Dec. 9, 2014, 8:47 AM
- Already under pressure amid a sizable global selloff, Bank of America (NYSE:BAC) is now lower by 2.7% premarket after CEO Brian Moynihan, presenting at the Goldman Sachs financial services conference - warns Q4 trading revenue will fall both from Q3 and versus one year ago.
- There's been a lot of talk about higher interest rates, but they remain low, and Moynihan reminds of that negative impact to NII.
- Presentation slides
Dec. 5, 2014, 10:06 AM
- Among those counting on higher interest rates to boost profits are banks, insurers, and online brokers, and all are outliers to the upside in today's session after a strong November jobs report has rate hike expectations on the rise. The XLF is up 1%.
- TBTFs: Bank of America (BAC +2.1%), Citigroup (C +1.8%), JPMorgan (JPM +2.2%), Wells Fargo (WFC +1.2%)
- Regionals (KRE +1.9%): Regions Financial (RF +2.6%), KeyCorp (KEY +2.3%), Huntington (HBAN +1.5%), BB&T (BBT +1.6%), Zions (ZION +4%)
- Custodials: BNY Mellon (BNY), State Street (STT +1.6%), Northern Trust (NTRS +1.8%)
- Life insurers: MetLife (MET +2.1%), Prudential (PRU +2.5%), Lincoln National (LNC +2.3%)
- Online brokers: Schwab (SCHW +3.8%), E*Trade (ETFC +3%), Ameritrade (AMTD +2.7%)
- Previously: Short end of yield curve on the move after jobs number (Dec. 5, 2014)
- Previously: Bonds and dollar higher, gold slumps after strong jobs report (Dec. 5, 2014)
- ETFs: XLF, FAS, FAZ, UYG, KRE, VFH, KBE, IYF, KIE, IAT, IAI, SEF, IYG, IAK, FXO, FNCL, KBWB, RKH, QABA, FINU, KRU, RWW, KBWR, RYF, KBWP, KBWI, PSCF, FINZ, KRS
Oct. 16, 2014, 7:08 AM
- "Given drastically reduced litigation expenses going forward, we think the core earnings power of the company should begin to accrete to existing shareholders, allowing book value growth at a company that has struggled to grow TBV since the crisis," says FBR's Paul Miller, upgrading Bank of America (NYSE:BAC) to Outperform, with price target lifted to $20 from $18.
- On target cost savings, he says, has proven management's ability to execute its strategy to improve shareholder returns, and he sees the possibility for 2015 EPS to exceed his $1.60 estimate.
- Previous earnings coverage
- Shares -1.8% premarket as broad markets are set for another tough day.
Oct. 15, 2014, 7:22 AM
- Net income of $168M includes a $5.3B or $0.43 per share pre-tax legal charge for global mortgage settlement. Earnings one year ago were $2.5B, or $0.20 per share.
- Net interest income of $10.4B flat from a year ago.
- Noninterest income gained 2% Y/Y, when excluding DVA adjustments. Net charge-offs of $1B fell 38%. Net charge-off ratio of 0.46 compares to 0.73 one year ago.
- Noninterest expense of $19.7B vs. $16.4B a year ago. Excluding litigation expense, noninterest expense of $14.2B fell 7% Y/Y, thanks to sizable personnel cutbacks (mostly in legacy mortgage).
- Consumer and Business Banking net income of $1.856B vs. $1.787B a year ago. Average deposit balances up 4%. Mobile banking customers up 15% to 16.1M - 11% of deposits were made via mobile vs. 8% a year ago.
- Consumer Real Estate Services net loss of $5.184B vs. loss of $990M a year ago, thanks to the mortgage settlement. $11.7B of mortgages originated and $3.2B of home-equity loans vs. $22.6B and $1.8B a year ago.
- Global Wealth and Investment Management net income of $813M vs. $720M a year ago.
- Global Banking net income of $1.414B vs. $1.137B a year ago.
- Global Markets net income of $769M vs. a loss of $875M a year ago. FICC revenue of $2.2B gains 11% Y/Y, driven by currencies as volatility returned late in the quarter.
- Tangible book value per share of $14.13 vs. $13.62 one year ago.
- Conference call at 8:30 ET
- Previously: Bank of America beats by $0.08, beats on revenue
- BAC +1.2% premarket
Oct. 2, 2014, 7:28 AM
- Bank of America (NYSE:BAC) is boosted to a Buy with price target raised to $20 from $16.80, while JPMorgan (NYSE:JPM) is cut to a Neutral with $64 price target.
