In this type of market, good management goes further than usual. With depressed prices on almost everything, competent management should be able to leverage their companies' business to take advantage of today’s values and build for the future. The following company not only has a healthy growing business, but has more than able management to help boost the company’s returns for years to come.

NTELOS Holdings Corp. (NTLS)

Q3 2009 Earnings Call

October 29, 2009 1:00 pm ET

• CIT snags $4.5B lifeline. A group of hedge funds including many of its bondholders offered to lend CIT Group (CIT) $4.5B to build creditor support for a controversial debt exchange, pitting them against activist investor Carl Icahn, who wants the swap voted down. The lifeline comes as CIT's lenders must decide by midnight tonight whether to support its proposed debt exchange, a pre-packaged bankruptcy plan, or neither. Sources say the funds bought up CIT debt last summer on a bet the government would bail out the troubled lender, and stand to lose from a freefall bankruptcy, which Icahn is pushing for.
• Mutual funds use Fed bucks to buy bonds. Mutual funds - including those run by T. Rowe Price (TROW) and BlackRock (BLK) - are using Fed financing to reap 15%-plus returns with limited risk. The Fed's TALF (Term Asset-Backed Securities Loan Facility) offers low-cost financing to buy AAA-rated bonds backed by consumer and business loans, as well as commercial mortgages. Investors can borrow up to 95% of the bonds' value by pledging the securities and some additional collateral, and have no obligation to repay the loan beyond the collateral - in essence shifting most of the potential losses to the government. In the words of one fund manager: "This is one of those opportunities that, as an investor, we have to take advantage of."
• IMF boosts Asia growth outlook. The IMF raised its 2009-2010 growth forecast for Asia's economy, but warned that a fragile recovery in advanced economies and lingering problems in the global financial system still pose risks. IMF now sees Asia growth of 2.8% and 5.8% this year and next, up from previous estimates of 1.2% and 4.3% - far higher than the 1.25% growth expected from G-7 economies, but well short of the region's 6.66% average. The report says the region is outpacing other parts of the world, with 'green shoots' of recovery appearing earlier and taking firmer root than elsewhere. (IMF Asia Outlook)
• U.S.-China trade talks open on sour note. China/U.S. trade talks opened on a discordant note Thursday as fresh frictions surfaced after China announced plans to investigate dumping allegations against Detroit's Big Three automakers. Punitive measures are unlikely to cause much harm since most of the vehicles they sell are made in China, but another row - on top of disputes over steel pipes, chicken, movies and music - could further stress their tenuous relationship ahead of Obama's Nov. 15 visit.
• Economists shave GDP estimates after weak orders. Durable goods orders rose 1% in September, short of the 1.5% gain economists expected, but a reverse of August's 2.4% drop. Following the weaker-than-expected gain, Goldman Sachs economist Ed McKelvey dropped his Q3 GDP growth estimate - due out this morning - to 2.7% from a previous 3%. "The headline gain in orders was in line with expectations but not as firm as we had thought," he said. Later, Morgan Stanley and Merrill Lynch followed suit, with Morgan shaving its outlook to 3.8% from 3.9%, and Merrill to 2.3% from 2.5%.
• AIG recoups CDS losses. AIG (AIG) is seeing billions of dollars in inflows from recovering credit-default swaps - the very securities that helped level the insurer. Q2 inflows may have topped $3B, including at least $1B from Goldman Sachs (GS). Credit-default swaps - a type of insurance policy on securities backed by assets such as mortgages - required AIG to put up huge amounts of collateral when the investments they backed fell in value. Many of the sour trades were closed out last year by the government, a move that saved AIG, but may have deprived it of billions of dollars.
• Homebuyer credit extension nears approval. Key senators voiced support for extending and expanding the soon-to-expire homebuyer tax credit, and a vote on the measure could come next week. The current plan would see the $8,000 first-time homebuyer tax credit, set to expire at the end of November, extended through April 2010, and would allow for people who have been in their home for at least five years to receive a $6,500 tax credit if they purchase a new primary residence. The income limit on the credit would also rise to $125,000 from $75,000.
• House panel approves credit rating rules. The House Financial Services Committee signed off (49-14) on legislation aimed at ratings agencies, including barring them from consulting for companies they're also rating, and requiring raters to have outsiders on their boards. The bill also enables investors to sue firms for failing to carry out their duties.
• Fed: To grow or to shrink? A draft bill of new financial-regulation legislation moving through Congress would give the Fed substantial new powers, including the authority to force large firms to shrink if their size threatens the broader economy. The view is likely to conflict with the Senate's, where financial regulation is moving at a much slower pace, and members of both parties remain wary of offering the Fed - seen by many as partially responsible for the collapse - any new authority.
• New home sales flatline. New home sales fell 3.6% in September to an annual rate of 402K, well short of economist consensus of 440K and last month's downward-revised 417K. Months' supply rose to 7.5 from 7.3 in August. Sales were down 7.8% year-over year, and, from the peak of the residential construction boom back in mid-2005, sales are down 71.1%. After adjusting for population growth since the pre-2009 all-time low in 1981, sales are now 15% below previous records. (Census Bureau's New Home Sales (.pdf))
• Norway tightens rates. Norway became the first European country to hike interest rates post-crisis, lifting its key rate by 25 bps to 1.5%. Governor Svein Gjedrem noted inflation is higher than expected, while unemployment was "considerably lower than previously projected," and indicated rates would rise gradually. On Oct. 6, Australia became the first G-20 nation to tighten. (Norges Bank statement)

