Thu, Oct. 29, 12:29 PM
- Down on Monday following Dialog Semi's Q3 report and up yesterday in the wake of Apple's results/guidance, chip stocks are selling off again (SOXX -2.5%) after leading microcontroller vendor NXP (NXPI -18.2%) posted mixed Q3 results and (more importantly) guided for Q4 revenue to be down by a "low to upper-teens" % Q/Q. The Nasdaq is down 0.3%.
- Also: 1) NXP rival and fellow European chipmaker STMicroelectronics (STM -5.8%) slightly missed Q3 revenue estimates and has guided for Q4 revenue to be down 6% (+/- 3.5%) Q/Q. 2) Network processor vendor Cavium (CAVM -5%) issued light Q4 guidance, while blaming a distribution model change at its biggest data center customer. 3) Microcontroller maker Atmel (ATML -2.4%, set to be acquired by Dialog) missed Q3 revenue estimates and guided for Q4 revenue of $266M-$286M, below a $296.1M consensus.
- On the bright side, Apple-dependent Cirrus Logic (CRUS -5.7%) beat FQ2 EPS estimates (revenue was in-line) and provided solid FQ3 guidance, and fellow Apple/Samsung supplier InvenSense (INVN +14.3%) beat FQ2 estimates and issued in-line FQ3 guidance. Cirrus is nonetheless selling off; the earnings call (transcript) was generally upbeat, with management talking up FY16/FY17 growth opportunities related to smart codec and boosted amplifier sales.
- NXP merger partner Freescale (FSL -15.4%) is naturally seeing big losses. Other decliners include RF chipmakers Skyworks (SWKS -3.1%), Avago (AVGO -6%), and Qorvo (QRVO -2.6%), analog/mixed-signal chipmakers Texas Instruments (TXN -3%), ON Semi (ON -5.9%), MagnaChip (MX -6.8%), Fairchild (FCS -4.3%), Maxim (MXIM -3.1%), and IDT (IDTI -5.2%), and smart TV SoC vendor/STMicro rival Sigma Designs (SIGM -3.2%).
- Like NXP, Cirrus, and InvenSense, Skyworks, Avago, Qorvo, TI, and Fairchild are Apple suppliers. Fairchild and Maxim have recently benefited from M&A reports (I, II).
- Both NXP and STMicro reported seeing conditions deteriorate as Q3 progressed. NXP added lower-than-expected chip sell-through led to higher channel inventories, and STMicro stated "lower consumer spending in China is impacting the dynamics of the distribution channel in the region and the industry more globally, particularly in automotive." NXP has added 20M shares to its buyback in an attempt to soften the blow.
- Chip ETFs: SMH, XSD, PSI, SOXL, USD, SOXS, SSG
Thu, Oct. 29, 9:40 AM
- In addition to missing Q3 revenue estimates (while beating on EPS), STMicroelectronics (NYSE:STM) is guiding for Q4 revenue to be down 6% Q/Q (+/- 3.5%). That implies revenue of $1.59B-$1.72B, below a $1.81B consensus.
- Echoing remarks rival/fellow European chipmaker NXP made in its Q3 report yesterday evening, STMicro says it experienced "softer market demand as we progressed through the quarter." It adds a manufacturing issue at a sub-contractor affected microphone sales, and that "lower consumer spending in China is impacting the dynamics of the distribution channel in the region and the industry more globally, particularly in automotive."
- Analog/MEMS, automotive, industrial & power discrete, and digital product group (DPG) revenue all fell Y/Y. Microcontroller, memory & secure MCU revenue rose. STMicro says it's "making progress in narrowing the options" for DPG (previous), and plans to announce a final decision by early 2016.
- Q3 results, PR
- Two days ago: STMicro reportedly mulling bid for Fairchild
- Three days ago: French/Italian governments reportedly pressuring STMicro to cut dividend
Thu, Oct. 29, 5:05 AM
Wed, Oct. 28, 5:30 PM
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Thu, Oct. 22, 12:24 PM
- The Philadelphia Semi Index (SOXX +3%) has risen above $90 for the first time since July on a day the Nasdaq is up 1.5%. Helping out: Texas Instruments (TXN +10.4%) soundly beat Q3 estimates, reported positive growth for its analog and embedded processing (DSP/microcontroller) units in spite of a customer inventory correction, and (with the help of iPhone content gains) provided mostly above-consensus Q4 guidance.
- Meanwhile, Cypress Semi (up 4.1%) is rallying in spite of posting mixed Q3 results and issuing light Q4 guidance. A new $450M buyback is helping.
- TI/Cypress microcontroller peers NXP (NXPI +4.2%), Freescale (FSL +3.5%), STMicroelectronics (STM +2.5%), and Microchip (MCHP +2.9%) are among the gainers. As are TI analog/mixed-signal peers ON Semi (ON +5%), Intersil (ISIL +3.2%), IDT (IDTI +3.6%), Monolithic (MPWR +3.3%), and Silicon Labs (SLAB +2.6%).
