VASCO Data Security International, Inc.NASDAQ
Vasco An Old Tech Short In The Cybersecurity Bubble
Ariana Research • 36 Comments
Ariana Research • 36 Comments
My Pair Trade: Short Palo Alto Networks / Long VASCO Data Security International
Amit Ghate • 31 Comments
Amit Ghate • 31 Comments
Wed, Nov. 9, 3:03 PM
- With a Trump agenda calling for "an immediate review of all U.S. cyber defenses and vulnerabilities" among other items to be addressed, the sector has seemingly responded positively on the near-term. Exact methods or execution revolving around the position, however, of course remains awaited.
- Sector price movements – FireEye (FEYE +0.5%), Palo Alto Networks (PANW +3%), Fortinet (FTNT +1%), CyberArk Software (CYBR +3.5%), Check Point Software Technologies (CHKP +1.7%), Proofpoint (PFPT +2.3%), Imperva (IMPV +0.8%), Symantec (SYMC +0.6%), Barracuda Networks (CUDA +2.2%), VASCO Data Security International (VDSI +3.7%), Akamai Technologies (AKAM +0.3%), Limelight Networks (LLNW +2.2%), Level 3 Communications (LVLT +1.9%)
- Related – (NYSEARCA:HACK)
Thu, Oct. 27, 4:08 PM
Wed, Oct. 26, 5:35 PM
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Wed, Oct. 19, 3:03 PM
Wed, Oct. 19, 12:44 PM
Thu, Jul. 28, 4:08 PM
Wed, Jul. 27, 5:35 PM
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Fri, May 6, 2:17 PM
- Palo Alto Networks (PANW -3.7%), Proofpoint (PFPT -3.6%), Rapid7 (RPD -2.1%), Identiv (INVE -7.5%), and Vasco (VDSI -3.1%) are selling off after security tech peers FireEye (down 18.8%), Imperva (down 25.2%), and CyberArk (up 1.5%) delivered their Q1 reports.
- FireEye, likely the biggest culprit behind the selloff, posted mixed Q1 results (sales missed, EPS beat), offered light Q2 and full-year revenue guidance (full-year billings guidance was affirmed), and announced (as part of a larger management shakeup) Kevin Mandia is replacing Dave DeWalt as CEO. The company's product (hardware/software) revenue fell 16% Y/Y amid tough competition in the malware-prevention space from Palo Alto and Cisco - Palo Alto's WildFire malware-detection service has been growing like its name - while its services/subscription revenue grew 58% thanks to both organic growth and M&A.
- Imperva beat Q1 EPS estimates and posted roughly in-line revenue, but offered soft Q2 sales guidance blamed on European execution and (to some extent) web app firewall weakness. The company promises it's fixing both issues.
- CyberArk beat Q1 estimates and offered Q2/2016 guidance that was generally favorable to consensus. The company's license revenue growth slightly accelerated in Q1 to 38% from Q4's 35%.
- The PureFunds ISE Cyber Security ETF (HACK -2.3%) is down 13% YTD.
Thu, Apr. 28, 4:12 PM
- VASCO Data Security (NASDAQ:VDSI): Q1 EPS of $0.14 beats by $0.08.
- Revenue of $46.8M (-28.2% Y/Y) misses by $0.13M.
- Shares +1.25%.
Wed, Apr. 27, 5:35 PM
- ABAX, ACHC, AEM, AIV, AJG, ALDR, ALGN, AMCC, AMGN, AMZN, ARII, ATEN, ATHN, ATR, ATRC, AZPN, BCOV, BGS, BIDU, BMRN, BOOM, BRKS, BVN, CATM, CENX, CHDN, CHE, CHMT, CLD, CLW, COHR, COLM, COWN, CPHD, CPT, CUBE, DDR, DGII, DLR, ECOL, EHTH, ELLI, EMN, EPAY, EPR, ESS, EXLS, EXPE, EYES, FET, FII, FLEX, FLS, FPO, GB, GILD, GIMO, GNW, GRPN, HELE, HIG, HT, HTH, HURN, HWAY, INVA, IPHI, ISBC, JNPR, KBR, KRG, LEG, LNKD, LOGM, LPLA, MATW, MMSI, MOBL, MOH, MSA, MSCC, N, NATI, NFG, NPTN, NR, NSIT, NSR, NUS, OFIX, OMCL, OUTR, P, PCCC, PDFS, PFG, PODD, PXLW, QLIK, RGA, RGC, ROVI, RRC, RSG, SCSS, SGEN, SHOR, SKYW, SMCI, SNMX, SPN, SPNC, SRCL, STRZA, SWKS, SYNA, TEP, TLGT, TMST, TNDM, TRMB, TXTR, VCRA, VDSI, VGR, VR, VRSN, WDC, YRCW
Tue, Feb. 16, 4:10 PM
- VASCO Data Security (NASDAQ:VDSI): Q4 EPS of $0.15 misses by $0.02.
- Revenue of $50.9M (-18.5% Y/Y) beats by $1.73M.
Mon, Feb. 15, 5:35 PM
Fri, Feb. 5, 11:01 AM
- A long list of enterprise software and security tech names are off sharply after business intelligence/analytics software upstart Tableau (down 45.3%) reported slower-than-expected license revenue growth and issued below-consensus Q1/2016 guidance.
- Also possibly weighing: LinkedIn (down 39.6%), which derives a large % of its revenue from cloud-based recruiting and sales tools for enterprises, issued weak Q1/2016 guidance.
- Given the magnitude of the drops, margin calls and forced selling by funds could be playing a big role. The Nasdaq is down 2.2%.
