Fri, Sep. 25, 5:40 PM
Wed, Sep. 16, 3:45 PM
- Newmont Mining's (NEM +5.8%) stock price target is lowered to $22 from $24 by RBC analysts on the back of downward revisions to base metal price assumptions, including a ~15% reduction to the firm's 2015-19 average copper price assumptions.
- NEM has significant leverage to copper prices through its Batu Hijau, Boddington and Phoenix mines, prompting the firm to reduce its EPS and cash flow/share estimates.
- But for today at least, shares of gold miners are surging, following gold prices higher as optimism grows that the Fed will not raise rates tomorrow: ABX +7%, KGC +9.2%, GG +5.3%, AEM +6.9%, GFI +3%, SBGL +2.4%, FNV +4.7%, NGD +7.1%, AUY +9.1%, IAG +7.6%, BTG +4.1%, EGO +9.7%, SLW +7.1%.
Wed, Aug. 12, 11:29 AM
- China’s currency devaluation is welcome news for gold stocks such as Newmont Mining (NEM +5.2%), Agnico Eagle Mines (AEM +8.1%), Coeur Mining (CDE +13.9%) and Gold Resource (GORO +2.5%), Sterne Agee CRT analysts say.
- China's move should help gold and silver prices through risk-off investor diversification and heightened investment attention, especially from Chinese investors looking to protect purchasing power, and fragile global economic growth prospects highlighted by China’s struggles could delay any meaningful U.S. rate increases, the firm says.
- With investor sentiment still skeptical, the supportive macro news flow could provide fuel for a rally in gold mining equities, the firm says, preferring Buy-rated NEM, AEM, CDE and GORO; Barrick Gold (ABX +3.9%) is rated Neutral.
Mon, Jul. 20, 10:39 AM
- Several gold miner stocks strike new 52-week lows in early trading, as gold prices plunge below $1,100/oz. overnight and adding pressure to a sector that already faces razor-thin margins.
- Investors have turned sharply negative on gold as the U.S. dollar rises ahead of a likely rise in interest rates, and a report out of China shows lower than expected holdings of the metal.
- While most senior gold miners can generate decent margins at $1,100 gold, many small and mid-tier producers are underwater at the price, and some of the seniors are struggling with heavy debt.
- Hitting new 52-week lows today: ABX -9.3%, GG -7.7%, GFI -10.7%, KGC -9.4%, AGI -6.6%, AU -9.7%, SBGL -7.8%, BTG -9.3%, EGO -2.9%, NGD -8%, AUY -8.8%, RGLD -8.2%, FNV -6.8%, SLW -5%.
- Also lower: NEM -9.4%, AEM -7.9%, NG -7%, GOLD -4.8%, IAG -5.1%, HL -5.4%.
- ETFs: GDX, NUGT, GDXJ, GGN, DUST, SIL, JNUG, GLDX, JDST, SGDM, ASA, SLVP, SILJ, RING, JUNR, PSAU, TGLDX, GDJJ, GDXS, GDXX, GDJS
Mon, Jul. 20, 9:14 AM
Fri, Jul. 17, 2:58 PM
- Barrick Gold (ABX -4.9%) sinks to 24-year lows in Toronto trading, leading a rout among bullion miners as the yellow metal extends its selloff to five-year lows.
- ABX is under particular pressure, as the fall in gold casts doubt on the company’s strategy of shedding assets to pay down its $12.9B debt, as it "becomes harder and harder to sell those assets at any kind of reasonable value if metal prices are unwinding," Macquarie analyst Ron Stewart says.
- ABX reportedly is nearing a deal to sell its Zaldivar copper mine in Chile, and is looking for buyers for its 50% stake in its Kalgoorlie mine, among other properties.
- NEM -2.6%, GG -5.7%, GFI -1.1%, KGC -5.2%, AEM -5.1%, NG -2.2%, AGI -6.6%, AU -5.7%, GOLD -2.5%, SBGL -4.2%, BTG -6.4%, IAG -7.6%, EGO -7.6%, HL -3.5%, NGD -8.4%, AUY -2.9%, RGLD -2.9%, FNV -3.6%, SLW -3.3%.
