What Is Workday Waiting For?
Discussing Workday Operational Health And How An Acquisition Makes Sense
Dallas Salazar • 13 Comments
Dallas Salazar • 13 Comments
Following Up On A Workday Short
Amit Ghate • 16 Comments
Amit Ghate • 16 Comments
Oct. 1, 2015, 12:30 PM
- Citing optimism about "new products, better positioning around the value proposition for financials, a growing ecosystem, [and] a revived go-to-market approach," Stephens' Alex Zukin has upgraded Workday (NYSE:WDAY) to Overweight amid the company's Workday Rising customer conference, and in the wake of its analyst day. His target remains $85.
- Zukin is now more optimistic about Workday's ability to land Fortune 500 clients for its Financials product (still accounts for a much smaller portion of revenue than Workday's HCM/HR product), and notes there are now over 4,800 trained Workday implementation consultants, up 35% Y/Y. IBM is set to acquire Workday consulting/implementation firm Meteorix.
- Shares are rallying on a down day for equities.
- Analyst day slides (.pdf), more analyst commentary
- Previously: Workday unveils employee-learning software, takes aim at Cornerstone
Aug. 27, 2015, 12:55 PM
- Workday (NYSE:WDAY) plunged 10% last night after beating estimates, but guiding light on full-year revenues. Alongside another major rally in the broad markets, the stock has reversed course, and is currently higher by 3.1%.
- Citigroup's Walter Pritchard upgrades to Buy from Neutral. His $93 price target is about 20% higher than the current level. Noting the stock had traded at an "unjustifiable premium" to high-growth peers, Pritchard says the valuation is now more reasonable.
- Cantor Fitzgerald and Canaccord reiterate their Buy ratings and respective $125 and $100 price targets, while FBN and Nomura reiterate Sector Perform/Neutral ratings and cut their price targets to $80 from $95, and to $90 from $105, respectively.
- Nomura's Fred Grieb: “Both billings and total revenues were above expectations, although we note that growth for both has slowed."
- Previously: Workday sees 51% FQ2 billings growth; customer count tops 1K (updated) (Aug. 26)
Aug. 26, 2015, 5:24 PM
- After briefly rising, Workday (NYSE:WDAY) is now down 0.7% after hours after posting an FQ2 beat and guiding in-line. Shares rose 3.5% in regular trading as markets surged.
- Though Workday didn't provide a non-GAAP EPS number in its FQ2 report, it did state non-GAAP net income was $3.8M. That implies EPS of $0.02, above a -$0.06 consensus.
- The cloud HCM/financials leader says it topped 1K customers during FQ2; it ended FQ1 with 925+. Subscription revenue rose 56% Y/Y to $223.7M, and professional services revenue 37% to $58.9M. On the earnings call, Workday states billings rose 51% Y/Y (even with revenue growth), and that FQ2 win rates were above FQ1 levels. The unearned revenue balance rose 42% Y/Y to $683.1M.
- Free cash flow was -$10.3M, but totals $77.6M for the trailing 12 months. GAAP costs/expenses rose 41% Y/Y to $350.4M - sales/marketing spend totaled $106.4M, and R&D $115.3M. Workday ended FQ2 with $1.9B in cash/investments, and $502M in convertible debt.
- Workday Planning, a budgeting/forecasting app that pushes the company deeper into the traditional ERP software market (SAP's historical stronghold), will become generally available next year.
- FQ2 results/FQ3 guidance, PR
- Update (5:30PM ET): Workday has guided on its call for FY16 (ends Jan. '16) revenue of $1.15B-$1.158B, above a $1.14B consensus. Shares now -3.3% AH.
Aug. 25, 2015, 10:03 AM
- D.A. Davidson has upgraded Workday (NYSE:WDAY) to Buy ahead of tomorrow afternoon's FQ2 report, while cutting its target by $6 to $91 (still 26% above current levels).
- Shares have rallied back above $72 on a morning in which the Nasdaq is up 2.6%; they fell as low as $65.33 yesterday. Evercore upgraded last month.
Jul. 14, 2015, 10:01 AM
- Evercore has upgraded Workday (NYSE:WDAY) to Buy, while cutting its target by $2 to $95.
