39% Annualized Return And AT&T
Chris DeMuth Jr. • 175 Comments
Chris DeMuth Jr. • 175 Comments
Going Long Leap Wireless: More Than A Leap Of Faith
Helix Investment Research
Helix Investment Research
Nov. 7, 2014, 4:22 PM
- Iusacell has 8.6M Mexican mobile subs, and a 3G network that covers 70% of the country's population (120M). AT&T (NYSE:T) is paying $2.5B in cash to buy Iusacell from parent Grupo Salinas, after accounting for debt. The deal is expected to close in Q1 2015.
- AT&T highlights Mexico's relatively low mobile/smartphone penetration rates while discussing the deal, as well as synergies with its U.S. mobile ops and recent regulatory moves meant to loosen America Movil's (NYSE:AMX) market dominance. AT&T was previously believed to be interested in Mexican assets AMX is looking to sell to appease regulators.
- AT&T "plans to expand Iusacells network to cover millions of additional consumers and businesses in Mexico." At the same time, AT&T won't be acquiring Iusacell's Total Play pay-TV/wireline broadband business. DirecTV (NASDAQ:DTV), which AT&T is set to acquire, owns 41% of local satellite TV provider Sky Mexico.
- Separately, AT&T has set a 2015 capex budget of $18B, down from 2014's $21B. The carrier declares its Project VIP network expansion project to be ahead of schedule, with the 4G expansion part largely complete.
- T +0.7% AH. AMX -0.6%.
Nov. 6, 2014, 10:12 AM
- DirecTV (DTV -0.4%) grew its average revenue per user by 4.8% to $107.27 in the U.S. during Q3.
- The company's overall operating margin dipped as a gain on the U.S. side was offset by a decline for the Latin American business.
- Gross subscriber additions +1.02M vs. +1.11M a year ago.
- The headline item from the report might be the net loss of 28K TV subscribers for the company in the U.S.
Nov. 6, 2014, 9:19 AM
- DIRECTV (NASDAQ:DTV): Q3 EPS of $1.33 beats by $0.03.
- Revenue of $8.37B (+6.2% Y/Y) beats by $70M.
Nov. 5, 2014, 5:30 PM
- AAON, AAP, AAWW, AEE, AES, AINV, AKRX, AMCX, AMRC, AMSC, AOL, APA, AZN, BBG, BCE, BCRX, BDBD, BKCC, BR, CDW, CECE, CECO, CNK, CNQ, COTY, CPN, CRZO, CVC, CYNI, DNOW, DTV, ERJ, FSYS, FUN, FUR, GEO, GLP, GNRC, GOLD, HAIN, HII, HNR, HSC, HSIC, HSP, HZNP, IT, KATE, KERX, KLIC, LIN, LMIA, LPI, MITL, MPEL, MWIV, NAVB, NRF, NTWK, NXTM, ONE, OWW, PBH, PDCE, PERI, PHMD, PKD, PMC, PNK, POZN, PRFT, PRGO, PRIM, PTCT, RDNT, RGEN, SATS, SCMP, SFUN, SFY, SGM, SLH, SNI, SNMX, SRPT, TAP, TCPC, TDC, TEDU, THS, TK, TNDM, TPH, TU, VC, VIVO, WAC, WD, WEN, WIN, ZEUS
Nov. 3, 2014, 11:24 AM
- AMC Networks (AMCX +0.9%) continues to warn viewers watching shows through DirecTV (DTV +0.3%) that the company's networks (AMC, BBC America, IFC, Sundance, We) may go dark early next year if a new carriage deal isn't struck.
- The disclosure was first made during last night's airing of The Walking Dead.
- A dispute between CBS and Dish Network (DISH +0.9%) looks even more ominous with the current deal expiring next month and a good portion of the NFL season yet to be played.
- A battle between Time Warner (TWX -0.2%) and Dish Network has dragged on for over ten days and left CNN off the Dish programming lineup.
Oct. 31, 2014, 2:55 AM
- In response to Senator Patrick Leahy's letter last week urging top ISPs to not enter "paid prioritization" deals, Comcast (NASDAQ:CMCSA) and AT&T (NYSE:T) say they have no plans to create the Internet "fast lanes" which would hurt consumers' freedom to roam the Web.
