Thu, Aug. 13, 1:37 PM
- According to Zillow, renters spent 30.2% of income on rent in Q2, the highest percentage since as far back as the data go (1979). In comparison, the average between 1995 and 2000 was just over 24%.
- Los Angeles is tops for unaffordability at 49%, with San Francisco not far behind at 47%. In NYC, renters historically have paid about 25% of income for rent, but that has gone up to 41%. Known for being more affordable than other major cities, the luxury condo market has transformed Miami, and renters there now pay 44.5%.
- The solution, naturally says Zillow, is to buy. In most cities, buyers can expect to pay less than 30% of income towards mortgage payments. "Rents are crazy right now," says Zillow Chief Economist Dr. Svenja Gudell.
- For apartment REITs, one is left to wonder how much more room there is to boost rents. Names of interest: Equity Residential (NYSE:EQR), AvalonBay (NYSE:AVB), and Essex Property (NYSE:ESS) - a big player on the West Coast - are the most sizable companies. Also: UDR, Post Properties (NYSE:PPS), Aimco (NYSE:AIV), Camden Property (NYSE:CPT), Mid-America (NYSE:MAA), Trade Street Residential (NASDAQ:TSRE), Investors Real Estate (NYSE:IRET), Independence Realty (NYSEMKT:IRT), Bluerock Residential (NYSEMKT:BRG), NexPoint Residential (NYSE:NXRT).
Thu, Jul. 30, 4:19 PM
- Pro forma FFO of $0.56 vs. $0.52 one year ago. Adjusted FFO (deducting company share of capital replacement spending) of $0.46 vs. $0.44.
- Average revenue per apartment of $1,703 up 4.4% Y/Y. Average daily occupancy of 96.3% up 10 basis points. Expenses of $53.1M down ten basis points. NOI of $116.8M up 6.7%.
- Renewal rent increases of 5.1% in Q2. New lease rent increases of 5.7%.
- Full-year pro forma FFO per share guidance of $2.16-$2.26 is raised by $0.02 at the midpoint. AFFO per share of $1.83-$1.93 is lifted by a penny at the midpoint.
- Conference call tomorrow at 1 ET
- Previously: Apartment Investment and Management beats by $0.02, misses on revenue (July 30)
- AIV flat after hours
Thu, Jul. 30, 4:08 PM
Wed, Jul. 29, 5:35 PM
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Tue, Jul. 28, 5:22 PM
Thu, Jul. 23, 8:09 AM
- Launching coverage on a number of apartment rental REITs, Canaccord starts Preferred Apartments (NYSE:APTS) and Education Realty (NYSE:EDR) with Buys.
- APTS is one of the outperformers in the sector, and is actually in the green for the year by nearly 20%. EDR is down more than 10% YTD.
- Essex Property Trust (NYSE:ESS), Aimco (NYSE:AIV), and American Campus (NYSE:ACC) are initiated with Holds.
Mon, Jun. 22, 12:48 PM
- Home Properties is up 2.3% after agreeing to sell itself to Lone Star Funds, but the news isn't doing a whole lot to lift M&A animal spirits in the sector for now.
- As part of the deal UDR (UDR +0.5%) will acquire from Lone Star up to $908M of Home Properties' apartments in the D.C. area. The purchase is expected to boost AFFO by $0.015 per share in 2016.
- Presentation slides
- Earlier this year, Associated Estates agreed to sell itself to a Brookfield Asset Management fund, and last year there was Essex Property Trust's purchase of BRE Properties.
- Equity Residential (EQR -0.3%), AvalonBay (AVB), Post Properties (PPS -0.2%), Aimco (AIV +0.2%), Camden Property (CPT +0.1%), Mid-America (MAA +0.2%), Trade Street Residential (TSRE), Investors Real Estate (IRET -0.4%), NexPoint Residential (NXRT -0.5%), Bluerock Residential (BRG -1.4%).
Fri, May 1, 10:18 AM
- Q1 pro forma FFO of $0.52 up from $0.50 one year ago. Adjusted FFO of $0.46 vs. $0.43. Adjusted FFO takes out capital replacement spending and it's lower this year thanks to the sale of about 9K apartments last year. The concentration of capital on higher-quality units mean cap replacements decline as a percentage of NOI.
- Average revenue per apartment of $1,652 up 4.3% Y/Y. Average daily occupancy of 95.9% up 10 basis points. Expenses of $57.3M up 2.9%. NOI of $114.8M up 5.2%.