- Tableau suggested its growth slowdown has to do with softening IT spend and a need to improve sales productivity, but analysts have raised questions about competition from the likes of Microsoft, Amazon, and Qlik. LinkedIn forecast a growth slowdown for its field sales hiring solutions business, while blaming European/Asian macro pressures. The company also noted its display ad business continues declining amid weak industry growth.
- Major enterprise software decliners include Splunk (SPLK -23.7%), Workday (WDAY -15.1%), Adobe (ADBE -7%), Zendesk (ZEN -15.2%), ServiceNow (NOW -13.6%), NetSuite (N -12.4%), Salesforce (CRM -11.2%), Paycom (PAYC -10.6%), Ellie Mae (ELLI -11.5%), Cornerstone OnDemand (CSOD -7.8%), Veeva (VEEV -7.7%), Ultimate Software (ULTI -9%), Luxoft (LXFT -7.5%), Manhattan Associates (MANH -8.5%), Box (BOX -6.6%), Guidewire (GWRE -13.6%), Demandware (DWRE -9.3%), Hortonworks (HDP -9.7%), and Tableau rival Qlik (QLIK -16.6%). The casualty list includes many cloud software firms, as well as several analytics software plays. Previously covered: New Relic, Atlassian.
- Major decliners among security tech firms: Palo Alto Networks (PANW -12%), FireEye (FEYE -8.9%), Rapid7 (RPD -8.6%), CyberArk (CYBR -8.3%), Proofpoint (PFPT -8%), Imperva (IMPV -8.3%), Fortinet (FTNT -6.9%), and Vasco (VDSI -5.1%). The selloff comes in spite of an FQ3 beat and in-line FQ4 guidance from Symantec, which has been losing share to various upstarts.
Wed, Jan. 20, 1:18 PM
- Like clockwork, high-beta tech stocks continue selling off at a feverish pace as markets nosedive. Today's selloff comes with the Nasdaq down 2.7%, and the S&P 3%. Margin calls are likely a contributing factor.
- Solar stocks, which sold off yesterday even as major indices moved little, are underperforming again as energy stocks get routed once more and oil drops below $27/barrel. Hard-luck SunEdison (SUNE -13.6%) is now close to $2. Also tumbling: Canadian Solar (CSIQ -8.8%), ReneSola (SOL -8.2%), and Yingli (YGE -6.9%).
- Security tech plays FireEye (FEYE -9.3%), Palo Alto Networks (PANW -6.1%), Rapid7 (RPD -11.6%), and Vasco (VDSI -10.5%) aren't faring better - peers Fortinet and Barrcauda were downgraded this morning. Nor are Splunk (SPLK -7.7%) and Tableau (DATA -7.2%), two firms often hyped as big data/analytics plays, or Russian tech firms Yandex (YNDX -6.6%) and Qiwi (QIWI -6.9%), which often sell off when oil prices and the ruble are under pressure.
- Elsewhere in tech, big decliners include Zillow (Z -7.1%), Square (SQ -6.7%), Fitbit (FIT -6.6%), Groupon (GRPN -6.9%), TrueCar (TRUE -7.7%), Pure Storage (PSTG -7.8%), Jive Software (JIVE -7.4%), Shopify (SHOP -7.2%), Ruckus Wireless (RKUS -8%), Renren (RENN -6.8%), Infinera (INFN -6.1%), TripAdvisor (TRIP -6.5%), Ellie Mae (ELLI -6.7%), and Knowles (KN -6.2%).
- Also off sharply: Several large-cap tech stocks, TowerJazz, Synaptics, Adtran
Nov. 5, 2015, 12:47 PM
- Fortinet (FTNT -4.2%), Barracuda (CUDA -3.9%), Vasco (VDSI -1.9%), Proofpoint (PFPT -4.6%), and KEYW (KEYW -6.3%) have joined the ranks of enterprise security tech firms selling off in the wake of FireEye's Q3 revenue/billings miss, soft Q4 sales guidance, and full-year billings guidance cut.
- Other decliners include Palo Alto Networks, CyberArk, and Rapid7. FireEye itself is down 23%.
- Also: PC/mobile security software firm AVG is down 17.7% after missing Q3 estimates and providing light Q4 guidance. Symantec is up slightly following an FQ2 EPS beat.
- The PureFunds ISE Cyber Security ETF (HACK -3.1%) has fallen below $27. CyberArk reports after the bell.
- Update: FBR's Daniel Ives is defending the group. "Importantly, we note that nearly every major cybersecurity player (Check Point, Imperva, Proofpoint, Palo Alto, Fortinet) recently has delivered strong results across the board with a healthy outlook ... We continue to strongly believe that FireEye's issues are much more company-specific as DeWalt & Co. are dealing with a plethora of execution/product headaches in the field, which are major overhangs on the FireEye story heading into 2016. We continue to see white-hot cybersecurity spending, which we view as a 30%+ growth area in a 2%–3% overall IT landscape as the threat landscape escalates. We would be strong buyers of the cybersecurity basket, with PANW, PFPT, and CHKP front and center."
Oct. 28, 2015, 11:49 AM
- In addition to beating Q3 estimates, Vasco (NASDAQ:VDSI) has hiked its full-year op. margin guidance to 21%-23% from 19%-21%. Revenue guidance remains at $230M-$240M (compares with a $238.3M consensus).
- Lifting Q3 EPS: Operating expenses from continuing ops only rose 5% Y/Y to $22.8M, less than revenue growth from continuing ops of 14%. A strong dollar had a $2.5M impact on sales.
- On the earnings call (transcript), CEO Ken Hunt noted Rabobank accounted for over 30% of revenue, as it did in Q1 and Q2. CFO Cliff Brown stated EMEA accounted for 70% of revenue over the first 9 months of 2015, Asia 18%, the U.S. just 4%, and other countries 8%.
- Shares still -30% YTD, after having soared in 2014.
- Q3 results, PR