in Europe, according to a report from The Telegraph. The strategic review began in May after the company's merger with Office Depot was blocked.
- The company has 107 stores in the U.K. and a total of 259 stores in Europe.