Thu, Jul. 16, 2:57 PM
- Global oil majors have $150B of firepower than can be used for M&A and have the ability to defer another $325B in capex on marginal projects; with so much cash available for potential deals and up to 15M bbl/day of production potentially available for purchase, Goldman Sachs analyst Ruth Brooker sees a pickup in M&A activity in the oil and gas space coming soon.
- The firm thinks shale production has the potential to double by 2025, and Brooker argues majors likely will take the current opportunity to increase their exposure to U.S. shale at historically low prices.
- Goldman sees seven companies as most likely to draw buyout attention from the majors: EOG, PXD, CLR, COG, NBL, APC, RRC.
Wed, Jul. 8, 3:49 PM
- The U.S. E&P industry is "between a rock and a hard place" entering earnings season, Deutsche Bank says, expecting continued headwinds for the group; while momentum has been building for moderate acceleration in activity levels in H2, macro concerns from China to Greece have weighed on crude prices and introduced an “additional layer of uncertainty.”
- Among the major integrated oils, the firm prefers EOG Resources (EOG -2.5%) and Anadarko Petroleum (APC -2.8%) into Q2 results but cuts its stock price target for Marathon Petroleum (MPC -2.6%) in half to $62.
- U.S. refiners, on the other hand, continue to defy fears of a collapse in margins, with demand strength and robust gasoline cracks again driving upside to earnings estimates; the firm sees 7% upside on average to current Q2 estimates for the group, with particular strength from Tesoro (TSO -1.2%), Valero (VLO -0.9%) and HollyFrontier (HFC -1.4%).
Tue, Jul. 7, 11:49 AM
- Jefferies upgrades its ratings on Anadarko Petroleum (APC +0.3%), EOG Resources (EOG -0.1%) and Noble Energy (NBL -1.5%), citing “more realistic embedded oil price and growth.”
- APC is lifted to Buy from Hold with an $88 price target, raised from $85, as the firm notes increased confidence in “a deep, future Delaware Basin (Wolfcamp) development, the potential for opportunistic monetizations (i.e., Mozambique, WGP shares) and a now more attractive valuation.”
- EOG and NBL are raised to Hold from Underperform following recent pressure on the shares, which now better reflect “a slower ramp.”
Mon, Jul. 6, 4:39 PM
- Legacy Reserves (NASDAQ:LGCY) says it reached agreements with affiliates of Anadarko Petroleum (NYSE:APC) and Western Gas Partners (NYSE:WES) to purchase natural gas properties and gathering and processing assets in east Texas for a combined $440M.
- LGCY estimates proved reserves from the assets of ~420B cfe, all natural gas with 95% classified as proved developed producing and 95% are operated; it projects Q3 production would increase by ~70M cfe/day.
- LGCY also says TPG Special Situations Partners agrees to fund horizontal development of certain of LGCY's Spraberry, Wolfcamp and Bone Spring rights in the Permian Basin.
- TGP initially commits $150M to fund the first tranche which, based on LGCY's anticipated 2-3 rig drilling program, will take about one year; it initially will control an 87.5% stake of LGCY’s working interest in the oil and gas properties in exchange for covering 95% of the costs related to drilling and completion.
Mon, Jun. 29, 10:14 AM
- The U.S. Supreme Court turns down appeals from BP (BP -0.9%) and Anadarko Petroleum (APC -1.4%) over Clean Water Act fines related to the 2010 Gulf of Mexico oil spill.
- The Court let stand a lower court ruling that said the owners of the blown-out Macondo well could not avoid federal fines for the spill by blaming another company's failed equipment.
- The companies argued that oil had not leaked from a well they co-owned, but from a broken underwater pipe owned by Transocean (RIG -0.4%).
Thu, Jun. 25, 11:39 AM
- Anadarko Petroleum (APC +0.2%) is in talks with newly formed Japanese joint venture vehicle Jera, set to become the world's biggest buyer of liquefied natural gas, to sell long-term supply from its Mozambique export scheme, Reuters reports.
