Thu, May 21, 8:22 AM
- Australia's government says it will not seek to hold a special parliamentary inquiry into recent activity in the iron ore market, a quick turnaround after Prime Minister Abbott said last week that he backed an inquiry because it was needed to discover the facts behind the sharp drop in iron ore prices.
- A senator had been calling loudly for parliament’s economics committee to investigate claims that BHP Billiton (NYSE:BHP) and Rio Tinto (NYSE:RIO) are driving down prices by boosting supply to undermine smaller competitors; a probe was advocated by some smaller Australian producers such as Fortescue Metals (OTCPK:FSUMF) that are more vulnerable to lower prices because they lack to scale to keep down production costs.
- BHP CEO Andrew Mackenzie said in recent days that the uncertainty around an inquiry would damage investor confidence in Australia, and this view apparently won out.
- BHP +1.4%, RIO +1.8% premarket.
Mon, May 18, 9:15 AM
Mon, May 18, 3:39 AM
- BHP Billiton (NYSE:BHP) shares slump 4.6% in London after its South32 spin-off was valued at A$11.3B (US$9.1B), at the lower end of expectations, when it debuted on the Australian Securities Exchange today.
- BHP shareholders are receiving one share in South32 for each BHP stock they hold.
- South32, which is also listed in London and Johannesburg, fell 3.8% in Australia.
- The demerger leaves BHP to focus on its most profitable assets of iron ore, copper, petroleum, coal and potash.
Fri, Apr. 24, 12:29 PM
- Vale (VALE +9.1%) continues to surge, headed for its biggest weekly gain in 16 years and gaining nearly 50% since Wednesday's announcement that it produced record-high levels of iron ore, nickel and other commodities during Q1.
- Also on Wednesday, BHP Billiton (BHP +3.4%) said it was curbing expansion plans and supplies from higher-cost mines dropped, easing concerns over a global glut and sparking iron ore biggest one-day price jump since 2012.
- "Vale is reacting to the rebound in iron ore prices,” said an equity analyst at CM Capital in Sao Paulo. “Most of Vale’s costs are fixed, so whenever there’s an increase in prices, there’s a direct impact on earnings.”
- Iron ore prices jumped 5.5% overnight to $57.81/dry ton and have rallied 23% since bottoming out at $47.08 on April 2.
- Also: RIO +1.6%, CLF +3.7%.
Mon, Apr. 13, 10:22 AM
Wed, Mar. 18, 2:57 PM
- Fortescue Metals (OTCPK:FSUMF -7.2%) earlier today pulled a proposed $2.5B debt sale, highlighting an iron ore market in deepening distress as prices closed at six-year lows.
- "Rather than lowering the interest cost, we understand the funding cost for the proposed $2.5B secured note was likely to be 8.5%-9%; hence why the offering was pulled," according to Citigroup analysts.
- Fortescue, the world's fourth largest iron ore miner, made the decision to pull the bond issue as iron ore prices fell by 5% to US$54.50/ton, driven down by a rapid expansion in supply by the miner as well as rivals BHP Billiton (BHP +1.2%), Rio Tinto (RIO -0.2%) and Vale (VALE -0.6%); stock prices had been much lower before today's Fed announcement.
- Analysts expect iron ore prices to fall even further as BHP and Rio press ahead with mine expansions in coming years and China’s economic growth slows.
- Also: CLF -3.9%.
Wed, Mar. 11, 12:41 PM
- Cliffs Natural Resources (CLF -7%) CEO Lourenco Goncalves says global iron ore miners should rethink plans to aggressively ramp up supply of the commodity, believing the consequences for Australia could be especially severe.
- Iron ore prices have been cut roughly in half to US$58/metric ton over the past year because of increased exports from Australia's Pilbara region, and Goncalves says a further fall to $30 could lead to "Australia going out of business as a country, because [iron ore] is the most important commodity."
- Low-cost Australian exporters BHP Billiton (BHP -1.1%) and Rio Tinto (RIO -0.6%) say that if they don't raise production then someone else will, but Goncalves calls the strategy "self-destruction."
Tue, Mar. 10, 8:28 AM
- BHP Billiton (NYSE:BHP) iron ore boss Jimmy Wilson is out in defense of the company's strategy of boosting iron ore output at a time of falling prices and global oversupply.
- "If we pull back our volume, that volume will be filled by other companies... We [would] be penalizing, in essence, our shareholders," Wilson argues, signaling no change of course from BHP even as prices drop.
- "The big guys are saying: ‘We’ve got huge margins, so we’ll keep pumping out iron ore because we’re still making money’,” says a top economist at Westpac Banking.
