U.S. Bancorp's Steady Excellence Worth A Premium
Stephen Simpson, CFA
Stephen Simpson, CFA
Mar. 24, 2015, 4:26 PM
- South Carolina's Companion Property & Casualty Insurance Company alleges U.S. Bancorp's (NYSE:USB) U.S. Bank unit - as trustee for trust accounts managed by insurance companies of a shifty financier - negligently or recklessly allowed them to be "depleted" in favor of securities that are either illiquid, worthless, or both.
- The amount is question is $176M.
- The financier is Alexander Chatfiled Burns, and his activities were the subject of a page one article in the WSJ over the weekend.
Mar. 18, 2015, 2:41 PM
- The Dow and S&P 500 have each turned more than 1% higher following after the Fed cuts its projections for GDP growth, inflation, and the pace of rate hikes, but the country's yield-starved lenders don't join the party.
- The KBE is down 0.5% and the KRE by 0.9%.
- Bank of America (BAC -0.2%), Citigroup (C +0.1%), Regions Financial (RF -1.1%), KeyCorp (KEY -0.9%), First Niagara (FNFG -1.6%), U.S. Bancorp (USB +0.1%), PNC Financial (PNC +0.3%).
- Others gasping for a yield above zero: Schwab (SCHW -1.5%), E*Trade (ETFC +0.1%), Ameritrade (AMTD -0.5%).
- Previously: FOMC drops "patient," but sends dovish signal (March 18)
- Previously: Stocks stage sharp turnaround, yields dive following dovish Fed news (March 18)
- ETFs: XLF, FAS, FAZ, UYG, KRE, VFH, KBE, IYF, IAT, SEF, IYG, FXO, FNCL, KBWB, QABA, FINU, KRU, RWW, KBWR, RYF, FINZ, KRS
Mar. 6, 2015, 9:46 AM
- A turnaround from the action earlier this year - financials (XLF +0.9%) are marching higher in early action as the averages slip, as nervous investors buy back in following the stress test results. Also helping are surging interest rates following the strong jobs number.
- Looking at a pretty broad screen of bank names, just two - Goldman Sachs and Zions, both of which barely passed the stress test - are lower. Among the others: Bank of America (BAC +3.7%), JPMorgan (JPM +1.1%), U.S. Bancorp (USB +1.6%), Regions FInancial (RF +2.3%), KeyCorp (KEY +2.7%), PNC Financial (PNC +2.3%), BB&T (BBT +2.4%), Fifth Third (FITB +2.2%), Comerica (CMA +3.8%), BNY Mellon (BK +2.9%).
- Among those starved for higher rates: MetLife (MET +3%), Prudential (PRU +3.3%), Lincoln National (LNC +4.1%), AIG (AIG +1.4%), Hartford (HIG +2%), E*Trade (ETFC +3.9%), Schwab (SCHW +4.4%), Ameritrade (AMTD +4.3%).
- Previously: Futures slip after jobs number as yields and dollar soar (March 6)
- ETFs: XLF, FAS, FAZ, UYG, KRE, VFH, KBE, IYF, KIE, IAT, IAI, SEF, IYG, IAK, FXO, FNCL, KBWB, QABA, FINU, KCE, KRU, RWW, KBWR, RYF, KBWP, KBWI, PSCF, KBWC, FINZ, KRS
Mar. 5, 2015, 8:28 PM
- The minimum Tier 1 common capital ratio for banks is 5%, according to the Fed, and here's how the 31 lenders stacked up under the central bank's severely adverse scenario vs. a year ago (h/t: WSJ):
- Deutshce Bank (NYSE:DB): 34.7%, not tested a year ago
- DIscover (NYSE:DFS): 13.9% vs. 13.2% a year ago
- Bank of New York Mellon (NYSE:BK): 12.6% vs. 13.1%
- American Express (NYSE:AXP): 12.5% vs. 12.1%
- Northern Trust (NASDAQ:NTRS): 12.3% vs. 11.7%
- State Street (NYSE:STT): 11.8% vs. 13.3%
- Citizens Financial (NYSE:CFG): 10.7% vs. 10.7%
- KeyCorp (NYSE:KEY): 9.9% vs. 9.2%
- Capital One (NYSE:COF): 9.5% vs. 7.8%
- PNC Financial (NYSE:PNC): 9.5% vs. 9%
- Santander Holdings USA (SAN's U.S. unit): 9.4% vs. 7.3%; shares +0.8% after hours
- BMO Financial (BMO's U.S. unit): 9% vs. 7.6%
- Comerica (NYSE:CMA): 9% vs. 8.6%
- Huntington Bancshares (NASDAQ:HBAN): 9% vs. 7.4%
- HSBC North America (NYSE:HSBC): 8.9% vs. 6.6%
- U.S. Bancorp (NYSE:USB): 8.5% vs. 8.2%
- Regions Financial (NYSE:RF): 8.3% vs. 8.9%
- Citigroup (NYSE:C): 8.2% vs. 7.2%
- SunTrust (NYSE:STI): 8.2% vs. 8.8%