- Other notable gainers include InvenSense (INVN +2.6%), Nvidia (NVDA +3.5%), Cavium (CAVM +4.4%), Knowles (KN +3.6%), and Lattice Semi (LSCC +7%).
- On its earnings call (transcript), TI mentioned automotive chip demand (boosted by growing chip content in various systems) was strong. Industrial sales were roughly flat (better than expected), and personal electronics benefited from "demand from one customer" (likely Apple). Wireless infrastructure fell 30% Y/Y (Chinese weakness), but rose Q/Q.
- Chip stocks also outperformed yesterday after Western Digital announced it's buying SanDisk, Lam Research announced it's buying KLA-Tencor, and CPU core giant ARM (ARMH +2.7%) beat Q3 revenue estimates (EPS slightly missed) with the help of a 20% Y/Y increase in ARM chip shipments to 3.6B, and stated it expects 2015 revenue to be in-line with market expectations.
- Chip ETFs: SMH, XSD, PSI, SOXL, USD, SOXS, SSG
Thu, Jul. 23, 1:58 AM
Thu, Apr. 30, 2:57 PM
- In addition to missing Q1 estimates, STMicroelectronics (NYSE:STM) has guided for Q2 revenue to be up 3.5% Q/Q (+/- 3.5%). That implies a revenue midpoint of $1.77B, below a $1.82B consensus.
- Q1 sales were hurt by a 16% Y/Y drop in analog/MEMS revenue to $255M; iPhone 6 share loss to InvenSense was a factor, as was a $15M one-time gain in the year-ago quarter. Automotive chip revenue fell 3% to $434M, and industrial & power discrete revenue (hurt by soft PC sales) 3% to $430M.
- Digital power group (set-top/cable modem chips and legacy ST-Ericsson products) sales fell 27% to $207M (possible share loss to Broadcom). Microcontrollers (MCUs), memory, and secure MCUs were a strong point, rising 8% to $374M; Samsung smartphone design wins for the STM32 flash microcontroller line provided a boost.
- Shares had already already sold off going into to earnings, thanks in part to weak reports from peers. They're down 20% from an April 22 close of $9.94.
- Q1 results, PR
Thu, Apr. 30, 1:38 AM
Wed, Jan. 28, 4:54 AM
Tue, Jan. 27, 5:30 PM| Tue, Jan. 27, 5:30 PM | 1 Comment
Oct. 29, 2014, 1:19 PM
- In addition to missing Q3 revenue estimates (while beating on EPS), STMicroelectronics (NYSE:STM) is guiding for Q4 revenue to be down 3.5% Q/Q (+/- 350 bps). That implies a range of $1.76B-$1.89B, well below a $2.01B consensus.
- The company witnessed a "softening of demand towards the end of [Q3], specifically in the mass market and in microcontrollers." Like many other chipmakers, STM was hammered on Oct. 10 after microcontroller vendor Microchip warned.
- All product groups are expected to decline Q/Q except for the Analog, MEMS, and Sensors group, which is benefiting from "key product ramp-ups, such as analog microphones, new 6-axis gyroscopes and touch controllers."
- STM plans to merge its Digital Convergence Group (makes TV/set-top SOCs, among other things) with its Imaging, Bi-CMOS, and Silicon Photonics Group into a new Digital Product Group. The reorg and other initiatives are expected to yield $100M/year in cost savings.
- Between them, the merging units had Q3 revenue of $286M (15% of total revenue). STM appears to be losing set-top chip share to Broadcom.
- Gross margin rose to 34.3% from 34% in Q2 and 32.4% a year ago. Q4 GM guidance is at 33.8% (+/- 200 bps). $93M was spent on buybacks.
- Citi's upgrade wasn't well-timed.
- Q3 results, PR
Oct. 29, 2014, 5:57 AM
Oct. 28, 2014, 5:30 PM
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Jul. 23, 2014, 3:59 PM
- In addition missing Q2 revenue estimates (while beating on EPS), STMicroelectronics (STM) has guided for Q3 revenue to grow 3% Q/Q (+/- 3.5%). That implies revenue of $1.92B at the midpoint, below a $2B consensus.
- Contributing to the EPS beat: Q2 gross margin was 34%, +120 bps Q/Q and Y/Y, and 40 bps above STM's guidance midpoint. GM is expected to come in at 34.4% (+/- 2%) in Q3.
- Automotive IC sales grew 11% Y/Y in Q2 to $463M, but analog/MEMS sales fell 19% to $264M. Industrial & power discrete sales rose 2% to $475M, and microcontroller, memory, & secure MCU sales rose 13% to $396M. Digital convergence group sales tumbled 51% to $184M thanks to the ST-Ericsson wind-down/asset transfer.
- Plenty of other chip stocks are also selling off, with some help from Xilinx and Juniper.
- Q2 results, PR
Jul. 23, 2014, 3:45 AM
Jul. 22, 2014, 5:30 PM
STMicroelectronics NV designs, develops, manufactures and markets semiconductor products used in different microelectronic applications, including automotive products, computer peripherals, telecommunications systems, consumer products, & control systems.
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