Mon, Feb. 9, 10:37 AM
- It's an anxious time for airline stocks with a number of factors swaying sentiment to start the week.
- Oil prices continue to trek higher after OPEC issued an updated outlook on demand.
- Southwest Airlines (LUV -1.9%) showed a drop in load factor during January as its capacity outran passenger revenue miles.
- Another winter storm on the East Coast is also an operational complexity for the sector.
- Decliners: United Continental (NYSE:UAL) -4.7%, Alaska Air Group (NYSE:ALK) -4.2%, Republic Airways (NASDAQ:RJET) -4.1%, JetBlue Airways (NASDAQ:JBLU) -3.6%, American Airlines (NASDAQ:AAL) -3.4%, Delta Air Lines (NYSE:DAL) -3.2%, Hawaiian Holdings (NASDAQ:HA) -2.1%.
Mon, Feb. 9, 9:29 AM| 3 Comments
Mon, Feb. 9, 8:13 AM
- American Airlines (NASDAQ:AAL) reports total revenue passenger miles for January fell 2.8% to 16.8B.
- The carrier's load factor slipped 210 bps to 78.2% as weak demand in the Pacific region contributed.
- Q1 PRASM is forecast to be down 2% to 4%.
- American sees Q1 fuel costs of $1.81 per gallon and pretax margin of 12%-14% vs. 13%-15% prior guidance.
- AAL -1.76% premarket.
Sat, Feb. 7, 7:00 AM
- Airline stocks have been on a tear over the last six months with plunging oil prices helping to lower costs for carriers.
- A SA scan within the sector of share price gain in relation to Q4 fuel expense declines (Y/Y) is one way to measure which stocks in the sector are getting the biggest boost from the energy market developments (jet fuel price chart).
- Four airlines saw a share price multiplier of over 4X their fuel cost drop-off percentage: Southwest Airlines (NYSE:LUV), Allegiant Travel (NASDAQ:ALGT), JetBlue (NASDAQ:JBLU), and Hawaiian Holdings (NASDAQ:HA).
- United Continental (NYSE:UAL) and Alaska Airlines (NYSE:ALK) were in the next group with a multiple of 3.907 and 3.169, respectively.
- Delta Air Lines (NYSE:DAL) lagged with a multiple of 1.893. Don't blame the company's Trainer refinery which earned a profit of $105M in Q4. Concerns on weak demand in Asia may be the culprit.
- American Airlines Group (NASDAQ:AAL) trailed the sector with a 1.786 multiple, despite a spot-on strategy of scrapping fuel hedging just ahead of the oil market collapse, as integration complexity remains in the background.
- Virgin America, Spirit Airlines, Republic Airways Holdings, and SkyWest Airlines haven't reported Q4 earnings yet, so they weren't included in the comparison.
Wed, Feb. 4, 3:09 PM
- The sharp move lower in crude oil prices isn't going unnoticed by airline investors.
- Wild daily gyrations in airline stocks have become the norm due to the lack of consensus over the direction of jet fuel prices from current levels and the implications on travel demand from a low oil price environment.
- Airline stocks making the most dramatic moves: United Continental (UAL +5.8%), American Airlines Group (AAL +4.3%), Spirit Airlines (SAVE +4.3%), Republic Airways (RJET +4.0%).
- Also rallying: Southwest Airlines (LUV +3.6%), JetBlue (JBLU +3.9%), Allegiant Travel (ALGT +3.6%), Hawaiian Holdings (HA +3%), Delta Air Lines (DAL +2.5%), Alaska Air Group (ALK +2.4%).
- Virgin American (VA +0.4%) is snoozing the news.
Wed, Feb. 4, 12:52 PM| 6 Comments
Tue, Feb. 3, 2:46 PM
- Another strong jump in oil prices has tripped up airline stocks again.
- The outlier in the group is Virgin America (NASDAQ:VA) which has managed a 0.2% gain.
- The sector is coming off a Q4 where most companies realized a double-digit decline in fuel expenses with no give back on airfares.
