Seeking Alpha
 

American Capital Agency Corp. (AGNC)

- NASDAQ
  • Yesterday, 2:54 PM
    • The financial sector is leading the market lower today, but these sessions often see money flow into REITs. There's no green to be found, but mortgage REITs like Annaly Capital (NLY -0.3%), American Capital Agency (AGNC -0.2%), Anworth Mortgage (ANH -0.2%), Chimera (CIM -0.1%), CYS Investments (CYS -0.1%), Invesco (IVR -0.3%), and Dynex (DX -0.7%) are outperforming by a wide margin.
    • Equity REITs are doing better than the XLF and S&P 500, but still sharply lower: Realty Income (O -1.5%), Omega Healthcare (OHI -2.2%), HCP (HCP -1.2%), Gramercy Property (GPT -1.9%), Equity Residential (EQR -2.4%), Kimco (KIM -2.1%), Simon Property (SPG -2.2%), Public Storage (PSA -1.1%), Hospitality Properties (HPT -2.1%), Stag Industrial (STAG -1.2%)
    • ETFs: IYR, VNQ, MORL, REM, MORT, DRN, URE, RQI, SCHH, ICF, SRS, RWR, RNP, JRS, KBWY, RFI, NRO, DRV, RIT, REK, RIF, FRI, FTY, PSR, DRA, FREL, WREI, LMBS, IARAX
    | Yesterday, 2:54 PM | 32 Comments
  • Fri, Aug. 21, 3:30 PM
    • These income favorites often catch a wave of buying when the major averages sell off and yields fall, but the panicky action today is taking down nearly all equities.
    • The iShares DJ U.S. Real Estate ETF (IYR -1.7%) and the iShares FTSE NAREIT Mortgage REIT ETF (REM -1.6%), however, are outperforming the S&P 500's 2.7% decline.
    • Previously: Just a modest rally for Treasurys as stocks crumble (Aug. 21)
    • Leading the mREITs lower is Javelin Mortgage (JMI -5.9%), with SA contributor ColoradoWealthManagementFund noting the company has stopped buying back stock despite its wide discount to book value. The sector as a whole looks like it will continue to have to deal with widening spreads and rising prepayments, and still have a looming rate hike cycle on the horizon.
    • Armour Residential (ARR -2%), CYS Investments (CYS -1.8%), Annaly (NLY -1.2%), American Capital Agency (AGNC -1.8%), Arlington Asset (AI -2.4%), Orchid Island (ORC -2.5%), Dynex (DX -2%), Capstead Mortgage (CMO -1.3%).
    • Equity REITs: Realty Income (O -0.7%), Vereit (VER -2.3%), Health Care REIT (HCN -1%), HCP (HCP -1.1%), Gramercy Property (GPT -3.1%), Equity Residential (EQY -1.6%), Simon Property (SPG -0.5%), Kimco (KIM -2.1%), Hospitality Properties (HPT -2.8%), Stag Industrial (STAG -1.4%), American Campus (ACC -1.1%), Public Storage (PSA -1%).
    | Fri, Aug. 21, 3:30 PM | 38 Comments
  • Thu, Aug. 20, 1:41 PM
    • Searching for green as the averages get routed, one finds a few pockets of only modest strength in some of the beaten-down REIT names as the 10-year Treasury yield slips to 2.08% and rate hike expectations move from September to December, or even 2016.
    • Sticking with a September rate hike is the team at Citigroup, which continues to believe only a "bunker buster" will prevent the Fed from hiking next month. The group notes an overlooked line in yesterday's FOMC minutes in which the committee talked about managing the risks resulting from prolonged low rates. It's a "smoking gun," says Citi, meaning a rate hike is coming sooner rather than later.
    • Annaly Capital (NLY +0.2%), American Capital Agency (AGNC +0.6%), Realty Income (O +0.8%), Omega Healthcare (OHI +0.9%), Public Storage (PSA -0.1%).
    | Thu, Aug. 20, 1:41 PM | 37 Comments
  • Tue, Aug. 11, 12:59 PM
    • The Fed may be determined to hike rates, but deflationary signals are everywhere, with Beijing the latest government to acknowledge such with its devaluation overnight.
    • Crude oil has taken out a new six-year low, tumbling another 4% to $43.15 per barrel, and copper's 3% decline has brought it to a fresh six-year low. The grains are all down by 2% or more, but gold is marginally higher.
