Talisman Energy Aims To Shrink And Grow Rich
Stephen Simpson, CFA • 10 Comments
Stephen Simpson, CFA • 10 Comments
Talisman Energy: Troubled Oil And Gas Play Offering Over 50% Upside With Plenty Of Catalysts
Caiman Valores • 64 Comments
Caiman Valores • 64 Comments
Jan. 24, 2015, 8:25 AM
- In a low-yield world, the newly launched iBillionaire High Dividend Index - which tracks the trading moves of 25 investing-savvy billionaire investors such as Stanley Druckenmiller, James Dinan and Nelson Peltz - actually lives up to its name with a dividend yield of 5.34%.
- At 24%, the index has a high allocation of energy shares, including OXY, TRP, CNP, COP, BP, ATLS, CVI, WMB, APL, RIG and ARP.
- Also worth noting is that the index contains some high-yielding mortgage REITs, an area most investors hate right now but where billionaires seem to find value; examples are NRF, AGNC and CIM.
- No mutual fund or ETF tracks this index, but it offers a fishing pond of income investment ideas to research further.
- The top 20 holdings: TLM, CVC, GM, TIME, AEE, D, STAY, KMI, TROX, EXC, STNG, PPL, IRM, PFE, KKR, KAR, F, MIC, LO, ABBV.
Dec. 19, 2014, 10:37 AM
- Even some of Wall Street's big boys are taking a beating in the oil sector: Carl Icahn’s holdings of Talisman Energy (NYSE:TLM) have tumbled $230M since late August, and John Paulson’s firm had one of its largest losses of the year on a bet that big oil companies would buy smaller ones.
- Before TLM agreed to be bought by Repsol, which boosted TLM shares, Icahn's losses stood at more than $540M as recently as Dec. 11, and he still will have lost ~$290M at the deal price; Icahn also holds stakes in hard-hit Chesapeake Energy (NYSE:CHK) and Transocean (NYSE:RIG).
- Paulson was the biggest shareholder in Whiting Petroleum (NYSE:WLL) and Oasis Petroleum (NYSE:OAS) at the end of Q3, but his strategy could yet pay off, as many analysts expect consolidation in the energy sector as lower oil prices pressure smaller firms.
- Also caught flat-footed by the oil price pullback was Prosperity Capital’s Mattias Westman, a longtime investor in Russia whose firm has lost more than $1B this year, in part on stakes in Russian energy companies Gazprom (OTCPK:OGZPY) and Lukoil (OTCPK:LUKOY, OTC:LUKOF).
Dec. 17, 2014, 2:20 PM
- New York Gov. Cuomo's administration says it will ban fracking statewide, citing health concerns and what it considers as limited economic benefits to drilling.
- NY's acting health commissioner said at a cabinet meeting in Albany today that studies on fracking’s effects on water, air and soil are inconsistent, incomplete and raise too many “red flags” for the state to allow it; the state Department of Environmental Conservation will now issue a legally-binding recommendation prohibiting fracking.
- The state has had a de facto moratorium on fracking for more than six years, so nothing really changes with today's decision.
- Parts of New York sit atop the gas-rich Marcellus shale formation, whose top producers include CHK, RRC, RDS.A, RDS.B, TLM, APC, ATLS, COG, CVX, CNX, EQT, EOG, XOM, WPX, XCO, CRZO, SWN, AR.
Dec. 16, 2014, 12:47 PM
Dec. 16, 2014, 10:24 AM
- Talisman Energy (TLM +47.2%) explodes higher at the open after Repsol's (OTCQX:REPYY -2.3%) $13B deal to buy the company, but investors in the Spanish company aren't so enamored, sending shares lower.
- The purchase price of $8/share reflects a 75% premium to the seven-day volume weighted average share price - a hefty price that analysts say could force Repsol to consider a sale of its 30% stake in Gas Natural; Repsol chairman Antonio Brufau says his company is not considering such a sale.
- Barclays believes Repsol is getting a business that is free cash flow negative with a problematic North Sea business of questionable value, and that it should have waited longer for what could be a prolonged oil price downturn to make an acquisition.