- The cloud HCM/financials software vendor has risen to its highest levels since May. Shares are once more positive on the year, albeit still down 29% from a Feb. 2014 peak of $116.47.
- Separately, Workday has announced a VC fund (called Workday Ventures) focused on "identifying, investing, and partnering with early to growth stage companies that place data science and machine learning at the core of their approach to enterprise technology." Initial investments include mobile job aggregator app Jobr, analytics engine software provider Metanautix, security software firm ThinAir, and Web translation service Unbabel.
- Update: More details here. Evercore's Kirk Materne believes expectations are now "more realistic," and predicts the adoption curve for Workday's financials products will similar to that seen by its HCM offerings. 30%+ annual sales growth is considered possible for the next few years.
May 29, 2015, 6:29 PM
- After tumbling on Wednesday in the wake of its FQ1 beat and in-line guidance, Workday (NYSE:WDAY) has continued trending lower. Shares fell 1.5% in regular trading today, hitting their lowest levels since Feb. 2.
- Though no downgrades have arrived, several sell-side firms have suggested tougher competition is hurting growth, with Oracle's (NYSE:ORCL) cloud HR/HCM software the biggest culprit. Jefferies' John DiFucci: "We believe Oracle (and to a lesser degree, SAP) has been behaving irrationally in the market for almost a year ... while it was likely aggressive prior to this, we believe it became even more aggressive doing almost anything to win deals from Workday."
- DiFucci sees a method to Oracle's madness. "This irrational behavior may not be so irrational since a loss to Workday is not only a loss of an HCM opportunity, but also a loss of Oracle infrastructure given Workday’s proprietary infrastructure architecture." However, he admits Oracle/SAP's HCM offerings (though improving) "still trail Workday by a meaningful margin."
- Likewise, Brean's Sarah Hindlian asserts HCM is "becoming incrementally more competitive, with material new pricing pressure from incumbents, while SaaS penetration of the market is maturing." She also thinks Workday's cloud financials software growth is slower than investors were expecting.
- Cowen's Jesse Hulsing is more positive, even if FQ1 billings were lighter than he forecast. "We are ... encouraged by the trend toward larger, blue chip HCM custs (Coca Cola, etc.) and a more bullish tone regarding the financials pipeline. PT to $101 and view the low $80s as attractive entry point, as we expect growth to improve moving forward."
- During Oracle's March FQ3 CC (transcript), Mark Hurd didn't pass up the chance to trash-talk Workday. "In the context of HCM, I think ... we have simply engineered now a better product than Workday ... we now win more than half the deals in the United States. Outside the United States, our win rate goes up actually exponentially because of the breadth of our distribution in those markets." Workday might beg to differ with those claims.
May 27, 2015, 9:18 AM
May 26, 2015, 5:33 PM
- With the company having provided above-consensus guidance more often than not since its IPO, Workday (NYSE:WDAY) has sold off after providing an in-line FQ2 outlook (affected by forex headwinds) to go with an FQ1 beat.
- Also: The cloud HR/financials software leader's unearned revenue balance rose 41% Y/Y in FQ1 to $653.4M, a slower clip than FQ3's 53% and trailing revenue growth of 57%. Subscription revenue rose 63% Y/Y to $201M, and professional services 38% to $50M.
- Financials: GAAP costs/expenses rose 44% Y/Y to $304.4M - sales/marketing spend totaled $94.9M, R&D $99.3M, G&A $32.2M, and cost of services $77.8M. Workday ended FQ1 with $1.9B in cash/marketable securities, and $496M in convertible debt. Free cash flow for the trailing 12 months is $50.4M.
- Shares have fallen to $85.12 AH.
- FQ1 results, PR
May 26, 2015, 4:05 PM
- Workday (NYSE:WDAY): FQ1 EPS of -$0.02 beats by $0.06.
- Revenue of $251.0M (+57.1% Y/Y) beats by $6M.
- Expects FQ2 revenue of $270M-$274M (+45%-47% Y/Y) vs. a $272.4M consensus.
- Shares -5.7% AH.