    • The major U.S. averages are down more than 1%, and Europe fell 1.5% today.
    • The 10-year Treasury yield is lower by a full ten basis points to 2.13%.
    • Leading the heavily discounted mREIT sector higher are Annaly Capital (NLY +1.1%), American Capital Agency (AGNC +1.3%), CYS Investments (CYS +1.2%), New York Mortgage (NYMT +1.6%), Hatteras Financial (HTS +1.3%), Capstead (CMO +1%), Anworth (ANH +1.4%), Dynex Capital (DX +2.6%), and AG Mortgage (MITT +1.6%).
    • ETFs: MORL, REM, MORT, LMBS
    • In equity REITs: National Retail (NNN +1.2%), Equity Residential (EQR +1.5%), AvalonBay (AVB +1.2%), General Growth (GGP +1.9%), Kimco (KIM +1.4%), Whitestone REIT (WSR +2.9%), Washington Real Estate (WRE +1.2%), Hospitality Properties (HPT +2.3%), Chamber Street (CSG +1.1%).
    • ETFs: IYR, VNQ, DRN, URE, RQI, SCHH, ICF, SRS, RWR, RNP, JRS, KBWY, RFI, NRO, DRV, RIT, REK, RIF, FRI, FTY, PSR, DRA, FREL, WREI, IARAX
    | Tue, Aug. 11, 12:59 PM | 21 Comments
  • Tue, Jul. 28, 9:52 AM
    • Investors take a least a small hiatus from selling the mortgage REITs after last night's clunker of an earnings report from American Capital Agency (AGNC +2%).
    • Book value fell by 6% during Q2, with higher rates, widening MBS spreads, and faster prepayments making for an ugly combination.
    • The company, however, entered Q3 with its lowest leverage since the financial crisis, giving it the firepower to buy assets on the cheap. At the close yesterday, the stock was selling for a 22% discount to June 30 book value. At some point, the bad news is priced in?
    • The earnings call is set for 11 ET.
    • Annaly Capital (NLY +1.6%), CYS Investments (CYS +0.8%), Western Asset (WMC +1.2%), New York Mortgage (NYMT +0.5%).
    • ETFs: MORL, REM, MORT, LMBS
    | Tue, Jul. 28, 9:52 AM | 13 Comments
  • Thu, Jul. 23, 1:17 PM
    • CYS Investments last night reported a big drop in book value as the effect of sharply higher rates more than offset the company's hedges. Core income failed to cover the dividend as prepayments also rose.
    • The stock today is down 2.6% and trading at more than a 20% discount to book value.
    • Earlier this week, Hatteras also reported a decline in income and fall in book value.
    • Sector giants Annaly Capital (NLY -0.5%) and American Capital Agency (AGNC -0.7%) are performing the best today. Armour Residential (ARR -1.8%), Chimera Investment (CIM -0.8%), Invesco Mortgage (IVR -1.1%), New York Mortgage (NYMT -1.2%), Western Asset Mortgage (WMC -1%), Anworth Mortgage (ANH -1.2%), Arlington Asset (AI -2.3%), Ellington Residential (EARN -2.1%), Dynex Capital (DX -0.8%)
    • ETFs: MORL, REM, MORT, LMBS
    | Thu, Jul. 23, 1:17 PM | 32 Comments
  • Mon, Jun. 29, 11:24 AM
    • The smallest players are being hit hardest today, with Orchid Island Capital (ORC -8.9%), Five Oaks Investment (OAKS -3.4%), and Cherry Hill Mortgage <<CHM>I> leading the sector lower. Arlington Asset (AI -1.3%), Apollo Residential (AMTG -1.2%), and Javelin Mortgage (JMI -0.8%) belong in that group as well.
    • Sector bigwigs Annaly Capital (NLY -0.1%), American Capital Agency (AGNC -0.1%), Two Harbors (TWO -0.2%),and  MFA Financial (MFA -0.3%) are holding up better.
    • Previously: Rates plunge on Greece gets ready to default (June 29)
    • ETFs: MORL, REM, MORT, LMBS
    | Mon, Jun. 29, 11:24 AM | 46 Comments
  • Fri, Jun. 26, 3:31 PM
    • Equity REITs are mostly being spared any punishment today, but mortgage REITs are hitting multi-year lows across the board as the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield climbs seven basis points to 2.48%.
