Vanguard Short-Term Government Bond Index ETF(VGSH)- NASDAQ
  • Today, 8:57 AM
    • Vanguard Short-Term Government Bond ETF (NASDAQ:VGSH) - $0.0430. 30-Day Sec yield of 0.74%.
    • Vanguard Intermediate-Term Government Bond ETF (NASDAQ:VGIT) - $0.0850. 30-Day Sec yield of 1.21%.
    • Vanguard Long-Term Government Bond ETF (NASDAQ:VGLT) - $0.1660. 30-Day Sec yield of 2.16%.
    • Vanguard Short-Term Corporate Bond ETF (NASDAQ:VCSH) - $0.1400. 30-Day Sec yield of 1.72%.
    • Vanguard Intermediate-Term Corporate Bond ETF (NASDAQ:VCIT) - $0.2330. 30-Day Sec yield of 2.74%.
    • Payable Oct. 7; for shareholders of record Oct. 5; ex-div Oct. 3. 30-Day Sec yield as of 9/29/2016.
    | Today, 8:57 AM
  • Wed, Sep. 21, 9:47 AM
    | Wed, Sep. 21, 9:47 AM
  • Tue, Sep. 20, 1:50 PM
    | Tue, Sep. 20, 1:50 PM | 13 Comments
  • Tue, Sep. 20, 7:37 AM
    • Two of the Fed's 23 primary dealers - Barclays and BNP Paribas - are betting against their 21 peers and the bond market as a whole by forecasting the FOMC will boost interest rates tomorrow.
    • "There will always be some uncertainties in the data," says BNP's Laura Rosner. "There is a window of opportunity for the Fed to continue normalizing, and we think it’ll take it.”
    • In addition to the 21 primary dealers who disagree, Fed Fund futures traders are pricing in just a 20% chance the FOMC moves on Wednesday, down from 40% about three weeks ago.
    • Barclays: "We're not the crazy house - this is the first time we've been so far out of consensus on the view ... We’ve kept our conviction on September because we think that’s what the FOMC has communicated to us."
    • ETFs: SHY, BIL, PLW, VGSH, SHV, STPP, GOVT, SCHO, FLAT, FTT, EGF, SST, DTUS, TUZ, DTUL, TAPR, USFR, TFLO, RISE, GBIL
    | Tue, Sep. 20, 7:37 AM | 4 Comments
  • Tue, Sep. 13, 7:51 AM
    • It's been whipsaw city for the team of pros at Goldman. Jan Hatzius and team for the third time this month have revised their odds of a chance of a rate hike next week. Don't laugh, they get paid for this stuff.
    • This time, those odds are ratcheted down - to 25% from 40% - following the "super-dove" speech from Fed Governor Lael Brainard yesterday. At the same time, the team lifts the chances for a December move to 40% from 30%.
    • Following the nonfarm payrolls report early this month, the team had raised the odds of a hike in September to 55% from 40%, but cut back to 40% after ISM services miss.
    • ETFs: SHY, BIL, VGSH, SHV, SCHO, SST, DTUS, TUZ, DTUL, USFR, TFLO, RISE
    | Tue, Sep. 13, 7:51 AM | 5 Comments
  • Fri, Sep. 9, 12:07 PM
    | Fri, Sep. 9, 12:07 PM | 1 Comment
  • Wed, Sep. 7, 8:15 AM
    • The reason may not be what everyone thinks. CIO Rick Rieder and team aren't expecting a hawkish Fed to quickly jack up rates at the short end. Instead, they see a central bank likely to allow inflation to run above the 2% target for at least some time - not good for holders of long-dated Treasurys.
    • The value, says Rieder, is thus in the shorter end of the curve.
    • ETFs: SHY, BIL, PLW, VGSH, SHV, STPP, GOVT, SCHO, FLAT, FTT, EGF, SST, DTUS, TUZ, DTUL, TAPR, RISE
    | Wed, Sep. 7, 8:15 AM
  • Wed, Aug. 31, 12:46 PM
    • Vanguard Short-Term Government Bond ETF (NASDAQ:VGSH) - $0.0450. 30-Day Sec yield of 0.74%.
    • Vanguard Intermediate-Term Government Bond ETF (NASDAQ:VGIT) - $0.0820. 30-Day Sec yield of 1.18%.