Earnings: Thur. Before Open

• ABB Ltd. (ABB): Net income of $1.03B (+12%). Sales $7.9B (-10%). Orders $7.06B (-21%). "It remains unclear when and how quickly capital investments by customers will recover from the downturn. In addition, the volatility of raw material prices and the limited availability of project funding continue to influence the timing of many power and industrial investment decision." ABB preannounced on Oct. 19. Shares -2.1% premarket. (PR)
• Aetna (AET): Q3 EPS of $0.69 beats by $0.03. Revenue of $8.72B (+14.4%) in-line. Sees full-year EPS of $2.75 vs. $2.86 consensus. (PR)
• Allegheny Energy (AYE): Q3 EPS of $0.59 beats by $0.06. Revenue of $794M (-6.6%) vs. $952M. (PR)
• Allergan (AGN): Q3 EPS of $0.70 in-line. Revenue of $1.13B (+4.2%) vs. $1.08B. Shares +0.8% premarket. (PR)
• American Electric Power Company (AEP): Q3 EPS of $0.93 beats by $0.08. Revenue of $3.5B (-16.7%) vs. $3.97B. (PR)
• AstraZeneca (AZN): Q3 EPS of $1.46 beats by $0.06. Revenue of $8.2B (+5.5%) vs. $7.9B. Sees full-year core EPS of $6.20-6.40 vs. consensus of $5.99. Shares +0.7% premarket. (PR)
• AutoNation (AN): Q3 EPS of $0.36 beats by $0.01. Revenue of $2.92B (-13.2%) vs. $3.13B. "Cash for Clunkers was a highly effective stimulus program that provided a much needed lift in auto sales and has set the stage going forward for a gradual recovery of new vehicle sales." Says CARS boosted Q3 EPS by $0.07. Approves $250M buyback. (PR)
• Avon (AVP): Q3 EPS of $0.42 beats by $0.02. Revenue of $2.55B (-3.5%) in-line. (PR)
• Barrick Gold (ABX): Q3 EPS of $0.54 beats by $0.07. Revenue of $2.1B (+11.6%) in-line. Significantly reduced gold hedges, and will eliminate within 12 months. (PR)
• BioCryst Pharmaceuticals (BCRX): Q3 EPS of -$0.28 misses by $0.06. Revenue of $10.5M (+18%) vs. $4.6M. BioCryst recently received FDA approval to use its flu I.V. drug peramivir as an emergency treatment against H1N1. (PR)
• Brookfield Properties (BPO): Q3 FFO of $0.34 in-line. Revenue of $657M (-7.1%) vs. $580M. (PR)
• Burger King (BKC): FQ1 EPS of $0.34 misses by $0.03. Revenue of $637M (-5.4%) vs. $653M. Expects the unpredictable consumer environment will persist in fiscal 2010. (PR)
• Brunswick (BC): Q3 EPS of -$1.53 misses by $0.19. Revenue of $666M (-35.9%) vs. $701M. Shares -5.1% premarket. (PR)
• CME Group (CME): Q3 EPS of $3.35 beats by $0.06. Revenue of $650M (-17.4%) in-line. "As the economy continues to stabilize, there is room for further organic growth in our core business. At the same time, we are actively working to ensure that the benefits our business model brings to the financial system are communicated to the legislators and regulators who are charged with regulatory reform." (PR)
• CNOOC (CEO): Q3 revenue of 23.8B yuan ($3.47B, -23.1%) vs. estimate of 21.6B. Avg. selling price -36.6% to $67.83/barrel. Net daily production +18.4% to 647K. Capital expenditure +10.3% to 11.24B yuan. Shares -0.9% premarket. (Bloomberg, PR)
• Colgate-Palmolive (CL): Q3 EPS of $1.12 beats by $0.01. Revenue of $4B (+0.3%) in-line. (PR)
• Corinthian Colleges (COCO): FQ1 EPS of $0.37 beats by $0.09. Revenue of $388M (+34.2%) vs. $378M. Total student population +25% to 93.5K. Sees full-year EPS of $1.55-1.60 vs. $1.35. Shares +5% premarket. (PR)
• Cott (COT): Q3 EPS of $0.18 beats by $0.02. Revenue of $405M (-3.7%) in-line. To sell $200M in senior notes due in 2017, and use proceeds to fund a previously announced tender offer for notes due in 2011. (PR)
• Deutsche Bank (DB): Q3 net profit €1.4B from €414M a year ago. Pre-tax profit of €1.3B from €93M. Net writedowns of €300M. Risk provision of €544M, up from €236M a year ago, but down from €1B in Q2. Return on equity 15% vs. 1% last year. Says it reduced levels of trading risk, "even at the expense of short-term revenue gains." DB released preliminary results last week. Shares -2.6% premarket. (PR)
• Digital Realty Trust (DLR): Q3 FFO of $0.74 beats by $0.02. Revenue of $163M (+14.9%) in-line. Shares (PR)
• Eastman Kodak (EK): Q3 EPS of -$0.23 misses by $0.04. Revenue of $1.78B (-25.9%) vs. $1.89B. Sees revenue decline at high-end of previous 12-18% range. (PR)
• Expedia (EXPE): Q3 EPS of $0.48 beats by $0.05. Revenue of $852M (+2.3%) vs. $829M. "Travelers are clearly responding to our improving value proposition, as we broaden our fee cuts and increase the depth and breadth of our global supply." Shares +6.8% premarket. (PR)
