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ProShares UltraShort Yen ETF (YCS)

- NYSEARCA
  • Mon, Apr. 27, 11:49 AM
    • The yen weakened for a few minutes following the news, but has since retaken that ground, with dollar/yen stronger by 0.15% on the session to ¥119.09. JGBs are snoring through the news as well, with the 10-years up one basis point at 0.30%.
    • Fitch keeps the outlook stable, but warns of another rating cut if: 1) Evidence that the authorities’ commitment to fiscal consolidation was weakening, such as failure to articulate a clear and credible strategy for stabilizing public debt ratios, or slippage relative to targets; 2) Weaker macroeconomic performance than Fitch expects for a sustained period, intensifying the challenge in stabilizing the public finances; 3) A sharp and sustained rise in real interest rates demanded by investors to hold government debt.
    • ETFs: DXJ, EWJ, FXY, YCS, JGBS, JGBD, DBJP, NKY, JYN, EZJ, JPNL, EWV, YCL, HEWJ, ITF, JGBL, JPP, JGBT, JGBB, FJP
    | Comment!
  • Fri, Apr. 17, 7:57 AM
    • The BOJ held policy steady this month, apparently taking comfort in core inflation staying positive, but Credit Suisse says the rate will turn negative by November, prompting a fresh bout of QE.
    • The weaker yen has helped boost inflation of late, says the team, but that effect is wearing off and further weakening is unlikely, especially now that Fed rate hike plans have been pushed off by at least a few months.
    • "As such, we see a high likelihood of the BoJ deploying additional easing measures later this year, by which time the central bank will probably be forced to acknowledge that corporate price-setting behavior is being adversely impacted by the threat of the ex-energy core CPI inflation rate dropping into negative territory.”
    • Source: Barron's
    • ETFs: DXJ, EWJ, FXY, YCS, DBJP, NKY, JYN, EZJ, JPNL, EWV, YCL, HEWJ, ITF, JPP, FJP
    | 3 Comments
  • Tue, Apr. 14, 8:22 AM
    • "120 yen per dollar is acceptable," says Koichi Hamada, a key adviser to PM Shinzo Abe, clarifying remarks he made yesterday which suggested he thought the yen was too weak.
    • He also says  he wouldn't oppose further monetary ease by the BOJ later this month as inflation is far from a worry.
    • Dollar/yen pops to ¥119.89 from ¥119.60 following his comments.
    • ETFs: FXY, YCS, JYN, YCL
    | Comment!
  • Wed, Apr. 8, 4:58 AM
    • The Bank of Japan's board has voted 8-1 to keep its asset-purchase target at ¥80T a year, rejecting a call by stimulus critic Takahide Kiuchi to slash the goal to ¥45T. (PR)
    • As in the U.S., all that money printing has caused an inflation in assets, if not in consumer goods and services, and the Nikkei rose 0.8% to 19,789.81, the highest close since April 2000. The USD-JPY is -0.4% at ¥119.87.
    • Meanwhile, Japan's current-account surplus surged to ¥1.44T ($12B) in February from ¥61.4B in January and easily beat consensus of ¥1.15T.
    • The latest figure is the highest in almost 3 1/2 years and was boosted by increased income from overseas investments and the trade deficit narrowing to ¥143.1B from ¥864.2B.
    • A main reason for the trend is a drop in oil prices, which has made imports cheaper. The weaker yen is also helping.
    • The surplus, the eighth in a row, indicates that Japan has again become a large external creditor following a series of current-account deficits at the end of 2013. (PR)
    • ETFs: DXJ, EWJ, FXY, YCS, JGBS, DFJ, JGBD, JYN, NKY, DBJP, EZJ, EWV, JPNL, YCL, DXJS, SCJ, JSC, ITF, JGBL, JPP, JGBT, HEWJ, JGBB, FJP, QJPN, JPMV, DXJT, DXJH, DXJR, DXJF, DXJC
    | 2 Comments
  • Thu, Mar. 12, 8:56 PM
    | Comment!
  • Thu, Mar. 5, 5:05 AM
    • Bank of Japan board member Takahide Kiuchi called the bank's inflation projections overly optimistic and questioned the sustainability of its aggressive stimulus Thursday, in a direct challenge to Gov. Haruhiko Kuroda.
    • The BOJ faces the risk of being perceived as directly financing the government deficit, Kiuchi said. The bank's stimulus measures absorb almost 90% of newly issued government debt.
    • Kiuchi also rejected Kuroda's forecast that Japan's CPI will reach 2% by the middle of 2016.
    • ETFs: DXJ, EWJ, FXY, YCS, JGBS, DFJ, JGBD, JYN, NKY, DBJP, EZJ, EWV, JPNL, YCL, DXJS, SCJ, JSC, ITF, JGBL, JPP, JGBT, HEWJ, JGBB, FJP, QJPN, JPMV, DXJT, DXJH, DXJR, DXJF, DXJC
    | Comment!