- APC's gas finds in Area 1 of Mozambique's Rovuma Basin will feed the initial $23B 10M metric tons/year export project, which is due to start by 2021.
- Last year, APC had allotted two-thirds of the capacity of its planned Mozambique LNG project, but needed more before taking a final investment decision, which is still pending.
Tue, Jun. 16, 5:45 PM
- The strained finances at U.S. E&P shale companies caused by collapsing crude oil prices is well known, and some analysts say the pain may be compounded by a steep drop in prices for natural gas liquids caused by oversupply, partly due to infrastructure constraints.
- SM Energy (NYSE:SM) said yesterday the price it is receiving for NGLs at the Mont Belvieu delivery point fell 36% Q/Q to $16.67/bbl and that the price declines would lower its 2015 total budgeted revenue by ~$25M while not affecting its drilling or production.
- Barclays recently said Chesapeake Energy (NYSE:CHK) could see 2016 cash flow cut by up to 3% if NGL price weakness persists, while Range Resources (NYSE:RRC) may see its cash flow cut by up to 5%; APC, DVN, PXD, QEP, SWN, ECA and EOG also could see reduced cash flow related to NGL pricing, the firm said.
- Analysts at Tudor Pickering have a more optimistic view and expect an NGL pricing recovery next year, as cresting U.S. nat gas and crude production looks to be flat-to-declining through 2016, giving U.S. infrastructure time to catch up; the firm upgrades SWN to Accumulate from Hold, with GPOR, MRD, COG, RICE and ECA as other top picks, and UPL and EQT recommended on weakness.
- ETFs: UNG, UGAZ, DGAZ, BOIL, GAZ, KOLD, UNL, DCNG
Thu, Jun. 4, 3:58 PM
- Western Gas Equity Partners (WGP -8.2%) tumbles following Anadarko Petroleum's (APC -0.5%) plans, announced late yesterday, for a secondary offering of 2M WGP common equity units.
- APC also said it will concurrently sell 6.5M of its tangible equity units at $50 a piece, with each consisting of a prepaid equity purchase contract and a senior amortizing note.
- WGP is an APC subsidiary that was formed to hold partnership interests in Western Gas Partners (WES -2.8%), another APC subsidiary that owns and operates pipeline and other midstream energy assets; APC owns 193.4M WGP units, or 88.3% of its outstanding stock, which would fall to ~87.4% after the upcoming offering is completed.
Wed, Jun. 3, 6:57 PM
- Exxon Mobil (NYSE:XOM) is at a crossroads, FT's Ed Crooks, writes: Is XOM content to accept its fate as a stable giant that has given up on long-term revenue growth, curbing capital spending and returning cash to investors whenever possible, or should it attempt to break out by making a large acquisition?
- In the 15 years since XOM bought Mobil, the company has returned $342B to investors in dividends and buybacks, but its oil and gas production is lower now than it was immediately after the purchase.
- If XOM seeks stronger growth, an acquisition is the only choice, says RBC analyst Brad Heffern, but he says the problem is that all the financially weak companies XOM might be able to buy at attractive valuations do not have the kind of world-class assets it wants, and the strong companies that do have the assets are priced at valuations that would make it hard for a deal to work.
- Crooks considers Anadarko Petroleum (NYSE:APC), with its excellent assets in the Gulf of Mexico, U.S. shales and in Africa, including a large presence in gas discoveries, as the best fit out of many potential acquisition candidates.
Fri, May 29, 5:25 PM
- Natural gas production in the Marcellus shale, which has grown over the past decade from near zero to ~20% of U.S. output, may decline for the first time if prices in the basin remain low for much longer, the U.S. Energy Information Administration says.
- "Relatively low gas prices, combined with low oil prices, have slowed drilling in the Marcellus so production from new wells is only offsetting the decline in old wells," EIA says, expecting Marcellus output to remain flat through 2018 before declining ~1%/year during 2019-25.
