Wed, Jul. 13, 11:35 AM
- It's steady as she goes again for the group of well-known consumer staples stocks that investors continue to find appealing amid global volatility and low interest rates.
- Procter & Gamble (PG +0.2%), Colgate-Palmolive (CL +0.4%), Clorox (CLX +0.6%), Kimbery-Clark (KMB +0.3%), Coca-Cola (KO +0.2%), PepsiCo (PEP +0.7%), Altria Group (MO +0.5%), Philip Morris International (PM +0.1%), Church & Dwight (CHD +0.3%), and Unilever (UN, UL) have all outperformed the S&P 500 Index this year with returns ranging from 7% to 18%. Kraft Heinz (KHC +1%), Energizer (ENR -0.6%), Hershey (HSY +0.4%), Campbell Soup (CPB +0.3%), and J.M. Smucker (SJM +0.4%) are all up at least 20% YTD.
- Goldman Sachs has an explanation on why a generous valuation is warranted for the staples favorites.
- "We raise our average Staples target multiples to 20-22X P/E, up from the 19-20X range prior, to reflect the recent decline in 10-year yield as well as some likelihood of a slower rise in yield over the next 12 months and broader market volatility," wrote the MNST)+(NYSE:STZ)+(NYSE:PF)/11822884.html" target="_blank">analyst team covering the sector in a note to investors.
- Top consumer staples picks from GS include Monster Beverage (MNST +0.4%), Constellation Brands (STZ +0.2%), Pinnacle Foods (PF +1.2%), and Post Holdings (POST +0.5%).
- Consumer staples ETFs: XLP, VDC, FXG, RHS, FSTA, PSL, PSCC.
Fri, Jun. 17, 6:44 PM
- Materials Select Sector SPDR ETF (NYSEARCA:XLB) $0.2353. 30-Day Sec yield of 2.01%.
- Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF (NYSEARCA:XLE) $0.4364. 30-Day Sec yield of 2.89%.
- Financial Select Sector SPDR ETF (NYSEARCA:XLF) $0.1211. 30-Day Sec yield of 2.05%.
- Industrial Select Sector SPDR ETF (NYSEARCA:XLI) $0.3072. 30-Day Sec yield of 2.11%.
- Technology Select Sector SPDR ETF (NYSEARCA:XLK) $0.2113. 30-Day Sec yield of 1.81%.
- Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR ETF (NYSEARCA:XLP) $0.3234. 30-Day Sec yield of 2.34%.
- Utilities Select Sector SPDR ETF (NYSEARCA:XLU) $0.4116. 30-Day Sec yield of 3.19%.
- Health Care Select Sector SPDR ETF (NYSEARCA:XLV) $0.2852. 30-Day Sec yield of 1.52%.
- Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR ETF (NYSEARCA:XLY) $0.2767.
- 30-Day Sec yield of 1.43%.
- Financial Services Select Sector SPDR Fund (NYSEARCA:XLFS) $0.1338.
- 30-Day Sec yield of 1.85%.
- Real Estate Select Sector SPDR Fund (NYSEARCA:XLRE) $0.2659. 30-Day Sec yield of 3.08%.
- Payable June 27; for shareholders of record June 21; ex-div June 17. 30-Day Sec yield as of 6/16/16.
Wed, Jun. 1, 11:35 AM
- The market may think it's braced for a summer rate hike, but it isn't, says BAML equity and quant strategist Savita Subramanian, warning of an up to a 15% decline in the coming months.
- The Fed's rush to hike is at odds with what's currently a profits recession - at least two quarters of year-over-year negative earnings growth. The central bank has only done this three other times, she says, and on two of those occasions, the market sold off over the next 12 months.
- Big beneficiaries of low rates like consumer staples (NYSEARCA:XLP) and utilities (NYSEARCA:XLU) are also the most expensive sectors, she adds, furthering her point that the market has not priced in a hawkish Fed.
- ETFs: CRF, SCHX, VV, USA, ZF, FEX, JKD, EEH, EQL, IWL, FWDD, SYE, SBUS, ZLRG, JHML, USSD, USWD
Mon, May 23, 12:39 PM
- "Politics is now a topic in every client discussion," say David Kostin and team, and the nature of today's electorate nearly assures a close race, even though prediction markets currently assign a high probability of a Clinton victory.
- When uncertainty rises, consumer staples (NYSEARCA:XLP) typically outperforms, while tech (NYSEARCA:XLK) lags.