  • Thu, Feb. 5, 3:36 PM
    • "The government’s choice for the BoJ board sends a clear signal in favor of on-going monetary policy accommodation," says HSBC's Izumi Devalier,  now expecting additional monetary stimulus as early as April.
    • Prime Minister Shinzo Abe last night nominated Waseda University professor Yutaka Harada to the BOJ's nine-member policy board. He's replacing Ryuzo Miyao, who's not exactly a hawk either.
    • More from Devalier: "Mr. Harada’s addition will undoubtedly tilt the board to an even more dovish direction. A monetarist and staunch proponent of PM Abe’s reflationary policies, Mr. Harada has long argued that insufficient monetary easing was a root cause of Japan’s long stagnation and deflation." Harada's preference for more easing, says Devalier, is JGB purchases instead of ETF buys.
    • The yen (NYSEARCA:FXY) is lower by 0.3% today, with dollar/yen at ¥117.56.
    • ETFs: DXJ, EWJ, FXY, YCS, JGBS, JGBD, JYN, NKY, DBJP, EZJ, EWV, JPNL, YCL, ITF, JGBL, JPP, JGBT, HEWJ, JGBB, FJP, DXJF
    | 3 Comments
  • Nov. 21, 2014, 11:40 AM
    • A popular short during 2013, the yen trundled along for much of 2014, with the dollar buying between ¥102 and ¥105 until about a month ago. Since, the yen has plunged, with the dollar earlier today buying as much as ¥119. Helping was the BOJ's surprise announcement of additional asset purchase and Japan's slipping back into recession.
    • "Too fast," says Japanese Finance Minister Taro Aso. "There is no doubt about that."
    • Even Abenomics' (of which currency devaluation is a major plank) biggest supporters don't want the yen to weaken much beyond ¥120. "¥125 would make me a bit nervous," says an Abe advisor.
    • The yen did strengthen a bit on the finance minister comments, now up 0.5%, with the dollar worth ¥117.61.
    • FXY +0.35%
    • ETFs: FXY, YCS, JYN, YCL
    | 3 Comments
  • Nov. 17, 2014, 3:58 PM
    • "The argument that tax hikes cause recessions is becoming more difficult to refute," says Wells Fargo, dissecting Japan's slip back into an official recession in Q3 (following a big boost in the sales tax on April 1). "In our view, next year's tax hike is at least postponed and Abenomics in general is losing traction."
    • The bank does note it was an inventory swing which was responsible for much of the decline in Q3 GDP as there were gains in consumer spending and net exports, but business fixed investment also fell during the quarter.
    • Previously (along with the IMF and OECD) a supporter of another sales tax hike in October 2015, the team at Wells says it could be politically untenable at this point.
    • ETFs: DXJ, EWJ, FXY, YCS, JYN, NKY, DBJP, EZJ, EWV, YCL, JPNL, ITF, JPP, JPNS, HEWJ, FJP
    • Previously: Surprise contraction in Japanese GDP
    | Comment!
  • Nov. 16, 2014, 8:06 PM
    • Real GDP shrank 1.6% on an annualized basis in Q3, confounding forecasts for a 2.25% expansion - in fact, none of the economists surveyed had expected a negative print. It's the 2nd consecutive quarter of contraction - GDP fell 7.3% in Q2 following a 300 basis points boost in the sales tax which took effect on April 1.
    • The Nikkei has knee-jerked lower by 1.4% in response to the slow number, but there could be a positive spin to the news - Prime Minister Abe has said the Q3 GDP print would play a large role in whether he decides to postpone the next boost in the sales tax currently scheduled for October 2015.
    • The yen is marginally stronger vs. the dollar, which currently is buying ¥116.22.
    • ETFs: DXJ, EWJ, FXY, YCS, JYN, NKY, DBJP, EZJ, EWV, YCL, JPNL, ITF, JPP, JPNS, HEWJ, FJP
    | 25 Comments
  • Nov. 5, 2014, 4:45 AM
    • Bank of Japan Governor Haruhiko Kuroda has affirmed his commitment toward achieving 2% inflation at the earliest date possible, saying there is no limit to the measures the central bank will take.
    • "There are no limits to our policy tools...in order to completely overcome the chronic disease of deflation, you need to take all your medicine. Half-baked medical treatment will only worsen the symptoms," says Kuroda.
    • The BOJ shocked global financial markets last week by expanding its massive stimulus spending program, with the aim of hitting the 2% goal and recharging the country's tottering economy.
    • The yen weakened to 114.44 per dollar, the lowest since December 2007, after gaining 0.4% yesterday.
    • ETFs: FXY, YCS, JYN, YCL
    | 2 Comments
  • Oct. 29, 2014, 2:30 PM
    • While the statement - an end to QE, retention of the "considerable time" language, chatter about improving employment -wasn't much a surprise, the fact that the dissent came from the dove camp suggests perhaps there was a bit more hawkishness in the conference room than past meetings.
