Apr. 8, 2015, 7:30 PM
- Analysts say Shell's (RDS.A, RDS.B) move to buy BG Group is telling potential acquirers that one of the biggest players is now confident enough to make a big play, and that the worst may be over in the big slide in oil and gas prices.
- The deal also may be the starting gun for a wave of M&A activity that oil industry observers have been predicting since crude prices started to slump in June.
- For starters, BG's U.S. shale assets likely will become candidates for divestiture after the Shell deal closes; in buying BG, Shell has made the choice to double-down on global liquefied natural gas and de-emphasize U.S. shale.
- Among the biggest players, Exxon (NYSE:XOM) and BP could contemplate deals - perhaps even with each other, as has been speculated, since BP ranks among the cheapest major producers relative to estimated profit.
- BG itself could whet the appetite of XOM's Rex Tillerson, who recently said there was "no limitation" to what he might buy - but he will be especially selective after getting burned by 2010's XTO purchase.
- Companies with prime acreage in oil-rich shale fields in Texas, North Dakota and Colorado have become a lot cheaper in recent months; Anadarko (NYSE:APC), Cabot Oil & Gas (NYSE:COG), Pioneer Natural Resources (NYSE:PXD), Occidental (NYSE:OXY), Continental Resources (NYSE:CLR), Concho Resources (NYSE:CXO) and Tullow Oil (OTCPK:TUWLF) are among those at topping analysts’ lists.
- Galp Energia (OTC:GLPEF) may draw interest from buyers because, like BG, it offers access to oil assets in Brazil.
Apr. 8, 2015, 3:48 AM
- European energy shares are having a party in early trading following confirmation of Shell's blockbuster deal to buy BG Group for $70B.
- Tullow Oil (OTCPK:TUWLF) soars 11.5%, BP (NYSE:BP) is +4.2%, Repsol (OTCQX:REPYY) +2.2%, Total (NYSE:TOT) +1.3% and Eni (NYSE:E) +1.5%. The STOXX Europe 600 Oil & Gas index is +5.4%.
- "The deal is done on a net asset value basis, and the good price tag is set to trigger some re-rating across the whole sector," says a Paris-based trader.
- ETFs: XLE, ERX, VDE, OIH, XOP, ERY, FCG, DIG, GASL, DUG, IYE, XES, IEO, IXC, IEZ, PXE, IPW, PXI, FENY, PXJ, PSCE, RYE, FXN, GNAT, DDG, FILL
Jan. 2, 2015, 2:55 PM
- Europe largely missed out on last year's $383B in oil and gas sector M&A activity, but Europe likely will get a bigger piece of the action in 2015 if current oil prices persist, according to Reuters' Fiona Maharg-Bravo.
- Net debt at smaller explorers such as Tullow Oil (OTCPK:TUWLF, OTCPK:TUWOY), Premier Oil (OTC:PMOIF), Afren (OTCPK:AFRNF) and EnQuest (OTC:ENQUF) could all reach 3x EBITDA if oil remains at $60/bbl through 2015, Barclays estimates.
- BG Group (OTCPK:BRGXF, OTCQX:BRGYY) has long been a target, and the new CEO starts in March; BP faces big liabilities in the Gulf of Mexico and volatility in Russia, it’s not clear if Shell (RDS.A, RDS.B) will make a move, while Exxon (NYSE:XOM) and other U.S. majors could be tempted.
Dec. 3, 2014, 7:58 AM
- The plunge in oil prices has erased more than half of Tullow Oil’s (OTCPK:TUWLF, OTCPK:TUWOY) market value since June, and Bloomberg reports that management is now concerned the company could be vulnerable to a takeover approach by a larger oil and gas producer.
- Tullow offers “a significant operating position that would not look out of place in the portfolio of a larger company,” says Societe Generale's David Mirzai, adding that the drop in oil prices “would certainly make it a lot easier to win the investor base around than in previous years.”
- Total (NYSE:TOT), Cnooc (NYSE:CEO) and Exxon (NYSE:XOM) would be among logical bidders since they’ve expressed interest in African assets before, BMO says, adding that a buyer would not need to contend with obstacles such as a poison pill or dual-class stock structure.
Feb. 17, 2012, 10:05 AM