• ExxonMobil (XOM): Q3 EPS of $0.98 misses by $0.05. Revenue of $82.3B (-40.3) vs. $85.2B. Shares -1.5% premarket. (PR)
• France Telecom (FTE): Q3 Ebitda of €4.56B (-8%), in line with consensus. Revenue of €12.69B (-6.4%) vs. €12.85B. Expects Q4 to be similar to Q3, and will thus continue to implement cost savings plans to prevent its Ebitda margin from declining further. Shares -0.5% in Paris. (PR, WSJ)
• GrafTech International (GTI): Q3 EPS of $0.15 beats by $0.09. Revenue of $165M (-47.8%) vs. $162M. (PR)
• Kellogg Company (K): Q3 EPS of $0.94 beats by $0.10. Revenue of $3.28B (-0.3%) in-line. "The current economic environment has placed significant pressure on our consumers." (PR)
• KBR Inc. (KBR): Q3 EPS of $0.45 beats by $0.04. Revenue of $2.84B (-5.9%) in-line. (PR)
• Mack-Cali Realty (CLI): Q3 FFO of $0.81 beats by $0.05. Revenue of $194M (-5.3%) vs. $175M. (PR)
• Monster Worldwide (MWW): Q3 EPS of $0.01 beats by $0.01. Revenue of $215M (-35.2%) vs. $223M. (PR)
• Moody's (MCO): Q3 EPS of $0.43 beats by $0.05. Revenue of $452M (+4.2%) vs. $417M. Declares quarterly dividend of $0.10. (PR I, II)
• Motorola (MOT): Q3 EPS of $0.01 beats by $0.01. Revenue of $5.45B vs. $5.54B. Appoints Edward Fitzpatrick as CFO. Sees Q4 continuing operations EPS of $0.07-0.09 vs. $0.06. Shares +4.3% premarket. (PR)
• MPS Group (MPS): Q3 EPS of $0.06 beats by $0.04. Revenue of $408B (-29.4%) vs. $403B. MPS is being acquired by Adecco. (PR)
• Mylan Laboratories (MYL): Q3 EPS of $0.32 beats by $0.05. Revenue of $1.26B (-23.7%) in-line. Sees 2010 EPS of $1.24-1.28 vs. $1.17. (PR)
• Newmont Mining (NEM): Q3 EPS of $0.79 beats by $0.24. Revenue of $2.05B (+49.5%) vs. $1.72B. (PR)
• Nintendo (NTDOY.PK): H1 net profit of ¥69.5B ($768M, -52%). Sales of ¥548B (-34.5%). Cuts H1 dividend by 37% to ¥270. Sold 5.75M Wii consoles (-43%) and 11.7M DS hand-held player sales (vs. 13.7M last year). Sees full-year net income of ¥230B vs. ¥270B consensus, full operating profit of ¥370B (-33%), sales of ¥1.5T (-18%), and Wii sales of 20M (vs. previous 26M). (PR I, II, III, Bloomberg)
• Noble Energy (NBL): Q3 EPS of $1.10 beats by $0.28. Revenue of $621M (-43.4%) vs. $657M. (PR)
• NRG Energy (NRG): Q3 EPS of $1.02 misses by $0.12. Revenue of $2.92B vs. $2.18B. (PR)
• Office Depot (ODP): Q3 EPS of -$0.08 beats by $0.02. Revenue of $3.03B (-17.2%) in-line. (PR)
• OfficeMax (OMX): Q3 EPS of $0.08 misses by $0.06. Revenue of $1.83B (-12.6%) in-line. Same-store sales -11.5%. Continues to anticipate macro employment trends will not turn positive until well into 2010. (PR)
• Patterson-UTI Energy (PTEN): Q3 EPS of -$0.12 beats by $0.04. Revenue of $176M (-71%) vs. $163M. (PR)
• PG&E (PCG): Q3 EPS of $0.93 beats by $0.02. Revenue of $3.23B (+12.3%) vs. $3.48B. (PR)
• PPL Corp. (PPL): Q3 EPS of $0.52 beats by $0.07. Revenue of $1.8B vs. $3B. (PR)
• Procter & Gamble (PG): FQ1 EPS of $1.06 beats by $0.07. Revenue of $19.8B (-6%) in-line. (PR)
• Shell (RDS.A): Adjusted net income of $2.62B vs. consensus of $2.5B. Revenue of $75B, down from $131.6B a year ago. "Q3 results were affected by the weak global economy. Upstream and downstream profitability has been sharply reduced compared to year-ago levels. We see some indications that energy demand and pricing are improving, but the outlook remains very uncertain, and we are not expecting a quick recovery." Shares -3.5% in London. (PR)
• Smith International (SII): Q3 EPS of $0.07 misses by $0.08. Revenue of $1.88B (-34.1%) in-line. (PR)
• Sprint Nextel (S): Q3 EPS of -$0.17 misses by $0.02. Revenue of $8.04B (-8.8%) in-line. Net subscribers -135K. Post-paid churn 2.17% vs. 2.05% in Q2, due to seasonality and heightened competition. Pre-paid churn 6.65% vs. 6.38% in Q2. (PR)
• Taiwan Semi (TSM): Q3 EPS of $0.18 in-line. Revenue of $2.74B (-8.1%) in-line. Gross margin +1.5 points from Q2 to 47.7%. Sees Q4 revenue of NT$90-92B vs. consensus of NT$85.8B. (PR)
• Ventas (VTR): Q3 EPS of $0.66 beats by $0.03. Revenue of $236M (+0.3%) vs. $230M. (PR)
• Virgin Media (VMED): Q3 operating cash flow of £348M (+7%) vs. consensus of £337M. Ebitda of £348M. Revenue of £953M (+1.3%) vs. £942M. Net additions of 8,100 vs. 8,000. (PR)
• Williams Companies (WMB): Q3 EPS of $0.24 beats by $0.05. Shares +2.2% premarket. (PR)
• Xcel Energy (XEL): Q3 EPS of $0.48 misses by $0.02. Revenue of $2.31B (-18.8%) vs. $3.01B. (PR)

