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Today, 9:15 AM
Yesterday, 6:13 PM
- In addition to First Solar and Sunrun, SunEdison, SolarEdge, SunPower, and Canadian Solar are lower after SolarCity (down 32.6%) missed its Q4 installation guidance and offered a weaker-than-expected Q1 forecast.
- SunEdison (NYSE:SUNE), set to acquire SolarCity rival Vivint Solar, is down 6.1%. SolarEdge (NASDAQ:SEDG), which counts SolarCity as a major client, is down 6.6%. SunPower (NASDAQ:SPWR) is down 4.2%, and Canadian Solar (NASDAQ:CSIQ) down 3.5%.
- SunEdison, SunPower, and Canadian are expected to post Q4 results in the coming weeks. SolarEdge beat FQ2 estimates and issued strong FQ3 guidance last week.
Mon, Feb. 8, 2:37 PM
- Many tech stocks are seeing 6%+ losses as investors flee to safety yet again. The Nasdaq is down 3.4%, and the S&P 2.7%.
- As was the case on Friday following Tableau and LinkedIn's disappointing guidance, a slew of enterprise tech stocks are seeing big losses, with cloud software and security tech names well-represented on the casualty list.
- Also: Solar stocks are having another brutal day (TAN -6.7%) as energy stocks get routed amid fears Chesapeake Energy is close to bankruptcy. WTI crude oil is once more near $30/barrel.
- Enterprise software decliners: Adobe (ADBE -9.6%), Paylocity (PCTY -19.1%), Salesforce (CRM -9.9%), Workday (WDAY -12%), Guidewire (GWRE -12.5%), ServiceNow (NOW -11.5%), Zendesk (ZEN -13.8%), Paycom (PAYC -13.4%), Marin Software (MRIN -10.3%), Castlight (CSLT -8.4%), Cornerstone OnDemand (CSOD -12.1%), Atlassian (TEAM -13.2%), inContact (SAAS -9.6%), and Bazaarvoice (BV -14.5%).
- Enterprise security decliners: Palo Alto Networks (PANW -12.2%), FireEye (FEYE -9.8%), CyberArk (CYBR -11.5%), Proofpoint (PFPT -12.7%), Qualys (QLYS -8.9%), Imperva (IMPV -9.7%), Rapid7 (RPD -9.4%), and Barracuda (CUDA -8.4%).
- Solar decliners: SunEdison (SUNE -11.3%), SunPower (SPWR -8.8%), JinkoSolar (JKS -7.6%), SolarEdge (SEDG -7.9%), Yingli (YGE -7.1%), TerraForm Power (TERP -10.7%), and TerraForm Global (GLBL -9.2%).
- Other major decliners: Micron (MU -9.1%), Western Digital (WDC -10.5%), Arista (ANET -10.9%), Universal Display (OLED -10.6%), Rackspace (RAX -11.3%), Fitbit (FIT -8.7%), Nimble Storage (NMBL -11.3%), Sierra Wireless (SWIR -9.9%), Rocket Fuel (FUEL -9.8%), Knowles (KN -9%), Mitel (MITL -8.9%), and Alarm.com (ALRM -8.9%).
- Previously covered: Yelp, Cognizant, Tableau, Globant, Ambarella, European tech stocks
Fri, Jan. 22, 10:27 AM
- A day after Janney upgraded SunPower (NASDAQ:SPWR) to Buy, Barclays' Jon Windham has upgraded to Overweight, while hiking his target by $6 to $32 and predicting U.S. solar demand (due to benefit from the recent ITC extension) will remain strong through 2020.
- Coverage has been launched on Sunrun (NASDAQ:RUN) with an Overweight rating and $12 target. Larger rival SolarCity (up 4.9%) has been started with an Overweight rating and $49target.
- Though still down strongly in 2016, SunPower and Sunrun have each risen over 20% from respective Wednesday intraday lows of $19.68 and $6.94. The Nasdaq is up 2.3% today.
