Wed, Jan. 14, 7:34 AM
- The hot sector is cut to Market Weight from Overweight at Wells Fargo amid a big reshuffling of ratings at the bank.
- Names of interest: EQR, AVB, ESS, PPS, UDR, AIV, CPT, HME, MAA, TSRE, AEC, IRET.
- Previously: Sell the net lease REIT sector says Wells Fargo (Jan. 14)
- Previously: Wells Fargo pulls the plug on mortgage REITs (Jan. 12)
Mon, Jan. 12, 4:25 PM
Mon, Jan. 12, 9:39 AM
Wed, Jan. 7, 8:55 AM
- Cashing in its chips on Apartment Investment Management (NYSE:AIV) after a near-50% move higher over the past year, Raymond James downgrades the stock to Outperform from Strong Buy.
- Equity One (NYSE:EQY) and Essex Property Trust (NYSE:ESS) are both downgraded to Underperform from Market Perform. Essex is higher by about 40% over the past year, while Equity One's gains haven't been nearly as impressive as the other three.
Dec. 16, 2014, 10:49 AM
- National annual effective rent growth of 4.7% in November is the strongest result since August 2011, reports Axiometrics.
- Axiometrics' Jay Denton: "The combination of an improving job market, and a growing percentage of the population that prefers renting to owning, continues to boost apartment demand."
- Year-to-date rent growth of 5% makes 2014 the strongest post-recession year. 2010 was the previous high at 4.6%.
- The occupancy rate continued a seasonal decline, but at 94.8% it's the strongest November read since Axiometrics started reporting monthly in 2008.
- Source: Press release
- Interested parties: EQR, AVB, ESS, PPS, UDR, AIV, CPT, HME, MAA, TSRE, AEC, IRET
Dec. 11, 2014, 8:02 AM| Comment!
Nov. 24, 2014, 2:40 PM
- Expected rent growth of 3.9% in 2015 is a bit slower than this year's 4%, according to the NAR, but it's still about 200 basis points higher than inflation.
- Though anticipated to edge upward, vacancy rates will still be scraping bottom - 4.1% in 2015 and 4.2% in 2015 vs. 4% this year. When vacancy rates are below 5%, it's considered a "landlord's market" in which property owners can continue to hike rents, says the NAR.
- Apartment REITs: Equity Residential (NYSE:EQR), AvalonBay (NYSE:AVB), Essex Property Trust (NYSE:ESS), Post Properties (NYSE:PPS), UDR, Aimco (NYSE:AIV), Camden Property Trust (NYSE:CPT), Home Properties (NYSE:HME), Mid-America Apartment Communities (NYSE:MAA).
Oct. 31, 2014, 11:02 AM
- Q3 adjusted FFO per share of $0.39 up 11% Y/Y. Same-store NOI of $112.3M up 4.4%.
- Same-store average rent per apartment of $1,434 up 3.7% Y/Y. Average daily occupancy of 95.7% up 20 basis points.
- Q3 renewal rent increases of 5.6%. New lease rent increases of 6.4%.
- Full-year AFFO guidance is narrowed to 1.67-$1.71 vs. $164-$1.74 previously.
- Conference call at 1 ET
- Previously: Apartment Investment FFO in-line, beats on revenue
- AIV +2.75%
Oct. 30, 2014, 4:49 PM| 1 Comment
Oct. 30, 2014, 8:22 AM| Comment!
Oct. 29, 2014, 5:35 PM
- ADNC, ADUS, AEGR, AFFX, AHS, AHT, AIV, ALJ, ATEN, ATRC, AXTI, BCOV, BEAT, BYD, BYI, CCI, CHE, CODE, COLM, CPSI, CPT, CSLT, CTRL, CUBE, DCT, DGI, DGII, EGN, EGO, EHTH, ELGX, ELLI, ELX, EMN, EPAY, ESIO, ESS, EXPE, FLDM, FLR, FLT, FRT, GB, GDOT, GMED, GNMK, GPRO, GRPN, HIL, HME, IMMR, IMPV, INT, ISBC, KEG, LNKD, LRE, LYV, MCHP, MELI, MHK, MOH, MTZ, MXL, MYL, NATI, NEM, NR, NSR, NUVA, OIS, OMCL, ONNN, OPLK, OUTR, PKI, PSA, PXLW, QNST, RAIL, RSG, SAM, SBUX, SEM, SGEN, SGMS, SIMG, SPF, SREV, STAA, STAG, SYNC, TCO, TEP, THRX, TNAV, TPX, TRMB, TSO, TSRA, TSYS, TUES, VCRA, WU, YRCW, ZEN
Oct. 14, 2014, 3:10 PM
- The vacancy rate ticked higher to 4.2% in Q3 from 4.1 a quarter earlier - not much of a move, but the first increase in almost five years, according to REIS. Another survey - this one from MPF Research - says vacancy fell to 4.3% from 4.4% across the country's top 100 markets.
- Where the two reports both agree, however, is that there were significant construction deliveries during Q3 and a full pipeline of new construction going forward, suggesting neither vacancies nor rents have a lot of room improvement.
- The potential weakening fundamentals come as apartment REITs have been this year's top-performing REIT sectors (make that any sector) with a total return of 23.65% YTD. Can the outperformance continue?
- Names of interest are almost all having a big day today as interest rates continue to fall. One suspects that as long as rates stay low and first-time homebuyers or those with less-than-perfect credit have trouble getting mortgages, the apartment REITs might still get a bid: EQR, AVB, ESS, PPS, UDR, AIV, CPT, HME, MAA, AEC, IRET, TSRE
Oct. 13, 2014, 8:46 AM
- Firm notes Apartment Investment & Management's (NYSE:AIV) substantial increase in portfolio quality over the past year, an accretive re-development program, and cap rate compression in key markets.
- Upgrade comes with "significant" upward revision.
- Says “robust” renter demand continues to absorb new supply, and notes AIV offers “cheap” exposure to the “red-hot” California apartment market.
Aug. 20, 2014, 9:29 AM
- “We will take what economic activity we can get, but our housing market model was designed in the U.S. to build a lot of single-family homes for owners, not multifamily homes for renters," says Diane Swonk commenting on yesterday's big jump in housing starts.
- A big share of the gain came from multifamily starts - typically a volatile number - but a rolling 12-month total shows apartment construction at its highest level in 25 years. Single-family housing has a bigger multiplier effect for both consumer spending and employment, says Swonk.
- As for apartment owners, a separate report showed rents up 3.3% Y/Y, their fastest pace of increase in five years. It's little mystery why the stocks of companies like Equity Residential (NYSE:EQR) and AvalonBay (NYSE:AVB) are at all-time highs, but their owners may want to mull the fast pace of building.
- Others of interest: ESS, PPS, UDR, AIV, CPT, HME, MAA, TSRE, AEC, IRET, APTS
Jul. 31, 2014, 4:41 PM| Comment!
Jul. 31, 2014, 4:05 PM| Comment!
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