Earnings: Wed. After Close

• AFLAC (AFL): Q3 EPS of $1.25 beats by $0.05. Revenue of $4.5B (+23%) vs. $4.7B. Shares -0.2% AH. (PR)
• Agnico-Eagle Mines (AEM): Q3 EPS of -$0.11 vs. estimate of $0.20; results include foreign exchange loss and other items accounting for cost of $0.14/share. Revenue of $159M (+91%) vs. $183M. Shares -8.3% AH. (PR)
• Akamai Technologies (AKAM): Q3 EPS of $0.38 beats by $0.03. Revenue of $207M (+5%) vs. $199M. Shares +9.6% AH. (PR)
• Annaly Mortgage Management (NLY): Q3 EPS of $0.75 beats by $0.03. Net interest income of $436M (+24%). Shares +2.3% AH. (PR)
• AvalonBay Communities (AVB): Q3 FFO of $1.09 beats by $0.01. Revenue of $224M (+0.3%). Sees Q4 FFO of $0.61-0.64 vs. $0.97 and full-year FFO of $3.86-3.90 vs. $4.19. (PR)
• Brandywine Realty Trust (BDN): Q3 FFO of $0.44 beats by $0.08. Revenue of $147M (+2%) vs. $141M. Raises full-year FFO guidance to $1.82-1.85 from $1.75-1.80, vs. $1.78. Sees fiscal 2010 FFO of $1.23-1.34 vs. $1.38. Shares -1.9% AH. (PR)
• Cadence (CDNS): Q3 EPS of $0.03 beats by $0.04. Revenue of $216M (-7%) vs. $215M. Sees Q4 EPS of $0.02-0.04 vs. $0.01, and full-year EPS of -$0.08 to -$0.10 vs. -$0.14. (PR)
• Cerner (CERN): Q3 EPS of $0.61 in-line. Revenue of $409M (-3%) vs. $421M. Sees Q4 EPS of $0.68-0.74 vs. $0.74. Shares -1.9% AH. (PR)
• CB Richard Ellis Group (CBG): Q3 EPS of $0.08 misses by $0.02. Revenue of $1B (-23%) in-line. Shares -4% AH. (PR)
• Duke Realty (DRE): Q3 FFO of $0.32 beats by $0.01. Revenue of $224M (+4.1%) vs. $219M. (PR)
• Equity Residential (EQR): Q3 FFO of $0.53 beats by $0.01. Revenue of $493M (-4%) vs. $487M. Sees Q4 FFO of $0.49-0.53 vs. $0.49. (PR)
• Express Scripts (ESRX): Q3 EPS ex-items of $0.99 beats by $0.19. Revenue of $5.6B (+3%) vs. $5.5B. Sees full-year EPS of $3.76-3.82 vs. $3.49. Shares +0.8% AH. (PR)
• First Solar (FSLR): Q3 EPS of $1.79 beats by $0.05. Revenue of $481M (+38%) vs. $529M. Shares -15.9% AH. (PR)
• Genco Shipping & Trading (GNK): Q3 EPS of $1.09 beats by $0.08. Revenue of $93M (-14%) vs. $91M. Shares -2.9% AH. (PR)
• Helix Energy Solutions Group (HLX): Q3 EPS of $0.04 misses by $0.01. Revenue of $216M (-65%) vs. $249M. Shares -0.3% AH. (PR)
• LSI Logic (LSI): Q3 EPS of $0.18 beats by $0.14. Revenue of $578M (-19%) vs. $556M. Sees Q4 EPS of $0.07-0.13 vs. $0.06 and Q4 revenue of $605M-645M vs. $587M. Shares +7% AH. (PR)
• Lincoln National (LNC): Q3 EPS of $0.84 beats by $0.08. Revenue of $2.1B (-8%) vs. $2.4B. Shares +9.2% AH. (PR)
• O'Reilly Automotive (ORLY): Q3 EPS of $0.63 beats by $0.07. Revenue of $1.26B (+13%) vs. $1.23B. Comparable store sales up 5.3%; "Continued improvement in our gross margin results fueled by improved acquisition costs as the result of our increased purchasing power." Shares -0.2% AH. (PR)
• Owens-Illinois (OI): Q3 EPS of $0.74 misses by $0.19. Revenue of $1.9B (-7%) in-line. Shares -6% AH. (PR)
• Questar (STR): Q3 EPS of $0.60 beats by $0.09. Revenue of $600M (-21%) vs. $542M. Raises full-year EPS guidance to $2.45-2.55 from $2.35-2.45, vs. $2.57. (PR)
• Realty Income (O): Q3 FFO of $0.47 beats by $0.01. Revenue of $82M (flat) in-line. Sees full-year FFO of $1.86-1.92 vs. $1.83. Shares +2.3% AH. (PR)
• Ryland Group (RYL): Q3 EPS of -$1.20 misses by $0.31. Revenue of $328M (-40%) vs. $352M. Shares -0.5% AH. (PR)
• Symantec (SYMC): FQ2 EPS of $0.36 beats by $0.03. Revenue of $1.48B (-3%) vs. $1.43B. Shares +6.1% AH. (PR)
• Teck Resources (TCK): Q3 EPS of $0.59 beats by $0.09. Revenue of $2.1B in-line. Sees 2009 coal sales of 19.5-20.5M tons, slightly higher than previous guidance. Shares +4.1% AH. (PR)
• Teradyne (TER): Q3 EPS of $0.14 beats by $0.03. Revenue of $262M (-12%) vs. $256M. Sees Q4 EPS of $0.12-0.17 vs. $0.12 on Q4 revenue of $255M-270M vs. $252M. Shares +2.2% AH. (PR)
• Trinity Industries (TRN): Q3 EPS of $0.29 beats by $0.04. Revenue of $557M (-52%) vs. $564M. Sees Q4 EPS of $0.08-0.13 vs. $0.06. Shares -1.3% AH. (PR)
• XL Capital (XL): Q3 EPS of $0.89 beats by $0.26. Revenue of $1.5B (-15%) vs. $1.7B. Shares +5.2% AH. (PR)