Thu, Jan. 21, 10:16 AM
- Believing the company's recent selloff spells a buying opportunity, Janney's Michael Gaugler has upgraded SunPower (NASDAQ:SPWR) to Buy. His target remains $28.
- The upgrade comes after SunPower fell 28% from a Jan. 5 close of $30.46, taking part in a market selloff during which solar stocks (pressured by plunging oil prices and an energy stock rout) were among the worst performers. Q4 results are expected in the coming weeks.
- Two weeks ago: Goldman downgrades SunPower and Sunrun, upgrades First Solar and SolarEdge
Tue, Jan. 12, 2:18 PM
- Solar stocks haven't been unscathed as energy stocks in general see fresh selling pressure. The declines come on a day in which WTI crude is down 4.1% to $30.11/barrel, and Nymex natural gas down 5% to $2.28/MMBtu. The S&P is down 0.4%, and the Nasdaq 0.3%.
- Beaten-down SunEdison (SUNE -16%), which fell sharply last week after announcing dilutive loan and debt exchange deals, is headlining the list of major decliners. Axiom Capital's Gordon Johnson, pessimistic as ever, declared today he's now "more cautious" on SunEdison's ability to survive 2016, and that the company's yieldco drop-down strategy has unraveled.
- Other notable decliners inclue SolarCity (SCTY -8.1%), SunPower (SPWR -5.1%), Canadian Solar (CSIQ -5.7%), SolarEdge (SEDG -7%), Enphase (ENPH -13.2%), Sunrun (RUN -8.7%), and SunEdison's TerraForm Global (GLBL -9.5%) and TerraForm Power (TERP -4.4%) yieldcos.
- The Guggenheim Solar ETF (TAN -2.9%) is down 17% in 2016, and near a 52-week low of $25.25.
Thu, Jan. 7, 2:32 PM
- Solar stocks are among the biggest casualties as the Nasdaq drops 2.8% and markets generally go into risk-off mode. After soaring last month in response to U.S. renewable tax credit extensions, the Guggenheim Solar ETF (NYSEARCA:TAN) is now just slightly over $2 above a 52-week low of $25.25.
- SunEdison (down 33%) is the biggest decliner in the group, after having announced a set of dilutive debt offerings and exchange transactions. Canadian Solar (CSIQ -14.4%), JinkoSolar (JKS -14.6%), Solar3D (SLTD -11.2%), Sky Solar (SKYS -16.6%), and RGS Energy (RGSE -10.4%) are also seeing double-digit losses.
- Other major decliners: SolarCity (SCTY -6.8%), First Solar (FSLR -5.5%), SunPower (SPWR -9.9%), Enphase (ENPH -6%), SolarEdge (SEDG -5.3%), TerraForm Power (TERP -8.2%), TerraForm Global (GLBL -5.7%), and JA Solar (JASO -5.3%).
Tue, Jan. 5, 9:28 AM
- Goldman's Brian Lee has upgraded two solar plays with heavy U.S. exposure - First Solar (NASDAQ:FSLR) and SolarEdge (NASDAQ:SEDG) - to Buy. And he has downgraded two others - SunPower (NASDAQ:SPWR) and Sunrun (NASDAQ:RUN) - to Neutral.
- Lee expects First Solar ($100 target) to be "a key beneficiary of CA's decision to raise its renewable mandate to 50 percent," as well as of the U.S. ITC extensions that led First Solar and many peers to recently soar. He also touts First Solar's growing international pipeline, and argues its strong balance sheet positions it well to "navigate more selective financing markets and maintain a relatively low cost of capital – while at the same time providing financial flexibility to fund projects off its balance sheet or be opportunistic via M&A to add to pipeline/backlog."
