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Fri, Feb. 5, 2:58 PM
- Tesoro (TSO -4.4%) agrees to pay $8M to 769 United Steelworkers union members at refineries in California and Washington state who were denied bonuses while on strike in 2015, the U.S. National Labor Relations Board says.
- Complaints were filed last year with the NLRB by workers at TSO's Carson, Calif., and Anacortes, Wash., refineries alleging failure to pay the bonuses was done in retaliation for the strike and an unlawful modification of the agreement.
Tue, Feb. 2, 12:26 PM
- Tesoro (NYSE:TSO) plunges to a 52-week low after reporting Q4 earnings of $1.83/share, $0.24 worse than analyst consensus estimate of $2.07, on revenues of $6.27B, down 25.7% Y/Y and above the $5.92B consensus.
- TSO's refining income plunged to just $4M in Q4 from $90M a year ago, hurt by unplanned downtime at its Los Angeles refinery; total refinery throughput for the quarter was 807K bbl/day (95% utilization), roughly flat Y/Y.
- Q4 direct manufacturing costs were $5.62/bbl, up $0.78/bbl from Q3, primarily due to unplanned repairs and maintenance.
- TSO says it expects to deliver $400M-$500M of improvements in 2016 through driving operational improvements and growth in its logistics and marketing business segments.
- TSO -7.7%.
Dec. 16, 2015, 12:13 PM
- Congress has agreed to lift the 40-year-old ban on crude oil exports, but refiners are holding up well as the group wins a tax break on the cost of transporting oil as part of the deal.
- The tax provision meant to blunt potential damage to domestic refiners of allowing unfettered crude exports would allow non-integrated refiners to count 75% of their oil transportation costs toward an existing manufacturing tax deduction.
- Refiners are "positioned to succeed regardless,” says Carl Larry, head of oil and gas for Frost & Sullivan. “They can still make products cheaper than anywhere in the world... Regardless of whether the U.S. exports crude, they’ll be ahead of the game.”
- Wells Fargo contends that lifting the ban will have only a minimal impact in the short term, and notes that Phillips 66 (PSX +1.6%) has indicated lifting the move would have no material impact at least for one year; Valero Energy (VLO +1.2%) is better positioned than most because it already relies on a larger percentage of foreign oil for its feedstock to make gasoline and other petroleum products, says Simmons analyst Jeff Dietert.
- Also: TSO +2.5%, MPC +0.9%, HFC +2.4%, PBF +1.6%, WNR +4.9%, NTI +1.6%, ALJ +1%, CLMT -2.2%.
- Earlier: Solar stocks soar as Congress proposes extending solar/wind tax credits
Dec. 9, 2015, 10:58 AM
- Tesoro (TSO -1.9%) says it will delay the completion of integrating its California refineries to mid-2017 from early that year, according to a company presentation.
- TSO raises the expected cost of the project to combine the Los Angeles-area refineries to $460M, up an earlier outlook for $400M-$425M.
- TSO expects its $200M project to move up to 360K bbl/day via rail to the Port of Vancouver, Wash., to be finished in late 2017.
- TSO also says it is on track to report record results for 2015, expects $400M-$500M of business improvements in 2016, and projects $3.5B-$4B of EBITDA in 2018.
Dec. 4, 2015, 12:41 PM
- Credit Suisse analyst Edward Westlake says favorable market conditions that drove the oil refining business this year will carry over into next year, making many refiner stocks strong buys.
- Global gasoline demand grew at 3x its historical rate in 2015, and while consensus expectations for gasoline demand predict a regression closer to the long-term trend in 2016, Westlake sees at least another year of strong demand growth remaining.
- The analyst says he has been surprised at Q4 performance so far , and predicts a 2016 environment conducive to earnings strength, especially among coastal names.
- Credit Suisse has Outperform ratings on these refiners: VLO +1.6%, NTI +0.5%, CLMT +1.5%, MPC +3%, TSO +1.2%, ALDW -2.3%, WNR +1.6%, PBF +0.2%, DK +1.7%.
