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Viavi Solutions Inc. (VIAV)

  • Sep. 10, 2014, 5:35 PM
    • Top gainers, as of 5:15 p.m.: JDSU +13.7%. RMTI +7.3%. GOGO +4.2%. EXXI +2.3%. SOL +2.1%.
    • Top losers, as of 5:15 p.m.: EOPN -27.4%. SOHU -6.5%. FIVE -5.0%. HP -5.0%. RH -3.7%.
    | Sep. 10, 2014, 5:35 PM | Comment!
  • Sep. 10, 2014, 4:18 PM
    • One will be an optical components and commercial lasers company (CCOP) consisting of JDSU's current Communications and Commercial Optical Products segment.
    • The other is a network and service enablement company (NSE) consisting of JDSU's current Network Enablement, Service Enablement, and Optical Security and Performance Products segments.
    • The separation is expected to occur through a tax-free pro rata spinoff of CCOP to JDSU owners.
    • The company also reaffirms FQ1 (ending this month) guidance of non-GAAP revenue of $405M-$425M, and EPS of $0.08-$0.12.
    • SEC Form 8-K
    • The stock remains halted in after-hours trade following a 3.4% rise in the regular session.
    | Sep. 10, 2014, 4:18 PM | Comment!
  • Sep. 10, 2014, 4:03 PM
  • Sep. 4, 2014, 4:20 PM
    • Finisar (NASDAQ:FNSR) expects FQ2 revenue of $305M-$320M and EPS of $0.23-$0.27, below a consensus of $337.5M and $0.35.
    • The company blames an expected Q/Q drop in wireless transceiver sales following a strong FQ1, along with weak carrier spending and "a decrease in demand from several datacom customers with lumpy order patterns." Several analysts have already voiced concerns (I, II) about weak near-term sales.
    • FQ1 datacom revenue +31% Y/Y to $241.2M. Telecom revenue +6% to $86.4M.
    • Gross margin -220 bps Q/Q and -310 bps Y/Y to 32%. FQ2 GM guidance is at 31%-32%. Opex +5.4% Y/Y to $69.4M.
    • Shares are halted. Rival JDS Uniphase (NASDAQ:JDSU) is down 0.9% AH. Finisar and JDS both sold off in afternoon trading after Ciena issued soft guidance this morning, while blaming the timing of an AT&T contract.
    • FQ1 results, PR, earnings slides (.pdf)
    | Sep. 4, 2014, 4:20 PM | 1 Comment
  • Sep. 2, 2014, 1:45 PM
    • Ahead of Thursday's FQ1 report, Jefferies' James Kisner has downgraded Finisar (FNSR -6.2%) to Hold, and cut his target by $6 to $19.
    • Kisner cites weak pricing for both datacom and telecom optical components, weaker-than-expected 100G datacom share, a Chinese inventory correction, Cisco/Huawei vertical integration risk (previous), and looming price pressure/share loss to startups and possibly Intel.
    • Fellow component vendors JDS Uniphase (JDSU -2.2%), Oclaro (OCLR -1.7%), and Alliance Fiber (AFOP -2.3%) are also off, as is equipment vendor Ciena (CIEN -2.1%). JDS and Alliance were among the names that followed Finisar lower last Wednesday, following cautious notes from MKM and RBC.
    • Jefferies raised alarm bells about AT&T's wireline capex in June, before Juniper and JDS offered soft guidance blamed on light North American capex.
    • A lot has been priced in: Finisar now only trades for 9x FY16E (ends April '16) EPS exc. net cash.
    | Sep. 2, 2014, 1:45 PM | 3 Comments
  • Aug. 27, 2014, 12:52 PM
    • Ahead of Finisar's (FNSR -3.9%) Sep. 4 FQ1 report, MKM's Michael Genovese has respectively cut his revenue and EPS estimates for the quarter by $3M and $0.01, albeit while reiterating a Buy.