    • Annaly Capital (NLY -4.7%) hasn't seen a price this low since Alan Greenspan was nearing the end of his rate hike cycle in 2000. American Capital Agency (AGNC -3.7%) is at its lowest price since the bottom of the financial crisis.
    • Armour Residential (ARR -2.9%), Two Harbors (TWO -4.5%), Chimera Investment (CIM -4.8%), CYS Investments (CYS -3.7%), American Capital Mortgage (MTGE -5.4%), Capstead Mortgage (CMO -4.5%), Anworth Mortgage (ANH -4.3%), AG Mortgage (MITT -3.3%), Ellington Residential (EARN -5.3%), Orchid Island (ORC -3.9%).
    • ETFs: MORL, REM, MORT, LMBS
    | Fri, Jun. 26, 3:31 PM | 128 Comments
  • Thu, Jun. 25, 4:17 PM
    • The XLU underperformed again today, losing 0.7% and bringing its year-to-date decline to more than 12%.
    • Looking at equity REITs, the IYR dipped another 0.95% and VNQ fell 1%. Both are down about 6% in 2015, and roughly 15% since late January. Some individual names: Spirit Realty (SRC -2.8%), Senior Housing (SNH -1.2%), HCP (HCP -1.4%), American Realty Capital (ARCP -3%), Gramercy Property (GPT -2.8%), Duke Realty (DRE -2%).
    • In mortgage REITs, REM lost 0.9% today and is off 7% YTD. Some individual names: American Capital Agency (AGNC -1.2%), Armour (ARR -1%), CYS Investments (CYS -0.9%), Annaly Capital (NLY -0.8%), Invesco Mortgage (IVR -1.2%), Apollo Residential (AMTG -1.1%), PennyMac Mortgage (PMT -2.3%), Western Asset Mortgage (WMC -2.7%).
    • The 10-year Treasury yield gained three basis points to 2.40%.
    • Previously: Sell-side abandoning REITs as rates rise (June 25)
    • ETFs: IYR, VNQ, DRN, URE, RQI, SCHH, ICF, SRS, RWR, RNP, JRS, KBWY, RFI, NRO, DRV, RIT, REK, RIF, FRI, FTY, PSR, DRA, FREL, WREI, IARAX
    | Thu, Jun. 25, 4:17 PM | 74 Comments
  • Wed, Jun. 17, 8:24 AM
    • In the middle of a tough run for the mREIT sector, BAML picks four to downgrade from Neutral to Underperform.
    • The operating backdrop for mREITs remains challenging, says BAML, and higher rates, widening spreads, and increased volatility will continue to pressure shares. A flatter yield curve, says BAML, means potential dividend cuts.
    • American Capital Agency (NASDAQ:AGNC-1.3%, CYS Investments (NYSE:CYS-1.5%, Hatteras Financial (NYSE:HTS-1.1%, Dynex Capital (NYSE:DX-1% premarket
    • ETFs: MORL, REM, MORT, LMBS
    | Wed, Jun. 17, 8:24 AM | 79 Comments
  • Thu, Jun. 11, 3:05 PM
    • Interest rates retreating from near-one-year highs are helping, but the sector is looking very cheap as investors anticipate falling book values and/or slashed dividends.
    • American Capital Agency (AGNC +1.9%) - prior to today's action - was trading at a 21.9% discount to May 31 book value and yielding 12.31%.
    • Previously: American Capital Agency discount to book value widens (June 10)
    • CYS Investments (CYS +1.4%) cut its dividend by 6.7% earlier this week, and is trading at a 17.9% discount to March 31 book.
    • Annaly Capital (NLY +1.3%) hasn't yet declared its Q2 dividend, but is trading at a 22.5% discount to March 31 book.
    • ETFs: MORL, REM, MORT, LMBS
    | Thu, Jun. 11, 3:05 PM | 44 Comments
  • Fri, Jun. 5, 3:57 PM
    | Fri, Jun. 5, 3:57 PM | 89 Comments
  • Wed, Jun. 3, 10:25 AM
    • There's a bit of a selling panic going on in fixed income, with the 10-year Treasury yield up another nine basis points on this session to 2.35%, and now up 25 bps this week. The carnage across the pond is worse.