- Iron ore prices have cut in half over the past year as rising supply from new and expanded mines outpaces demand from steelmakers.
- Premarket: BHP -3%, VALE -2.7%, RIO -1.4%.
Tue, Feb. 24, 12:28 PM
- BHP Billiton (BHP +5.5%) is rallying after H1 results turned out better than expected even as profits plunged against a backdrop of plummeting commodity prices.
- Despite the 47% fall in H1 profit, BHP still will raise its interim dividend by 5% to $0.62/share and pledges to maintain or increase its dividend even after a proposed de-merger later this year which will see BHP hive off some unwanted assets into the separate South32 company that analysts estimate will be worth ~$15B.
- BHP's costs have fallen faster than expected: Capital spending dropped 23% in H1, and BHP now will spend less this fiscal year and next than it had expected, cutting its original spending plans by 15% to $12.6B (£8.2B) for FY 2015 and to $10.8B in 2016.
- BHP’s aluminum, manganese and nickel business - mostly part of South32 - was the only division to improve its Y/Y operating profit, while prices for iron ore, oil and copper - the flagship commodities of the streamlined BHP - have slumped, so BHP's next task is to convince investors that it makes sense to be less diversified.
Tue, Feb. 3, 10:24 AM
- Copper prices are on track for their biggest gains since September on speculation that China would use stimulus measures to jump-start its economy and boost demand for the metal.
- Rising oil prices and Chinese stimulus speculation “have changed the focus to the upside and the short-covering has done the rest,” says Saxo Bank's Ole Hansen, adding that “energy is such a big and important part of the commodity sector, and the somewhat improved sentiment there also helps other” raw materials; aluminum and nickel also are rising to multi-week highs.
- "We’re in this perverse world where bad news is good news,” says BNP Paribas analyst Stephen Briggs, and "a lot of people are thinking China’s going to join the rest of the world and lower interest rates or [offer] some kind of monetary response."
- Raw materials companies are off to a strong start today: FCX +5.8%, BHP +3.9%, RIO +2.4%, VALE +3.9%, SCCO +3.4%.
- ETFs: JJC, DBB, JJN, JJU, JJT, CPER, BOM, RJZ, BOS, LD, BDD, JJM, FOIL, NINI, CUPM
Fri, Jan. 23, 11:18 AM
- Iron ore miners are broadly lower after Goldman Sachs becomes the latest global bank to deliver a dismal outlook for the steel-making ingredient, forecasting an average price of $66/metric ton this year from an earlier estimate of $80.
- Goldman is at least the fifth bank this month to lower estimates, citing rising seaborne supplies and weaker demand growth from China; just last week, Citigroup cut its iron ore forecast to $58 in 2015, down from its earlier $65, and UBS lowered its target to $66 from $85.
- Low-cost expansions likely will continue as major producers are still mining iron ore at a profit, which would expand the global seaborne surplus from 47M tons this year to 260M tons by 2018, Goldman says.
- Iron ore miners: VALE -8%, BHP -3%, RIO -3.6%, CLF -7.6%.
- Copper miners: FCX -2.6%, SCCO -2.4%, TCK -2.6%.
- Steel companies: X -6.3%, MT -7.1%, AKS -3.2%, NUE -1.2%, STLD -3%, CMC -3.8%, TMST -2.4%.
- Earlier: Goldman gives in on mined commodities
Tue, Jan. 20, 7:23 PM
- BHP Billiton (NYSE:BHP) says it will shut down 40% of its U.S. shale oil rigs by the end of its fiscal year.
- BHP plans to pare the number of rigs it is using in the U.S. to 16 from 26, focusing on drilling in the liquids-rich Black Hawk basin while cutting back in the Permian and Hawkville acreage; it says it will provide more details on its revised shale drilling budget, originally set at $4B for this financial year, next month.
- Also, BHP says its iron ore output climbed 16% to 56.35M metric tons in the December quarter, and reaffirmed it would boost annual output by 11% in the fiscal year to June 2015 to 225M metric tons; petroleum production for the quarter rose 10% Y/Y to 63.6M boe.
- Earlier: BHP seen slashing U.S. shale spending to shore up dividend promise
Wed, Jan. 14, 12:39 PM
- Citi cuts price targets for iron ore to $58 for 2015 and $62 for 2016, down from its prior estimates of $65 for both years, and lowers its outlook for thermal and met coal.
- Citi warns its downwardly revised forecast means it now expects earnings for major mining companies will fall by 9%-21% for 2015 and by 3%-16% in 2016.