- Weighted average rent increases in Q1 of 2.8%.
- Full-year pro forma FFO guidance is boosted to by $0.02 on both ends to $2.14-$2.24. AFFO guidance is lifted by $0.02 to $1.82-$1.92. NOI growth is upped to 4.5-5.5% from 4-5.5%. Q2 pro forma FFO guidance of $0.51-$0.55. AFFO of $0.42-$0.46.
- Earnings call at 1 ET
- Previously: Apartment Investment beats by $0.01, beats on revenue (April 30)
- AIV +2.5%
Thu, Apr. 30, 4:31 PM
Wed, Apr. 29, 5:35 PM
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Wed, Apr. 29, 5:09 PM
Wed, Apr. 22, 10:02 AM
- Deals in the REIT space are picking up steam, with the latest being today's sale of Associated Estates to a Brookfield fund for $2.5B. Associated Estates has been under activist pressure for a number of months, and one wonders if any other apartment names might be next in line.
- Sector giants Equity Residential (EQR +1.3%), AvalonBay (AVB +1.2%), and Essex Property (ESS +1.2%) don't seem like likely targets, but are nicely higher on the session.
- Others: Post Properties (PPS +1.7%), UDR (UDR +1.6%), Aimco (AIV +1.3%), Camden Property (CPT +1.2%), Home Properties (HME +1.4%), Mid-America Apartments (MAA +1.1%), Investors Real Estate (IRET +0.8%).
- ETFs: IYR, VNQ, DRN, URE, SCHH, ICF, SRS, RWR, KBWY, DRV, REK, FRI, FTY, PSR, FREL, WREI
Thu, Apr. 9, 3:24 PM
- A weak 30-year bond auction has long-term Treasury yields on the move higher, with the 10-year up five basis points to 1.96%. One also can't help but notice a recent uptick in capital raising among the equity REITs.
- Realty Income (O -2.2%), Agree Realty (ADC -2.2%), Omega Healthcare (OHI -4%), Medical Properties Trust (MPW -2.5%), W.P. Carey (WPC -2.2%), Duke Realty (DRE -2.5%), Essex Property (ESS -2.9%), Aimco (AIV -3%), Simon Property (SPG -2.4%), Kimco (KIM -2.9%), Inland Real Estate (IRC -3%), DDR Corp (DDR -2.3%), Sovran Self Storage (SSS -2.2%), Washington Real Estate (WRE -4%), Digital Realty Trust (DLR -2%), Hospitality Properties (HPT -2.6%), Ashford Hospitality (AHT -2.4%), Stag Industrial (STAG -4.6%), American Campus (ACC -2.3%).
- ETFs: IYR, VNQ, DRN, URE, SRS, ICF, SCHH, RWR, KBWY, DRV, REK, FRI, FTY, PSR, WREI, FREL
- Previously: Treasury yields on the rise after weak 30-year auction (April 9)
Thu, Apr. 9, 10:30 AM
- "We expect apartment fundamentals to remain stronger for longer given favorable demographics, solid job and wage growth, little impact from for-sale housing, and lower gasoline costs," says analyst Robert Stevenson, anticipating renters will continue to absorb 5%+ rental rate hikes this year.
- His two favorite names in apartment REITs are Home Properties (HME -1.1%) and Mid-America Apartment Communities (MAA -1.5%) - they're the cheapest in the sector, he says, and he sees no reason to pay a premium price for others with similar growth characteristics.
- Risks: Spiking long-term bond yields and oversupply, but Stevenson believes the apartment companies are better-positioned to deal with both than the rest of the residential REIT sector.
- Bullish on HME and MAA, Stevenson gives Neutral ratings to Aimco (AIV -1.5%), AvalonBay (AVB -1.6%), Camden Property (CPT -1.5%), Equity Residential (EQR -1.7%), Essex Property (ESS -1.7%), Post Properties (PPS -1%), and UDR (UDR -1.7%).
- Source: Barron's
Wed, Apr. 8, 10:28 AM
Thu, Mar. 19, 4:34 PM
- S&P lifts Aimco (AIV) to a BBB- credit from BB+ previously. The outlook remains stable.
- CFO Ernie Freedman notes the upgrade came sooner than management expected, and the investment grade rating allows for the company to raise unsecured money - though the company doesn't anticipate doing so.
- Source: Press Release
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