- Verizon (NYSE:VZ) published its response to Leahy on Wednesday, also asserting that it has no plans for "fast lanes".
- The pledges come after the FCC proposed its "net neutrality" rules that prohibit ISPs from blocking content, but suggests allowing some "commercially reasonable" paid prioritization deals.
Oct. 29, 2014, 1:22 PM
- A bid by Aereo to be defined as a cable provider gained support from the FCC with a new proposal out this week which was described in a blog post written by Chairman Tom Wheeler.
- The agency supports "open access" for consumers to high-speed broadband delivery and the right of over-the-top firms to offer programming owned by pay-TV providers and broadcasters.
- In essence, the FCC thinks the bundled pay-TV model should be broken so that consumers will not be forced to pay for channels they never watch.
- What to watch: Though Aero isn't likely to be the ultimate pay-TV disrupter without the deep pockets to license content, the position of the FCC opens the door for other Internet video players to emerge and chips away at the bundled channels model.
- Related stocks: DISH, DTV, CMCSA, CHTR, CVC, TWC, VZ, T, NFLX.
Oct. 29, 2014, 1:59 AM
- The Federal Trade Commission sued AT&T (NYSE:T) yesterday, alleging that the company sold millions of customers "unlimited" data plans while cutting data speeds to near-impractical levels after the user crossed a usage threshold.
- The FTC warned Verizon over similar practices, called data throttling, earlier this month.
- The lawsuit seeks to bar AT&T from misleading consumers and asks for monetary relief for the alleged harm to the company’s customers.
Oct. 24, 2014, 1:16 PM
- The FCC's Incentive Auction, which will auction off a giant chunk of low-frequency (600 MHz.) spectrum historically used for TV broadcasts, is now set for early 2016 instead of mid-2015.
- The agency cites legal challenges from broadcasters, as well as the auction's complexity and "the need for all auction participants to have certainty well in advance."
- A recent FCC study (.pdf) meant to appease broadcasters estimated the auction could raise $45B. Sprint (S -0.1%) and T-Mobile (TMUS +0.1%), whose rural and in-building coverage has suffered from a dearth of low-frequency spectrum, are expected to spend aggressively.
- AT&T (T +0.1%) and Verizon (VZ +1%) are also expected to bid heavily, though the FCC plans to limit their purchases on account of their already-massive low-frequency assets. AT&T has said it plans to spend at least $9B.
- Dish (DISH +1.4%), which has a large chunk of high-frequency spectrum it's still trying to find a use for, plans to participate as well.
Oct. 24, 2014, 11:30 AM
- The number of global pay-TV subscribers will rise 19.6% to 1.1B in five years, according to a forecast from ABI Research.
- The research firm thinks global pay-TV revenue could top $323B by the end of the period.
- Related stocks: DISH, DTV, LBTYA, CHA, T, TWC, OTCPK:BSYBF, OTC:SKDTF, OTCPK:KBDHY, OTCQX:DTEGY, AMX,
Oct. 22, 2014, 4:32 PM
- AT&T (NYSE:T) now expects full-year revenue to grow 3%-4% Y/Y, down from prior guidance of 5% but in-line with a 3.4% consensus.
- Wireless service revenue was down 0.2% Y/Y in Q3, an improvement from Q2's 1.4% drop but below Verizon's 4.8% growth. With equipment sales rising 44.3% thanks to strong Next smartphone upgrade plan adoption, wireless op. margin fell 180 bps to 24.6%.
- Wireless postpaid net adds totaled 785K, up from 363K a year ago (aided by tablet adds) but down from Q2's 1.03M; the postpaid base is at 75.1M.
- 140K prepaid subs were lost; 405K were lost in Q2, and 192K added a year ago. The prepaid base is at 11.2M. "Connected device" net adds totaled 1.275M, with 500K coming from cars; the connected device base is at 18.5M.
- Thanks to strong uptake for Mobile Share Value plans, phone-only postpaid ARPU fell 8% Y/Y. Postpaid churn fell 8 bps to 0.99%; total churn rose 5 bps to 1.36%.