- Recent data indicates a potential slowdown: The number of rigs in the area has dwindled to its lowest since 2011, and drillers including Chesapeake Energy (NYSE:CHK) and Cabot Oil & Gas (NYSE:COG) have temporarily shut in some production due to weak regional prices.
- An inability to move all the gas out of the Marcellus region has depressed prices there compared with the Gulf coast benchmark, the Henry Hub in Louisiana, making it less attractive for local producers to drill more.
- Other top Marcellus producers include RRC, RDS.A, RDS.B, TLM, APC, ATLS, CVX, CNX, EQT, EOG, XOM, WPX, XCO, CRZO, SWN, AR.
Mon, May 18, 7:45 AM
- Anadarko Petroleum (NYSE:APC) confirms the selection of a joint venture between CB&I (NYSE:CBI), Chiyoda and Saipem as the engineering, procurement and construction contractor for the onshore portion of its Mozambique liquefied natural gas development.
- The scope of the work for the LNG park includes two LNG trains, each with capacity of 6M metric tons/year which is an increase of 1M/train over the original plan, and two LNG storage tanks each with capacity of 180K cubic meters, condensate storage, a multi-berth marine jetty and associated utilities and infrastructure.
- APC says it has secured non-binding long-term off-take agreements for more than 8M tons/year of LNG from potential customers and is making progress in turning them into binding sales and purchase deals.
- CBI shares jumped 8% on Friday on initial word of the deal.
Fri, May 15, 11:57 AM
- CB&I (CBI +9.3%) soars following a Bloomberg report that Anadarko Petroleum (APC -0.1%) is poised to select it as the main contractor for construction of a potential $15B liquefied natural gas export project in Mozambique.
- The decision is a milestone for one of the few energy mega-projects around the world to move forward after crude prices collapsed last year; APC believes as much as 75T cf of natural gas may lie in the Area 1 prospect off Mozambique’s shores.
- Shares of Fluor (FLR -1.4%), which had been considered a contender for the project, are lower.
Tue, May 12, 3:50 PM
Mon, May 11, 4:59 PM
- Oil production from seven major U.S. shale plays is expected to fall by 86K bbl/day in June, according to the latest report from the Energy Information Administration.
- Oil output at the Eagle Ford shale play in South Texas is forecast to see the biggest decline, down 47K bbl/day, while production at the Bakken shale play, centered in North Dakota, is expected to drop by 31K bbl/day, the report says.
- "The data shows that production in the Bakken and Eagle Ford [plays] peaked in March at 1.33M bbl/day and 1.73M bbl/day, respectively," says WTRG Economics energy economist James Williams.
- Among the top Eagle Ford producers: EOG, BHP, COP, CHK, MRO, APC
- Among the top Bakken producers: CLR, EOG, WLL, HES, XOM, OAS, NOG, EOX, MRO
Wed, May 6, 12:17 PM
- Anadarko Petroleum (APC +1.2%) plans to take part in tenders for exploration of two deepwater gas and oil blocks in Bulgaria's Black Sea waters, according to a Bulgarian senior official.
- Statoil and Exxon have said they will consider bidding in the tenders for the Silistar and Teres offshore blocks, which cover respective areas of 7K and 4K sq. km; Shell and the Turkish government also have started deepwater exploration in Turkish waters of the Black Sea just a few km from the two blocks.
- Bulgaria, eager to reduce its near total dependence on Russian gas, expects bids in September.
Tue, May 5, 11:37 AM
- Anadarko Petroleum (APC -0.8%) CEO Al Walker says the company is not in talks to sell its multi-billion dollar stake in Mozambique's gas reserves and is instead working toward a final investment decision on the planned liquefied natural gas project.
- Reports had said APC was considering a sale of up to its full 26.5% stake in Mozambique's offshore Area 1 license in the Rovuma Basin, which holds more than 75T cf of recoverable gas, but Walker says the company is not in discussions and has not hired a banker to run a sale process.
- The CEO also says during APC's earnings conference call that crude oil prices would need to be higher for a longer period of time before the company considers going back into growth mode.
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