    • Genovese predicts "soft 2HCY14 carrier capex and the mix shift to low margin Chinese sales is likely to result in fairly anemic Telecom revenue growth and limited [gross margin] expansion in the near term." But he's still upbeat about Finisar's datacom sales (boosted by Web data center buildouts), and thinks telecom sales "should improve in 2HCY15 as the 100G Metro market positively inflects."
    • Likewise, RBC's Mark Sue is reiterating an Outperform, but offering cautious remarks. "Inventories are creeping upward, inventory lead-times are decreasing and there’s concern that current soft-pricing may continue or spread to higher speed products."
    • Sue thinks Chinese competition is affecting pricing for "low-mid speed components," and suggests Finisar should slash capex and launch a buyback. Shares plunged in June due to light FQ1 EPS guidance that stemmed from margin pressure.
    • A slew of other firms with strong telecom capex exposure are also trading lower. JDSU -1.8%. INFN -1.6%. CYNI -2.4%. AFOP -1.5%. CAVM -1.4%. ZHNE -1.6%. Juniper and multiple component vendors have already reported seeing soft near-term capex trends.
    • For component vendors, a decent amount of bad news has been priced in since April.
    | Aug. 27, 2014, 12:52 PM | 1 Comment
  • Aug. 21, 2014, 5:35 PM
    | Aug. 21, 2014, 5:35 PM | Comment!
  • Aug. 21, 2014, 3:59 PM
    • Optical component vendors JDS Uniphase (JDSU +4.3%), Finisar (FNSR +3.4%), Oplink (OPLK +3.2%), Oclaro (OCLR +3.6%), and Alliance Fiber (AFOP +2.5%) have all rallied on a quiet day of trading, and so has client Ciena (CIEN +2.7%). No news has hit the wires to explain the gains.
    • JDS, Oclaro, and Alliance Fiber all sold off in recent weeks (I, II, III) after providing disappointing guidance in their calendar Q2 reports. JDS (like Juniper following its Q2 report) observed soft North American wireline capex is pressuring industry sales.
    | Aug. 21, 2014, 3:59 PM | Comment!
  • Aug. 13, 2014, 2:45 PM
    • B. Riley and Piper have downgraded JDS Uniphase (JDSU -8.9%) following its light Sep. quarter outlook. Each cites the impact of soft carrier spending.
    • B. Riley's Dave Kang (downgrade to Neutral) notes the AT&T/DirecTV deal has affected Ma Bell's spending (previous), and that industry demand is pressured by a transition to software-defined networking (SDN) architectures that's still in its early stages.
    • Kang: "In hindsight, we significantly under-estimated the potential impact of the SDN transition on the telecom equipment industry." He notes the transition is hurting JDS' test equipment/software sales (expected to fall to $160M-$175M in FQ1 from $199M in FQ4) more than its optical component sales. Optical component/laser division sales are expected to total $200M-$210M in FQ1 vs. $196.9M in FQ4.
    • On the CC (transcript), CEO Tom Waechter admitted North American carriers "have ratcheted down wireline spending" (echoes of Juniper), and that wireless investments "have been tepid due to rapid changes in network technology architectures." On the other hand, he states component demand "remains healthy with notable strength in Datacom, 100G modulators and China's infrastructure spend."
    • Ciena (CIEN -2.7%) and Fabrinet (FN -3%) have joined the ranks of companies following JDS lower. Cisco reports after the bell.
    | Aug. 13, 2014, 2:45 PM | Comment!
  • Aug. 13, 2014, 9:15 AM
    | Aug. 13, 2014, 9:15 AM | Comment!
  • Aug. 12, 2014, 4:49 PM
    • Though it beat FQ4 estimates, JDS Uniphase (NASDAQ:JDSU) is guiding for FQ1 revenue of $405M-$425M and EPS of $0.08-$0.12, below a consensus of $440.9M and $0.14.
    • FQ4 gross margin was 50%, +240 bps Q/Q and +390 bps Y/Y. Opex rose 17% Y/Y to $226M. $160M was spent on buybacks in FY14.
