Sat, Jan. 24, 8:25 AM
- In a low-yield world, the newly launched iBillionaire High Dividend Index - which tracks the trading moves of 25 investing-savvy billionaire investors such as Stanley Druckenmiller, James Dinan and Nelson Peltz - actually lives up to its name with a dividend yield of 5.34%.
- At 24%, the index has a high allocation of energy shares, including OXY, TRP, CNP, COP, BP, ATLS, CVI, WMB, APL, RIG and ARP.
- Also worth noting is that the index contains some high-yielding mortgage REITs, an area most investors hate right now but where billionaires seem to find value; examples are NRF, AGNC and CIM.
- No mutual fund or ETF tracks this index, but it offers a fishing pond of income investment ideas to research further.
- The top 20 holdings: TLM, CVC, GM, TIME, AEE, D, STAY, KMI, TROX, EXC, STNG, PPL, IRM, PFE, KKR, KAR, F, MIC, LO, ABBV.
Dec. 19, 2014, 10:37 AM
- Even some of Wall Street's big boys are taking a beating in the oil sector: Carl Icahn’s holdings of Talisman Energy (NYSE:TLM) have tumbled $230M since late August, and John Paulson’s firm had one of its largest losses of the year on a bet that big oil companies would buy smaller ones.
- Before TLM agreed to be bought by Repsol, which boosted TLM shares, Icahn's losses stood at more than $540M as recently as Dec. 11, and he still will have lost ~$290M at the deal price; Icahn also holds stakes in hard-hit Chesapeake Energy (NYSE:CHK) and Transocean (NYSE:RIG).
- Paulson was the biggest shareholder in Whiting Petroleum (NYSE:WLL) and Oasis Petroleum (NYSE:OAS) at the end of Q3, but his strategy could yet pay off, as many analysts expect consolidation in the energy sector as lower oil prices pressure smaller firms.
- Also caught flat-footed by the oil price pullback was Prosperity Capital’s Mattias Westman, a longtime investor in Russia whose firm has lost more than $1B this year, in part on stakes in Russian energy companies Gazprom (OTCPK:OGZPY) and Lukoil (OTCPK:LUKOY, OTC:LUKOF).
Dec. 17, 2014, 2:20 PM
- New York Gov. Cuomo's administration says it will ban fracking statewide, citing health concerns and what it considers as limited economic benefits to drilling.
- NY's acting health commissioner said at a cabinet meeting in Albany today that studies on fracking’s effects on water, air and soil are inconsistent, incomplete and raise too many “red flags” for the state to allow it; the state Department of Environmental Conservation will now issue a legally-binding recommendation prohibiting fracking.
- The state has had a de facto moratorium on fracking for more than six years, so nothing really changes with today's decision.
- Parts of New York sit atop the gas-rich Marcellus shale formation, whose top producers include CHK, RRC, RDS.A, RDS.B, TLM, APC, ATLS, COG, CVX, CNX, EQT, EOG, XOM, WPX, XCO, CRZO, SWN, AR.
Dec. 16, 2014, 12:47 PM
Dec. 16, 2014, 10:24 AM
- Talisman Energy (TLM +47.2%) explodes higher at the open after Repsol's (OTCQX:REPYY -2.3%) $13B deal to buy the company, but investors in the Spanish company aren't so enamored, sending shares lower.
- The purchase price of $8/share reflects a 75% premium to the seven-day volume weighted average share price - a hefty price that analysts say could force Repsol to consider a sale of its 30% stake in Gas Natural; Repsol chairman Antonio Brufau says his company is not considering such a sale.
- Barclays believes Repsol is getting a business that is free cash flow negative with a problematic North Sea business of questionable value, and that it should have waited longer for what could be a prolonged oil price downturn to make an acquisition.
- But considering that TLM's share price topped $11 last June before plunging to ~$4 last week, 24/7's Paul Ausick says Repsol got a bargain; TLM’s main assets are high quality - in the Marcellus shale play in Pennsylvania and the Eagle Ford shale play in south Texas, as well as off the coasts of Indonesia and Malaysia - and the two companies' combined production capacity will total ~680K boe/day with refining capacity of ~1M bbl/day, vaulting it into the ranks of the 20 largest oil companies in the world.
Dec. 16, 2014, 9:10 AM
Dec. 16, 2014, 2:44 AM
- Talisman Energy (NYSE:TLM) has confirmed that Repsol (OTCQX:REPYY, OTCPK:REPYF) plans to purchase it for $8.3B, or $8 per share in cash.
- Repsol said it would also take on $4.7B of Talisman debt as part of the deal, putting TLM's enterprise value at $13B.
- Talisman Energy's board has approved the offer and recommends that shareholders accept it.
- TLM +20% After hours
Dec. 15, 2014, 12:52 PM
Dec. 15, 2014, 9:51 AM
- Talisman Energy (TLM +21.2%) explodes higher at the open as Repsol (OTCQX:REPYY, OTCPK:REPYF) closes in on a deal and Canada Pension Plan Investment Board reportedly weighs a bid for the Canadian oil and gas explorer.
- Bloomberg reports that Canada Pension is considering making a bid for the whole company after initially considered buying parts of it, perhaps emboldened by a 59% YTD plunge in TLM.
- Expansion is reporting that Repsol’s board is meeting today to approve a TLM bid.
Dec. 15, 2014, 9:12 AM
Dec. 15, 2014, 9:03 AM
- Talisman Energy (NYSE:TLM) +17.2% premarket after confirming it is engaged in discussions with Repsol (OTCQX:REPYY, OTCPK:REPYF) about a potential transaction, and has been approached by other parties.
- TLM closed 16% higher on Friday as details of Reposl's interest leaked out; senior execs reportedly traveled to Calgary to discuss a deal that could be completed before Christmas.
Dec. 12, 2014, 12:46 PM
Dec. 12, 2014, 11:33 AM
- The perception takes hold that a takeover offer for Talisman Energy (TLM +34.5%) is imminent, as Financial Times reports that Repsol (OTCQX:REPYY, OTCPK:REPYF) executives have traveled to Calgary and hope to seal a deal by Christmas.
- The price being negotiated is in a range of $6-$8/share, which would represent a premium of up to 117% to TLM’s C$4.26 closing price yesterday; including debt, the deal would give TLM an enterprise value of $10B-$12B.
Dec. 12, 2014, 9:16 AM
Dec. 12, 2014, 8:00 AM
- Talisman Energy (NYSE:TLM) +10.8% premarket after a report suggests Repsol (OTCPK:REPYF, OTCQX:REPYY) is finalizing a €4B for the company.
- Citing financial sources, the newspaper Expansion says a bid could come in at ~C$6/share.
- Repsol had recently revived takeover talks with TLM after dropping a plan earlier this year to buy the company, according to reports.
Dec. 11, 2014, 11:41 AM
- Talisman Energy’s (TLM +5.4%) stock has plunged 65% this year and is worth just a quarter of its value from 2011, and a Bloomberg report says a company sale at depressed prices may be more worthwhile than waiting out the rout in oil.
- Repsol looked at TLM earlier this year and is sniffing around again after plunging crude prices drove shares below C$5 for the first time in 14 years, and TLM says it has also talked with other parties; Bloomberg speculates suitors could offer C$8/share.
- “We’re getting to a level where a transaction makes more sense from a valuation perspective, from a buyer’s standpoint,” Macquarie's Chris Feltin says.
- Not all shareholders are likely to support a sale with oil at a five-year low: In particular, Carl Icahn - who disclosed a stake in TLM when shares traded at ~C$13 - may argue for holding out for a better price.
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