Mon, Oct. 24, 4:51 PM
Sun, Oct. 23, 5:35 PM
Tue, Oct. 11, 9:45 AM| Tue, Oct. 11, 9:45 AM
Mon, Oct. 10, 12:36 PM
- Hovde group initiates research on Sterling Bancorp STL +0.8% with an outperform rating and set a PT of $20.00.
- FBR & Co. initiates New York Mortgage Trust NYMT +0.2% with a market perform rating and set a PT of $6.25.
- Oppenheimer Holdings downgrades Ameriprise Financial Services (NYSE:AMP) +0.6% to underweight.
- Nomura downgrades Fifth Third Bancorp FITB -0.02% to Reduce from Neutral and PNC Financial Services Group (NYSE:PNC) +0.3% to Neutral from Buy.
- Piper Jaffray downgrades Zions Bancorp (NASDAQ:ZION) +0.6% to Neutral from overweight.
Thu, Oct. 6, 10:24 AM
- Alongside an earlier-reported downgrade of Regions Financial (to Outperform from Strong Buy), Raymond James also downgrades Zions Bancorp (ZION -0.6%) to Market Perform from Outperform.
- As with Regions, the Zions call has been a good one, with the stock higher by 16% this year, far outpacing the regional bank index.
- PNC Financial (PNC -0.1%) is upgraded to Market Perform from Underperform - another good call as PNC's 4% decline this year has lagged peers.
- Turning to some smaller players, United Community Banks (UCBI +1.5%) is boosted to Strong Buy from Outperform. Park Sterling Bank (PSTB -0.6%) is cut to Market Perform from Outperform following its nice run higher. Bancorp South (BXS -0.9%) is cut to Underperform thanks to earnings uncertainty around the closing of two pending acquisitions.
Wed, Sep. 28, 9:32 AM
- "Large banks are going to be forced to take on more capital," says Dick Bove. "It will make the cost of funding more, not less, expensive. It will reduce the appeal for investors to put money at risk in the banking system."
- Bove is commenting on a weekend announcement from Fed Governor Daniel Tarullo promising future stress tests will be geared to demanding even higher cash buffers for banks. Set to take effect next year, the new rule could raise capital requirements for the largest banks by 3 or 4 percentage points, writes Jeff Cox at CNBC.
- Interested parties: BAC, C, WFC, JPM, GS, MS
- There's good news though, as those lenders with less than $250B in assets won't be subject to the same standards. FBR's Edward Mills calls it a "significant positive" for regionals, which now have more certainly on the process, reduced regulatory expenses, and thus the ability to return more capital to owners.
- Interested parties: RF, ZION, CMA, KEY, FITB, STI, NYCB, HBAN, PNC, BBT, MTB
- ETFs: KRE, KBE, IAT, KBWB, QABA, KBWR, KRU, PSCF, KRS, WDRW, DPST
Tue, Sep. 20, 2:12 PM
- Noting progress on the expense control front, analyst Jill Shea boosts the price target on Outperform-rated Zions Bancorp (ZION +0.3%) to $36 from $32 (current price is $30.02). "Given that rates have not provided earnings support, we think greater urgency has been placed on controlling costs."
- Shea sees an improvement to 8.3% ROTCE by the end of next year, and 9.1% by year-end 2018 - this without the benefit of higher interest rates.
Wed, Sep. 14, 11:03 AM
- It's no surprise that yield-starved financials are expected to be a big beneficiary of higher base rates, but the team at Goldman has six that stand to gain the most.
- Bank of America (NYSE:BAC), BNY Mellon (NYSE:BK), Citizens Financial (NYSE:CFG), Regions Financial (NYSE:RF), Schwab (NYSE:SCHW), and Zions Bancorp (NASDAQ:ZION) make the cut.
- Goldman sees an average 46% upside to normalized earnings for the group if rates go back to 3% (a long way off for even the most hawkish).
- Used to low and slow as far as rate hikes go, investors may be overlooking the potential for even one Fed move this year to be a positive catalyst. The team suggests taking a look at 6-month and 12-month calls on their recommendation list.
Tue, Jul. 26, 4:41 PM
Mon, Jul. 25, 5:35 PM
- AAPL, AIZ, AKAM, AKR, ALDR, AMP, APC, ARI, ASH, AXS, BCR, BJRI, BLDP, BVN, BWLD, BXMT, BXP, CAVM, CB, CEB, CHRW, CINF, CNO, CSV, CTXS, CUZ, CVA, DDR, DMRC, DOX, EQR, ETH, EW, FSP, FTK, GHL, GLF, GMED, HUBG, HURN, ILMN, IRBT, JBT, JNPR, KN, LLTC, LNDC, MDR, MTCH, MTSI, NANO, NCR, NUVA, OIS, PEI, PNRA, PSB, QTS, RGC, RHI, RNR, RRC, RSYS, SGEN, SKT, TGB, TRMK, TRU, TSS, TWTR, UDR, UHS, UIS, ULTI, UMBF, USNA, VR, WES, WGP, WNC, X, ZION, ZIXI
Fri, Jul. 22, 7:13 AM
Thu, Jul. 7, 3:09 PM
- FBR's Paul Miller figures Zions (ZION +1.3%) could improve its ROTCE to about 9% from the current 5.3% over the next 12-18 months, thanks to cost-cutting efforts, the sale of CDOs, and the redeployment of capital.
- With the stock currently around book value, he sees little downside should the bank not be able to achieve those targets. He upgrades to Outperform, with price target raised to $36 from $30.
