Wed, Aug. 26, 4:44 PM
- Avago (NASDAQ:AVGO) has guided for FQ4 revenue of $1.85B (+/- $25M), slightly below a $1.86B consensus at the midpoint. However, expectations were relatively low, given the soft guidance many chipmakers have provided in July/August.
- Segment performance: FQ3 wireless communications revenue (RF components, boosted by iPhone growth and 4G-driven share gains) rose 7% Q/Q and 69% Y/Y, and made up 35% of revenue. Enterprise storage (boosted by the Emulex acquisition) rose 26% Q/Q and 46% Y/Y, and was 34% of revenue. Wired infrastructure fell 3% Q/Q and rose 7% Y/Y, and was 21% of revenue. Industrial/other fell 21% Q/Q and rose 2% Y/Y, and was 10% of revenue.
- Financials: Gross margin was 61%, flat Q/Q and up 400 bps, and above a guidance midpoint of 60%. FQ4 GM guidance is at 60.5% (+/- 1%). M&A-related cost cuts resulted in operating expenses rising only 7% Y/Y to $330M. Avago ended FQ3 with $1.4B in cash, and $3.9B in debt.
- Avago is up 2% after hours to $118.35. Shares rose 7.1% in regular trading ahead of earnings amid a giant market rally. Merger partner Broadcom (NASDAQ:BRCM) rose 5.6%.
- FQ3 results, PR
Thu, Aug. 6, 9:53 AM
- Qualcomm (QCOM -0.5%), via its Atheros Wi-Fi/connectivity chip unit, is buying DSL modem/infrastructure IC and home gateway processor vendor Ikanos (NASDAQ:IKAN) for $2.75/share, or roughly $47M based on Ikanos' Q2 diluted share count. The price represents a 57% premium to Ikanos' Wednesday close. The deal is expected to close by year's end.
- Ikanos' products complement Qualcomm/Atheros home Wi-Fi and wireline networking offerings. Qualcomm: "The combination of Qualcomm Atheros' broad home gateway IP portfolio, including Wi-Fi, powerline, small cell, and Ethernet switch technologies, and Ikanos' advanced wired modem technology, is designed to create a complete solution for a wide range of home gateway products to better serve the carrier segment." Broadcom (NASDAQ:BRCM) and Marvell (NASDAQ:MRVL) are among the other companies competing in this space.
- Qualcomm CEO Steve Mollenkopf suggested last week his company would make new chip acquisitions.
Thu, Jul. 30, 6:33 PM
- On top of missing Q2 estimates, Broadcom (NASDAQ:BRCM) has guided for Q3 revenue of $2.135B (+/- $75M), below a $2.24B consensus. But with many other chipmakers having already issued soft Q3 outlooks, and Broadcom's shares now effectively linked to Avago's, the numbers are being taken in stride.
- Q2 gross margin was 56.6%, +220 bps Q/Q and +170 bps Y/Y, and above a guidance midpoint of 56%. Q3 is expected to drop to 55.3% (+/- 75 bps) in Q3. R&D spend fell 15% Y/Y to $538M thanks to Broadcom's baseband modem exit, while SG&A spend rose 3% to $188M. $128M was spent on buybacks.
- Separately, the WSJ reports the IRS has declined to promise the stock portion of Avago's (NASDAQ:AVGO) pending $37B deal to merge with Broadcom will be a tax-free transaction for Broadcom shareholders. However, if Avago ($35B market cap) remains larger than Broadcom ($31B market cap), the stock portion will be tax-free. Either way, Broadcom shareholders will owe taxes on the deal's $17B cash payout.
- Should the stock portion of the deal be taxable, Avago plans to offer Broadcom investors tax-deferring units instead of stock. That would let investors decide when to make tax payments.
- BRCM +0.6% AH. AVGO -0.9%.