May 19, 2015, 6:54 PM
- As part of a change in analyst coverage for cloud software stocks, Needham's Scott Berg has launched coverage on Workday (NYSE:WDAY) and HealthStream (NASDAQ:HSTM) at Buy, upgraded Cornerstone OnDemand (NASDAQ:CSOD) to Strong Buy, and upgraded Ultimate Software (NASDAQ:ULTI) to Buy after the close. Though their product lines differ, all 4 companies have exposure to the cloud HR/talent management space.
- Berg on Workday: "[W]e believe WDAY has the combination that growth investors seek: large market, well positioned product versus industry megatrends, and a financial model that yields significant revenue visibility ... Although we believe the company's current valuation assumes almost flawless near-term sales execution to further expand its valuation multiples, we believe its execution within a HCM market exhibiting high demand creates a positive risk/reward scenario..." The remarks come ahead of Workday's May 26 FQ1 report.
- Berg on HealthStream: "We believe HealthStream uniquely benefits from two significant mega-trends; 1) the strong secular adoption rates within the Talent Management Enterprise Software subsector, and also 2) an environment that is increasingly regulated, requiring its products’ end users to evaluate competencies and train employees on a more frequent basis." The cloud healthcare software firm is a month removed from posting a Q1 beat.
- WDAY +0.7% AH to $91.28. CSOD +1.9% to $32.44. ULTI +1.2% to $170.29. HealthStream hasn't yet moved AH.
Apr. 29, 2015, 3:02 PM
- After following markets lower most of today, enterprise cloud software vendors have jumped thanks to a Bloomberg report stating cloud CRM software giant Salesforce ($51B market cap) has been approached by a potential buyer, and is working with bankers to field offers.
- Gainers include Workday (WDAY +6%), ServiceNow (NOW +4.3%), NetSuite (N +4.3%), Marketo (MKTO +2.7%), Zendesk (ZEN +1.2%), Cornerstone OnDemand (CSOD +1.6%), Castlight (CSLT +2.4%), and Jive Software (JIVE +1.5%).
- Though the cloud software market has seen plenty of M&A activity, a Salesforce deal would easily be its largest. Workday ($17.5B market cap) is the second-largest enterprise cloud pure-play. ServiceNow ($11.6B) is #3.
Apr. 16, 2015, 4:32 PM
- Cloud IT service desk software leader ServiceNow beat Q1 estimates in spite of major forex headwinds, but also offered light Q2 and (to a lesser extent) full-year sales guidance, and forecast a slight Q/Q billings decline.
- Cloud CRM software leader Salesforce (NYSE:CRM) is down 1.1% AH to $67.20, and cloud HR/financials software leader Workday (NYSE:WDAY) is down 2.8% to $87.25. Both companies are expected to report next month.
Mar. 4, 2015, 3:01 PM
- Today's notable tech gainers include Chinese online classifieds leader 58.com (WUBA +5.9%), CDN owner Limelight (LLNW +6.5%), account-protection software provider CyberArk (CYBR +3.2%), flash storage array vendor Violin Memory (VMEM +3.8%), online video ad platform Tremor Video (TRMR +4%), and Chinese mobile game publisher Sky-mobi (MOBI +11.9%).
- Notable decliners include cloud HR/financials software leader Workday (WDAY -5.8%), systems management software vendor SolarWinds (SWI -3.8%), chip packaging IP firm Tessera (TSRA -4.3%), security hardware/software provider KEYW Holding (KEYW -3.7%), and Chinese online real estate play E-House (EJ -4%). The Nasdaq is down 0.2%.
- Sky-mobi has flown higher since Rosenblatt Securities pounded the table for the company last week. Workday has fallen sharply since last week's FQ4 revenue beat. E-House has gradually declined this week since 58.com announced the purchase of Chinese real estate site Anjuke.