Today's Markets

Asia markets moved sharply lower Thursday, but losses in Europe were mild and U.S. futures have moved higher overnight following Wednesday's losses.

Fresh off David Einhorn's presentation at the Value Investing Congress, it's time for the quarterly investor letter from his hedge fund Greenlight Capital. In it, we learn that Greenlight has recouped all of its losses from 2008 and is up 30%, 26.2%, and 22.9% in its various funds year to date thus far.

Einhorn makes interesting note of the market rally as eleven of the fund's fifteen largest gainers were long equity positions. And, unsurprisingly, its ten top losing positions were all short equity stakes. He highlights that Greenlight's short portfolio contains 'credit-sensitive financial institutions and REITs'. Specifically citing the REITs, he says that most of Greenlight's shorts in this space have cap rates of around 6% and have dividend yields under 5%, so let the guessing game begin as to what names he is short.

MGM – MGM Mirage, Inc. – Option traders invested in put spreads on MGM this morning, perhaps to lock in gains on the 2% rally in shares today to $12.52. One investor selected the November contract where he purchased 4,800 puts at the November 11 strike for 80 cents apiece, and simultaneously sold 4,800 puts at the lower November 10 strike for 45 pennies each. The net cost of the spread amounts to 35 cents per contract. The investor responsible for the spread is likely long shares of the underlying stock. If this is the case, the put spread protects the long stock position in case shares decline 15% to fall beneath the breakeven point to the downside at $10.65. Finally, the other put spread on MGM involved the purchase of 6,400 puts at the December 12 strike for 1.60 apiece, against the sale of 5,000 puts at the lower December 10 strike for 70 cents each.

By Bryan McCormick

U.S. stock index futures are lower by nearly a percent Monday morning after weak trading in Asia, except for mainland China, and a similarly down session in Eurozone and U.K. markets.

There is a ton of good information in this quarterly report (link to PDF here, or in full at the bottom of this post). Goldman looks at 687 funds with $500 billion in long stock positions. Similar to a lot of what we do on AlphaClone.

They examine a few strategies that historically outperform the S&P 500. The first is a strategy of buying the 20 most concentrated stocks (defined as hedge funds owning X% of the company). This has beaten the market by 14% a year since 2001. The 20 current stocks are:

Hedge fund manager Greenlight Capital sold out of a number of positions over the second quarter of 2009. Overall, the firm made purchases of $417mm, while selling $1,148mm, for a net change of $730mm.

Since there seemed to be no broad trends regarding Greenlight Capital’s investments over the quarter, it is clear the firm screened equity investments on a company by company basis. The four new purchases made over the quarter include two insurers, a healthcare company, and a natural gas producer:

This is the second quarter 2009 edition of our ongoing hedge fund portfolio tracking series. Before reading this update, make sure you check out our series preface on hedge fund 13F filings.

Next up is George Soros' hedge fund firm, Soros Fund Management. Soros is one of the gurus we track on the blog due to his excellent track record and insightful macro take on things. His current take on the crisis and financial markets is laid out in his latest book, The New Paradigm for Financial Markets: The Credit Crisis of 2008 and What It Means. If you want to get a better sense as to how Soros formulates his investment theses, we highly recommend reading his first book, The Alchemy of Finance. This book is a staple in our recommended reading list and after you read it, you'll understand why.