- Getting down to names, with protectionism and tax policy two key areas of debate, buy those stocks with high U.S. sales and high effective tax rates, and avoid those with high foreign sales and low tax rates.
- High U.S. sales and high tax rates (buy): Cardinal Health (NYSE:CAH), Fidelity National (NYSE:FIS), Discover (NYSE:DFS), AmerisourceBergen (NYSE:ABC), Schwab (NYSE:SCHW), ADP (NASDAQ:ADP), Chipotle (NYSE:CMG), Reynolds America (NYSE:RAI), Express Scripts (NASDAQ:ESRX), Alliance Data (NYSE:ADS), Fiserv (NASDAQ:FISV), Paychex (NASDAQ:PAYX), Whole Foods (NASDAQ:WFM), Akamai (NASDAQ:AKAM), Intuit (NASDAQ:INTU), Southwest Airlines (NYSE:LUV).
- High foreign sales and low tax rates (avoid): Abbott Labs (NYSE:ABT), Agilent (NYSE:A), Mondelez (NASDAQ:MDLZ), XL Group (NYSE:XL), Waters (NYSE:WAT), Priceline (NASDAQ:PCLN), Transocean (NYSE:RIG), PerkinElmer (NYSE:PKI), Nvidia (NASDAQ:NVDA), Lam Research (NASDAQ:LRCX), Western Digital (NASDAQ:WDC).
Tue, May 17, 10:07 AM
Sat, May 14, 11:01 AM
- The retail sector stays in focus next week with Target (NYSE:TGT), Wal-Mart (NYSE:WMT), TJX Companies (NYSE:TJX), and Ross Stores (NASDAQ:ROST) all due to report on Q1 earnings to follow on a week of dismal reports and guidance from the department store sector (Nordstrom, L Brands, Macy's, Kohl's). Home improvement chains Home Depot (NYSE:HD) and Lowe's (NYSE:LOW) are also due to spill numbers.
- The story from the Commerce Department's April read of retail sales (+3.0% Y/Y, +1.3% M/M) is one of a consumer spending on housing, entertainment, and personal care/fitness over apparel and general merchandise. The 10% Y/Y gain in the nonstore retailer category also tipped that the Amazon (NASDAQ:AMZN) Effect is magnifying.
- Amplify ETFs CEO Christian Magoon tells Seeking Alpha that the traditional retail model appears to be broken. Amplify's Online Retail ETF (NASDAQ:IBUY) is a bet on companies such as Netflix (NASDAQ:NFLX), GrubHub (NYSE:GRUB), Blue Nile (NASDAQ:NILE), and Shopify (NYSE:SHOP) that are reeling in millennial dollars.
- Magoon on retail: "Traditional retailers face the headwinds of higher cost structures including the very real threat of increasing wages in the form of the $15 minimum wage campaign. Less flexible with inventory management, they also are more vulnerable to issues like weather and changing consumer preferences."
- Retail ETFs: XLP, XLY, VDC, XRT, VCR, RTH, RETL, FXG, PBJ, IYK, FXD, IYC, RHS, FDIS, PEJ, FSTA, PSL, SCC, RCD, UCC, PEZ, PMR, PSCC, UGE, PSCD, SZK, BITE.
- Apparel stocks: KATE, ANN, LULU, PVH, VNCE, CRI, UA, HBI, VFC, COLM, GIL, SQBG, JCP, KSS, DDS, M, JWN, ARO, AEO, ANF, WTSL, TLYS, CACH, ZUMZ, PSUN, EXPR, BKE, GIII, SQBG, HBI, VRA, ICON, SHOO, PERY, DXLG, BONT, GES, URBN, RL,GIL, NKE, OXM, HBI, VNCE, PERY, ICON, FL.
Fri, May 13, 8:54 AM
- Tongues are wagging over this mornings's fast April retail sales report, which comes amid a steady flow of weak earnings and lowered guidance from retailers like Macy's (NYSE:M), Kohl's (NYSE:KSS), and Nordstrom (NYSE:JWN), to name just three. So what's up?
- It turns out consumers are spending plenty, just not at traditional department stores, where sales are lower by 3% Y/Y through the year's first four months. In the meantime, sales at nonstore retailers are higher by 8.1%.
- Other areas of strength are building supplies up 9.7%, sporting goods up 7.4%, furniture up 5.6%, auto vehicle and parts up 4.5%, food services & bars up 7.4% (Shake Shack is ahead 5% this morning after strong results).
