Wed, Jan. 7, 2:25 PM
- Despite the brisk rally in airline stocks, Credit Suisse thinks there is plenty of upside still left.
- "The market has been hesitant to fully price in benefits from the rapid fuel decline and consensus has yet to fully adjust for lower fuel," reads the optimistic CS note.
- Analysts with the firm tap United Continental (NYSE:UAL) as their top sector pick.
- Airline stocks: LUV, DAL, AAL, JBLU, ALK, HA, SAVE, ALGT, RJET, VA.
Tue, Jan. 6, 8:32 AM
- American Airlines Group (NASDAQ:AAL) submits an application to the DOT to service Haneda Airport in Tokyo.
- The carrier wants to get in on the limited access for U.S. airlines to Haneda set by a bilateral U.S.-Japan trade agreement.
- Delta Airlines (NYSE:DAL) has access to Haneda, while Hawaiian Airlines (NASDAQ:HA) also seeks slots.
- Previously: Report: DOT to evaluate Tokyo Haneda landing rights (Dec. 16 2014)
Mon, Jan. 5, 3:18 PM
- ETF Series Solutions is planning a new ETF based on the airliner sector.
- The fund will hold 25 to 40 airline stocks and attempt to mirror the U.S. Global Jets Index.
- The development comes with airline stocks on a tear after jet fuel prices dropped sharply.
- Two former airline ETFs (FLYX and FAA) didn't survive long enough to cruise through the rally.
- Airline stocks: RYAAY, OTCPK:CPCAY, OTCPK:SINGY, CEA, ZNH, CPA, GOL, LFL, LUV, UAL, DAL, AAL, JBLU, ALK, HA, SAVE, ALGT, RJET, RYAAY, CPA, GOL, LFL, AVH, SAVE, VLRS.
- SEC Form N-1A
Mon, Jan. 5, 2:19 AM
- The union representing American Airlines (NASDAQ:AAL) pilots, the Allied Pilots Association, approved the carrier's final contract offer late Saturday, clearing the way for a retroactive 23% wage hike if its members agree to it in a vote this month.
- American Airlines, now the world's largest airline by traffic, is working toward new deals for all its unionized workers, and reached an agreement on a common contract for its 24,000 flight attendants in December.
Thu, Jan. 1, 2:19 AM
- Dow: INTC +41%; UNH +35%; HD +28%; CSCO +25%; MSFT +25%.
- S&P 500: LUV +125%; EA +106%; EW +95%; AGN +92%; AVGO +91%.
- Nasdaq: AAL +112%; EA +106%; AVGO +91%; GMCR +78%; ILMN +68%.
Dec. 31, 2014, 10:32 AM
- American Airlines (AAL +1.7%) and JetBlue (JBLU +1.6%) could benefit if the U.S. relaxes travel restrictions to Cuba.
- The two carriers already offer services for charters to Cuba out of the Tampa airport.
- Airline passenger traffic to Cuba from the U.S. has risen from 7,775 in 2011 to almost 53K through Q3 in 2014, despite the tight current government restrictions.
- Industry watchers think the route could eventually be very popular due to tourism and demand from Cuban-Americans reconnecting with family.
Dec. 24, 2014, 2:54 AM
- Thanks to profits that have strengthened as oil prices have collapsed, American Airlines (NASDAQ:AAL) CEO Doug Parker says the airline will announce "very strong" results for 2014.
- American Airlines plans to pay flight attendants an additional four percentage points on top of raises already averaging 10% due to the strong profit.
- Other work groups would also see improvements in their raises - once their respective contracts are ratified.
- AAL +0.8% AH
Dec. 23, 2014, 7:25 PM
- It’s pretty clear why many energy stocks are hurting amid falling crude oil prices, but Morgan Stanley has researched across industries to determine some less clear-cut winners and losers.
- Airlines consume huge amounts of fuel, but the firm says American Airlines (NASDAQ:AAL) and Allegiant Travel (NASDAQ:ALGT) should benefit more than most from lower oil prices since they do not hedge the price of fuel to reduce price volatility.
- Among autos, Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA) draws concern because "lower-for-longer oil certainly hurts the case for mass-market adoption of electric vehicles.”
- Since lower gas prices should reduce shipping costs, Stanley sees the benefit trickling into Q1 per-unit shipping costs at Amazon (NASDAQ:AMZN).
- The firm likes Monster Beverage (NASDAQ:MNST) on the idea that Americans getting cheaper gas might be more ready to splurge on energy drinks, and gas stations and convenience stores account for 75% of MNST’s sales.
- Among apparel companies and retailers, Stanley likes brands that are most popular with lower-income consumers, who they believe are most likely to put the money they save into new purchases: PLCE, FL, FINL, BWS, SKUL, ARO, BURL, ROST.
Dec. 23, 2014, 10:06 AM
- The type of hedging strategies used by airliners will play a big part in profitability in the sector after the sharp drop in jet fuel prices.
- Delta Airlines (NYSE:DAL) estimates it keeps about 65% of the drop in fuel costs, but will owe $800M to counterparties (the other side of the hedge) if oil is 20% lower on December 31, 2015 from where it stood on October 1, 2014. By Delta's estimation, a penny drop in oil prices is a net $40M to the good side.