Q2 ‘09 Earnings Call

August 04, 2009; 1.00 pm ET

• BoA's Lewis closer to exit. Bank of America (BAC) reshuffled its senior management yesterday, replacing the head of consumer banking with Brian Moynihan, who had previously run wealth management, and hiring Sallie Krawcheck as the new wealth management chief. The bank is also setting up a five-way competition for a new CEO to replace Ken Lewis "at the appropriate time," with candidates including Moynihan, who is the front runner for the position, Krawcheck, CFO Joe Price, home-lending chief Barbara Desoer and Goldman Sachs veteran Tom Montag. Shares -1.4% premarket (7:00 ET). (Read BoA's press release)
• BoA settles Merrill suit. Bank of America (BAC) agreed to a $33M settlement with the SEC over charges that it made false and misleading statements to investors about bonuses at Merrill Lynch. The settlement was announced almost immediately after the allegations, which the bank neither confirmed nor denied, but the SEC emphasized it will continue its investigation. Though the $33M payment is high for disclosure-related cases not connected to fraud, the fine seems small compared to the $3.6B in bonuses paid at Merrill in 2008 and damages CEO Ken Lewis' once-golden reputation far more than BoA's bottom line. (Read the SEC's complaint (.pdf) and statement on the settlement)
• No surprises from UBS loss. UBS (UBS) posted a Q2 net loss of 1.4B Swiss francs ($1.32B), its third consecutive quarterly loss, on costs related to job cuts and charges related to the company's debt. Its wealth and asset management divisions saw outflows of 39.4B francs. CEO Oswald Gruebel said markets improved in the second quarter but a sustainable economic recovery 'is not yet visible.' Shares -8.3% premarket (7:00 ET). (Read UBS' letter to shareholders (.pdf))
• Bank regulators oppose financial reforms. Several top banking regulators, including the FDIC's Sheila Bair, will testify in Congress today against some key elements of Obama's proposed financial reforms. The regulators feel parts of Obama's plan are unnecessary, and Bair doesn't "see merit or wisdom in consolidating federal supervision" under a single regulator since combining agencies is 'no panacea' for effective oversight. The testimony comes in spite of strongly-worded exhortations from Geithner, who wants regulators to end their turf battles and public criticism and to get in line behind the reforms. (See the Senate's full list of witnesses for today's hearing)
• Monday's market climb. The S&P 500 broke through the 1,000 mark for the first time since November, climbing 1.5% to close at 1,002.63, and the Nasdaq broke the 2,000 mark, closing up 1.5% at 2,008.61. All three major U.S. indexes, including the Dow Jones Industrial Average, are now at their highest levels since last autumn. Speculation that the recession may be ending helped commodities surge and sent Treasurys and the dollar down.
• Google's Schmidt leaves Apple board. Google (GOOG) CEO Eric Schmidt resigned from Apple's (AAPL) board of directors, with Apple releasing a statement that "as Google enters more of Apple's core businesses... Eric's effectiveness as an Apple Board member will be significantly diminished, since he will have to recuse himself from even larger portions of our meetings due to potential conflicts of interest." The resignation, which Apple described as mutual, highlights not just the growing overlap between Apple and Google, but also increased antitrust scrutiny from the Federal Trade Commission. The move failed to mollify the FTC, which said it "will continue to investigate remaining interlocking directorates between the companies."
• ANZ picks up Asian assets. Australia and New Zealand Banking Group (ANZBY.PK) agreed to buy some Asian units from Royal Bank of Scotland (RBS) for around $550M. ANZ will pick up retail, wealth management and commercial businesses in Taiwan, Singapore, Indonesia and Hong Kong, as well as RBS' institutional banking businesses in Taiwan, the Philippines and Vietnam, as a 'further stepping stone' in the bank's Asian growth strategy.
• Clunker program lifts car sales. July U.S. motor vehicle sales reached their highest pace in eleven months, thanks in large part to the 'Cash for Clunkers' program which sent consumers rushing to dealerships. Car firms sold 997,824 cars and light trucks in July, pushing the annualized selling pace to 11.24M vehicles vs. June's rate of 9.69M, and a slump in luxury auto demand showed signs of lessening. Here's the breakdown:
  -Ford (F): +2.3% to 158,838 vs. consensus of -5%, making it the first U.S. manufacturer to report a monthly sales increase this year.
  -Chrysler: -9% to 88,900. Car sales -14% to 22,109. Sales up 30% M/M. "We are seeing encouraging signs that consumer confidence is building, and more consumers are considering purchasing a new vehicle."
  -General Motors: -19.4% to 189,443. Chevrolet was the best-performing brand at -9.3% to 124,948. Saturn, the worst performer, was -66.1% to 5,968.
  -Honda (HMC): -17.3% to 114,690. Truck sales -20.6% to 37,996.
  -Toyota (TM): -11.4% to 174,872, up 27.7% M/M. Lexus division -16.5% to 18,517. Hybrids +19.3% to 24,295.
  -Nissan (NSANY): -24.6% to 71,847. Trucks -48.4% to 20,448.
  -Daimler (DAI): -24% to 17,646 for the Mercedes-Benz car division.
  -Volkswagen (VLKAY.PK): +0.7% to 20,590. Diesels accounted for more then 30% of total sales.
• CIT sweetens buyback offer. CIT Group (CIT) raised its tender offer on $1B in notes to a purchase price of $875 per $1,000, up from $825. CIT also lowered its minimum tender condition to 58% of notes, and has already received tenders for 64.97% of notes. The improved terms all but guarantee the buyback's success, pulling CIT one step farther away from bankruptcy court. (Read CIT's press release)
• AIG gets new chief. Robert Benmosche will become CEO and President of AIG (AIG), replacing Edward Liddy as of August 10. Benmosche is the former CEO of MetLife (MET), and will be AIG's fifth chief since 2005.
• Manufacturing still contracting. The ISM Manufacturing Index came in at 48.9 in July vs. 46.5 consensus, its 18th consecutive month of contraction. Nonmetallic Mineral Products and Paper Products reported growth. Machinery, Plastics & Rubber Products, and Wood Products led the laggards.
• Construction spending inches up (.pdf). June Construction Spending rose 0.3% to $966B/year, beating consensus estimates of -0.5%. Compared to a year ago, construction was down 10.2%. For the first half of the year, spending of $456B was 11.4% below last year.