- Management is expected to disclose cost-cutting plans in the next two-three months, and Miller sees an efficiency ratio target of 65%, with expenses declining from about a $400M quarterly run rate to $385M.
- The CDO portfolio sale should free up about $500M for capital moves - be they buybacks, or purchases of securities and loans.
Wed, Jun. 29, 9:41 AM
- The details aren't available, but one can be pretty sure a common theme through all of the downgrades is a "lower for longer" interest rate scenario, and for any Texas or energy-exposed banks a possible topping in oil prices.
- Comerica (CMA -0.1%) is cut to Underperform from Neutral, Franklin Financial (FSB) to Neutral from Buy, Lincoln National (LNC -0.8%) to Neutral, Principal Financial (PFG +0.5%) to Neutral, Prudential (PRU -0.4%) to Underperform, Regions Financial (RF +0.5%) to Neutral, Synovus (SNV +0.4%) to Neutral, Unum Group (UNM -1.2%) to Underperform, and Zions (ZION -0.3%) to Underperform.
- Previously: Texas Capital downgraded at BAML (June 29)
Thu, Jun. 23, 4:51 PM
- Ally Financial (NYSE:ALLY): Actual end of 2015 CET1 ratio of 9.2%, Q1 2018 CET1 ratio under severely adverse scenario of 6.1%, minimum 6.1%.
- American Express (NYSE:AXP): Actual 12.4%, Q1 2018 12.3%, minimum 11.4%.
- Bank of America (NYSE:BAC): Actual 11.6%, Q1 2018 8.1%, minimum 8.1%.
- BNY Mellon (NYSE:BK): Actual 11.5%, Q1 2018 11.2%; minimum 10.5%.
- BB&T (NYSE:BBT): 10.3%, 6.9%, 6.9%
- BBVA Compass (NYSE:BBVA): 10.7%, 6.5%, 6.5%.
- BMO Financial (NYSE:BMO): 11.9%, 5.9%, 5.9%.
- Capital One (NYSE:COF): 11.1%, 8.2%, 8.2%.
- Citigroup (NYSE:C): 15.3%, 9.2%, 9.2%.
- Citizens Financial (NYSE:CFG): 11.7%, 8.8%, 8.8%.
- Comerica (NYSE:CMA): 10.5%, 8.3%, 8.3%.
- Discover (NYSE:DFS): 13.9%, 12.4%, 11.9%.
- Fifth Third (NASDAQ:FITB): 9.8%, 6.8%, 6.8%.
- Goldman Sachs (NYSE:GS): 13.6%, 10.2%, 8.4%.
- HSBC N.A. (NYSE:HSBC): 15.7%, 9.1%, 9.1%.
- Huntington Bancshares (NASDAQ:HBAN): 9.8%, 5%, 5%.
- JPMorgan (NYSE:JPM): 12%, 8.3%, 8.3%.
- KeyCorp (NYSE:KEY): 10.9%, 6.4%, 6.4%.
- M&T (NYSE:MTB): 11.1%, 6.9%, 6.9%.
- Morgan Stanley (NYSE:MS): 16.4%, 10%, 9.1%.
- Northern Trust (NASDAQ:NTRS): 10.8%, 9.6%, 9.6%.
- PNC Financial (NYSE:PNC): 10.6%, 7.6%, 7.6%.
- Regions (NYSE:RF): 10.9%, 7.3%, 7.3%.
- Santander Holdings (NYSE:SAN): 12%, 11.8%, 11.8%
- State Street (NYSE:STT): 13%, 9.6%, 9.6%
- SunTrust (NYSE:STI): 10%, 7.5%, 7.5%.
- TD Group (NYSE:TD): 13.1%, 8.4%, 8.4%.
- U.S. Bancorp (NYSE:USB): 9.6%, 7.5%, 7.5%.
- Wells Fargo (NYSE:WFC): 11.1%, 7.2%, 7.2%.
- Zions (NASDAQ:ZION): 12.2%, 6.6%, 6.6%.
- Previously: All 33 banks pass this year's stress tests (June 23)
Wed, Jun. 15, 3:17 PM
- Having already shed value in June as expectations for rate hikes evaporated, the financial sector (XLF +0.7%) is showing relative strength following the FOMC's standing pat and dialing back expectations for the future level of the Fed Funds rate.
- The S&P 500 is higher by just half the amount of the financials.
- Within financials, the banks (KBE +1.1%), (KRE +1.1%) are particularly strong, led by Bank of America (BAC +1.5%), Morgan Stanley (MS +1.3%), Citigroup (C +1%), BB&T (BBT +1.2%), Fifth Third (FITB +2.2%), SunTrust (STI +1.4%), Zion (ZION +1.3%).
Mon, Jun. 13, 2:25 PM
- Not very excited about the prospects for bank stocks given the significant flattening in the yield curve as potentially signaling a deteriorating H2 and 2017 environment, a bank stock analyst nevertheless needs to recommend bank stocks.
- Given low expectations as reflected in its cheap valuation, its highly asset-sensitive balance sheet, and the chance for good news from CCAR, Bank of America (BAC -1.3%) is the team's top bank idea.
- Looking at regionals, they like the M&A optionality in Comerica (CMA -1.1%), but don't see much value in names like Citizens Financial Group (CFG -1.1%), Regions Financial (RF -1.1%), SunTrust (STI -0.9%), and Zions Bancorp (ZION -0.9%). Baird also sticks with its Underperform rating on M&T Bank (MTB +0.3%), which trades at 13.5x 2017E EPS vs. about 11x for the peer group.