- ETFs: GDX, NUGT, GGN, DUST, SIL, GLDX, SGDM, ASA, SLVP, RING, PSAU, TGLDX, GDXS, GDXX
Wed, Feb. 18, 3:59 PM
- Agnico-Eagle Mines (AEM +2%) is upgraded to Overweight from Neutral with a $41 price target, up from $38, at J.P. Morgan, which says it has the right assets and an experienced management team for the tricky gold market.
- The firm notes that AEM’s operations in Canada, Mexico and Finland shield its costs from the strong U.S. dollar, while its sizable portfolio of underground mines provides the flexibility to adjust to moves in the price of gold.
- JPM likes AEM's portfolio of longer lived assets and running list of projects that should not only replace production from maturing mines but could enhance the miner's production profile beyond 2017.
Tue, Jan. 27, 3:10 PM
- Gold miner (NYSEARCA:GDX) earnings reports are on the way, and Barclays analysts foresee Q4 earnings to come in lower across the board with margins under pressure as metals prices fall; for gold, they see producers’ margins falling ~12% Q/Q.
- Barclays believes lower gold prices also will mean writedowns of assets for many companies, while mining depletion will combine with limited exploration budgets to bring down reserves.
- Most senior and mid-tier gold producers will not see Y/Y production growth in 2015, the firm says; Goldcorp (GG +2.9%), Agnico Eagle Mines (AEM +4.6%), Yamana Gold (AUY +3.2%) and New Gold (NGD +4.2%) should enjoy production growth, while royalty companies Royal Gold (RGLD +1.8%) and Franco-Nevada (FNV +4.6%) should have revenue growth despite lower commodity pricing.
Tue, Jan. 6, 5:35 PM
Dec. 30, 2014, 4:18 PM
- With the dollar falling against the yen and pound and a minor flight to safety afoot - Treasurys are higher, stocks have closed moderately lower - COMEX gold is up 1.4% today to $1,197/oz., and COMEX silver is up 2.6% to $16.20/oz. The gains have provided a lift to the volatile/beaten-down shares of gold and silver miners.
- Notable gold gainers: IAG +11.7%. ABX +3.6%. AUY +5.2%. NEM +3.6%. GG +4.6%. AU +4.2%. SBGL +4.9%. KGC +4.1%. AGI +5%. AEM +5.1%.
- Notable silver gainers: AG +7.6%. SVM +7.1%. SSRI +6.2%. SVM +6.4%. PAAS +3.9%. SVLC +5.2%. EXK +6.9%.
- ETFs with 3%+ gains: NUGT +10.1%. GDXJ +5.1%. USLV +9.7%. UBG +5.4%. USV +3.8%. SIVR +3.4%. AGQ +6.3%. BAR +3.2%. DBS +3.2%.
- The group rallied on Friday after the PBOC relaxed lending rules for banks, but sold off on Monday.
Nov. 18, 2014, 3:59 PM
- Gold prices jumped 1.2% to settle just shy of $1,200/oz. as the dollar eased against major currencies amid tensions in eastern Europe and the Middle East, and some observers are starting to ask if gold mining and production stocks (GDX +4.8%) have finally found a bottom.
- 24/7's Chris Lange thinks gold giants may have hit their lows on Nov. 5, followed by an impressive recovery since that date with gold fundamentals apparently not changing drastically.
- Major precious metals miners are strong across the board: ABX +6.5%, AEM +4.4%, AU +6.2%, GG +3.7%, GFI +7.6%, SLW +3.6%, NEM +3.4%, AGI +4.9%, IAG +6.6%, AUY +6.8%, KGC +9.2%, NGD +2.8%, GOLD +1.9%, RGLD +3.7%.
- Other ETFs: GDXJ, NUGT, DUST, SIL, JNUG, GLDX, JDST, SLVP, SILJ, RING, SGDM, PSAU
Nov. 14, 2014, 10:58 AM
- The gold market will enter deficit by 2016 as producers cut capex, resulting in reduced supply in the medium- to long-term, Credit Suisse analyst Anita Soni writes, seeing 2014 as a likely plateau for supply (Briefing.com).