    • Network service & enablement revenue (test equipment/software) +10.2% Y/Y to $209.1M; optical communications (components/modules) +1.4% to $156.2M; lasers +44.3% to $40.7M; optical security/performance -13.4% to $42.6M. Test equipment and laser sales were respectively boosted by the Trendium and Time-Bandwidth acquisitions.
    • Finisar (NASDAQ:FNSR) is following JDS lower.
    • FQ4 results, PR
    | Aug. 12, 2014, 4:49 PM | Comment!
  • Aug. 12, 2014, 4:08 PM
    • JDS Uniphase Corporation (NASDAQ:JDSU): FQ4 EPS of $0.14 beats by $0.01.
    • Revenue of $448.6M (+6.5% Y/Y) beats by $11.51M.
    • Shares -5.54% AH.
    • Press Release
    | Aug. 12, 2014, 4:08 PM | Comment!
  • Aug. 11, 2014, 5:35 PM
  • Jul. 23, 2014, 1:45 PM
    • Juniper's (JNPR -9.8%) soft Q3 guidance, along with its related commentary on U.S. telco demand, is taking a toll on fellow telecom equipment suppliers Cisco (CSCO -1.2%), Ciena (CIEN -3.2%), Cyan (CYNI -2.5%), Zhone (ZHNE -6.5%) Ruckus (RKUS -1.6%), and Sonus (SONS -3.8%).
    • Optical component vendors JDS Uniphase (JDSU -2.9%) and Finisar (FNSR -2%) are also off, as are several chipmakers (previous) with heavy networking/telecom exposure.
    • On its CC (transcript), Juniper stated "market dynamics including M&A activity" are affecting the "sequencing and timing" of U.S. carrier projects. Jefferies reported in June AT&T has significantly cut its wireline capex in the wake of the DirecTV deal.
    • There has been speculation AT&T is keeping a lid on wireline capex ahead of the full rollout of its ambitious Domain 2.0 initiative, which will feature the launch of software-defined networking (SDN) and network functions virtualization (NFV) platforms.
    • Juniper insists it remains well-positioned with the aforementioned U.S. carriers, and that it has "major design wins" for next-gen projects. The company adds demand remains healthy with U.S. federal, cable, and Internet clients.
    • The company's router revenue rose 7% Y/Y in Q2 to $617.8M, and its switch revenue rose 25% to $199.8M. Security product revenue fell 8% to $111.6M. The Junos Pulse VPN software ops (about to be sold for $250M) contributed $31.4M in revenue ($15.9M product, $15.5M service).
    | Jul. 23, 2014, 1:45 PM | 2 Comments
  • Jun. 12, 2014, 5:36 PM
    | Jun. 12, 2014, 5:36 PM | Comment!
  • Jun. 12, 2014, 4:19 PM
    • Finisar (FNSR) expects FQ1 revenue of $320M-$335M, above a $317M consensus. But EPS guidance of $0.30-$0.34 is below a $0.41 consensus.
    • Gross margin pressure is responsible for both the guidance and FQ4's EPS miss. FQ4 GM was 34.2%, +200 bps Y/Y but -300 bps Q/Q and below guidance of 35.5%. GM is expected to fall to 32% in FQ1.
    • Finisar blames the FQ4 margin weakness on telecom product price cuts and the impact of recently-acquired u2t Photonics, whose products carry a lower GM.
    • Opex +4.3% Y/Y in FQ4 to $65.9M, well below rev. growth of 25.7%. A 39.1% Y/Y increase in datacom product sales (boosted by the investments of Web/cloud service providers) offset a 2.5% drop in telecom sales, and helped drive the revenue beat.
    • JDS Uniphase (JDSU) is following Finisar lower. Other optical component firms that could be hit: OPLK, OCLR, FN, NPTN.
    • FQ4 results, PR
    | Jun. 12, 2014, 4:19 PM | Comment!
VIAV vs. ETF Alternatives
Company Description
Viavi Solutions Incisa provider of network and service enablement solutions and optical products for telecommunications service providers, wireless operators, cable operators, network-equipment manufacturers and enterprises.