Dec. 23, 2014, 2:59 PM
- The strong reads on consumer spending (ICSC, Redbook) bode well for Q4 earnings in the retail sector, note analysts.
- Electronics sellers (BBY, HGG) and the luxury sector (RL, TIF, COH, KORS, KATE, FOSL, VRA) are viewed as being in a good position to see a December boost.
- Companies which eased off on pulling a bulk of their sales forward with Black Friday/Cyber Monday deals are also seen as potential winners with sub-$2 gas resetting some holiday budgets.
- Though e-commerce is expected to dazzle again this holiday season. It's not all fun and games for analysts looking at margins. The extension by Amazon (AMZN -0.1%) of its free shipping offer could be a signal that inventory levels are higher than anticipated and that the growth-at-all-costs mentality at the company is as entrenched as ever, notes Nasdaq Advisory Services.
- The S&P Retail ETF (NYSEARCA:XRT) has doubled up the return of the S&P 500 over the last 3 months, 10.8% vs. 5.1%.
- Previously: Retail trends to watch: Athleisure, P-E buyouts, and new online channels (Dec. 20 2014)
- Related ETFs: XLP, XLY, VDC,VCR, RTH, RETL, FXG, PBJ, IYK, PEJ, FXD, IYC, FDIS, RHS, SCC, FSTA, UCC, PMR, PSL, UGE, RCD, PEZ, PSCC, PSCD, SZK
Dec. 19, 2014, 1:29 PM
- Analysts expect a mixed holiday season for the retail sector in Hong Kong.
- While mass market retail is forecast to hold up with the level of demonstrations in the region moderating, there's some concerns on the luxury sector.
- The corruption crackdown by Beijing and the weak Yen are two potential drags on tourist traffic.
- Consumer confidence on the high end has also been weakening.
- What to watch: The critical Chinese New Year begins in February giving the luxury sector scant time for the environment to improve.
- Luxury sellers in HK: Gucci (OTC:GUCG), Prada, Louis Vuitton (OTCPK:LVMUY), Coach (NYSE:COH), Ralph Lauren (NYSE:RL), Michael Kors (NYSE:KORS), Swatch (OTCPK:SWGAY), Burberry (OTCPK:BURBY), and Tiffany (NYSE:TIF).
Nov. 25, 2014, 7:16 AM
- Tiffany (NYSE:TIF) reports comparable-store sales rose 6% in Q3.
- Geographic revenue growth: Americas +10% to $459M (US +11%), Asia-Pacific +2% to $243M, Japan -12% to $113M, Europe +9% to $114M, Other +28% to $30M.
- Gross margin +295 bps to 59.5% on lower product costs and a higher mix of jewelry.
- Operating margin +70 bps to 17.6%.
- Inventory +6% to $2.6B.
- TIF -1.7% after the company missed the lofty estimates of analysts.
Nov. 25, 2014, 7:02 AM
Nov. 24, 2014, 5:30 PM
Nov. 20, 2014, 1:27 PM
Sep. 29, 2014, 5:01 PM
Sep. 24, 2014, 8:13 AM
- Retail sales could increase by 4.5% to $986B this holiday season on an improved macroeconomic backdrop, forecasts Deloitte Touche.
- The mark would easily top last year's 2.8% rise.
- Online sales are tipped to rise by 14%.
- Promotional activity across broad retail has been dialed back a touch during the back-to-school season, but is still a risk to margins heading into the crucial shopping period.
- What to watch: This holiday season could be an operational pressure cooker for UPS (NYSE:UPS) and FedEx (NYSE:FDX) with demand expected to be high.
- Related stocks: AAP, AEO, ANF, BBBY, BBY, BJ, CHS, COH, COST, DG, FDO, FL, GPS, JCP, JNY, JWN, KSS, LB, LULU, M, NDN, PIR, RL, TGT, TIF, TJX, UA, URBN, VFC, WMT, ZLC, PERY, SQBG, VNCE, KORS, GIII, KATE, GIL, VRA, ICON, PSMT, AMZN.
- Related ETFs: XLY, XRT, VCR, RTH, RETL, IYK, FXD, FDIS, PMR, UGE, RCD, SZK
Sep. 22, 2014, 9:02 AM
Sep. 9, 2014, 9:23 AM
- A large patch of the retail sector will have their ears perked up this afternoon to see what Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL) delivers up with its iWatch announcement or teaser.
- Though the company's entry into wearable technology is considered nearly a certainty, the unknown variable is if the product will end up falling under the "gadget" category or be another Apple device revolution.
- Computerworld's Mike Egan is in the latter camp: "The iWatch should be most comparable to the Mac and the iPhone, Apple's two most stunning revolution."
- Forrester Research isn't waiting for details, forecasting 10M iWatch sales by 2016 - a mark which could dent demand for high-end watches.
- Showtime is 1:00 pm ET. (webcast)
- Luxury watchmakers: Movado (NYSE:MOV), Fossil (NASDAQ:FOSL), Swatch (OTCPK:SWGAY), Tiffany (NYSE:TIF), Richemont (OTCPK:CFRUY), LVMH Moet Hennessy (OTCPK:LVMHF), Hermes (OTCPK:HESAF)
- Wearable technology players: Sony (NYSE:SNE), Nike (NYSE:NKE), Samsung (OTC:SSNLF, OTC:SSNGY), Garmin (NASDAQ:GRMN), Basis (NASDAQ:INTC), Fitbit, Jawbone, Adidas (OTCQX:ADDYY), Under Armour (NYSE:UA).
Aug. 29, 2014, 7:12 AM
- The luxury group continues to show sizzling sales growth, aided by the price increases high-end sellers have pushed through to consumers.
- SA contributor Valuentum thinks the luxury space will remain resilient due to the brand equity and pricing power in the sector.
- Though Tiffany (NYSE:TIF) impressed with its smashing Q2 earnings report, Valuentum sees more value in aspirational handbag maker Coach (NYSE:COH) with its strong financial position and potential to turn around its North American business.
- Valuentum interview on CNBC
- Related stocks: KORS, OTCPK:LVMUY, OTC:GUCG, OTCPK:BURBY, OTCPK:CFRUY, OTCPK:LVMUY.
Aug. 28, 2014, 10:23 AM| Aug. 28, 2014, 10:23 AM | Comment!
Aug. 27, 2014, 7:11 AM
- Tiffany (NYSE:TIF) reports comparable-store sales rose 3% in Q2.
- Revenue growth: Americas +9% to $484M; Asia-Pacific +14% to $237M; Europe +8% to $120M; Japan -13% to $119M.
- Gross margin rate +80 bps to 59.9% on higher pricing.
- Operating margin +10 bps to 21.0%.
- Inventory +9% to $2.5B.
- The luxury retailer boosts FY2014 EPS guidance to $4.20-$4.30 vs. $4.15-$4.25 prior and $4.28 consensus.
- TIF +3.2% premarket.
Aug. 27, 2014, 7:01 AM
Aug. 26, 2014, 5:30 PM
Aug. 21, 2014, 1:44 PM
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