Dec. 10, 2014, 8:36 AM
- IATA forecasts airline profits will rise 10.6% Y/Y to $19.9B this year.
- The outlook from the research firm for 2015 is for 25.6% jump in profit to $25B.
- Consumers can expect to see a 5.1% decline in airfares next year, while cargo shippers should pay 5.8% less.
- On a per-passenger basis, IATA thinks the the airline industry will show a net profit of $7.08 in 2015 vs. $6.02 in 2014 and $3.38 in 2013.
- The profit gains are tied to lower oil prices and improved GDP numbers across key sections of the globe.
- Airline stocks: AAL, UAL, DAL, RYAAY, OTCPK:CPCAY, OTCPK:SINGY, CEA, ZNH, CPA, GOL, LFL, OTCPK:DLAKF, AIDIF, OTCPK:QUBSF, JBLU,ALK, HA, OTCPK:AIRYY, OTCPK:MLYAF, OTCQX:AFLYY, VLRS, LUV, RJET, SAVE, ALGT, VA.
Dec. 8, 2014, 7:32 AM| 7 Comments
Dec. 5, 2014, 9:32 AM
- Allegiant Travel (NASDAQ:ALGT) reports revenue passenger miles increased 9.8% to 579.49M in November.
- The carrier increased its load factor by 110 bps to 85.6% as it flew 13% more passengers than a year ago.
- Guidance: Allegiant sees a 11%-13% increase in departures in Q4 and 9%-11% boost in available seat miles.
Dec. 3, 2014, 5:09 PM
Nov. 29, 2014, 10:29 AM
- Analysts with Gasbuddy.com predict some gas stations in the U.S. will offer $2 per gallon gas by Christmas.
- The last time the average price of gas in the U.S. was below $2 was in March of 2009.
- Forecasts from economists vary widely on the overall gas benefit to consumers for Q4. The high end from the group is an outlook of $300 per household, while the low end is closer to $100.
- Most analysts see an immediate lift for retail chains with large distribution channels. Wal-Mart (NYSE:WMT), Target (NYSE:TGT), Costco (NASDAQ:COST), Dollar General (NYSE:DG), Family Dollar (NYSE:FDO), Dollar Tree (NASDAQ:DLTR), Big Lots (NYSE:BIG), and Five Below (NASDAQ:FIVE) come to mind.
- Airline stocks (JBLU, DAL, UAL, LUV, AAL, RJET, ALK, HA, ALGT, VA) have already ripped strong gains off the OPEC news, although some see even more long-term upside as forward fuel hedges get reworked.
- A sustained period of low gas prices should lift restaurant stocks (CAKE, CBRL, CMG, DNKN, DPZ, DRI, EAT, JACK, MCD, PNRA, RRGB, RT, SBUX, SONC, WEN, BWLD, THI, BDL, NATH, LUB, BKW, CHUY, BLMN, PZZA, TXRH, DENN, KKD, BBRG, DFRG, BOBE, RUTH, IRG, DIN) say some analysts.
- The gaming sector is (CZR, PNK, BYD, ISLE, CNTY, MCRI, MGM, NYNY) also an off-the-radar pick to bounce.
Nov. 28, 2014, 8:13 AM
- The OPEC decision to hold oil production levels steady has put a charge into airline stocks in early trading off the prospect for sustained lower jet fuel costs.
- Delta Air Lines (NYSE:DAL) is up 4.1% premarket and United Continental (NYSE:UAL) has already rallied 3.5%. The rest of the group is expected to fall suit.
- Airline stocks on watch: JBLU, AAL, LUV, ALGT, SAVE, HA, ALK, SKYW, VA.
Nov. 20, 2014, 9:12 AM
- Air fares rose 2.2% M/M in October, according to the underlying data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics. The development arrives just as jet fuel prices are moderating on forward contracts for carriers (LUV, JBLU, HA, ALK, ALGT, SAVE, AAL, DAL, UAL, RJET).
- Breakfast cereal prices rose 1.5% M/M in October. Though the gain could be due to a soft promotions-influenced comp from a year ago, sellers (GIS, K, POST) won't mind the relief.
- Another surprise might be the +4.3% average price rise in the women's dresses category. Ann (NYSE:ANN), L Brands (NYSE:LB), Cache (NASDAQ:CACH), Cato (NYSE:CATO), Chico's FAS (NYSE:CHS), and Ascena Retail (NASDAQ:ASNA) could be part of that improvement.
- BLS CPI table
Nov. 5, 2014, 12:06 PM
- U.S. airliners aren't losing their grip on capacity control in the face of falling oil prices, say Imperial Capital analysts covering the sector.