- Wireline revenue (44% of total revenue) fell 0.4% Y/Y, and segment op. margin fell 180 bps to 8.8%. A 10.5% Y/Y drop in voice connections to 26.2M caused the decline.
- U-verse revenue rose 23.8% Y/Y, driving a 3% increase in residential wireline revenue. U-verse broadband and TV net adds respectively totaled 601K and 216K.
- $221M was spent on buybacks, up from Q2's $159M but well below some recent quarters. Free cash flow was $3.5B, above net income of $3B.
- T -1.8% AH. Q3 results, PR.
- Update: BTIG's Walter Piecyk estimates wireless service revenue growth was -4.2%, if one backs out the impact of the Leap Wireless acquisition.
Oct. 22, 2014, 4:03 PM
- AT&T (NYSE:T): Q3 EPS of $0.63 misses by $0.01.
- Revenue of $33B (+2.6% Y/Y) misses by $240M.
- Shares -0.9% AH.
Oct. 22, 2014, 12:43 PM
- The FCC announces it will pause its review of the proposed Comcast (NASDAQ:CMCSA) - Time Warner Cable (NYSE:TWC) and DirecTV (NASDAQ:DTV) - AT&T (NYSE:T) mergers.
- The delay is due in part to bickering over who has the right to see confidential carriage fee agreements involving the companies.
- The agency says the informal 180-day time clock for the review has been halted.
Oct. 21, 2014, 5:35 PM
- ACTG, ALB, ALGT, AWH, BCR, BDN, CA, CAKE, CLB, CLGX, CLW, CTXS, CVA, EEFT, EFX, EGHT, FTK, FTNT, GGG, IBKC, INFN, LEG, LHO, LOGI, LRCX, MKSI, MKTO, MLNX, MSA, NOW, NXPI, ORLY, OTEX, PLCM, PLXS, RE, RJF, SCSS, SFG, SGMO, SHLM, SKX, SLG, SLM, SUSQ, T, TAL, TCBI, TER, TILE, TMK, TSCO, TYL, USTR, VAR, WFT, YELP
Oct. 15, 2014, 11:32 AM
- Netflix (NFLX -2.6%) slid a little lower after Time Warner announced HBO would become a stand-alone service sometime in 2015.
- Though it isn't clear how much of HBO's programming will migrate over to the OTT product, the mention of the "international possibilities" of a streaming HBO is enough to catch the attention of Netflix watchers.
- The development also has implications for Hulu (DIS, CMCSA, FOXA) and Amazon (AMZN -1%) which could end us as delivery partners or direct streaming rivals, according to Re/code.
- Pay-TV operators (CHTR, CVC, DISH, DTV) are in a bit of a box by the plan and may choose to play hardball with HBO.
Oct. 14, 2014, 3:31 PM
- Global growth, foreign-exchange, oil, and small caps are the subject of every client inquiry, says David Kostin. His team's recommendation: Buy "American exceptionalism."
- In Kostin's view, U.S. economy and corporate fundamentals are still strong, with economic growth expected by Goldman economists to be 3.2% next year, the fastest expansion since 2005. Europe is expected to grow just 1%.
- What his team likes are those stocks of companies which have a high proportion of domestic sales, plus sectors like Consumer Staples (XLP -0.1%) and Discretionary (XLY +0.7%) which stand to benefit from lower oil prices (plunging again today).
- As for small caps (IWM +0.9%), Kostin is wary, noting downward earnings revisions have boosted small cap P/E ratios even as prices have declined.
- The list of S&P 500 names capturing two or more of Kostin's themes: GT, GM, PCLN, AMZN, CMCSA, LOW, DG, TSN, ADM, CVS, AVP, WAG, PXD, HAL, JPM, BAC, SCHW, PNC, MS, C, GNW, LNC, MET, THC, AET, UNH, ESRX, HUM, WLP, BIIB, GILD, DAL, CMI, FLR, CRM, JBL, MA, FB, MU, FSLR, VMC, MON, T.
AT&T, Inc. provides telecommunication services and products, including wireless communications, local exchange services, long-distance services, data/broadband and Internet services, video services, telecommunications equipment, managed networking and wholesale services. It operates business... More
Industry: Telecom Services - Domestic
Country: United States
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