- BB&T (NYSE:BBT): 8.1% vs. 8.4%
- MUFG Americas Holdings (NYSE:MTU): 8% vs. 8.1%
- Ally Financial (NYSE:ALLY): 7.9% vs. 6.3%
- Fifth Third Bancorp (NASDAQ:FITB): 7.9% vs. 8.4%
- Wells Fargo (NYSE:WFC): 7.5% vs. 8.2%
- M&T Bank (NYSE:MTB): 7.3% vs. 6.2%
- Bank of America (NYSE:BAC): 7.1% vs. 5.9%; shares +2.1% after hours
- JPMorgan (NYSE:JPM): 6.5% vs. 6.3%
- BBVA Compass (NYSE:BBVA): 6.3% vs. 8.5%
- Goldman Sachs (NYSE:GS): 6.3% vs. 6.9%
- Morgan Stanley (NYSE:MS): 6.2% vs. 6.1%
- Zions Bancorp (NASDAQ:ZION): 5.1% vs. 3.6%; shares -1.7% after hours
- The lenders were also informed today whether their capital return plans would put them below the Fed's 5% threshold, giving them a 6-day window with which to change those requests, if need be. Last year, both BofA and Goldman scaled back their dividend/buyback requests, allowing them to pass the CCAR. This year's CCAR results will be announced on Wednesday.
- 2015 Stress Test Methodology and Results
Mar. 3, 2015, 12:21 PM
- U.S. Bancorp (NYSE:USB) declares $0.245/share quarterly dividend, in line with previous.
- Forward yield 2.2%
- Payable April 15; for shareholders of record March 31; ex-div March 27.
Feb. 18, 2015, 2:49 PM
- The financial sector had begun to turn around a dismal start to the year as February brought forth a string of hawkish Fed heads suggesting a June rate hike, but the XLF is lower by 0.8% after just-released FOMC minutes suggest markets and the hawks are getting ahead of themselves. KBE -1.7%, KRE -2%
- The TBTFs: BofA (BAC -2.2%), JPMorgan (JPM -1.4%), Wells Fargo (WFC -1.6%), Ciitgroup (C -0.8%)
- The regionals: Regions Financial (RF -1.6%), KeyCorp (KEY -1.6%), PNC Financial (PNC -1.3%), BB&T (BBT -1.5%), Fifth Third (FITB -1.6%), SunTrust (STI -1.7%), First Niagara (FNFG -2.1%), M&T (MTB -1.9%), U.S. Bancorp (USB -1.3%), First Horizon (FHN -2.7%).
- Online brokerage: Schwab (SCHW -2.3%), E*Trade (ETFC -1.7%), Ameritrade (AMTD -1.1%), Interactive Brokers (IBKR -0.9%).
- Previously: FOMC minutes: June rate hike not a slam dunk yet (Feb. 18)
- ETFs: XLF, FAS, FAZ, UYG, KRE, VFH, KBE, IYF, IAT, IAI, SEF, IYG, FXO, FNCL, KBWB, QABA, FINU, KCE, KRU, RWW, KBWR, RYF, KBWC, FINZ, KRS
Feb. 17, 2015, 11:47 AM
- "When implementing specific points of the guidance, we think our consensus-matching Q1 EPS estimate of $0.76 is at risk of being too high," says KBW's Chris Mutascio, after listening to management comments at a recent conference.
- And a Q1 miss would make it that much harder for the bank to hit consensus forecasts for $0.82 in Q2 (KBW is at $0.78).
- He rates U.S. Bancorp (USB -0.6%) at Underperform with $44 price target.
Feb. 4, 2015, 3:38 PM
- "One can only hope January will be the cruelest month for bank investors in 2015 with the S&P 500 Regional Bank Index and Nasdaq Bank Index declining 9.7% and 8.9%, respectively (vs. the S&P's 3.1% drop)," says Sterne Agee.
- If buying the dip, says the team, look for those regional names with fee-income-generating businesses which can hedge against the flatter yield curve. Fitting the mold would be Buy-rated Fifth Third Bancorp (FITB +1.1%) and BB&T (BBT +0.4%), as well as Neutral-rated U.S. Bancorp (USB +1.5%).
- "Those banks with operating-fee businesses (asset management, insurance, mortgage, capital markets) are in a better position to support EPS growth until the rate environment turns."
- Previously: Financials go on sale in January (Jan. 24)
Jan. 21, 2015, 7:52 AM
- Q4 net income of $1.488B or $0.79 per share vs. $1.456B and $0.76 one year ago. Notable items added a penny to this year's result.
- Net interest income of $2.799B up 2.4% Y/Y, with NIM of 3.14% 26 basis points lower than a year ago. Average earning assets of $35.4B up 11.1%.