- They note American Airlines reduced capacity in both January and February by 4% which should have a carry-over effect on pricing in many markets.
- "We expect legacy peers to by and large follow American’s lead in maintaining or even decreasing capacity despite more favorable fuel prices," writes IC.
- Regional carriers: LUV, UAL, DAL, AAL, JBLU, ALK, HA, SAVE, ALGT, RJET.
Oct. 24, 2014, 3:19 PM
- Cowen Research says Q3 earnings and guidance from airliners have surprised to the upside.
- The positive comments from airliner management on PRASM and costs coincides with some share price loss in the sector over Ebola fears.
- Q4 margins are forecast to expand as lower fuel prices factor in.
- Domestic airline stocks: DAL, AAL, JBLU, UAL, ALK, HA, RJET, ALGT, LUV, SKYW, SAVE.
Oct. 22, 2014, 4:05 PM| Comment!
Oct. 21, 2014, 5:35 PM
- ACTG, ALB, ALGT, AWH, BCR, BDN, CA, CAKE, CLB, CLGX, CLW, CTXS, CVA, EEFT, EFX, EGHT, FTK, FTNT, GGG, IBKC, INFN, LEG, LHO, LOGI, LRCX, MKSI, MKTO, MLNX, MSA, NOW, NXPI, ORLY, OTEX, PLCM, PLXS, RE, RJF, SCSS, SFG, SGMO, SHLM, SKX, SLG, SLM, SUSQ, T, TAL, TCBI, TER, TILE, TMK, TSCO, TYL, USTR, VAR, WFT, YELP
Oct. 21, 2014, 1:12 PM
- Airline stocks are putting in another volatile day as the Ebola headlines veer toward the positive side.
- Gainers: Spirit Airlines (NASDAQ:SAVE) +5.0%, American Airlines Group (NASDAQ:AAL) +5.3%, Southwest Airlines (NYSE:LUV) +4.7%, SkyWest (NASDAQ:SKYW) +4.1%, United Continental (NYSE:UAL) +2.9%, Delta Air Lines (NYSE:DAL) +2.5%, Allegiant Travel (NASDAQ:ALGT) +1.9%, JetBlue (NASDAQ:JBLU) +2.3%, Alaska Air Group (NYSE:ALK) +1.9%.
Oct. 20, 2014, 10:03 AM
- Fares on domestic flights are higher this year than a year ago, despite an increase in capacity across the sector, according to a forecast from Expedia EXPE.
- Thanksgiving flights showed a 17% increase on average to $467, while Christmas flights were up 2% to $493.
- A total of 21M Americans are expected to fly between October and December.
- The outlook could calm some fears that bookings or pricing are off with Ebola concerns cropping up in the U.S.
- Related stocks: DAL, AAL, JBLU, UAL, ALK, HA, RJET, ALGT, LUV, SKYW, SAVE.
Oct. 15, 2014, 11:49 AM
- Airline stocks are under pressure again after a report indicates that the second hospital worker to contract Ebola in the Dallas region flew a commercial flight earlier this week.
- The group has been battered around on Ebola fears over the last few weeks, despite little indication of any impact on bookings so far.
- On watch: DAL, AAL, JBLU, UAL, ALK, HA, RJET, ALGT, LUV, SKYW, LFL, GOL, SAVE.
Oct. 15, 2014, 5:25 AM
- A second healthcare worker has contracted Ebola in the U.S.,
- The worker, a staff member at Texas Health Presbyterian Hospital, was among those who looked after Thomas Duncan, who died of the virus earlier this month.
- More on Ebola
- Related health stocks: TKMR, BCRX, HEB, INO, NLNK, NNVC, OTCQB:GOVX, SRPT, CMRX, GSK, IBIO, APT, LAKE, SRPT, PLX, NSPH, SMED, VSR, AHPI
- Airlines: DAL, AAL, UAL, SKYW, ALGT, HA, LUV
- Hotels: MAR, HLT, IHG, STAY, H, HOT, CHH
- Lodging REITS: AHT, SHO, LHO, INN
Oct. 14, 2014, 2:20 PM
- Airline stocks trade higher as Ebola fears ease off a bit and lower oil prices factor in.
- The sector has been volatile ever since the first Ebola case was reported in the U.S.
- Decliners: Delta Air Lines (NYSE:DAL) +5.5%, American Airlines Group (NASDAQ:AAL) +9.5%, United Continental (NYSE:UAL) +5.3%, SkyWest (NASDAQ:SKYW) +5.5%, Allegiant Travel (NASDAQ:ALGT) +4.2%, Hawaiian Holdings (NASDAQ:HA) +3.8%, Southwest Airlines (NYSE:LUV) +4.2%.
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