- Broadcom's Q2 results, PR
Tue, Jul. 21, 5:10 PM
- Apple beat FQ3 estimates, but reported slightly below-consensus iPhone unit sales of 47.5M. In addition, FQ4 revenue guidance of $49B-$51B was below a $51.1B consensus. iPhone revenue was up 59% Y/Y, while iPad revenue fell 23%.
- iPhone/iPad chip suppliers are selling off in response. Cirrus Logic (NASDAQ:CRUS) -5.6% AH. Skyworks (NASDAQ:SWKS) -6.8%. Qorvo (NASDAQ:QRVO) -6.4%. Avago (NASDAQ:AVGO) -3.8%. Broadcom (BRCM - merging with Avago) -1.3%. InvenSense (NYSE:INVN) -4%. NXP (NASDAQ:NXPI) -3.4%.
Tue, Jul. 7, 1:10 PM
- RF chipmakers Skyworks (SWKS -3.8%), Qorvo (QRVO -4.1%), and Avago (AVGO -3.2%) are posting 3%+ declines on what's proving a rough day for many high-beta tech stocks.
- With Chinese equities plunging, Skyworks, Qorvo, and Avago's Chinese exposure could be contributing to their selloff. The Nasdaq is down 0.7%, and the Philadelphia Semi Index 1.7%.
- Avago's decline comes as Oppenheimer's Rick Schafer downgrades merger partner Broadcom (BRCM -2%) to Market Perform. Curiously, he also declares Avago (along with Skyworks) to be a top wireless chip pick.
- Schafer: "Rising RF complexity (and content) remains one of our favorite thematic plays heading into 2H15 ... We see incremental RF content opportunities for both Avago and Skyworks on the forthcoming iPhone 6S ... Skyworks further benefits from 50 percent plus 4G reference design share with China's major baseband suppliers."
- Broadcom shareholders are set to receive either $54.50/share in cash, 0.4378 Avago shares for each Broadcom share, or some combination thereof, with the cash portion of the deal totaling $17B. Broadcom currently trades 7% below the cash payout price, and (based on Avago's current trading levels) 11% below an equity payout price of $56.87.
Thu, May 28, 1:34 PM
- In a presentation (.pdf) discussing their planned merger, Avago (AVGO -0.4%) and Broadcom (BRCM -2.6%) state they're aiming for a 40% long-term op. margin, up from the 30% collectively possessed by the companies today. Gross margin is forecast to rise to 60% from a current 57%, and R&D and SG&A spend respectively fall to 16% and 4% of revenue from 20% and 7%.
- Avago and Broadcom, who have $15.1B in revenue between them, are only forecasting a 5% long-term revenue CAGR. However, Avago CEO Hock Tan states the outlook is "probably conservative."
- Avago plans to partly finance the $17B cash portion of the deal via $9B worth of new debt. The post-merger company is expected to have $15.5B in debt and $1.3B in cash; Broadcom shareholders will have a 32% stake. The deal is expected to close in Q1 2016.
- Many potential product synergies exist. Among the possibilities: Wi-Fi/Bluetooth solutions that pair Broadcom's combo chips with Avago RF components; server/storage connectivity product lines featuring a mixture of Broadcom's Ethernet transceivers and switching chips and Avago's adapter cards and optical transceivers - Stifel thinks Mellanox (MLNX -0.3%) could be at risk here - and telecom equipment product lines that combine Broadcom's network processors and switching chips with Avago's optical components.
- Meanwhile, in its FQ2 report (issued in tandem with the merger announcement), Avago has guided for FQ3 revenue of $1.74B (+/- $25M), above a $1.68B consensus. The company reported a 66% Y/Y increase in FQ2 wireless chip revenue (aided by strong Apple/Samsung demand), along with 74% and 64% increases in wired infrastructure and industrial/other revenue (lifted by both organic growth and M&A).
Wed, May 27, 2:26 PM
- The WSJ reports Broadcom (BRCM +16.6%) is "in advanced talks to be bought" by Avago (AVGO +6.4%). Shares of both companies have shot higher.