    • In any case, while stocks and longer-dated rates have a relatively subdued reaction, money is moving into the greenback (UUP +0.7%), with the euro (FXE -0.7%), yen (FXY -0.7%), pound (FXB -0.2%), Swiss franc (FXF -0.6%), loonie (FXC -0.4%), and aussie (FXA -0.6%) all considerably lower than they were 30 minutes ago.
    • ETFs: FXE, UUP, FXY, EUO, FXA, YCS, UDN, ERO, JYN, DRR, CROC, FORX, UUPT, UDNT, YCL, EUFX, ULE, USDU, URR, GDAY
    • Previously: QE ends, "considerable time" language stays for now
    | Comment!
  • Oct. 21, 2014, 6:08 AM
    • Key quotes from CAO report:
    • "Industrial production is decreasing recently."
    • "Private consumption appears to be pausing recently."
    • "Business investment shows some weak movements recently, while it is on the increase."
    • "Although weakness remains for the time being, the economy is expected to recover, supported by the effects of the policies, while employment and income situation improve. However, attention should be given to the downside risks of the Japanese economy such as lengthening of the reaction after a last-minute rise in demand and slowing down of overseas economies."
    • ETFs: DXJ, EWJ, FXY, YCS, JGBS, DFJ, JGBD, JYN, NKY, DBJP, EZJ, EWV, YCL, DXJS, SCJ, JPNL, JSC, ITF, JGBL, JPP, JGBT, JPNS, HEWJ, JGBB, FJP, QJPN, JPMV, DXJT, DXJR, DXJH, DXJF, DXJC
    | 1 Comment
  • Oct. 17, 2014, 3:41 AM
    • Asian stocks trade mixed as a 14-year low in U.S. weekly jobless claims and talk of the Fed possibly extending QE helps provide balance to concerns about a possible recession and deflation in Europe, the Ebola scare, China's slowdown, and Japan's floundering economy.
    • The Nikkei closes -1.4% while Japanese bond prices rise, with the two-year yield dropping 3.6 bps to a record low of 0.005%.
    • "We need to see a period of better data from the U.S., and especially Europe, for markets to really calm and volatility to cool," says market strategist Chris Weston.
    • Nymex crude is +0.2% to $82.86 and Brent is +0.1% to $85.89, but the latter is still headed for a fourth consecutive weekly loss.
    • Hong Kong +0.4%, China -0.65%, India +0.25%.
    • ETFs: DXJ, EWJ, FXY, YCS, JGBS, DFJ, JGBD, JYN, NKY, DBJP, EZJ, EWV, YCL, DXJS, SCJ, JPNL, JSC, ITF, JGBL, JPP, JGBT, JPNS, HEWJ, JGBB, FJP, QJPN, JPMV, DXJT, DXJR, DXJH, DXJF, DXJC
    | Comment!
  • Oct. 7, 2014, 3:45 AM
    • Following the Bank of Japan's two-day policy review, the central bank kept its massive monetary stimulus intact but offered a bleaker view on factory output due to a hard-hitting sales tax increase in April.
    • As expected, the BOJ will retain its pledge of increasing base money at an annual pace of ¥60T-70T ($547B-$638B) through purchases of government bonds and risky assets.
    • Policymakers stuck to their view that the economy will resume a moderate recovery and achieve the bank's 2% inflation target next year without more monetary easing.
    • Nikkei closed down 0.7%.
    • ETFs: DXJ, EWJ, FXY, YCS, JGBS, DFJ, JGBD, NKY, JYN, DBJP, EZJ, EWV, YCL, SCJ, DXJS, JPNL, ITF, JSC, JGBL, JPP, JGBT, JPNS, HEWJ, JGBB, FJP, JPMV, QJPN, DXJT, DXJR, DXJH, DXJF, DXJC
    | Comment!
  • Oct. 4, 2014, 4:30 PM
    • Bill Gross, set to start working for Janus (NYSE:JNS) on Monday, tells Barron's there will be a “bear markets for all assets” if the Fed raises its short-term rate to 4% in the next few years.
    • The Fed should target a rate of 2%, not 3.75-4%, to keep the economy in equilibrium, he says. Its current model fails to reflect structural changes in the economy.
    • Gross expects his fund to hold a "decent percentage" of short-term high-yield paper (10-25%), yielding 3-4%. "Both Janus and I like one-to-three-year high-yield paper issued by companies such as Ally Financial (NYSE:ALLY) and HCA Holdings (NYSE:HCA)."
    • Gross also likes Mexico (ETFs: EWW, UMX, SMK, DBMX, QMEX), and says he may take "mild short positions" in the euro (FXY, YCS, JYN, YCL)  and yen (FXE, EUO, ERO, DRR, EUFX, ULE, URR).
    • Janus may develop an ETF to track Gross's fund (MUTF:JUCTX).
    | 12 Comments
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YCS Description
ProShares UltraShort Yen seeks daily investment results, before fees and expenses, that correspond to twice (200%) the inverse (opposite) of the U.S. Dollar price of the Yen.
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Country: Japan
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