- SolarEdge ($41 target) is deemed "the optimal way to leverage the rooftop solar investment theme given its strong balance sheet and cash flow generation." Lee notes the company gets ~75% of its sales from the U.S. residential market, and thinks energy storage (fueled by a Tesla partnership) could provide 10%-15% EPS upside by 2017, thus making SolarEdge "an early play on the emerging grid batteries investment theme." Meanwhile, fears of ASP pressure (a long-time concern) are considered overdone.
- Lee on SunPower ($35 target): "Following a November 2015 analyst day that focused more on technology differentiation than financial metrics, we see limited catalysts to drive SPWR shares higher compared to other names in our coverage. Further, we await improved disclosures, particularly on the non-GAAP side and visibility into announced p-type module volume expansion in 2016-2017, to become more constructive again." Nonetheless, Lee still likes SunPower's diverse end-market exposure, as well as its healthy balance sheet and ongoing module efficiency gains.
- FSLR +5.3% premarket to $70.23. SEDG +6.1% to $29.70. SPWR -0.2% to $30.29. RUN -2.5% to $10.93.
Mon, Jan. 4, 6:44 PM
- Eduardo Medina, previously head of business development for Spanish renewable energy project developer Acciona Energia, has been named SunPower's (NASDAQ:SPWR) EVP of power plants. He'll be in charge of SunPower's global power plant business development efforts.
- Medina will be based out of SunPower's Lyon, France office. The company's Q3 power plant revenue totaled $133.2M (30% of total revenue).
Dec. 21, 2015, 11:11 AM
- The Guggenheim Solar ETF (TAN +2.1%) is now up 11% since Congress agreed six days ago to a budget compromise (officially passed on Friday) that involved extending the solar investment tax credit (ITC) and wind production tax credit (PTC). Today's gains come with the Nasdaq up 0.6%.
- U.S. solar stocks naturally continue headlining the list of gainers. The list includes SunPower (SPWR +3.4%), First Solar (FSLR +3.3%), Sunrun (RUN +6.9%), Enphase (ENPH +8%), 8point3 Energy (CAFD +4.1%), RGS Energy (RGSE +19.6%), and Solar3D (SLTD +4.5%).
- Other winners include JinkoSolar (JKS +4.7%), ReneSola (SOL +8%), Yingli (YGE +3.5%), China Sunergy (CSUN +4.2%), TerraForm Global (GLBL +3.2%), and SolarEdge (SEDG +3.2%), the last of which depends heavily on the U.S. residential market.
- Citing (what else?) the tax credit extensions, Morgan Stanley's Stephen Byrd has respectively hiked his SolarCity (SCTY -0.3%), First Solar, SunPower, and Sunrun targets by $18, $2, $2, and $5 to $104, $70, $43, and $28. Bernstein and KeyBanc respectively upgraded SolarCity and Sunrun last Thursday.
Dec. 16, 2015, 9:52 AM
- Solar stocks are flying higher (TAN +6.4%) after House Republicans unveiled (as part of a compromise with Democrats that involved lifting a U.S. oil export ban) that would keep the solar investment tax credit (ITC, has been set to expire at the end of 2016) at 30% through 2019, before being phased down through 2022.
- In addition, the wind production tax credit (PTC) would be extended through 2020, albeit with a phase-down from a current level of 2.3 cents per kWh that would start in 2017.
- U.S. solar firms are naturally among the biggest gainers: The group includes SolarCity (SCTY +24.6%), SunEdison (SUNE +17%), First Solar (FSLR +8.5%), SunPower (SPWR +14.3%), Sunrun (RUN +23.1%), TerraForm Power (TERP +8.3%), 8point3 Energy (CAFD +5.6%), Solar3D (SLTD +4.6%), and RGS Energy (RGSE +6.9%). SunEdison/TerraForm also have healthy wind exposure. Enphase (ENPH +29.1%) is soaring on the news and a Roth upgrade to Buy.