Earnings: Tuesday Before Open

• Allegheny Energy (AYE): Q2 EPS of $0.43 in-line. Revenue of $815M (-15%) vs. $868M. (PR)
• Archer Daniels Midland (ADM): FQ4 EPS of $0.10 vs. consensus of $0.45 (may not be comparable). Revenue of $16.5B (-24%) vs. $15.2B. (PR)
• ArvinMeritor (ARM): FQ3 EPS of -$0.25 beats by $0.06. Revenue of $993M (-47%) vs. $1.2B. (PR)
• Cameron International (CAM): Q2 EPS of $0.60 beats by $0.13. Revenue of $1.3B (-14%) vs. $1.2B. Issues upside Q3 EPS guidance of $0.50-0.55 vs. $0.42 consensus. Issues upside FY '09 EPS guidance of $2.15-2.25 vs. $1.89 consensus. (PR)
• Cincinnati Bell (CBB): Q2 EPS of $0.11 beats by $0.01. Revenue of $328M (-7%) vs. $336M. (PR)
• Cognizant Technology Solutions (CTSH): Q2 EPS of $0.50 beats by $0.13. Revenue of $777M (+13%) vs. $762M. Issues upside Q3 guidance: sees EPS of $0.44 vs. $0.39 consensus, revenue of at least $800M vs. $781M consensus. (PR)
• CVS Caremark (CVS): Q2 EPS of $0.65 beats by $0.01. Revenue of $25B (+18%) vs. $24B. (PR)
• Discovery Communications (DISCA): Q2 EPS of $0.43 beats by $0.11. Revenue of $881M (-0.5%) in-line. (PR)
• D.R. Horton (DHI): FQ3 EPS of -$0.45 misses by $0.22. Revenue of $922.5M (-43%) vs. $792M. (PR)
• Duke Energy (DUK): Q2 EPS of $0.26 beats by $0.01. Revenue of $2.9B (-10%) vs. $3.2B. (PR)
• Emerson Electric Company (EMR): FQ3 EPS of $0.56 misses by $0.01. Revenue of $5.1B (-22.5%) vs. $5.3B. (PR)
• Entergy (ETR): Q2 EPS of $1.23 misses by $0.03. Issues in-line guidance for FY '09, sees EPS of $6.20-6.80 vs. $6.56 consensus. (PR)
• Expeditors International of Washington (EXPD): Q2 EPS of $0.25 in-line. Revenue of $895M (-38%) vs. $999M. (PR)
• Frontier Communications Corporation (FTR): Q2 EPS of $0.11 misses by $0.02. Revenue of $532M (-5%) vs. $534M. (PR)
• HCP (HCP): Q2 EPS of $0.55 beats by $0.04. Revenue of $267M (+7.5%) vs. $249M. (PR)
• Henry Schein (HSIC): Q2 EPS of $0.81 beats by $0.05. Revenue of $1.6B (-2%) in-line. (PR)
• Iconix Brand Group (ICON): Q2 EPS of $0.30 in-line. Revenue of $56M (+9%) vs. $51M. (PR)
• IntercontinentalExchange (ICE): Q2 EPS of $1.12 misses by $0.01. Revenue of $250M (+27%) vs. $243M. Shares +0.6% premarket (7:40 ET). (PR)
• Louisiana-Pacific (LPX): Q2 EPS of -$0.26 beats by $0.07. Revenue of $266M (-31%) vs. $241M. (PR)
• Marvel Entertainmnet (MVL): Q2 EPS of $0.37 beats by $0.06. Revenue of $116M (-26%) vs. $106M. (PR)
• NiSource (NI): Q2 EPS of $0.02 beats by $0.01. Revenue of $1B (-35%) vs. $1.6B. (PR)
• Pinnacle West Capital (PNW): Q2 EPS of $0.77 misses by $0.10. Revenue of $840M (-5%) vs. $834M. (PR)
• PPL (PPL): Q2 EPS of $0.32 misses by $0.08. Revenue of $1.7B (+65%) in-line. (PR)
• Progress Energy (PGN): Q2 EPS of $0.64 misses by $0.05. Revenue of $2.3B (+3%) in-line. (PR)
• Rowan Companies (RDC): Q2 EPS of $0.78 beats by $0.03. Revenue of $482M (-18%) vs. $435M. (PR)
• Spectra Energy Corp. (SE): Q2 EPS of $0.22 beats by $0.02. Revenue of $937M (-17%) vs. $1.1B. (PR)
• St. Joe Company (JOE): Q2 EPS of -$0.49 misses by $0.33. Revenue of $41M (-40%) vs. $24M. (PR)
• Tenet Healthcare (THC): Q2 EPS of -$0.03 misses by $0.02. Revenue of $2.2B (+5.5%) in-line. (PR)
• TRW Automotive (TRW): Q2 EPS of -$0.11 vs. consensus of -$0.83 (may not be comparable). Excluding charges, reports $0.08 per share. Revenue of $2.7B (-39%) vs. $2.6B. (PR)
• Valeant Pharmaceuticals International (VRX): Q2 EPS of $0.51 beats by $0.07. Revenue of $192M (+25%) vs. $181M. Shares +5.6% premarket (8:20 ET). (PR)
• W&T Offshore (WTI): Q2 EPS of -$0.07 beats by $0.41. Revenue of $150M (-67%) vs. $138M. (PR)