- Southwest Airlines (NYSE:LUV) forecasts it will reap $0.80 for every $1 drop in oil prices, but disclosed a $615M liability to creditors if crude oil prices stay below 25% from the level of September 30.
- American Airlines Group (NASDAQ:AAL) will realize the full impact from the drop in fuel costs on its bottom line due to the decision by the company not to hedge at all.
- Other airliners could also have some hedging exposure, although details are light on the strategies employed in the sector.
- What to watch: Q1 reports and conference calls in the sector could be key in filling in some of the blanks. Related stocks: UAL, JBLU, ALK, HA, SAVE, ALGT, RJET, VA.
Dec. 23, 2014, 8:26 AM
- U.S. airliners as a group showed a 2.6% gain to 16.40 (cents) in fares earned per revenue passenger mile in November, according to data from Airlines for America.
- A 4.0% Y/Y increase for the metric on domestic routes offset a 1.4% decline in international flights.
- The YTD mark is up 2.3% to 16.53.
- Related stocks: ALK, AAL, DAL, JBLU, LUV, UAL.
Dec. 19, 2014, 10:53 AM| 8 Comments
Dec. 16, 2014, 4:02 PM
- The DOT will evaluate if Delta Air Lines (NYSE:DAL) should be allowed to keep the landing slot rights for the Seattle to Tokyo Haneda route due to the carrier's limited number of flights into the Japanese airport, according to The Dallas Morning News.
- The development could be positive for American Airlines (NASDAQ:AAL) and Hawaiian Airlines (NASDAQ:HA) which both want to add flights to Haneda.
Dec. 15, 2014, 3:14 PM
- Senator Charles Schumer calls on the DOT to probe the airline industry for the high level of airfares despite the drop in jet fuel costs and booming airliner profits.
- By most tabulations, airfares have held steady over the last few weeks.
- Previously: IATA: Profits to rise 26% for airliners in 2015 (Dec. 10 2014)
- U.S. carriers: LUV, UAL, DAL, AAL, JBLU, ALK, HA, SAVE, ALGT, RJET, VA.
Dec. 13, 2014, 8:45 AM
- American Airlines (NASDAQ:AAL), Electronic Arts (NASDAQ:EA), and Lam Research (NASDAQ:LRCX) will be added to the Nasdaq 100 (NASDAQ:QQQ) ahead of the open on December 22.
- Removed will be Expedia (NASDAQ:EXPE), F5 Networks (NASDAQ:FFIV), and Maxim Integrated (NASDAQ:MXIM).
- A revision to the index methodology allows multiple share classes of index participants to be included, so Comcast Class A Special (NASDAQ:CMCSK), Twenty-First Century Fox Class B (NASDAQ:FOX), and Liberty Global Class C (NASDAQ:LBTYK) will also become part of the index.
- Source: Press Release
- ETFs: QQQ, PSQ, TQQQ, QID, SQQQ, QLD, QQEW, QQQE, QQXT
Dec. 10, 2014, 9:49 AM
- Airline stocks rip a fresh set of gains after oil prices weaken again and the IATA issues a rosy forecast on 2015 profit for the sector.
- There has also been a wave of analyst upgrades on airliners which has boosted sentiment.
- Leading gainers: Southwest Airlines (NYSE:LUV) +3.1%, United Continental (NYSE:UAL) +3.1%, Spirit Airlines (NASDAQ:SAVE) +2.7%, American Airlines Group (NASDAQ:AAL) +2.6%, China Eastern Air (NYSE:CEA) +2.4%, Republic Airways (NASDAQ:RJET) +2.4%, Virgin America (NASDAQ:VA) +2.0%, China Southern Airlines (NYSE:ZNH) +1.9%.
Dec. 10, 2014, 8:36 AM
- IATA forecasts airline profits will rise 10.6% Y/Y to $19.9B this year.
- The outlook from the research firm for 2015 is for 25.6% jump in profit to $25B.
- Consumers can expect to see a 5.1% decline in airfares next year, while cargo shippers should pay 5.8% less.
- On a per-passenger basis, IATA thinks the the airline industry will show a net profit of $7.08 in 2015 vs. $6.02 in 2014 and $3.38 in 2013.
- The profit gains are tied to lower oil prices and improved GDP numbers across key sections of the globe.
- Airline stocks: AAL, UAL, DAL, RYAAY, OTCPK:CPCAY, OTCPK:SINGY, CEA, ZNH, CPA, GOL, LFL, OTCPK:DLAKF, AIDIF, OTCPK:QUBSF, JBLU,ALK, HA, OTCPK:AIRYY, OTCPK:MLYAF, OTCQX:AFLYY, VLRS, LUV, RJET, SAVE, ALGT, VA.
AAL vs. ETF Alternatives
American Airlines Group Inc, through its subsidiaries, operates in the airline industry. The Company has hubs in Charlotte, Chicago, Dallas/Fort Worth, Los Angeles, Miami, New York City, Philadelphia, Phoenix and Washington, D.C.
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