- BofA's deposit profile means it will be under less pressure than peers to pass along Fed rate boosts to depositors, says UBS. JPMorgan, on the other hand, has a smaller amount of "core deposits" than its peers, says UBS, and could see outflows when rates rise.
- BAC +1%, JPM -1% premarket
Sep. 25, 2014, 3:09 PM
- Today's resignation of Attorney General Eric Holder could mark the beginning of the end of the Justice Department’s push to hold big banks accountable for their conduct leading up to the financial crisis.
- Several big banks, including Goldman Sachs (GS -2.1%) and Wells Fargo (WFC -1.1%), are still under investigations by the Justice Department for their sale of flawed mortgage securities before 2008, but settlements in those cases are expected to be much smaller than the big sums extracted from Bank of America (BAC -1.8%), JPMorgan Chase (JPM -2%) and Citigroup (C -2.2%).
- Another sign that the big bank cases may be winding down: Tony West, who was Holder’s point man in the bank settlement talks, recently left the Justice Department to join PepsiCo as its general counsel.
Sep. 18, 2014, 12:53 PM
- Banks, insurers, brokerages and anything else starved for yield continue to gain following yesterday's FOMC news. Among the gainers are Bank of America (BAC +1.9%) - which breaks above $17 for the first time since April - Citigroup (C +2.7%), Wells Fargo (WFC +1.1%), PNC (PNC +1.1%), Fifth Third (FITB +1.7%), SunTrust (STI +1.2%), Schwab (SCHW +2.3%), Prudential (PRU +2.5%), and Lincoln National (LNC +2.4%).
- The XLF +1.2%, KBE +1.5%, and KRE +2%.
- Financial sector ETFs: XLF, FAS, FAZ, UYG, KRE, VFH, KBE, IYF, IAT, SEF, IYG, FXO, KBWB, FNCL, RKH, QABA, FINU, KRU, KBWR, RWW, RYF, KRS, FINZ
- Lit up bright red is the utility sector (XLU -1%), led by Southern Company (SO -1.1%), Dominion Resources (D -1.2%), Duke Energy (DUK -1.4%), and Pinnacle West (PNW -1.9%).
- Utility ETFs: XLU, IDU, VPU, UPW, RYU, FUTY, PUI, FXU, SDP, PSCU
Sep. 17, 2014, 3:16 PM
- Leading markets higher as the reality of higher interest rates gets nearer is the financial sector (XLF +0.9%). Whether its banks, brokerages, or insurers, a higher benchmark rate for some time has been considered a key bullish catalyst. An especially large move is being seen in the online brokerage names who have been forced to forego money market fees for years thanks to ZIRP: E*Trade (ETFC +3%), Schwab(SCHW +3.2%), Ameritrade (AMTD +2%).
- Morgan Stanley (MS +1.8%), Bank of America (BAC +1.2%), JPMorgan (JPM +0.9%)
- U.S. Bancorp (USB +1.1%), Regions Financial (RF +2%), New York Community Bank (NYCB +0.8%), Huntington Bancshares (HBAN +1.3%), KeyCorp (KEY +1.3%)
- MetLife (MET +0.6%), Voya Financial (VOYA +0.7%).
- Chubb(CB +0.4%), AIG (AIG +1.1%), Hartford (HIG +0.8%)
- Financial sector ETFs: XLF, FAS, FAZ, UYG, KRE, VFH, KBE, IYF, KIE, IAT, SEF, IYG, IAK, FXO, KBWB, FNCL, RKH, QABA, FINU, KRU, KBWR, RWW, KBWP, RYF, KBWI, KRS, FINZ
Sep. 9, 2014, 12:24 PM
- The Fed intends to impose a capital surcharge on banks tougher than the international standard, according to Fed Governor Daniel Tarullo's prepared remarks for the Senate Banking Committee. Those banks with heavier reliance on short-term funding like overnight loans - i.e. Goldman Sachs (GS -1%) and Morgan Stanley (MS -1.8%) - will likely face even more rigorous requirements.
- Officials haven't yet decided on a number, but reportedly are considering as much as 200 basis points more than the top range of 2.5% of risk-weighted assets agreed to by international regulators.
- What's not yet clear is who would need to raise capital to meet the new, tougher standard.