Dec. 2, 2015, 3:21 PM
- WTI crude oil settled below $40/bbl for the first time in more than three months, tumbling 4.6% to $39.94 as U.S. government data showed a 10th straight weekly increase in crude supplies.
- Meanwhile, Brent crude sank 4.4% to $42.49 on London’s ICE futures exchange, the lowest settlement since March 2009.
- The dollar's surge to 12-year highs after pro-rate hike comments by Janet Yellen also weighed on oil and other dollar-denominated commodities.
- Energy stocks suffered severe selling pressure: XOM -2.5%, CVX -2.2%, DVN -5.6%, CLR -5.5%, MRO -5.1%, HES -4.8%, TSO -3.8%, COP -3.7%, EOG -3.7%, APA -3.2%, PXD -3%, APC -2.8%.
- ETFs: USO, OIL, XLE, UCO, UWTI, VDE, ERX, OIH, SCO, XOP, BNO, DBO, DWTI, ERY, DIG, DTO, DUG, BGR, USL, IYE, IEO, DNO, FENY, PXE, PXJ, FIF, OLO, SZO, NDP, RYE, FXN, OLEM, DDG
Nov. 30, 2015, 3:28 PM
- Biofuel names react favorably and refiners negatively to just-released EPA biofuel targets that come in above those proposed by the agency in May.
- Fuel suppliers will be required to mix 16.93B gallons of corn-based ethanol and other renewable fuels into gasoline this year and 18.11B gallons next year, according to the newest EPA targets.
- The final 2016 standard for advanced biofuel is nearly 1B gallons, or 35% higher than actual 2014 volumes.
- Biofuel names include: PEIX +17.7%, REGI +8.1%, AMRS +7%, GEVO +4.9%, SZYM +2.5%, GPRE +6.2%, REX +3.2%, ADM flat.
- Refiners are pulling back: VLO -0.9%, TSO -1.5%, HFC -2.6%, MPC -0.3%, PSX -0.9%, WNR -0.7%, CLMT -2.6%.
Oct. 28, 2015, 6:37 PM
- Tesoro (NYSE:TSO): Q3 EPS of $6.48 beats by $0.46.
- Revenue of $7.74B (-30.6% Y/Y) beats by $640M.
- Shares +2.3% AH.
Oct. 22, 2015, 3:58 PM
- Tesoro Logistics (TLLP -2.4%) is initiated with an Accumulate rating and $66 price target at Seaport Global, but units are lower along with most other MLPs today.
- With more than 50% of revenues tied to the refining operations of Tesoro (TSO +1.2%), the firm views TLLP's midstream cash flows as primarily driven by refining demand-pull.
- Seaport says increasing hydrocarbon consumption in PADD V, where the supply of gasoline, jet fuel and distillates was up 3.3% Y/Y in Q3, provides a favorable backdrop for TLLP, further complemented by little direct exposure to commodity prices, while ~70% revenues are covered through MVCs or acreage dedications.
Sep. 25, 2015, 2:10 PM
Aug. 14, 2015, 3:39 PM
- Tesoro (TSO -1.9%) is lower as shares are downgraded to Sector Perform from Sector Outperform at Scotia Howard Weil, although the price target is raised by $3 to $114, as the firm says it is becoming concerned that investors are growing complacent with a West Coast margin environment well above mid-cycle levels.
- TSO had climbed more than 6% heading into today's trading after strong Q2 earnings and indications that Q3 could be even better; since the results, analyst estimates for Q3 free cash have increased to $4.57/share from $2.77.
- Weil says its general stance on refiners remains constructive into fall turnarounds, with the view that differentials could improve on top of a persistently strong underlying margin environment, but it does not believe TSO will continue to outperform peers.