    • Vanguard Long-Term Government Bond ETF (NASDAQ:VGLT) - $0.1640. 30-Day Sec yield of 2.12%.
    • Vanguard Short-Term Corporate Bond ETF (NASDAQ:VCSH) - $0.1400. 30-Day Sec yield of 1.73%.
    • Vanguard Intermediate-Term Corporate Bond ETF (NASDAQ:VCIT) - $0.2370. 30-Day Sec yield of 2.75%.
    • Payable Sep 8; for shareholders of record Sep 6; ex-div Sep 1. 30-Day Sec yield as of 8/30/2016.
    | Wed, Aug. 31, 12:46 PM | 1 Comment
  • Fri, Jul. 29, 1:16 PM
    • Vanguard Short-Term Government Bond ETF (NASDAQ:VGSH) - $0.0420. 30-Day Sec yield of 0.66%.
    • Vanguard Intermediate-Term Government Bond ETF (NASDAQ:VGIT) - $0.0840. 30-Day Sec yield of 1.10%.
    • Vanguard Long-Term Government Bond ETF (NASDAQ:VGLT) - $0.1660. 30-Day Sec yield of 2.09%.
    • Vanguard Short-Term Corporate Bond ETF (NASDAQ:VCSH) - $0.1430. 30-Day Sec yield of 1.73%.
    • Vanguard Intermediate-Term Corporate Bond ETF (NASDAQ:VCIT) - $0.2360. 30-Day Sec yield of 2.76%.
    • Payable Aug. 5; for shareholders of record Aug. 3; ex-div Aug. 1. 30-Day Sec yield as of 7/28/2016.
    | Fri, Jul. 29, 1:16 PM | 2 Comments
  • Thu, Jun. 30, 12:44 PM
    • Vanguard Short-Term Government Bond ETF (NASDAQ:VGSH) - $0.0460. 30-Day Sec yield of 0.73%.
    • Vanguard Intermediate-Term Government Bond ETF (NASDAQ:VGIT) - $0.0840. 30-Day Sec yield of 1.22%.
    • Vanguard Long-Term Government Bond ETF (NASDAQ:VGLT) - $0.1710. 30-Day Sec yield of 2.24%.
    • Vanguard Short-Term Corporate Bond ETF (NASDAQ:VCSH) - $0.1440. 30-Day Sec yield of 1.84%.
    • Vanguard Intermediate-Term Corporate Bond ETF (NASDAQ:VCIT) - $0.2390. 30-Day Sec yield of 2.95%.
    • Vanguard Long-Term Corporate Bond ETF (NASDAQ:VCLT) - $0.3230. 30-Day Sec yield of 4.22%.
    • Vanguard Mortgage-Backed Securities ETF (NASDAQ:VMBS) - $0.0800. 30-Day Sec yield of 1.74%.
    • Vanguard Emerging Markets Government Bond ETF (NASDAQ:VWOB) - $0.3030. 30-Day Sec yield of 4.52%.
    • Vanguard Total International Bond ETF (NASDAQ:BNDX) - $0.0560. 30-Day Sec yield of 0.60%.
    • Vanguard Tax-Exempt Bond ETF (NYSEARCA:VTEB) - $0.0670. 30-Day Sec yield of 1.45%.
    • Payable July 8; for shareholders of record July 6; ex-div July 1. 30-Day Sec yield as of 6/29/2016.
    | Thu, Jun. 30, 12:44 PM | 1 Comment
  • Mon, Jun. 27, 10:35 AM
    | Mon, Jun. 27, 10:35 AM | 27 Comments
  • Fri, Jun. 3, 8:49 AM
    | Fri, Jun. 3, 8:49 AM
  • Sun, May 29, 6:05 PM
    • Vanguard Short-Term Government Bond ETF (NASDAQ:VGSH)  - monthly distribution of $0.041. 30-Day Sec yield of 0.74%.
    • Vanguard Intermediate-Term Government Bond ETF (NASDAQ:VGIT) - monthly distribution of $0.084. 30-Day Sec yield of 1.30%.
    • Vanguard Long-Term Government Bond ETF (NASDAQ:VGLT) - monthly distribution of $0.161. 30-Day Sec yield of 2.44%.