- Rio Tinto (RIO -2.5%) is the exception, as Citi sees earnings rising 7.1% this year and 10.6% next year due to the company’s greater exposure to the weaker Australian dollar.
- The firm cuts its price target for Glencore (OTCPK:GLCNF -7.2%) by 8% to £3.60 from £3.90 and sees earnings falling 21% and 16% respectively in 2015 and 2016.
- Citi says it is still bullish on the sector, but warns that metals and mining companies will only slowly grind higher over the next few years.
- Also: BHP -4.5%, VALE -5%, FCX -12%, SCCO -4.9%, TCK -9.7%, CLF -4.4%, CENX -9.1%, MT -4.2%, X -4.9%, NUE -3.4%, STLD -2.6%, BTU -9.8%, ANR -8.8%, ACI -8.9%.
Wed, Jan. 14, 10:28 AM
- Freeport McMoRan (FCX -10.8%) sinks to a 52-week low as copper prices fall 4.5% to collapse to 2009 levels, though it is off overnight lows after prices were down nearly 9% at one point in London.
- Other big global miners also are sharply lower: SCCO -7.3%, RIO -2.5%, BHP -4.4%, VALE -3.8%, CLF -5.8%.
- Concerns over a supply glut and slowing consumption in China have weighed on copper prices in recent months; copper is often seen as an omen for the global economy because it is used in a wide array of construction and manufacturing activities, so today's precipitous drop explains much of the weakness in global equity markets.
- The iPath Dow Jones UBS Copper Subindex Total Return ETN (NYSEARCA:JJC) is trading so heavily that nearly 60% of the average full-day volume traded in the first 10 minutes this morning.
- ETFs: CPER, CUPM, DBB, BOM, RJZ, BOS, BDD, JJM, RGRI, UBM, BDG, USMI, HEVY
Wed, Jan. 14, 7:57 AM
- Mining stocks look headed for sizable losses, as copper prices sink to five-and-a-half year lows and the World Bank lowers its forecast for global economic growth.
- Glencore (OTCPK:GLCNF, OTCPK:GLNCY) -11.5% in London trading, Antofagasta (OTC:ANFGF) -7% in London, Anglo American (OTCPK:AAUKF, OTCPK:AAUKY) -9.5% in London, Vedanta (OTCPK:VDNRF) -18% in London, Rio Tinto (NYSE:RIO) -4.3% premarket in the U.S., VALE -2.9%, FCX -5.1%, CLF -2.6%.
- BHP Billiton (NYSE:BHP) -7.5% in London and -5.5% U.S. premarket after S&P Capital IQ downgraded shares to Hold from Buy, expecting "weaker commodity prices to increasingly impact on group profits as hedges expire and see currency headwinds from a stronger [U.S. dollar]."
- ETFs: XLB, XME, SLX, COPX, VAW, UYM, CU, IYM, HAP, IRV, MXI, SMN, GNR, GUNR, PICK, MATL, FXZ, PYZ, CRBQ, RTM, CCXE, FMAT, GRES, SBM
Dec. 22, 2014, 10:45 AM
- Natural gas prices fall 9.5% to near two-year lows at $3.133/mmBtu, in the biggest one-day percentage loss since February and the lowest intraday price since January 2013, on mild weather forecasts and inventory that is above year-ago levels.
- Prices are now down more than 15% in three straight losing sessions and are 30% lower than the six-month high closing price of $4.489/mmBtu it hit just a month ago.
- Weather has been unseasonably warm for December, limiting demand for home heating and allowing relatively low stockpiles to catch up to where they were a year ago and encouraging traders to sell based on the belief that supply is relatively healthy.
- Gas producers are among the biggest early decliners: XOM -1.1%, CHK -7.3%, APC -2.6%, SWN -6%, DVN -2.2%, COP -2.3%, BP -1.5%, COG -4%, BHP -1.9%, CVX -1.3%, ECA -5.1%, EQT -4.3%, RDS.A -1.7%, UPL -12%, WPX -6.9%, EOG -1%, OXY -1.1%, RRC -6.1%, APA -2.3%, AR -3.2%, CNX -3%, QEP -4.8%, LINE -4.9%, NBL -1.6%, SM -2.6%, XEC -4.2%, PXD -2.9%, NFX -5.1%.
- ETFs: UNG, DGAZ, UGAZ, BOIL, GAZ, FCG, GASL, KOLD, UNL, NAGS, DCNG
BHP vs. ETF Alternatives
BHP Billiton Ltd is a natural resources company. The Company is engaged in the producing commodities, including iron ore, metallurgical and energy coal, conventional and unconventional oil and gas, copper, aluminium, manganese, uranium, nickel and silver.
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