- Ten-year Treasury prices have given up their gains, with the yield now flat on the session at 1.745%.
- Consumer ETFs: XLP, XLY, VDC, XRT, VCR, RTH, RETL, FXG, PBJ, IYK, FXD, RHS, FDIS, FSTA, RCD, PMR, UGE, SZK, BITE, IBUY
Fri, May 6, 4:26 PM
Fri, Apr. 15, 4:26 PM
Fri, Mar. 18, 2:44 PM
- Materials Select Sector SPDR ETF (NYSEARCA:XLB) - quarterly distribution of $0.1573. 30-Day Sec yield of 2.14% (as of 3/16/2016).
- Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF (NYSEARCA:XLE)- quarterly distribution of $0.4524. 30-Day Sec yield of 3.18% (as of 3/16/2016).
- Financial Select Sector SPDR ETF (NYSEARCA:XLF)- quarterly distribution of $0.1230. 30-Day Sec yield of 2.04% (as of 3/16/2016).
- Industrial Select Sector SPDR ETF (NYSEARCA:XLI) - quarterly distribution of $0.2828. 30-Day Sec yield of 2.11% (as of 3/16/2016).
- Technology Select Sector SPDR ETF (NYSEARCA:XLK) - quarterly distribution of $0.2202. 30-Day Sec yield of 1.77% (as of 3/16/2016).
- Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR ETF (NYSEARCA:XLP) - quarterly distribution of $0.2709. 30-Day Sec yield of 2.35% (as of 3/16/2016).
- Utilities Select Sector SPDR ETF (NYSEARCA:XLU) - quarterly distribution of $0.3675. 30-Day Sec yield of 3.31% (as of 3/16/2016).
- Health Care Select Sector SPDR ETF (NYSEARCA:XLV) - quarterly distribution of $0.2367. 30-Day Sec yield of 1.60% (as of 3/16/2016).
- Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR ETF (NYSEARCA:XLY) - quarterly distribution of $0.3211. 30-Day Sec yield of 1.43% (as of 3/16/2016).
- Financial Services Select Sector SPDR Fund (NYSEARCA:XLFS) - quarterly distribution of $0.1226. 30-Day Sec yield of 1.78% (as of 3/16/2016).
- Real Estate Select Sector SPDR Fund (NYSEARCA:XLRE) - quarterly distribution of $0.3030. 30-Day Sec yield of 3.04% (as of 3/16/2016).
- All are payable Mar. 29; for shareholders of record Mar. 24; ex-div Mar. 22.
Thu, Mar. 17, 3:08 PM
- With the S&P 500 returning to more or less flat on the year, Bespoke digs down into sector performance and finds most of them nicely in the green, including the roughed-up energy group (NYSEARCA:XLE) with a 5.9% gain.
- Leading on the upside, though, are the telecoms (NYSEARCA:XTL), ahead 14.4%, and utilities (NYSEARCA:XLU), up 13.3%. Consumer Staples (NYSEARCA:XLP), Materials (NYSEARCA:XLB), and Industrials (NYSEARCA:XLI) are all up between 3.7% and 4.5%, while Consumer Discretionary (NYSEARCA:XLY) is flat.
- Holding the S&P 500 back, then, is healthcare (NYSEARCA:XLV), with an 8.2% decline, and financials (NYSEARCA:XLF), down 5.5%. Within, healthcare, the biotechs (NASDAQ:IBB) have plunged 27%.
Tue, Mar. 15, 8:49 AM
- Retail sales fell in February to mark the second month in a row of negative growth.
- Sales fell in key categories such as auto dealers (discounting?) and general merchandise stores (TGT, WMT, COST) in a disturbing trend, while gas station sales plummeted as largely expected due to prices.
- The building materials/garden equipment category showed strength, up 1.6% M/M and 12% Y/Y, as warmer weather helped traffic for companies such as Home Depot (NYSE:HD) and Lowe's (NYSE:LOW).
- Tepid traffic at restaurants has been a leading indicator that U.S. consumers aren't spending freely.
- Retail sector ETFs: XLP, XLY, VDC, XRT, VCR, RETL, RTH, FXG, IYK, PBJ, IYC, FXD, PEJ, FDIS, RHS, FSTA, SCC, UCC, RCD, PSL, PMR, PEZ, UGE, PSCC, PSCD, SZK, BITE.