- A deal would effectively be a merger rather than an acquisition: Avago is currently worth $35.1B, and Broadcom $32B. The post-merger company would have a massive product line spanning a variety of mobile, networking, home electronics, and telecom equipment chip markets.
- Avago has bought a string of companies over the last 18 months amid a massive chip industry consolidation wave, and has been rumored to be eying several others.
- Update (3:37PM ET): Bloomberg is backing up the WSJ's report, while adding a deal could be announced as soon as tomorrow.
- Update 2 (3:50PM): CNBC reports Avago's board plans to vote on the deal tonight.
Wed, May 27, 12:59 PM
- Competitive fears for Broadcom's (BRCM +2.1%) Wi-Fi combo chip ops (largely Qualcomm-related) are overblown, argues BofA/Merrill while reiterating a Buy rating and $54 target.
- Among BofA's arguments: 1) Broadcom's combo chips are still best-in-class, and discrete solutions are preferred on the high-end rather than ones integrated with baseband processors. 2) Broadcom maintains a ~57% combo chip share, and has ~1K dedicated engineers for the business. 3) With combo chips sporting a ~$4 ASP, there's little need for OEMs to get frugal. 4) Broadcom's baseband market exit opens the door to partnerships with former baseband rivals such as Spreadtrum. 5) 802.11ac/dual-band Wi-Fi chips and location hub support (found in Broadcom's Galaxy S6 design) can boost ASPs, and IoT products can increase Broadcom's addressable market.
- The firm also expects Broadcom (aided by its recently-launched Tomahawk switching chip) to benefit from a 25G Ethernet upgrade cycle, and notes the company's set-top chip share gains against STMicroelectronics. It forecasts 2017 EPS of $4 (the 2015 consensus is only at $3.01), and thinks a $61-$75/share valuation is possible on a sum-of-the-parts basis.
Wed, Apr. 22, 9:15 AM
Tue, Apr. 21, 5:37 PM
Tue, Apr. 21, 5:35 PM
- In addition to beating Q1 estimates, Broadcom (NASDAQ:BRCM) is guiding for Q2 revenue of $2.1B (+/- $75M), above a $2.07B consensus. Strong Galaxy S6 sales could be partly responsible - Broadcom is believed to supply a Wi-Fi/Bluetooth combo chip and a GPS/sensor hub IC. Continued iPhone 6 and data center hardware strength (driven by Web/cloud demand) might also be factors.
- Q1 gross margin (non-GAAP) was 54.4%, -30 bps Q/Q and +250 bps Y/Y, and slightly below a guidance midpoint of 54.7%. However, GM is expected to rise to 56% (+/- 75 bps) in Q2.
- In addition, R&D/SG&A spend is expected to drop ~$15M Q/Q (+/- $10M). Thanks to Broadcom's baseband modem exit, R&D spend was down 15% Y/Y in Q1 to $539M, and SG&A spend 4% to $177M.
- $335M was spent on buybacks, providing a lift to EPS. Broadcom established a $1B 2015 buyback authorization last December.
- BRCM +5.5% AH to $46.38, slightly topping a 52-week high of $46.31.
- Q1 results, PR
Tue, Apr. 21, 4:08 PM
Thu, Apr. 9, 9:52 AM
- CNBC's David Faber has reported Intel (NASDAQ:INTC) has ended talks to acquire FPGA vendor Altera due to a failure to agree on price. That has fueled speculation Intel will make a bid for Broadcom (NASDAQ:BRCM), which competes with Intel in several telecom/networking chip markets and complements the chip giant's offerings in many others.
- Also possibly helping Broadcom: Ladenburg Thalmann has launched coverage with a Buy rating and $51 target.
- With a current $26.3B market cap - a buyout price would likely have to be over $30B - Broadcom would be a big fish to swallow. Q1 results arrive on April 21.
Mon, Mar. 30, 12:44 PM
- "We've wanted to upgrade Broadcom (NASDAQ:BRCM) since the company's analyst meeting in Dec, but have been waiting for a pullback and a catalyst. We believe we got both last week," says Nomura's Romit Shah, upgrading the chipmaker to Buy and hiking his target by $10 to $50.