- Israel's SolarEdge (SEDG +14.4%), which has strong exposure to U.S. installers, is also surging. Other winners include Canadian Solar (CSIQ +8.4%), Trina (TSL +4.9%), JinkoSolar (JKS +7.3%), JA Solar (JASO +3.1%), China Sunergy (CSUN +3.8%), and TerraForm Global (GLBL +5.6%). JA Solar has also been upgraded to Buy by Roth.
Dec. 16, 2015, 9:14 AM
Dec. 14, 2015, 1:41 PM
- Solar stocks are posting big gains (TAN +4.8%) on a quiet day for equities after representatives of 195 countries (including the U.S. and major developing nations such as China and India) reached a deal in Paris to curb greenhouse gas emissions. Coal stocks are going in the opposite direction.
- Also: 1) Oil prices are bouncing after trading near multi-year lows earlier today. WTI crude is up 2.2% to $36.40/barrel. 2) Trina Solar (up 11.4%) has received a preliminary going-private offer at a 21.5% premium to Friday's close.
- U.S. firms SolarCity (SCTY +8.4%), Sunrun (RUN +13.4%), TerraForm Power (TERP +8%), and RGS Energy (RGSE +25%) are among the standouts. Other U.S. gainers include First Solar (FSLR +4.6%), SunPower (SPWR +6.5%) and Vivint (VSLR +2.8%). First Solar tumbled last week in response to its 2016 guidance; SunPower was hit by a $400M convertible offering.
- Among non-U.S. names, gainers include Canadian Solar (CSIQ +4.4%), Yingli (YGE +2.9%), ReneSola (SOL +3.8%), and China Sunergy (CSUN +3.9%). SolarEdge (SEDG +4.6%), based in Israel but with strong U.S. exposure, is also doing well.
- Update: Also possibly helping the group: Congressional Democrats are reportedly open to a deal to lift an oil-export ban in exchange for extending solar and wind tax credits.
Dec. 10, 2015, 1:26 PM
- Down 8.2% yesterday after announcing a $350M offering of convertible notes due 2023, SunPower (SPWR -2.9%) has added to its losses after upsizing the offering to $400M and setting pricing.
- The offering carries a 4% interest rate and a $30.53 initial conversion price (36% above current levels). Net proceeds are expected to total $391.3M, or $415.4M if an overallotment option is fully used.
- Also of note: U.S. solar peer and YieldCo partner First Solar is down 10.2% after issuing mixed 2016 guidance yesterday afternoon. EPS guidance was above consensus, but revenue guidance mostly below, with module shipments expected to rise only slightly Y/Y.
Dec. 8, 2015, 6:41 PM
- SunPower (NASDAQ:SPWR) plans to sell $350M worth of convertible senior notes due Jan. 2023. Initial purchasers are expected to have a $52.5M overallotment option.
- French energy giant Total (NYSE:TOT), which currently owns 57.5% of SunPower, has agreed to buy $100M of the debt.
- The offering's net proceeds will be used for "general corporate purposes" that could include "pursuing [SunPower's] HoldCo and YieldCo strategies, capital expenditures, working capital, retirement of existing indebtedness and to fund potential acquisitions of complementary businesses." SunPower had $573M in cash and $778M in debt at the end of Q3.
- SunPower is currently unchanged after hours. Shares fell 4.9% in regular trading ahead of the announcement.
Dec. 3, 2015, 3:02 PM
- The Nasdaq is down 1.7% and the S&P 1.4%, but many solar names still have healthy gains for the day. A rally in oil prices ahead of a Friday OPEC meeting (WTI crude is up 2.9% to $41.10/barrel) could be helping, as might hopes for a new emissions-reduction agreement at the Paris climate conference.
- Heavily-shorted SolarCity (SCTY +3%) is adding to its big Tuesday/Wednesday gains. Beaten-down SunEdison (SUNE +5.3%) is also higher, as are SunPower (SPWR +3.3%), Trina (TSL +4.1%), ReneSola (SOL +3%), Enphase (ENPH +5.4%), and Sunrun (RUN +6.5%).
- ETFs: TAN, KWT
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