- Previously covered: Neustar, AeroVironment, Alibaba, SanDisk, Autohome/Bitauto, ReneSola, Trina, Ambarella/GoPro, Bazaarvoice, Veeva
Feb. 27, 2015, 2:59 PM
- Today's notable tech gainers include IP licensing firm VirnetX (VHC +8.1%), ultracapacitor maker Maxwell (MXWL +4.7%), local services marketplace Angie's List (ANGI +5.9%), voice processor developer Audience (ADNC +5.4%), Ethernet/Wi-Fi hardware maker Extreme Networks (EXTR +3.5%), Chinese polysilicon vendor Daqo (DQ +8.3%), Chinese mobile game published Sky-mobi (MOBI +9.8%), professional video hardware/software maker Avid (AVID +5.2%), and optical component vendors NeoPhotonics (NPTN +11%) and Oclaro (OCLR +5.2%).
- Notable decliners include cloud HR/financials software leader Workday (WDAY -3.5%), cloud IT service desk software leader ServiceNow (NOW -3.7%), industrial laser maker IPG Photonics (IPGP -3.1%), FPGA/mobile sensor hub maker QuickLogic (QUIK -4.5%), and NAND controller/4G transceiver vendor Silicon Motion (SIMO -4%). The Nasdaq is down 0.5%.
- Initially up post-earnings, Workday is now down 9% since beating FQ4 revenue estimates and offering in-line FY16 revenue guidance on Wednesday afternoon. Heavily-shorted VirnetX is up 33% since announcing on Feb. 18 the USPTO had denied five Apple patent review petitions. Maxwell (also heavily shorted) is up 17% since an insider buy was disclosed a week ago. Sky-mobi is up 20% since Rosenblatt Securities provided bullish coverage yesterday.
- Previously covered: Chinese Web/mobile stocks, SanDisk, Autobytel, DigitalGlobe, GoPro, Immersion, MoSys, Resonant, Infoblox, Aruba, UniPixel, Autodesk, Universal Display, TubeMogul, Nimble Storage
Feb. 25, 2015, 5:09 PM
- In addition to beating FQ4 revenue estimates (while posting in-line EPS), Workday (NYSE:WDAY) is guiding for FQ1 revenue of $242M-$245M, above a $239.5M consensus. With forex a headwind and the company prone to guiding conservatively, FY16 (ends Jan. '16) guidance is for revenue of $1.115B-$1.14B (+42%-45% Y/Y) vs. a $1.13B consensus.
- The cloud HR/financials software vendor's unearned revenue balance rose 53% Y/Y in FQ4 to $632.7M. That helped it post free cash flow of $10.6M in spite of an $11.5M net loss.
- Subscription revenue rose 64% Y/Y to $181.9M, and professional services revenue 42% to $44.4M. GAAP costs/expenses rose 46% Y/Y to $276.7M - sales/marketing spend totaled $88.5M, and R&D $89M.
- WDAY +1.9% AH to $95.75. Fellow cloud software giant Salesforce is soaring following its FQ4 report.
- FQ4 results, PR
Jan. 14, 2015, 1:20 PM
- A slew of tech companies have posted steep losses on a day the Nasdaq is down 1%.
- Major decliners include Pandora (P -5%), LED giant Cree (CREE -5.9%), cloud HR software leader Workday (WDAY -4.1%), chipmakers Ambarella (AMBA -5.3%), Pixelworks (PXLW -3.7%), Audience (ADNC -3.6%), Spansion (CODE -4.4%), and Cypress (CY -3.9%) (the last two are merger partners), OLED materials/IP provider Universal Display (OLED -4.2%), industrial automation tech provider Echelon (ELON -4.8%), and P2P lending giant/recent IPO LendingClub (LC -4.8%).
- Possibly affecting OLED: LG Display (NYSE:LPL) has been ordered to halt operations at an OLED TV panel production line following a gas leak that killed two workers.
- Cree and Pandora aren't far removed from their 52-week lows; the former reports on Jan. 20, and the latter on Feb. 5. LendingClub, whose selloff follows a volatile Tuesday, could be affected by a neutral coverage launch from Susquehanna.
Workday, Inc. provides enterprise cloud applications for human capital management, payroll, financial management and analytics. It offers innovative and adaptable technology focused on the consumer Internet experience and cloud delivery model. The company applications are designed for global... More
Industry: Application Software
Country: United States
Other News & PR