Aug. 6, 2015, 2:59 PM
- Tesoro (TSO +3.3%) CEO Greg Goff says oil drilling in Utah's Uinta Basin has "dried up" because of low crude prices, and will affect availability of the waxy crude prevalent there after the refiner recently finished a $275M conversion project at its 57.5K bbl/day refinery in Salt Lake City to double waxy crude processing capacity to 22K bbl/day.
- Uinta trades at a discount to the WTI as it is more costly to produce and process; the discount narrowed as domestic crude prices plunged 58% Y/Y, prompting producers to pull back and focus on other more profitable oilfields.
- HollyFrontier (HFC +2.6%) also is set to start a similar conversion project at its Woods Cross refinery in Utah that will increase capacity to 45K bbl/day from 31K, with the ability to process up to 25K bbl/day of Uinta waxy crude.
- On today's earnings conference call, Goff declined to comment about talks reportedly held earlier this year to buy HFC, but said TSO fully intends to examine possible acquisitions from the midwest to the west coast, "pretty much staying out of the Gulf coast."
Aug. 5, 2015, 5:02 PM
- Tesoro (NYSE:TSO): Q2 EPS of $4.62 beats by $0.60.
- Revenue of $8.2B (-26.1% Y/Y) beats by $1.4B.
- Shares +2.9% AH.
Jul. 30, 2015, 11:16 AM
- HollyFrontier (HFC +4.4%) is higher following a Reuters report that Tesoro (TSO -2.5%) approached the company about a potential buyout but talks were not successful.
- The companies held discussions in this year's Q1 but were scuttled after HFC's board balked at TSO's proposed offer, which is not known, and other terms, according to the report.
- TSO is said to remain interested in a deal for HFC, which would provide access to the Rocky Mountain region, where refiners have seen margins rise as they have access to crude that can be difficult to transport to traditional refining centers on the Gulf coast.
Jul. 8, 2015, 3:49 PM
- The U.S. E&P industry is "between a rock and a hard place" entering earnings season, Deutsche Bank says, expecting continued headwinds for the group; while momentum has been building for moderate acceleration in activity levels in H2, macro concerns from China to Greece have weighed on crude prices and introduced an “additional layer of uncertainty.”
- Among the major integrated oils, the firm prefers EOG Resources (EOG -2.5%) and Anadarko Petroleum (APC -2.8%) into Q2 results but cuts its stock price target for Marathon Petroleum (MPC -2.6%) in half to $62.
- U.S. refiners, on the other hand, continue to defy fears of a collapse in margins, with demand strength and robust gasoline cracks again driving upside to earnings estimates; the firm sees 7% upside on average to current Q2 estimates for the group, with particular strength from Tesoro (TSO -1.2%), Valero (VLO -0.9%) and HollyFrontier (HFC -1.4%).
May 29, 2015, 11:15 AM
- Ethanol companies rise while refiners are off session highs after the EPA announces its renewables fuels mandate.
- The EPA proposes requiring 15.93B gallons of total renewable fuel in 2014, 16.3B gallons in 2015, and 17.4B gallons in 2016, but the proposal for the total renewable fuel requirement falls short of levels Congress mandated, which were 20.5B gallons in 2015 and 22.5B gallons in 2016.
- Also, the EPA cuts 2016 corn-ethanol quota to 14B gallons; U.S. law required 15B gallons of ethanol for 2016.
- Ethanol exposed companies are mostly higher: ADM +0.7%, GPRE +4.2%, PEIX +4.1%, REX +1%, DAR +2%, CZZ -2.2%.
- Among refiners: HFC +0.3%, TSO +1.3%, VLO +0.8%, WNR +1.9%, PBF -1%.
- Biofuel related stocks: GEVO -8.3%, SZYM -2.7%, CDTI -1%, REGI -0.7%.
Tesoro Corp is an independent petroleum refiner and marketer in the United States. Its subsidiaries operate through three business segments, transport crude oil and manufacture, transport and sell transportation fuels.
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