Earnings: Monday After Close

• Anadarko (APC): Q2 EPS of -$0.48 beats by $0.20. Revenue of $1.8B (-37%) in-line. (PR)
• Arena Pharmaceuticals (ARNA): Q2 EPS of -$0.48 beats by $0.01. Revenue of $2.4M (-8%) vs. $3.1M. (PR)
• Atmel (ATML): Q2 EPS of $0.00 beats by $0.05. Revenue of $285M (-32%) vs. $279M. Sees Q3 sales up 4-8% sequentially. (PR)
• Axis Capital (AXS): Q2 EPS of $1.22 beats by $0.05. Revenue of $781M (-4%) vs. $747M. (PR)
• Centex (CTX): Q2 EPS of -$2.63 misses by $1.46. Including tax benefit, reported EPS of $0.68. Revenue of $574M (-49%) vs. $563M. (PR)
• Chesapeake Energy (CHK): Q2 EPS of $0.62 beats by $0.11. Revenue of $1.7B vs. $1.9B. (PR)
• Comstock Resources (CRK): Q2 EPS of -$0.26 in-line. Revenue of $65M (-62%) vs. $63M. (PR)
• Extra Space Storage (EXR): Q2 FFO of $0.24 beats by $0.10. Revenue of $69M (+3%) vs. $67M. (PR)
• Forest Oil (FST): Q2 EPS of $0.52 beats by $0.06. Revenue of $182M (-65%) vs. $240M. (PR)
• Herbalife (HLF): Q2 EPS of $0.78 beats by $0.06. Revenue of $572M (-11%) vs. $550M. Sees Q3 EPS of $0.66-0.69 vs. $0.81. Sees Q3 revenue down 4-6%. (PR)
• Hologic (HOLX): FQ3 EPS of $0.29 beats by $0.03. Revenue of $403M (-6%) vs. $395M. Sees full-year EPS of $1.14-1.16 vs. $1.12. (PR)
• Principal Financial Group (PFG): Q2 EPS of $0.69 beats by $0.06. Revenue of $2.2B (-19%) vs. $2.5B. (PR)
• Pulte Homes (PHM): Q2 EPS of -$0.74 misses by $0.17. Revenue of $679M (-58%) vs. $647M. (PR)
• STEC (STEC): Q2 EPS of $0.42 beats by $0.08. Revenue of $86M (+54%) vs. $83M. Sees Q3 EPS of $0.45-0.47 vs. $0.39. Files to sell 7.5M shares of common stock. (PR)
• WMS Industries (WMS): FQ4 EPS of $0.49 beats by $0.02. Revenue of $196M (+5%) vs. $197M. Sees full-year revenue of $760M-780M vs. $707M. (PR)

Today's Markets

Little movement in Asian markets, which closed mixed. European markets are heading down and U.S. markets are unlikely to sustain yesterday's gains.

Have you looked closely at what will happen to your portfolio if and when carbon cap-and-trade legislation currently moving through Congress becomes the law of the land?

The Investor Responsibility Research Center Institute has. While IRRC finds in a new report that cap-and-trade would depress earnings by less than 1% for about 200 of the 500 firms in the S&P 500, it also concludes that electric utility earnings could plummet, and that three utilities – Allegheny Energy (AYE), American Electric Power (AEP) and Ameren Corp. (AEE) could see their earnings wiped out completely.

This is the 1st Quarter 2009 edition of our ongoing hedge fund portfolio tracking series. Before reading this update, make sure you check out the Hedge Fund 13F filings series preface.

Next up is Greenlight Capital, a $6 billion hedge fund ran by David Einhorn that specializes in spin-offs and value investing and has seen annual returns of over 20%. Einhorn's name has been popping up in the media a lot over the past year, as he talked about his well documented short position in Lehman Brothers. And, while that position paid off handsomely for him, it barely offset losses he experienced from other positions.

Bloomberg provides a score for companies within the S&P 500 based on an average of all analyst ratings from the street. Below is a table highlighting companies with the best analyst ratings, largest increase in rating, highest price targets, and worst analyst ratings and the valuation attractiveness of each of these companies based on The Applied Finance Group’s (AFG) valuation model.

Companies within each of these groups are ranked from most attractive from a valuation perspective to the least attractive. VE.com will actively track the performance of these recommendations and see how they stack up to the analyst recommendations in each group. AFGview.com, AFG’s professional investor website allows you to compare any company using their rating versus the consensus ratings of the sell side. If you are interested in an analysis on a specific company, contact afgsales@afgltd.com.

Bloomberg has a rating scale for analyst recommendations from one to five (worst to best) based on the number of buy and sell ratings for each stock. Below we highlight the stocks in the S&P 500 that analysts are the most positive on. Thermo-Fisher Scientific (TMO) is the only stock in the index that scores a five. Philip Morris (PM) is the second highest rated stock, followed by Baxter (BAX) and MetLife (MET). Other notables in the top 20 include GameStop (GME), Hewlett-Packard (HPQ), and Google (GOOG).

-NYSE up 202.9 (3.5%) to 5,865.87.

-DJIA up 239 (2.9%) to 8,508.

-S&P 500 up 26.7 (3%) to 909.62.

Allegheny Energy Inc. (AYE) is engaged in both regulated electricity and natural gas distribution utility operations, as well as in the unregulated wholesale energy markets.

Going forward, AYE’s positive investment factors include higher generation rates in Pennsylvania and Maryland, higher residential usage, approvals for transmission projects, and steady progress with scrubbers.

Q1 2009 Earnings Call

May 5, 2009 2:00 pm ET

A news headline out of Capitol Hill Tuesday makes the Electric Utilities a Screaming Buy. Senator Kent Conrad (D), the Senate Budget Committee Chairman said Tuesday that Obama’s budget does not have the votes to pass through the Senate in its present form.

Of particular concern for many of the Senators is the carbon cap-and-trade provisions that will place very costly legislation onto the production of electricity generation and hit the utilities very hard. Chart work shows a rapid sell-off in most all the utilities experienced when the budget was introduced. Just a brief review of the charts of the largest utilities in the country (NYSE: SO, FPL, ED, D, DUK, ETR, EXC, FE, AEE, AEP, AYE, PEG, PPL and PGN) showed dramatic declines in these stocks over the past 3 weeks.