- Agnico Eagle Mines (AEM +2.6%) and Eldorado Gold (EGO +4.5%) are the firm's top picks among gold miners under coverage.
- Other Outperform rated gold companies are GG, KGC, AUY, AUQ, FNV, GSS and IAG; rated Neutral are ABX, NEM, NGD and AGI.
Nov. 12, 2014, 10:33 AM
- Agnico Eagle Mines (AEM +3.8%) says it has completed a major drilling program at its high-grade Amaruq gold project, northwest of the Meadowbank mine in Nunavut, with a total of 144 holes.
- AEM says an initial resource estimate is expected early next year.
- Analysts at Desjardins believe the results to date support the potential to extend the operating life of the Meadowbank mill, which is the miner’s largest gold producing asset.
Oct. 31, 2014, 11:35 AM
- Precious metals miners are slammed for a third straight session as gold prices plunged to multiyear lows.
- Japan’s surprise stimulus move is supporting the U.S. dollar and driving the ICE U.S. Dollar index to a four-year high, making gold more expensive to overseas buyers; while the prospect for more monetary stimulus usually increases the lure of gold, the threat of global deflation has withered gold’s appeal as a hedge against rising prices, Barron's Chris Dieterich explains.
- Nearly everyone in the sector is hitting 52-week lows (again): ABX -4.5%, NEM -7.7%, GG -0.5%, SLW -3.6%, AGI -5.8%, AEM -4.1%, AUY -10.6%, IAG -4.6%, KGC -16.2%, NGD -6.1%, AU -2%, GOLD -1.6%.
- Also: GFI -7.4%, RGLD -3.8%.
- ETFs: GDX, GDXJ, NUGT, DUST, SIL, JNUG, GLDX, JDST, SLVP, RING, SGDM, PSAU
Oct. 29, 2014, 7:22 PM
- Agnico Eagle Mines (NYSE:AEM) -1.7% AH after Q3 earnings and revenues both fall short of analyst expectations.
- AEM's Q3 production totaled ~349K oz. of gold, up 10.6% Y/Y, with average cash costs for producing an ounce of gold on a by-product basis rising to $716/oz. from $591 in the same period last year.
- Expects FY 2014 production of ~1.4M oz., exceeding the upper guidance of company guidance, with total cash costs on a by-product basis of $650-$675/oz.
- AEM raises its FY 2015 production forecast 1.6M oz. from a previous outlook for 1.25M oz., as it expects higher output from its Meadowbank mine in Canada, Kittila mine in Finland and Mexican operations.
Oct. 6, 2014, 2:45 PM
- Gold prices bounce off 15-month lows to reclaim $1,200/oz. as the dollar rally pauses, helping strengthen shares of precious metals miners: AU +4.4%, GFI +3%, IAG +1.9%, BTG +3%, GG +2.2%, NGD +1.5%, KGC +1.6%, AGI +1.6%, RGLD +1%, SLW +2.1%.
- Sterne Agee analysts Michael Dudas and Satyadeep Jain foresee gold and silver prices trending higher, with gold averaging $1,400/oz. in 2015 and $1,450 in 2016 and silver averaging $19 next year and $21 in 2016, as “global demand remains firm, liquidity remains ample and the dollar appears overbought.”
- With investor sentiment still skeptical, Sterne thinks any supportive macro news flow could provide fuel for a rally; the firm rate Newmont Mining (NEM +1.5%), Agnico-Eagle Mines (AEM +2.4%), Coeur Mining (CDE +1.3%) and Gold Resource (GORO +0.2%) as Buys, with Barrick Gold (ABX +0.5%), Hecla Mining (HL +4.3%) and Pan American Silver (PAAS +1.5%) rated Neutral.
- ETFs: GLD, SLV, AGQ, IAU, USLV, SIVR, SGOL, ZSL, UGL, DGP, GLL, UGLD, DZZ, SLVO, GLDI, DSLV, DGL, DBS, DGZ, OUNZ, DGLD, AGOL, DBP, TBAR, USV, UBG, JJP, GLDE, BAR, GYEN, GEUR, RGRP, BARS, GGBP, BLNG
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