- But considering that TLM's share price topped $11 last June before plunging to ~$4 last week, 24/7's Paul Ausick says Repsol got a bargain; TLM’s main assets are high quality - in the Marcellus shale play in Pennsylvania and the Eagle Ford shale play in south Texas, as well as off the coasts of Indonesia and Malaysia - and the two companies' combined production capacity will total ~680K boe/day with refining capacity of ~1M bbl/day, vaulting it into the ranks of the 20 largest oil companies in the world.
Dec. 16, 2014, 9:10 AM
Dec. 16, 2014, 2:44 AM
- Talisman Energy (NYSE:TLM) has confirmed that Repsol (OTCQX:REPYY, OTCPK:REPYF) plans to purchase it for $8.3B, or $8 per share in cash.
- Repsol said it would also take on $4.7B of Talisman debt as part of the deal, putting TLM's enterprise value at $13B.
- Talisman Energy's board has approved the offer and recommends that shareholders accept it.
- TLM +20% After hours
Dec. 15, 2014, 12:52 PM
Dec. 15, 2014, 9:51 AM
- Talisman Energy (TLM +21.2%) explodes higher at the open as Repsol (OTCQX:REPYY, OTCPK:REPYF) closes in on a deal and Canada Pension Plan Investment Board reportedly weighs a bid for the Canadian oil and gas explorer.
- Bloomberg reports that Canada Pension is considering making a bid for the whole company after initially considered buying parts of it, perhaps emboldened by a 59% YTD plunge in TLM.
- Expansion is reporting that Repsol’s board is meeting today to approve a TLM bid.
Dec. 15, 2014, 9:12 AM
Dec. 15, 2014, 9:03 AM
- Talisman Energy (NYSE:TLM) +17.2% premarket after confirming it is engaged in discussions with Repsol (OTCQX:REPYY, OTCPK:REPYF) about a potential transaction, and has been approached by other parties.
- TLM closed 16% higher on Friday as details of Reposl's interest leaked out; senior execs reportedly traveled to Calgary to discuss a deal that could be completed before Christmas.
Dec. 12, 2014, 12:46 PM
Dec. 12, 2014, 11:33 AM
- The perception takes hold that a takeover offer for Talisman Energy (TLM +34.5%) is imminent, as Financial Times reports that Repsol (OTCQX:REPYY, OTCPK:REPYF) executives have traveled to Calgary and hope to seal a deal by Christmas.
- The price being negotiated is in a range of $6-$8/share, which would represent a premium of up to 117% to TLM’s C$4.26 closing price yesterday; including debt, the deal would give TLM an enterprise value of $10B-$12B.
Dec. 12, 2014, 9:16 AM
Dec. 12, 2014, 8:00 AM
- Talisman Energy (NYSE:TLM) +10.8% premarket after a report suggests Repsol (OTCPK:REPYF, OTCQX:REPYY) is finalizing a €4B for the company.
- Citing financial sources, the newspaper Expansion says a bid could come in at ~C$6/share.
- Repsol had recently revived takeover talks with TLM after dropping a plan earlier this year to buy the company, according to reports.
Dec. 11, 2014, 11:41 AM
- Talisman Energy’s (TLM +5.4%) stock has plunged 65% this year and is worth just a quarter of its value from 2011, and a Bloomberg report says a company sale at depressed prices may be more worthwhile than waiting out the rout in oil.
- Repsol looked at TLM earlier this year and is sniffing around again after plunging crude prices drove shares below C$5 for the first time in 14 years, and TLM says it has also talked with other parties; Bloomberg speculates suitors could offer C$8/share.
- “We’re getting to a level where a transaction makes more sense from a valuation perspective, from a buyer’s standpoint,” Macquarie's Chris Feltin says.
- Not all shareholders are likely to support a sale with oil at a five-year low: In particular, Carl Icahn - who disclosed a stake in TLM when shares traded at ~C$13 - may argue for holding out for a better price.
Talisman Energy Inc is an oil and gas Company. Its main business activities include exploration, development, production, transportation and marketing of crude oil, natural gas and natural gas liquids.
Sector: Basic Materials
Industry: Independent Oil & Gas
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