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PowerShares DB Agriculture Long ETN (AGF)

- NYSEARCA
  • Aug. 21, 2012, 4:34 PM
    As panic hits the pits, Wells Fargo's Sameer Samana makes a contrarian call, arguing it's a good time to cover bullish grain bets. The weather is improving, he says, and low yields are priced in. "There seem to be fewer catalysts for price appreciation." Yet as Commerzbank notes, it's too late in the season for better weather to help the corn crop.
    | 7 Comments
  • Aug. 21, 2012, 3:18 PM
    "For the first time in this rally, there is a feel of commercial panic," says a broker after a 2nd day of the Pro Farmer crop tour adds to worries over the security of physical grain supplies (day 1 report here). "You cannot load soybean futures in a ship and send to China (or) feed to chickens and hogs ... panic is in the physical ownership." Price records are falling everywhere. JJG +2.2%.
    | 8 Comments
  • Aug. 20, 2012, 12:16 PM
    Grains rally as the Pro Farmer Midwest Crop Tour gets underway and early reports suggest the USDA's low estimated corn and bean yields could be optimistic. DTN's Katie Micik reports her Ohio route averaged 104.4 bu/acre (corn) vs. the USDA state estimate of 126. Pam Smith: "You know the corn is bad when you can see the scouts." CORN +1.4%, SOYB +1%.
    | 5 Comments
  • Aug. 13, 2012, 4:32 PM
    China plans to release corn and rice from state reserves to cool inflation and ease import needs. The amount isn't yet known, but is estimated to be around 2M tons (the country consumes 10-15M tons monthly). The grains were sharply lower today as traders mostly sell Friday's news of a short crop. Corn -2.2%, Beans -3.1%, Wheat -3.2%.
    | 1 Comment
  • Aug. 10, 2012, 2:46 PM
    Off 2.2% today in the wake of a crop report confirming what everybody already knew (a very short crop), corn may also be fading on a rumor the White House could be open to waving the ethanol requirement for fuel.
    | 4 Comments
  • Aug. 10, 2012, 8:53 AM
    More on the crop report: Corn yields in Iowa (the largest producer) are estimated at 141 bu/acre, notes Arlan Sunderman, while an industry tour had it at 117. He also spots the USDA upping China's corn production to 200 MMT from 195 last month, and dropping Chinese imports to 2 MMT from 5 MMT ... "but when has the USDA been right about Chinese imports."
    | 5 Comments
  • Aug. 10, 2012, 8:43 AM
    The USDA's highly anticipated crop report pegs the corn harvest at 10.779B bushels, 150M less then expected. The yield of 123.4 bushels/acre (vs. 127.4 est.) is the lowest since 1995. Ending stocks are pegged at a tiny 650M bushels, down from 1.18B. Traders sell the news, Sept. corn flat now after being a dime higher before the report.
    | 1 Comment
  • Aug. 1, 2012, 8:18 AM
    A revision to the mean type of guy for most of his career, Jeremy Grantham continues a Malthusian turn in his old age, warning of decades of food shortages (last year's warning focused on metals, but all of a sudden the world seems oversupplied with those). Being a breadbasket, the U.S. will not be affected too badly, but poorer importers will see trouble.
    | 3 Comments
  • Jul. 24, 2012, 12:29 PM
    The grain rally falls off the tracks as both corn (down $0.40) and beans (down $0.70) are locked limit down at the CBOT.  At $7.74 bushel, corn is off 5% on the session. Wheat isn't yet limit down, but is off 6.3%. Smithfield (SFD) hurriedly revisits its decision. JJG -5.5%.
    | 1 Comment
  • Jul. 19, 2012, 3:28 PM
    Interesting action in the Chicago pits today, where old crop (Sept) corn soared another $0.18 to a record $8.13, but new crop (Dec, March) fell, the spread between the two shooting higher late in the session. The divergence suggests at least some optimism for a reasonable crop to come in, no? CORN -2.3% as the action in the new crop months overwhelmed the record price move.
    | 5 Comments
  • Jul. 17, 2012, 4:54 PM
    "I see no basis for limiting exports," says a senior Russian official, even as an analyst says poor weather could sharply cut the wheat harvest, and in turn, overseas sales. Russia's 2010 ban on wheat exports shocked consumers, setting off a near doubling in the price.
    | 2 Comments
  • Jul. 17, 2012, 8:55 AM
    Some sentiment numbers for the contrarians to chew over: 81% of clients are bearish on the euro for the next 6 months, according to JPMorgan (euro chart). Corn bulls rise to 95%, according to Jake Bernstein's Daily Sentiment Index (corn chart). Bond bulls are at 87% (bond chart). (h/t Thomas Thornton)
    | 2 Comments
  • Jul. 12, 2012, 1:01 PM
    The latest U.S. Drought Monitor isn't pretty, showing substantial declines in "abnormally dry" and "drought-moderate" areas and a commensurate jump in those areas labeled "drought-severe" and "drought extreme," with "drought exceptional" creeping in as well. Corn rebounds from yesterday's sell the news action following the USDA report, +3.9%.
    | 3 Comments
  • Jul. 9, 2012, 10:42 AM
    A check of commodity performance (DBC) in H1 shows agricultural commodities (DBA) the top performer, despite steep falls in coffee (JO) and cotton (BAL), as the drought sends grains (JJG) soaring. Leading on the downside are the economically sensitive energy (JJE) and industrial metals (JJM) sectors.
    | Comment!
  • Jul. 9, 2012, 10:34 AM
    Grains soar again as the heat wave breaks, but one forecaster says coming rain is expected to miss the areas most in need. The USDA's crop report for later today is expected to confirm deterioration of the crops. CORN +5.5%, JJG +4.8%, DBA +2.3%.
    | Comment!
  • Jul. 5, 2012, 5:35 PM
    Hot, dry weather isn't only plaguing midwestern farmers, as drought conditions also have hit areas in Russia and around the Black Sea, prompting reductions in grain forecasts. Yet food prices have been falling in recent months, and analysts such as Cowen's Colin Guheen expect “benign” inflation in 2012-13; he says the risk is not great for select food companies such as SFD and SWY.
    | 1 Comment
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AGF Description
All of the PowerShares DB Agriculture ETNs are based on a total return version of the Deutsche Bank Liquid Commodity Index–Optimum Yield Agriculture™ (the "Index"), which is designed to reflect the performance of certain corn, wheat, soybean and sugar futures contracts plus the returns from investing in 3 month United States Treasury bills.
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