    • Vanguard Short-Term Corporate Bond ETF (NASDAQ:VCSH) - monthly distribution of $0.144. 30-Day Sec yield of 1.89%.
    • Vanguard Intermediate-Term Corporate Bond ETF (NASDAQ:VCIT) - monthly distribution of $0.237. 30-Day Sec yield of 3.04%.
    • Vanguard Long-Term Corporate Bond ETF (NASDAQ:VCLT) - monthly distribution of $0.326. 30-Day Sec yield of 4.41%.
    • Vanguard Mortgage-Backed Securities ETF (NASDAQ:VMBS) - monthly distribution of $0.081. 30-Day Sec yield of 1.90%.
    • Vanguard Total International Bond ETF (NASDAQ:BNDX) - monthly distribution of $0.055. 30-Day Sec yield of 0.66%.
    • Vanguard Emerging Markets Government Bond ETF (NASDAQ:VWOB) - monthly distribution of $0.334. 30-Day Sec yield of 4.59%.
    • Vanguard Tax-Exempt Bond ETF (NYSEARCA:VTEB) - monthly distribution of $0.051. 30-Day Sec yield of 1.48%.
    • Payable June 7; for shareholders of record June 3; ex-div June 1. 30-Day Sec yield as of 5/27/2016.
    | Sun, May 29, 6:05 PM | 8 Comments
  • Tue, May 24, 10:15 AM
    • Those angling for a hike in interest rates at the June FOMC meeting got a boost to their argument a few minutes ago, as new home sales in April soared way past expectations and to their highest level in eight years.
    • The 10-year Treasury yield is higher by three basis points to 1.864%. TLT -0.6%, TBT +1.2%
    • Short-term rate markets are pricing in about a 40% chance of a June move by the Fed, and a near-100% chance by summer's end. They've also begun pricing in odds of two rate hikes by the end of 2016.
    • ETFs: TBT, TLT, TMV, SHY, TBF, EDV, TMF, TTT, ZROZ, VGLT, TLH, SBND, BIL, UBT, DLBS, TLO, VGSH, SHV, SCHO, LBND, VUSTX, DLBL, TYBS, SST, DTUS, TUZ, DTUL, RISE
    | Tue, May 24, 10:15 AM | 3 Comments
  • Thu, May 19, 3:11 PM
    • Like a decade ago, the Fed is in the process of hiking interest rates following an extended period of unprecedentedly low rates which had been put in place to combat plunging asset prices.
    • The 2006 rate hike cycle (which started a couple of years earlier) was meant to "normalize" rates and set in place a soft landing for the economy ... It didn't exactly work out that way.
    • As with then, writes Randall Forsyth, the PhDs at the Fed are ignoring the flattening yield curve. As pointed out by him and others numerous times ten years ago, the failure of long-term rates to follow short-term rates higher was a bright yellow warning sign. The Maestro explained it away as a "conundrum," and his successor Ben Bernanke pointed to a global savings glut as putting a damper on rates at the long end.
    • The Fed may indeed follow through on its words and hike in June, but don't be surprised if it's the last, says MFR's Josh Shapiro. "A weakening labor market and an overall market fraying around the edges will keep the Fed on hold for the balance of the year before further weakness leads to easing moves in 2017."
    • Previously: Recession warning: Yield curve flattest since Dec. 2007 (May 18)
    • ETFs: SHY, BIL, PLW, VGSH, SHV, STPP, GOVT, SCHO, FLAT, FTT, EGF, SST, DTUS, TUZ, DTUL, TAPR, USFR, TFLO, RISE
    | Thu, May 19, 3:11 PM | 2 Comments
  • Fri, May 6, 11:55 AM
    • Led by David Mericle, the team at Goldman had been looking for an April job gain of 240K, and a June rate hike. Following the print of just 160K, they push back their forecast of a Fed move to September.
    • Barclays now expects just one rate hike in 2016 - and that in September.
    • Taking a contrary stance is Neil Dutta from Renaissance Macro, who argues for looking at a wider range of numbers from the employment report - workweek length and average hourly earnings, along with job gains. On that score, the April survey was the strongest since January, he says.
    • ETFs: SHY, BIL, VGSH, SHV, SCHO, SST, DTUS, TUZ, DTUL, RISE
    | Fri, May 6, 11:55 AM | 2 Comments
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