    • The IYR is lower by 0.9%.
    • Individual equity REITs: Realty Income (O -1.2%), Ventas (VTR -2.5%), Omega Healthcare (OHI -0.9%), HCP (HCP -1.5%), Equity Residential (EQR -2.1%), AvalonBay (AVB -1.8%), Simon Property (SPG -1.3%), General Growth (GGP -1.5%), Kimco (KIM -1.2%),  Public Storage (PSA -1%), Boston Properties (BXP -1.1%), Hospitality Properties (HPT -1.2%), Liberty Property (LPT -1%), Campus Crest (CCG -2.2%).
    • Mortgage REITs: Annaly (NLY -1.2%), American Capital Agency (AGNC -0.9%), Invesco (IVR -1.1%), Hatteras (HTS -1%), Ellington Residential (EARN -1%).
    • ETFs: IYR, VNQ, MORL, REM, MORT, DRN, URE, RQI, SCHH, ICF, SRS, RWR, RNP, JRS, KBWY, RFI, NRO, DRV, RIT, REK, RIF, FRI, FTY, PSR, DRA, FREL, WREI, LMBS, IARAX
    | Wed, Jun. 3, 10:25 AM | 74 Comments
  • Tue, May 5, 10:31 AM
    • A big move higher in interest rates continues, with the 10-year Treasury yield up another six basis points to 2.20% - roughly the level at which it started the year (it fell as low as 1.65% in early February).
    • The move here is small-time compared to what's going on across the pond, as the absurd levels of two weeks ago become somewhat less absurd. Ten-year Bund yields are up to 0.51% from 0.05%. Italian 10-years are up 30 bps today to 1.78%, with a similar move in Spain.
    • The IYR is down 1.1%.
    • Individual names: Realty Income (O -1.3%), Senior Housing Properties (SNH -1.5%), Medical Properties Trust (MPW -2.4%), Gramercy Property Trust (GPT -1.8%), Equity Residential (EQR -1.4%), AvalonBay (AVB -1.5%), Government Properties (GOV -2.3%), Pebblebrook Hotel (PEB -2%), Eastgroup Properties (EGP -1.6%), American Campus (ACC -1.4%).
    • Mortgage REITS (REM -0.6%) are outperforming the equity names: Annaly (NLY -0.7%), American Capital Agency (AGNC -0.6%), Two Harbors (TWO -0.7%), CYS Investments (CYS -0.3%), Invesco (IVR -0.2%).
    | Tue, May 5, 10:31 AM | 21 Comments
  • Thu, Apr. 30, 3:15 PM
    • A big rise in interest rates early in the session made for a good excuse to sell REITs, but - with the averages sharply lower - rates have reversed course. Still, the sector can't catch a bid, with many of the bigger names down way more than the broader market.
    • Equity REITs: Realty Income (O -2.3%), Health Care REIT (HCN -3.2%), Ventas (VTR -3.2%), HCP (HCP -3.1%), Equity Residential (EQR -2.6%), Silver Bay Realty (SBY -2.5%), General Growth Properties (GGP -2.4%), Retail Opportunity (ROIC -3.9%), Boston Properties (BXP -2.4%), Hospitality Properties (HPT -2.9%)
    • Mortgage REITs: Armour Residential (ARR -5.6%) - which reported another weak quarter overnight, Two Harbors (TWO -1.1%), Western Asset (WMC -1.3%), Arlington Asset (AI -2.8%), PennyMac (PMT -1.5%). When things get tough, money does have a tendency to flow into the sector giants though: Annaly Capital (NLY -0.4%) and American Capital Agency (AGNC +0.3%) are notable outperformers on the session.
    • ETFs: IYR, VNQ, DRN, URE, REZ, SCHH, ICF, SRS, RWR, KBWY, DRV, REK, FRI, FTY, PSR, FREL, WREI
    | Thu, Apr. 30, 3:15 PM | 43 Comments
  • Wed, Apr. 29, 8:08 AM
    | Wed, Apr. 29, 8:08 AM | 12 Comments
Visit Seeking Alpha's
AGNC vs. ETF Alternatives
Company Description
American Capital Agency Corp is a real estate investment trust that invests exclusively in residential mortgage pass-through securities and collateralized mortgage obligations on a leveraged basis.
Sector: Financial
Country: United States