- Noninterest income of $2.37B up 9.9% Y/Y, with most businesses showing gains, even mortgage banking revenue.
- Noninterest expense of $2.804B up 4.5%, with compensation up 4.4%.
- Tier 1 common ratio of 9.7% up 30 basis points from a year ago. Book value per share of $21.68 up 8.8% Y/Y.
- Conference call at 8:30 ET
- Previously: U.S. Bancorp beats by $0.02, beats on revenue (Jan. 21)
- USB no trades premarket
Jan. 21, 2015, 7:17 AM
- U.S. Bancorp (NYSE:USB): Q4 EPS of $0.79 beats by $0.02.
- Revenue of $5.17B (+5.7% Y/Y) beats by $160M.
Jan. 20, 2015, 5:30 PM
Jan. 12, 2015, 11:33 AM
- General Motors (GM +0.4%) plans to use its GM Financial lending unit as the exclusive provider of subsidized leases as of Feb. 3 - which could maybe boost GM earnings, but comes at the expense of Ally Financial (ALLY -3.9%) and U.S. Bancorp (USB -0.7%) unit U.S. Bank, which will be largely pushed out of the lucrative business.
- Ally Financial bull Mark Palmer of BTIG says the move shouldn't be wholly unexpected as Ally CEO Michael Carpenter last month warned this could occur. While it's a negative for Ally, says Palmer, a boost in non-GM used car loans should compensate.
Jan. 5, 2015, 1:25 PM
- "We view Wells Fargo (WFC -2.7%) as a core bank holding, but shares have reached our price target and we believe sentiment is now overwhelmingly positive after leading returns in 2014 (+21%, #1 among the top 50 banks)," says Baird's David George, who earlier downgraded the stock from Outperform to Neutral.
- Put the money in another bank? Not so quick, says George, suggesting the Fed could tighten later and be less aggressive than most expect, disappointing those hoping for higher rates to boost profits. Other than Wells Fargo, George sees sentiment highest in PNC Financial (PNC -2.7%), SunTrust (STI -3.9%), and U.S. Bancorp (USB -2.2%).
- Asset-sensitive names like Comerica (CMA -3.7%) and Zions (ZION -3.4%) lagged in 2014, but estimates still look to high.
- Top ideas would be Fifth Third (FITB -2.7%), Capital One (COF -2.4%), and JPMorgan (JPM -3%), but George is having a tough time finding value in the sector.
- Previously: Longtime Wells Fargo bull rings the register (Jan. 5)
Dec. 17, 2014, 3:23 PM
- This time its the National Credit Union Administration Board, and it's suing Bank of America (NYSE:BAC) and U.S. Bancorp (NYSE:USB) over losses on $5.8B in MBS.
- "Even after ample evidence came to light that the trusts were riddled with defective loans, defendants shut their eyes to such problems,” according to the complaint. “As participants in many roles in the securitization process, defendants were economically intertwined with the parties they were supposed to police.”
Dec. 9, 2014, 1:49 PM
- U.S. Bancorp (NYSE:USB) declares $0.245/share quarterly dividend, in line with previous.
- Forward yield 2.18%
- Payable Jan 15; for shareholders of record Dec. 31; ex-div Dec. 29.
Nov. 29, 2014, 8:00 AM
- New guidelines - set to take full effect on December 1 - are the result of an agreement reached last month between banks and the GSEs meant to clarify exactly when lenders could be called to task for mortgages sold to Fannie Mae (OTCQB:FNMA) and Freddie Mac (OTCQB:FMCC) which ultimately default. Since the financial crisis, Fannie and Freddie have forced banks to repurchase billions of dollars worth of mortgages, leaving them naturally gun-shy about making new loans to all but the most pristine of credits.
- “It’s providing greater certainty for all the parties so that you can lend more confidently and make the whole judgment process much easier and more clear cut,” says Mike Heid, president of Wells Fargo (NYSE:WFC) Home Mortgage. Along with SunTrust (NYSE:STI), Wells says borrowers should begin to see initial changes - such as faster processing times, reduced credit score requirements, and greater leeway to those whose credit history suffered due to one-time events - in a few weeks.
- "We will be able to be looser and open up the net wider," says Mason-McDuffie Mortgage CEO Bill Godfrey, now expecting to make loans down to a 620 credit score from 660 previously.
- Not everyone agrees: “Unless we are convinced that the rules are going to be permanent and there is not going to be a look back or a reach back in future times…we are simply going to stay on the sidelines," U.S. Bancorp (NYSE:USB) boss Richard Davis has said, and Bank of America (NYSE:BAC) CEO Brian Moynihan made similar comments at a recent conference.
U.S. Bancorp operates as a bank holding company, which through its subsidiary provides banking services. It provides a full range of financial services, including lending and depository services, cash management, foreign exchange and trust and investment management services. The company also... More
Industry: Regional - Midwest Banks
Country: United States