- Decliners: Republic Airways (NASDAQ:RJET) -1.1%, Delta Air Lines (NYSE:DAL) -1.1%, Hawaiian Holdings (NASDAQ:HA) -1.0%, Southwest Airlines (NYSE:LUV) -3.1%, Alaska Air Group (NYSE:ALK) -3.0%, American Airlines Group (NASDAQ:AAL) -2.4%, Allegiant Travel (NASDAQ:ALGT) -3.2%, JetBlue (NASDAQ:JBLU) -2.1%, United Continential (NYSE:UAL) -2.3%.
Mon, Feb. 2, 3:02 PM
- Airline stocks retreat after oil prices make a strong move higher.
- Despite the ups and downs in the sector as developments with the oil market dominates headlines, more analysts are jumping aboard the long-term story on airlines on earnings growth potential and cash flow allocation plans.
- Today it was Raymond James coming in with upgrades on Delta Air Lines , Spirit Airlines (SAVE +1%), and United Continental to a Strong Buy.
- Decliners: Republic Airways (NASDAQ:RJET) -3.8%, Delta Air Lines (NYSE:DAL) -3.0%, Hawaiian Holdings (NASDAQ:HA) -2.7%, Southwest Airlines (NYSE:LUV) -2.5%, Alaska Air Group (NYSE:ALK) -1.9%, American Airlines Group (NASDAQ:AAL) -1.7%, Allegiant Travel (NASDAQ:ALGT) -1.5%, JetBlue (NASDAQ:JBLU) -1.4%, United Continential (NYSE:UAL) -1.2%.
Fri, Jan. 30, 6:58 PM
- Airline stocks took a beating in late trading today as crude oil futures surged 8% to pass $48/bbl, caused by a big drop in U.S. working rigs in the past week and a spike in ISIS attacks on oil-rich northern Iraq.
- SKYW -7.8%, VA -7.6%, SAVE -7.1%, AAL -6%, DAL -5.8%, RJET -5.7%, UAL -5.6%, ALK -4.5%, LUV -3.8%, LFL -3.6%, JBLU -2.1%.
Fri, Jan. 30, 1:26 PM| 21 Comments
Fri, Jan. 30, 9:24 AM
- Airfares for flights out of Dallas Love Field and DFW are expected to increase this year, despite the lower fuel costs for airlines across the sector.
- Though the end of the protective Wright Amendment on October 13 brought in some promotional fares to Love Field, those deals are expected to fall by the wayside amid strong demand.
- DFW is the 3rd busiest airport in the U.S. and Love Field ranks in the top 40.
- Carriers impacted by the expected lift in Dallas fares include Virgin America (NASDAQ:VA), American Airlines (NASDAQ:AAL), Delta Air Lines (NYSE:DAL), Southwest Airlines (NYSE:LUV), United Continental (NYSE:UAL), and private SeaPort Airlines.
Wed, Jan. 28, 7:41 AM| 10 Comments
Tue, Jan. 27, 11:21 AM
- Execs with American Airlines Group (AAL -3%) said the company will save as much as $5B in 2015 due to a lower level of jet fuel prices.
- That benefit works out to ~$6.97 per outstanding share.
- CEO Douglas Parker took a victory lap on the firm's earnings conference call for his decision to forsake hedging and buy fuel at market prices.
- American thinks it will accelerate aircraft orders with the extra cash in order to take advantage of good financing terms. Shareholders might also see some higher dividend payouts or enjoy increased buybacks.
- Earnings call transcript, webcast
- Previously: American Airlines beats by $0.01, misses on revenue
- Previously: Fuel costs down 17% for American Airlines in Q4
Tue, Jan. 27, 7:38 AM
- American Airlines (NASDAQ:AAL) reports revenue rose 2.1% to $10.2B on a combined basis during Q4.
- Total available seat miles +1.7%.
- Passenger revenue per available seat mile -1% to $0.135.
- Load factor -180 bps to 80.4% due to weakness with the Atlantic and Latin America regions.
- Total operating expenses fell 4.1% to $9.3B.
- Fuel costs -17.3% Y/Y.
- AAL +0.5% premarket.
Tue, Jan. 27, 7:03 AM| 9 Comments
Mon, Jan. 26, 5:30 PM
AAL vs. ETF Alternatives
American Airlines Group Inc, through its subsidiaries, operates in the airline industry. The Company has hubs in Charlotte, Chicago, Dallas/Fort Worth, Los Angeles, Miami, New York City, Philadelphia, Phoenix and Washington, D.C.
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