- Shah: "Broadcom remains very cheap, per our estimation, trading at 15x free cash flow (minus stock comp), versus a comp average of 18x. The discount reflects distrust in management after one bad acquisition and failed attempts in baseband." He thinks management isn't getting enough credit for recent moves to cut stock compensation spend (often criticized), boost capital returns, and increase financial transparency.
- Shares have gradually moved higher amid a 1% gain for the Nasdaq. They're within $2.50 of a 52-week high of $46.31. They moved higher during the final minutes of trading on Friday following reports Intel is in talks to acquire FPGA vendor Altera.
- Nomura downgraded Broadcom to Neutral last May, when shares were at $30.56.
Wed, Mar. 25, 3:57 PM
- With the Nasdaq down 2.3%, only a handful of tech companies are posting 2%+ gains. Meanwhile, the ranks of those posting 4%+ losses are considerable.
- Notable decliners include telecom/networking chipmakers Broadcom (BRCM -5.3%) and PMC-Sierra (PMCS -4.4%), chip equipment giant Applied Materials (AMAT -5.5%), optical component vendor Finisar (FNSR -6.7%), smart grid hardware/software vendor Silver Spring (SSNI -7.9%), Chinese app developer Cheetah Mobile (CMCM -4.4%), cable infrastructure/set-top vendor Arris (ARRS -4.8%), server OEM Super Micro (SMCI -5.8%), IP licensing firm Finjan (FNJN -13.8%), and cloud life sciences software leader Veeva (VEEV -5.7%).
- Broadcom, PMC-Sierra, and Applied Materials have joined a slew of other chip industry names in posting steep losses. Finjan is reversing yesterday's big gains. Cheetah Mobile, which sold off post-earnings last week, announced today's it's the lead investor in a $24M funding round for social/mobile ad platform Nanigans; the move follows the $58M purchase of French mobile ad network MobPartner.
- Previously covered: Solar stocks, Mobileye, GoPro, Groupon, On Track, Netlist, Baidu/Qihoo, AMD, Yingli, Lexmark/Kofax
Thu, Mar. 19, 5:52 PM
- After rising 5.8% in regular trading today, specialty analog/mixed-signal chipmaker Microsemi (NASDAQ:MSCC) is up 8% since announcing yesterday morning (just before its analyst day) it's buying Ethernet chipmaker Vitesse (NASDAQ:VTSS) for $389M. Shares have made new highs along the way.
- Vitesse closed today $5.31, $0.03 above Microsemi's offer price. Ascendiant Capital's Cody Acree calls the offer "a bit low," and (given the deal is expected to be immediately accretive for Microsemi) thinks a rival bid might arrive. "Potential suitors could include Broadcom (NASDAQ:BRCM) or Marvell (NASDAQ:MRVL), who are already leaders in Ethernet and would see natural synergies in VTSS’s portfolio or Avago (NASDAQ:AVGO) who has also been particularly acquisitive."
- Meanwhile, Stifel's Tore Svanberg has hiked his Microsemi target by $5 to $40 in response to the Vitesse deal and Microsemi's analyst day presentations (slides - .pdf). "[M]anagement reiterated its strategy to maximize profitability, grow its market share in core products, while expanding its [addressable market] through new product initiatives and deeper penetration into their existing customer base."
- Svanberg adds the Vitesse deal "helps expand [Microsemi's] silicon/dollar content initiatives, especially in the comms infrastructure space and adds differentiated technology with high barriers to entry." He sees the purchase making Microsemi's goal of achieving a 60% gross margin and 30% op. margin in 2016 (compares with 56.2% and 24.4% in calendar Q4) easier to attain.
BRCM vs. ETF Alternatives
Broadcom Corp is provider of semiconductors for wired and wireless communications. It provides a portfolio of SoCs that seamlessly deliver voice, video, data and multimedia connectivity in the home, office and mobile environments.
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