- Previously: Retail sales slip in February, January revised significantly lower (Mar. 15 2016)
Thu, Mar. 10, 9:54 AM
- RBC Capital lifts its price targets on two consumer staples heavyweights.
- Coca-Cola (KO +0.6%) is assigned a fresh of $51. KO is +4.5% YTD to $44.90. Shares yield 3.11%.
- Reynolds American (RAI +1.4%) earns a PT of $57. RAI is +12.8% YTD to $52.14. Shares yield 3.22%.
- There's been some debate that the run of consumer staples stocks is poised to end, but SA contributor Daryl Montgomery argues the sector is still a safe play on a technical view.
- Earlier this week, Evercore ISI's Rick Ross also came in positive on the sector (CNBC video).
- "You probably can't do much better than owning the staples on this breakout from a multiyear trading range ... against the backdrop of a world where yields are extremely low,"said Ross
- Related stocks: PM, PG, PEP, CL, ADM, KMB, STZ, DPS, SJM, HRL, CHD, TSN, HSY, CPB, [[BF.]], BF.B.
- Related ETFs: XLP, VDC, FXG, RHS, FSTA, PSL, PSCC.
Sat, Feb. 27, 10:36 AM
- Investors continue to take refuge in consumer staples stocks in a strategy that tips off defensive positioning and accounts for some positive macroeconomic factors that are underpinning volume growth in the sector.
- Consumer staples stocks trading right at their 52-week high include Campbell Soup (NYSE:CPB), Kimberly-Clark (NYSE:KMB), General Mills (NYSE:GIS), Reynolds American (NYSE:RAI), Altria (NYSE:MO), Philip Morris (NYSE:PM), Church & Dwight (NYSE:CHD), Coca-Cola (NYSE:KO), Tyson Foods (NYSE:TSN), Sanderson Farms (NASDAQ:SAFM), B&G Foods (NYSE:BGS), and Cott Corporation (NYSE:COT).
- Even Procter & Gamble (NYSE:PG) and Wal-Mart (NYSE:WMT), which acted as drags on consumer staples ETFs last year with their heavy weightings, are outperforming the S&P 500 Index this year.
- Some analysts think political year uncertainty and global ZIRP and NIRP question marks could keep demand for staples strong.
- Related ETFs: XLP, VDC, FXG, RHS, FSTA, PSL, PSCC
- Analysis: Consumer Staples ETFs Are Looking More Attractive Than Ever (Feb. 16)
- Prediction time: Which consumer staples stock has the most upside in 2016?
Wed, Feb. 24, 2:57 AM
- Officials in 13 states are getting tired of waiting for Congress to let them collect sales taxes from out-of-state Internet retailers, so they are moving to impose the duties themselves.
- The states want their moves to be questioned, and therefore lead to litigation, so they can ask the Supreme Court to overturn a 1992 ruling that forbids taxation of Internet sales by retailers that lack a physical location in a state.
- ETFs: XLP, XLY, VDC, XRT, VCR, RETL, RTH, FXG, IYK, PBJ, IYC, FXD, PEJ, FDIS, RHS, FSTA, SCC, UCC, RCD, PSL, PMR, PEZ, UGE, PSCC, PSCD, SZK, BITE
Fri, Feb. 19, 11:36 AM
- Digging through this week's 13F filings, Evercore ISI's Pankal Patel and team attempt to separate the holdings of hedge funds and other active managers.
- What they found were that institutions (active managers) were most overweight Wells Fargo (NYSE:WFC), IBM, and Coca-Cola (NYSE:KO). Two new names on the overweight short-list: Level 3 Communications (NYSE:LVLT) and Zimmer Biomet (NYSE:ZBH).
- Hedge funds, on the other hand, were most overweight Time Warner Cable (NYSE:TWC), Priceline (NASDAQ:PCLN), and Netflix (NASDAQ:NFLX). Hedge funds also added to holdings of AIG, Humana (NYSE:HUM), Alphabet (GOOG, GOOGL), and EMC during Q4.
- Also of interest: While consumer discretionary stocks (NYSEARCA:XLY) continue to be the top over-weighted sector for hedge funds, they pulled back from those names considerably during the quarter, and added to tech (NYSEARCA:XLK) in a big way. They also added to their underweight in the consumer staples stocks (NYSEARCA:XLP).
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Sector: Consumer Goods
Country: United States
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