- Citigroup (C -1%), Bank of America (BAC -0.6%), JPMorgan (JPM -1.3%), Wells Fargo (WFC -0.4%), State Street (STT -1.1%), Bank of New York Mellon (BK -0.9%)
- ETFs: XLF, FAS, FAZ, UYG, VFH, IYF, IAI, SEF, IYG, FXO, FNCL, FINU, KCE, RWW, RYF, KBWC, FINZ
Sep. 8, 2014, 8:41 AM
- "The major catalyst for shares in our opinion is the resolution of the bulk of Bank of America's (NYSE:BAC) legal issues with its AG settlement," says analyst Richard Ramsden, upgrading to a Buy with price target lifted to $19 from $17.
- "Legal costs have obscured much of the fundamental improvement at BAC."
- Shares +1.1% premarket
Aug. 21, 2014, 2:51 PM
- "We can start to see how [Brian Moynihan] can start running the company for shareholders and not litigants," says analyst Marty Mosby following Bank of America's (BAC +3.8%) $16.65B mortgage settlement with the government.
- The removal of the legal overhang is nice as is today's rally, says portfolio manager Dave Ellison (an owner of the stock), but higher interest rates are necessary for a sustained move upward in the shares.
- "We believe they have a wonderful franchise - the question now is, 'Do they,'" says fund manager Greg Donaldson. "If they do, their earnings will move sharply up because all of their energies will be poured into making their businesses better."
- And from The Oracle - whose 700M warrants struck at $7.14, if exercised, would make Berkshire Hathaway BofA's largest shareholder? "[Moynihan] is nurturing a huge and attractive underlying business that will endure long after today's problems are forgotten," he said in his annual letter in 2012.
- Previously: Bank of America confirms U.S. deal; +1.1% premarket
Aug. 21, 2014, 9:12 AM
- Previously tipped off as being about $17B, the $16.65B comprehensive mortgage-related settlement with the DOJ and six states' Attorneys General includes a $9.65B cash payment and about $7B of consumer relief.
- The deal is expected to reduce Q3 pretax earnings by $5.3B and EPS (after tax) by about $0.43 per share.
- Source: Press Release
- BAC +1.1% premarket
- Previously: BofA reportedly settles mortgage claims for $17B
Jul. 2, 2014, 11:42 AM
- Key to analyst Matt O'Connor's upgrade of Bank of America (BAC +2.5%) is his improved outlook for fixed income trading revenue. The whole world knows about the slowdown in this segment for the big banks, and expectations can hardly get any worse.
- Following what is sure to be an ugly print for Q2 results, the year-over-year comparisons begin to get a lot easier, notes O'Connor.
- Other catalysts: An improved M&A environment, higher interest rates, an improving economy, and finally, a Republican sweep in November could prove a boon for the entire banking sector.
- Previously: BofA boosted by upgrade
Jun. 6, 2014, 8:00 AM
- Bank of America (BAC) is lower by 0.5% in premarket action after last night's report suggesting the minimum tab for settling over mortgages with the DOJ and several states is $12B, with the final bill likely to surpass JPMorgan's record $13B from last year. For perspective, the bank earned $11.43B in 2013.
- At least $5B of the settlement is expected to go toward consumer relief - reducing principal amounts, cutting payments, and paying for blight removal in rough neighborhoods.
- It needs to be noted that the $12B figure is one offered by BofA, but the government is pushing for billions more. While talks have heated up in the past few days, it's still not clear when a deal may be reached.
- Previously: WSJ: BofA in talks to settle probes for $12B+
May 27, 2014, 12:09 PM
- The accounting error had zero impact on operations, says Dick Bove, and it now appears no impact on capital ratios either. Buy the stock, he says, as the higher dividend and initiation of the buyback should soon be re-approved.
- Bank of America's (BAC +3.6%) capital plan - initially approved by the Fed but then suspended following the error - was for a boost in the dividend to $0.05 per share from a penny, and a $4B buyback.
- Previously: BofA resubmits capital plan to Fed; "de minimis" effect
- In other bank news, the lender has been hired by the Sterlings to sell the L.A. Clippers, reports Bloomberg, which says the asking price could be at least $1B.
May 27, 2014, 8:00 AM
- "The third party review has been completed and resulted in additional adjustments that had a de minimis effect (less than one basis point reduction) on the Corporation’s reported regulatory capital ratios for the period ended September 30, 2013, and no effect on such ratios for the period ended March 31, 2014."
- The Fed has up to 75 days to review the resubmission.
- BAC +1.4% premarket
BAC vs. ETF Alternatives
Bank of America Corporation is a bank holding and a financial holding company. Through its subsidiaries, it provides banking and non-banking financial services and products throughout the United States and in selected international markets.
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